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Bet Smart The Kelly System For Gambling And Investing
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Download or read book Bet Smart written by Stefan Hollos and published by Abrazol Publishing. This book was released on 2008 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 1956, a physicist named John Kelly working at Bell Labs published a paper titled "A New Interpretation of Information Rate." In the paper he draws an analogy between the outcomes of a gambling game and the transmission of symbols over a communications channel. For a positive expectation game, Kelly showed that a betting system based on a fixed fraction of the bankroll can make the bankroll grow at an exponential rate in the long run. The exponential growth rate in this case is directly analogous to the rate of information transmission through a communications channel. This book examines the Kelly system in detail. Applications of the Kelly system in both gambling and investing are considered. Python code for calculating the Kelly fractions for both a single stock investment and an investment in two stocks simultaneously is included. Included is an introductory review chapter on the probability theory needed to analyze gambling systems in general.There is also a chapter on some of the more commonly used gambling systems such as the Martingale system. This book will be useful for anyone interested in a good mathematical introduction to gambling systems in general, and the Kelly system in particular.
Book Synopsis Bet Smart: The Kelly System for Gambling and Investing by :
Download or read book Bet Smart: The Kelly System for Gambling and Investing written by and published by Abrazol Publishing. This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Fortune's Formula by : William Poundstone
Download or read book Fortune's Formula written by William Poundstone and published by Hill and Wang. This book was released on 2010-06-01 with total page 399 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 1956, two Bell Labs scientists discovered the scientific formula for getting rich. One was mathematician Claude Shannon, neurotic father of our digital age, whose genius is ranked with Einstein's. The other was John L. Kelly Jr., a Texas-born, gun-toting physicist. Together they applied the science of information theory—the basis of computers and the Internet—to the problem of making as much money as possible, as fast as possible. Shannon and MIT mathematician Edward O. Thorp took the "Kelly formula" to Las Vegas. It worked. They realized that there was even more money to be made in the stock market. Thorp used the Kelly system with his phenomenally successful hedge fund, Princeton-Newport Partners. Shannon became a successful investor, too, topping even Warren Buffett's rate of return. Fortune's Formula traces how the Kelly formula sparked controversy even as it made fortunes at racetracks, casinos, and trading desks. It reveals the dark side of this alluring scheme, which is founded on exploiting an insider's edge. Shannon believed it was possible for a smart investor to beat the market—and William Poundstone's Fortune's Formula will convince you that he was right.
Book Synopsis Simple Trading Strategies That Work by :
Download or read book Simple Trading Strategies That Work written by and published by Abrazol Publishing. This book was released on with total page 187 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion by : Leonard C. MacLean
Download or read book The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion written by Leonard C. MacLean and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2011 with total page 883 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume provides the definitive treatment of fortune's formula or the Kelly capital growth criterion as it is often called. The strategy is to maximize long run wealth of the investor by maximizing the period by period expected utility of wealth with a logarithmic utility function. Mathematical theorems show that only the log utility function maximizes asymptotic long run wealth and minimizes the expected time to arbitrary large goals. In general, the strategy is risky in the short term but as the number of bets increase, the Kelly bettor's wealth tends to be much larger than those with essentially different strategies. So most of the time, the Kelly bettor will have much more wealth than these other bettors but the Kelly strategy can lead to considerable losses a small percent of the time. There are ways to reduce this risk at the cost of lower expected final wealth using fractional Kelly strategies that blend the Kelly suggested wager with cash. The various classic reprinted papers and the new ones written specifically for this volume cover various aspects of the theory and practice of dynamic investing. Good and bad properties are discussed, as are fixed-mix and volatility induced growth strategies. The relationships with utility theory and the use of these ideas by great investors are featured.
Download or read book Day Trading written by Justin Kuepper and published by Sourcebooks, Inc.. This book was released on 2015-04-10 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: All You'll Ever Need to Trade from Home When most people hear the term "day trader," they imagine the stock market floor packed with people yelling 'Buy' and 'Sell' - or someone who went for broke and ended up just that. These days, investing isn't just for the brilliant or the desperate—it's a smart and necessary move to ensure financial wellbeing. To the newcomer, day trading can be a confusing process: where do you begin, and how can you approach trading in a careful yet effective way? With Day Trading you'll get the basics, then: Learn the Truth About Trading Understand The Psychology of Trading Master Charting and Pattern-recognition Study Trading Options Establish Trading Strategies & Money Management Day Trading will let you make the most out of the free market from the comfort of your own computer.
Book Synopsis Sports Betting For Dummies by : Swain Scheps
Download or read book Sports Betting For Dummies written by Swain Scheps and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2020-06-30 with total page 471 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The sports gambling book you can bet on Sports betting combines America's national pastime (sports) with its national passion (gambling). In the U.S., more than a third of the population bets on at least one sporting event every year. With the recent lifting of the federal ban on sports gambling, states are pushing legislation to take advantage of the new potential source of revenue. The best sports betting books are data driven, statistically honest, and offer ways to take action. Sports Betting For Dummies will cover the basics, as well as delving into more nuanced topics. You’ll find all the need-to-know information on types of bets, statistics, handicapping fundamentals, and more. Betting on football, basketball, baseball, and other sports Betting on special events, such as the Superbowl or the Olympics Money management Betting on the internet With handy tips, tricks, and tools, Sports Betting For Dummies shows you how to place the right bet at the right time—to get the right payoff.
Book Synopsis Efficiency of Racetrack Betting Markets by : Donald B. Hausch
Download or read book Efficiency of Racetrack Betting Markets written by Donald B. Hausch and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008 with total page 679 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A reprint of one of the classic volumes on racetrack efficiency, this book is the only one in its field that deals with the racetrack betting market in-depth, containing all the important historical papers on racetrack efficiency. As evidenced by the collection of articles, the understanding of racetrack betting is clearly drawn from, and has correspondingly returned something to, all the fields of psychology, economics, finance, statistics, mathematics and management science.
Book Synopsis Win By Not Losing: A Disciplined Approach to Building and Protecting Your Wealth in the Stock Market by Managing Your Risk by : Nick Atkeson
Download or read book Win By Not Losing: A Disciplined Approach to Building and Protecting Your Wealth in the Stock Market by Managing Your Risk written by Nick Atkeson and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2013-10-18 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A DISCIPLINED STRATEGY FOR AVOIDING MAJOR DOWN MARKETS AND PARTICIPATING IN BULLISH MARKETS Your financial advisor's strategy to buy-and-hold a diversified equity portfolio sounded good. Diversification promised to protect your wealth. Now, however, more than a decade of hard data shows it didn't work. And, more than likely after a decade of multiple financial shocks and crashes, your account balance is not what you hoped it would be when you started saving years ago. Much of your investment life has been spent just trying to make back what was lost. Win By Not Losing reveals how you can make smarter, more profi table investments by first protecting your capital from major bear equity markets. It also shows you how to identify major bullish equity market trends and guides you on how best to participate. By avoiding the major downs and catching the ups, your portfolio compounds gains and allows you to achieve your financial goals. Chasing returns leads to the poorhouse. With this book's disciplined system for knowing when to buy, what to buy, and when to sell, you can build and protect your portfolio through active management techniques. It walks you step-by-step through growing your portfolio in bull and bear market cycles. You will master a concrete investing method that lets you trade with emotionless confidence and precision. Packed with links to online resources and personal tips from successful, high-profile traders, Win By Not Losing gives you everything you need to: Identify the market metrics that are important to building wealth Detect and measure the market signals foreshadowing major moves Build a portfolio with strong downside protection, full transparency, immediate liquidity, low fees, and incredible risk-adjusted returns Your portfolio returns will continue to be disappointing unless you act. It's time to make up for lost profits by taking an active, professional, and nonemotional portfolio management approach to avoid major losses and capture gains. Win By Not Losing provides everything you need to build wealth in today's stock market. Stop watching your money rise and fall without signifi cant net gain with a "buy-and-hold" strategy and optimize your positions as market sentiment changes. In a nonappreciating market, investors must actively manage equities to acquire gains. Win By Not Losing presents an active approach that uses rigorous risk-management techniques to preserve your wealth and generate high returns in all equity market environments. Prominent authors and lecturers Nick Atkeson and Andrew Houghton have culled the best of their work to help you revitalize your trading habits, protect your capital, and beat the market. Through real-world stories demonstrating fi nancial theory in action and how-to instructions for executing their strategic investment approach, these expert authors enable you to: Achieve sizable returns through an investment strategy equally focused on when to invest and when to sell Avoid major down markets and fully benefit from major up markets Access unique financial information to help you stay current, think ahead, and build and protect your wealth Whether you're an independent investor or a professional financial advisor, this refreshing look at investing will change the way you see the markets. Forget what you know about modern portfolio theory and trade to make money in today's markets with Win By Not Losing. "Anyone with some experience in the stock market, especially the person who wants to move beyond a buy and hold strategy, can find useful tidbits in this book.” ReadingTheMarkets.com
Book Synopsis Computer-Based Horse Race Handicapping and Wagering Systems by : Bill Benter
Download or read book Computer-Based Horse Race Handicapping and Wagering Systems written by Bill Benter and published by Diana. This book was released on 2020-02-14 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Gambler Who Cracked the Horse-Racing Code Bill Benter did the impossible: He wrote an algorithm that couldn't lose at the track. Close to a billion dollars later, he tells his system. This book examines the elements necessary for a practical and successful computerized horse race handicapping and wagering system. Data requirements, handicapping model development, wagering strategy, and feasibility are addressed. A logit-based technique and a corresponding heuristic measure of improvement are described for combining a fundamental handicapping model with the public's implied probability estimates. The author reports significant positive results in five years of actual implementation of such a system. This result can be interpreted as evidence of inefficiency in pari-mutuel racetrack wagering. This paper aims to emphasize those aspects of computer handicapping which the author has found most important in practical application of such a system. Also included the Bill Benter "What Are My Odds?" Presentation at ICCM in 2004.
Book Synopsis The Dhandho Investor by : Mohnish Pabrai
Download or read book The Dhandho Investor written by Mohnish Pabrai and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-01-06 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive value investing framework for the individual investor In a straightforward and accessible manner, The Dhandho Investor lays out the powerful framework of value investing. Written with the intelligent individual investor in mind, this comprehensive guide distills the Dhandho capital allocation framework of the business savvy Patels from India and presents how they can be applied successfully to the stock market. The Dhandho method expands on the groundbreaking principles of value investing expounded by Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett, and Charlie Munger. Readers will be introduced to important value investing concepts such as "Heads, I win! Tails, I don't lose that much!," "Few Bets, Big Bets, Infrequent Bets," Abhimanyu's dilemma, and a detailed treatise on using the Kelly Formula to invest in undervalued stocks. Using a light, entertaining style, Pabrai lays out the Dhandho framework in an easy-to-use format. Any investor who adopts the framework is bound to improve on results and soundly beat the markets and most professionals.
Download or read book Trading Bases written by Joe Peta and published by National Geographic Books. This book was released on 2014-03-04 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An ex–Wall Street trader improved on Moneyball’s famed sabermetrics and beat the Vegas odds with his own betting methods. Here is the story of how Joe Peta turned fantasy baseball into a dream come true. Joe Peta turned his back on his Wall Street trading career to pursue an ingenious—and incredibly risky—dream. He would apply his risk-analysis skills to Major League Baseball, and treat the sport like the S&P 500. In Trading Bases, Peta takes us on his journey from the ballpark in San Francisco to the trading floors and baseball bars of New York and the sportsbooks of Las Vegas, telling the story of how he created a baseball “hedge fund” with an astounding 41 percent return in his first year. And he explains the unique methods he developed. Along the way, Peta provides insight into the Wall Street crisis he managed to escape: the fragility of the midnineties investment model; the disgraced former CEO of Lehman Brothers, who recruited Peta; and the high-adrenaline atmosphere where million-dollar sports-betting pools were common.
Book Synopsis The Adventures Of A Modern Renaissance Academic In Investing And Gambling by : William T Ziemba
Download or read book The Adventures Of A Modern Renaissance Academic In Investing And Gambling written by William T Ziemba and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2017-08-23 with total page 485 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book tells the story of how financial markets have evolved over time and became increasingly more complex. The author, a successful and experienced trader, who among other things won the 2015 battle of the quants futures contest held in New York, shares how one can navigate today's dangerous financial markets and be successful. Readers at all levels will benefit from his analysis and many real life examples and experiences. The coverage is broad and there is considerable discussion on ways to stay out of trouble, protect oneself and grow one's assets. The author was the first one to do turn of the year January effect trades in the futures markets starting in the beginning of S&P 500 futures trading in 1982. That has been successful and the author explains his ideas and experiences from the beginning in simple markets to the current, very complex markets we have in 2017.The author discusses the various ways that traders and investors lose money in the financial markets. Many examples are provided, including Long Term Capital Management, ENRON, Amarath, Neiderhoffer's funds and many major companies such as Lehman Brothers, Society Generale, Saloman Brothers. This is invaluable to understanding ways to avoid such losses.The author discusses great investors, their methods and evaluation and the authors' work with several of them. Risk arbitrage and mean reversion strategies are described through actual use. Asset-liability models for pension funds, insurance companies and other financial institutions devised by the author are described. The author uses racetrack bias ideas in behavorial finance in trading index futures and options. Large stock market crashes that can be predicted are discussed with several models of the author and others. Many mini crashes including the January-February 2016, Brexit, Trump and French elections that are plausible but largely unpredictable are described and how they were dealt with successfully.Along with ways to deal with them, investment in top quality racehorses, oriental carpets, real estate and other interesting investments are covered. The author was instrumental in viewing racing as a stock market. The ideas are used by the top racing syndicates as well as hedge funds.The book proceeds by weaving these aspects of the financial markets in the modern era into a story of the author's academic, professional and personal life. This is told through the people he met and worked with and the academic and personal travel he had all over the world this past half century. The text is simply written with details, sources and references in the notes of each chapter. Details of various important events and how they evolved are described. There are numerous color and black and white photos in the text plus graphs, tables etc. in the notes to tell the story. The teaching and research into various financial and gambling markets takes the reader to interesting places around the world. These include the US and its many stock market ups and downs, Japan when they were ruling the financial world and then they collapsed, the UK visits with lectures, teaching and research work at their great Universities including Cambridge and Oxford, Europe with many activities in France, Italy, Germany and other places, to Asia including discussions about travels to Persia, Turkey, Singapore, Korea, China, Afghanistan, Russia and other countries. Also discussed are visits to U.S. universities including Chicago, MIT, Berkeley, UCLA and Washington. His work with horse racing syndicates took him to Australia and Hong Kong. Crises like those in Greece, US housing and internet and the flash crash are discussed.
Book Synopsis Rich Dad's Guide to Investing by : Robert T. Kiyosaki
Download or read book Rich Dad's Guide to Investing written by Robert T. Kiyosaki and published by Business Plus. This book was released on 2001-01-15 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rich Dad's Guide to Investing is a guide to understanding the real earning power of money by learning some of the investing secrets of the wealthy.
Download or read book The Coin Toss written by Stefan Hollos and published by Abrazol Publishing. This book was released on 2012-11-20 with total page 129 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The coin toss is really just a metaphor for a random event that has only two possible outcomes. The actual tossing of a real coin is just one way to realize such an event. There are many examples of questions that are equivalent to a coin toss. For example: Will the stock market close up or down tomorrow? Will a die roll come up with an even or odd number? Will we make contact with extraterrestrials within the next ten years? Will a car drive by in the next minute? Will tomorrow be sunny or cloudy? Will my medical test result be negative or positive? Will I enjoy this movie? Will the next joke be funny? Will the Earth's average temperature go up next year?Because a coin toss is equivalent to such a wide variety of questions, the results in this book are widely applicable.Because the coin toss is the simplest random event you can imagine, many questions about coin tossing can be asked and answered in great depth. The simplicity of the coin toss also opens the road to more advanced probability theories dealing with events with an infinite number of possible outcomes.This book is very mathematical. Some knowledge of calculus, discrete math, and generating functions is helpful to get the most out of it. A review of discrete math is provided in the index,
Download or read book Investing written by Robert Hagstrom and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-08 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this updated second edition, well-known investment author Hagstrom explores basic and fundamental investing concepts in a range of fields outside of economics, including physics, biology, sociology, psychology, philosophy, and literature.
Book Synopsis The Investment Checklist by : Michael Shearn
Download or read book The Investment Checklist written by Michael Shearn and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-09-20 with total page 391 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A practical guide to making more informed investment decisions Investors often buy or sell stocks too quickly. When you base your purchase decisions on isolated facts and don't take the time to thoroughly understand the businesses you are buying, stock-price swings and third-party opinion can lead to costly investment mistakes. Your decision making at this point becomes dangerous because it is dominated by emotions. The Investment Checklist has been designed to help you develop an in-depth research process, from generating and researching investment ideas to assessing the quality of a business and its management team. The purpose of The Investment Checklist is to help you implement a principled investing strategy through a series of checklists. In it, a thorough and comprehensive research process is made simpler through the use of straightforward checklists that will allow you to identify quality investment opportunities. Each chapter contains detailed demonstrations of how and where to find the information necessary to answer fundamental questions about investment opportunities. Real-world examples of how investment managers and CEOs apply these universal principles are also included and help bring the concepts to life. These checklists will help you consider a fuller range of possibilities in your investment strategy, enhance your ability to value your investments by giving you a holistic view of the business and each of its moving parts, identify the risks you are taking, and much more. Offers valuable insights into one of the most important aspects of successful investing, in-depth research Written in an accessible style that allows aspiring investors to easily understand and apply the concepts covered Discusses how to think through your investment decisions more carefully With The Investment Checklist, you'll quickly be able to ascertain how well you understand your investments by the questions you are able to answer, or not answer, without making the costly mistakes that usually hinder other investors.
