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Author : Warner Max Corden
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780868310794
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (17 download)
Download or read book Booming Sector and Dutch Disease Economics written by Warner Max Corden and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Lorenz Meyenburg
Publisher : Diplomarbeiten Agentur
ISBN 13 : 3842805764
Total Pages : 172 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (428 download)
Download or read book Developing indicators to diagnose Dutch Disease written by Lorenz Meyenburg and published by Diplomarbeiten Agentur. This book was released on 2010-10-25 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inhaltsangabe:Introduction: The term Dutch Disease (abbreviated to DD throughout the paper), introduced in 1977, refers to the adverse effects on Dutch manufacturing of the natural gas discoveries of the 1960s. The crucial sub-period from 1974 to 1979 after the oil price shock in 1973 / 1974 was then marked by a consumption driven booming government sector in the context of a European stagnation, and though this process in itself did not bear a disease character, the strong real appreciation due to an overvaluation of the Dutch Guilder and an inflexible labour market were at least the clearest possible signs of a disease. It is actually doubted that the DD is Dutch, but the existence of the DD as a general phenomenon is widely accepted in the literature. The fascination of the DD arises from its paradoxical nature that something intuitively good develops a dark side. There is a good side of every boom, its initial impact is beneficial and amounts to Pareto-improvement for the economy as a whole. This implies a rise in real living standards due to higher levels of public and private consumption and higher levels of investment (and savings). Windfalls, the linked fiscal revenues, and easier domestic and foreign borrowing can finance core public goods. Especially regarding developing countries, windfalls principally allow breaking out of the poverty trap: poverty lack of public finance lack of public goods lack of private investment poverty. Approaching the dark side, a favourable shock like a discovery of oil is a mixed blessing to developing countries, and research does not show a clear outperformance of the oil nations as a whole. The DD can be formulated as a provoking dilemma: Enjoy boom revenues to boost economic development while those revenues in fact turn out to be responsible for the economic stagnation through the deterioration of the tradeable sectors. The provoking nature of the DD runs the risk of being misused in the media in the longing for exciting economical statements, and a healthy mistrust should always accompany an alleged DD even in the literature, as the real problem can lie somewhere else in the dynamic economy. For example, in many countries, the downward trend in the share of manufacturing in national output is dominated by other reasons than a favourable shock. In general, policy choices can exacerbate or mitigate the DD, so that there is a direct connection, but the majority of influences rather works [...]
Author : Hilde C. Bjørnland
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (931 download)
Download or read book Boom Or Gloom? written by Hilde C. Bjørnland and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Prince Emeka Ndimele
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128096284
Total Pages : 487 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (28 download)
Download or read book The Political Ecology of Oil and Gas Activities in the Nigerian Aquatic Ecosystem written by Prince Emeka Ndimele and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2017-11-17 with total page 487 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Political Ecology of Oil and Gas Activities in the Nigerian Aquatic Ecosystem reviews the current status of the ecosystems and economic implications of oil and gas development in Nigeria, a key oil-producing state. The ecological and economic impacts of oil and gas development, particularly in developing nations, are crucial topics for ecologists, natural resource professionals and pollution researchers to understand. This book takes an integrative approach to these problems through the lens of one of the key oil-producing nations, linking natural and human systems through the valuation of ecosystem services. Provides background information on Nigerian aquatic environments, its local history of oil exploration and a review of the physical chemistry of crude oil Reviews global and national perspectives on the oil and gas industry from a physical ecological, to a socio-political and economic ecological perspective Demonstrates real-life situations of the interactions and impacts of Nigerian petroleum production on the environment and local populations through case studies
Author : Roger Hosein
Publisher : Palgrave Macmillan
ISBN 13 : 9783030776718
Total Pages : 265 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (767 download)
Download or read book Oil and Gas in Trinidad and Tobago written by Roger Hosein and published by Palgrave Macmillan. This book was released on 2022-08-09 with total page 265 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Oil and Gas in Trinidad and Tobago presents a historical economic review of the energy sector of Trinidad and Tobago, followed by a detailed evaluation of policies associated with resource abundance and the effects on the economy from various perspectives, including industrialization, labor productivity, education, export diversification, and competitiveness. This book utilizes a wide range of statistical data and methodologies to both economically and statistically analyze these issues at hand. The content of this book will be useful not only for policymakers but also for researchers and students interested in the field.
Author : Michael Roemer
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Dutch Disease and Economic Growth written by Michael Roemer and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Jeffrey G. Williamson
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262295180
Total Pages : 315 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (622 download)
Download or read book Trade and Poverty written by Jeffrey G. Williamson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2011-01-07 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How the rise of globalization over the past two centuries helps explain the income gap between rich and poor countries today. Today's wide economic gap between the postindustrial countries of the West and the poorer countries of the third world is not new. Fifty years ago, the world economic order—two hundred years in the making—was already characterized by a vast difference in per capita income between rich and poor countries and by the fact that poor countries exported commodities (agricultural or mineral products) while rich countries exported manufactured products. In Trade and Poverty, leading economic historian Jeffrey G. Williamson traces the great divergence between the third world and the West to this nexus of trade, commodity specialization, and poverty. Analyzing the role of specialization, de-industrialization, and commodity price volatility with econometrics and case studies of India, Ottoman Turkey, and Mexico, Williamson demonstrates why the close correlation between trade and poverty emerged. Globalization and the great divergence were causally related, and thus the rise of globalization over the past two centuries helps account for the income gap between rich and poor countries today.
Author : Christian Bell
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 103 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (718 download)
Download or read book Dutch Disease Economics and Petroleum Funds - Dynamics of Economic and Political Dutch Disease and the Rationale and Design of a Petroleum Fund as Counter-instrument in Developing and Transition Oil-rich Economies written by Christian Bell and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 103 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Alan H. Gelb
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780195207743
Total Pages : 376 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (77 download)
Download or read book Oil Windfalls written by Alan H. Gelb and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1988 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book assesses the full impact of oil windfalls on six developing producer countries - Algeria, Ecuador, Indonesia, Nigeria, Trinidad and Tobago, and Venezuela. This is the first time that the issue has been systematically analysed and related to economics policies and underlying macroeconomic characteristics. The book adopts a broad approach, blending institutional and political aspects with quantitative analysis which includes the results of sophisticated model simulations. It presents new information on how oil discoveries have been used by producer governments, and analyses of the consequences. Finally it concludes that much of the potential benefit to producers has been dissipated, and explains why producers may actually end up worse off despite revenue gains.
Author : R. M. Auty
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199246882
Total Pages : 357 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (992 download)
Download or read book Resource Abundance and Economic Development written by R. M. Auty and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2001-06-28 with total page 357 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the 1960s the per capita incomes of the resource-poor countries have grown significantly faster than those of the resource-abundant countries. In fact, in recent years economic growth has been inversely proportional to the share of natural resource rents in GDP, so that the small mineral-driven economies have performed least well and the oil-driven economies worst of all. Yet the mineral-driven resource-rich economies have high growth potential because the mineral exportsboost their capacity to invest and to import."Resource Abundance and Economic Development" explains the disappointing performance of resource-abundant countries by extending the growth accounting framework to include natural and social capital. The resulting synthesis identifies two contrasting development trajectories: the competitive industrialization of the resource-poor countries and the staple trap of many resource-abundant countries. The resource-poor countries are less prone to policy failure than the resource-abundant countriesbecause social pressures force the political state to align its interests with the majority poor and follow relatively prudent policies. Resource-abundant countries are more likely to engender political states in which vested interests vie to capture resource surpluses (rents) at the expense of policycoherence. A longer dependence on primary product exports also delays industrialization, heightens income inequality, and retards skill accumulation. Fears of 'Dutch disease' encourage efforts to force industrialization through trade policy to protect infant industry. The resulting slow-maturing manufacturing sector demands transfers from the primary sector that outstrip the natural resource rents and sap the competitiveness of the economy.The chapters in this collection draw upon historical analysis and models to show that a growth collapse is not the inevitable outcome of resource abundance and that policy counts. Malaysia, a rare example of successful resource-abundant development, is contrasted with Ghana, Bolivia, Saudi Arabia, Mexico, and Argentina, which all experienced a growth collapse. The book also explores policies for reviving collapsed economies with reference to Costa Rica, South Africa, Russia and Central Asia. Itdemonstrates the importance of initial conditions to successful economic reform.
Author : Mohsen Fardmanesh
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 ( download)
Download or read book External Shocks and Structural Adjustments written by Mohsen Fardmanesh and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Kareem Ismail
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145520062X
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)
Download or read book The Structural Manifestation of the ‘Dutch Disease’ written by Kareem Ismail and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-04-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study derives structural implications of the Dutch disease in oil-exporting countries due to permanent oil price shocks from a typical model. We then test these implications in manufacturing sector data across a wide group of countries including oil-exporters covering 1977 to 2004. The results on oil-exporting countries are four folds. First, we find that permanent increases in oil price negatively impact output in manufacturing as consistent with the Dutch disease. Second, Evidence in the data shows that oil windfall shocks have a stronger impact on manufacturing sectors in countries with more open capital markets to foreign investment. Third, we find that the relative factor price of labor to capital, and capital intensity in manufacturing sectors appreciate as windfall increases. Fourth, we find that manufacturing sectors with higher capital intensity are less affected by windfall shocks than their peers, possibly due to a larger share of the effect being absorbed by more laborintensive tradable sectors. An implication of the fourth result is that having diverse manufacturing sectors in capital intensity helps cushion the volatility of oil shocks.
Author : Achille Toto Same
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)
Download or read book mineral-rich countries and dutch disease: understanding the macroeconomic implications of windfalls and the development prospects the case of equatorial guinea written by Achille Toto Same and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2008 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Referring to the original context of Dutch Disease, the term refers to the fears of de-industrialization that gripped the Netherlands as a result of the appreciation of the Dutch currency that followed the discovery of natural gas deposits. Expansion of petroleum exports in the 1960s not only crowded out other exports, it actually reduced other exports disproportionately and fueled the fears of dire consequences for Dutch manufacturing. In the case of Equatorial Guinea, the secondary sector represents about 2 percent of the gross domestic product, manufacturing represents less than 1 percent, and oil represents more than 95 percent. The negative impact of the Dutch Disease in this context would be limited given the structure of the economy and on the contrary may even be a good thing because it fuels the structural transformational process of the economy, which is needed in Equatorial Guinea. This paper argues that the ongoing Dutch Disease is a natural and necessary reallocation of resources in the economy of Equatorial Guinea. The magnitude of negative macroeconomic consequences of the Dutch Disease depends on the country's economic structure and stage of development. In a country where the manufacturing sector barely exists or where the non-oil primary sector is structurally deficient, as has been the case of Equatorial Guinea, there is little to fear about the disease. The oil boom is a blessing, given that oil revenues when properly managed can play a special and critical role in overall economic development and poverty reduction in low-income countries. To promote good governance in the management of the country's oil wealth, the government may wish to adhere to clear standards of accountability and transparency; especially by complying with the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI++).
Author : Julia Faltermeier
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475589239
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)
Download or read book Foreign Exchange Intervention and the Dutch Disease written by Julia Faltermeier and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-03-27 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the optimal foreign exchange (FX) intervention policy in response to a positive terms of trade shock and associated Dutch disease episode in a small open economy model. We find that during a Dutch disease episode tradable production drops below the socially optimal level, resulting in lower welfare under learningby- doing (LBD) externalities. FX reserves accumulation improves welfare by preventing a large appreciation of the real exchange rate and by inducing an efficient reallocation between the tradable and non-tradable sectors. For an empirically plausible parametrization of LBD externalities, the model predicts that in response to a 10 percent increase in commodity prices FX reserves should increase by 1.5 percent of GDP. We also find that the welfare gains from optimally using FX reserves are twice as high as the gains from relying only on monetary policy. These results suggest that FX intervention is a beneficial policy to counteract the loss of competitiveness during a Dutch disease episode.
Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455210781
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)
Download or read book When and Why Worry About Real Exchange Rate Appreciation? The Missing Link Between Dutch Disease and Growth written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We review the literature on Dutch disease, and document that shocks that trigger foreign exchange inflows (such as natural resource booms, surges in foreign aid, remittances, or capital inflows) appreciate the real exchange rate, generate factor reallocation, and reduce manufacturing output and net exports. We also observe that real exchange rate misalignment due to overvaluation and higher volatility of the real exchange rate lower growth. Regarding the effect of undervaluation of the exchange rate on economic growth, the evidence is mixed and inconclusive. However, there is no evidence in the literature that Dutch disease reduces overall economic growth. Policy responses should aim at adequately managing the boom and the risks associated with it.
Author : Mr.Rabah Arezki
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451982712
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)
Download or read book Boom-Bust Cycle, Asymmetrical Fiscal Response and the Dutch Disease written by Mr.Rabah Arezki and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-04-01 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the behavior of expenditure policy during boom-bust in commodity price cycles, and its implication for real exchange rate movements. To do so, we introduce a Dutch disease model with downward rigidities in government spending to revenue shock. This model leads to a decoupling between real exchange rate and commodity price movement during busts. We test our model's theoretical predictions and underlying assumptions using panel data for 32 oil-producing countries over the period 1992 to 2009. Results are threefold. First, we find that change in current spending have a stronger impact on the change in real exchange rate compared to capital spending. Second, we find that current spending is downwardly sticky, but increases in boom time, and conversely for capital spending. Third, we find limited evidence that fiscal rules have helped reduce the degree of responsiveness of current spending during booms. In contrast, we find evidence that fiscal rules are associated with a significant reduction in capital expenditure during busts while responsiveness to boosts is more muted. This raises concerns about potential adverse consequences of this asymmetry on economic performance in oil-producing countries.
Author : W. Max Corden
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)
Download or read book The Dutch Disease in Australia written by W. Max Corden and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Dutch Disease' refers to the adverse effects through real exchange rate appreciation that the mining boom can have on various export- and import-competing industries. The distinction is made between the booming sector (mining), the lagging sector (exports not part of the booming sector and import-competing goods and services) and the non-tradeable sector. What should the government do to reduce this Dutch 'disease'? The principal options are: do nothing, piecemeal protectionism, moderate exchange rate effects by running a fiscal surplus, combined with lowering the interest rate, and possibly establishing a sovereign wealth fund. The costs of the latter measures may be considerable.
