Introduction to Bayesian Estimation and Copula Models of Dependence

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118959019
Total Pages : 314 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (189 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Bayesian Estimation and Copula Models of Dependence by : Arkady Shemyakin

Download or read book Introduction to Bayesian Estimation and Copula Models of Dependence written by Arkady Shemyakin and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2017-03-20 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents an introduction to Bayesian statistics, presents an emphasis on Bayesian methods (prior and posterior), Bayes estimation, prediction, MCMC,Bayesian regression, and Bayesian analysis of statistical modelsof dependence, and features a focus on copulas for risk management Introduction to Bayesian Estimation and Copula Models of Dependence emphasizes the applications of Bayesian analysis to copula modeling and equips readers with the tools needed to implement the procedures of Bayesian estimation in copula models of dependence. This book is structured in two parts: the first four chapters serve as a general introduction to Bayesian statistics with a clear emphasis on parametric estimation and the following four chapters stress statistical models of dependence with a focus of copulas. A review of the main concepts is discussed along with the basics of Bayesian statistics including prior information and experimental data, prior and posterior distributions, with an emphasis on Bayesian parametric estimation. The basic mathematical background of both Markov chains and Monte Carlo integration and simulation is also provided. The authors discuss statistical models of dependence with a focus on copulas and present a brief survey of pre-copula dependence models. The main definitions and notations of copula models are summarized followed by discussions of real-world cases that address particular risk management problems. In addition, this book includes: • Practical examples of copulas in use including within the Basel Accord II documents that regulate the world banking system as well as examples of Bayesian methods within current FDA recommendations • Step-by-step procedures of multivariate data analysis and copula modeling, allowing readers to gain insight for their own applied research and studies • Separate reference lists within each chapter and end-of-the-chapter exercises within Chapters 2 through 8 • A companion website containing appendices: data files and demo files in Microsoft® Office Excel®, basic code in R, and selected exercise solutions Introduction to Bayesian Estimation and Copula Models of Dependence is a reference and resource for statisticians who need to learn formal Bayesian analysis as well as professionals within analytical and risk management departments of banks and insurance companies who are involved in quantitative analysis and forecasting. This book can also be used as a textbook for upper-undergraduate and graduate-level courses in Bayesian statistics and analysis. ARKADY SHEMYAKIN, PhD, is Professor in the Department of Mathematics and Director of the Statistics Program at the University of St. Thomas. A member of the American Statistical Association and the International Society for Bayesian Analysis, Dr. Shemyakin's research interests include informationtheory, Bayesian methods of parametric estimation, and copula models in actuarial mathematics, finance, and engineering. ALEXANDER KNIAZEV, PhD, is Associate Professor and Head of the Department of Mathematics at Astrakhan State University in Russia. Dr. Kniazev's research interests include representation theory of Lie algebras and finite groups, mathematical statistics, econometrics, and financial mathematics.

Colombia

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484302184
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Colombia by : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Download or read book Colombia written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-05-31 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper assesses the monetary policy stance and broad financial conditions in Colombia. It uses a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of a small open economy to estimate the neutral rate. A financial conditions index is also constructed to assess overall financial conditions through three different transmission channels (credit, leverage, risk) of the financial sector to the state of the economy. Results reveal that both monetary policy and broad financial conditions in Colombia remained tight in 2016. The results also show that tighter financial conditions could have had a sizable impact on GDP growth.

Copulae in Mathematical and Quantitative Finance

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642354076
Total Pages : 299 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (423 download)

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Book Synopsis Copulae in Mathematical and Quantitative Finance by : Piotr Jaworski

Download or read book Copulae in Mathematical and Quantitative Finance written by Piotr Jaworski and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-18 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Copulas are mathematical objects that fully capture the dependence structure among random variables and hence offer great flexibility in building multivariate stochastic models. Since their introduction in the early 1950s, copulas have gained considerable popularity in several fields of applied mathematics, especially finance and insurance. Today, copulas represent a well-recognized tool for market and credit models, aggregation of risks, and portfolio selection. Historically, the Gaussian copula model has been one of the most common models in credit risk. However, the recent financial crisis has underlined its limitations and drawbacks. In fact, despite their simplicity, Gaussian copula models severely underestimate the risk of the occurrence of joint extreme events. Recent theoretical investigations have put new tools for detecting and estimating dependence and risk (like tail dependence, time-varying models, etc) in the spotlight. All such investigations need to be further developed and promoted, a goal this book pursues. The book includes surveys that provide an up-to-date account of essential aspects of copula models in quantitative finance, as well as the extended versions of talks selected from papers presented at the workshop in Cracow.

Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1439840954
Total Pages : 677 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (398 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition by : Andrew Gelman

Download or read book Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition written by Andrew Gelman and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2013-11-01 with total page 677 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Now in its third edition, this classic book is widely considered the leading text on Bayesian methods, lauded for its accessible, practical approach to analyzing data and solving research problems. Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition continues to take an applied approach to analysis using up-to-date Bayesian methods. The authors—all leaders in the statistics community—introduce basic concepts from a data-analytic perspective before presenting advanced methods. Throughout the text, numerous worked examples drawn from real applications and research emphasize the use of Bayesian inference in practice. New to the Third Edition Four new chapters on nonparametric modeling Coverage of weakly informative priors and boundary-avoiding priors Updated discussion of cross-validation and predictive information criteria Improved convergence monitoring and effective sample size calculations for iterative simulation Presentations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, variational Bayes, and expectation propagation New and revised software code The book can be used in three different ways. For undergraduate students, it introduces Bayesian inference starting from first principles. For graduate students, the text presents effective current approaches to Bayesian modeling and computation in statistics and related fields. For researchers, it provides an assortment of Bayesian methods in applied statistics. Additional materials, including data sets used in the examples, solutions to selected exercises, and software instructions, are available on the book’s web page.

Exchange Rates in South America's Emerging Markets

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108897924
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (88 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates in South America's Emerging Markets by : Luis Molinas Sosa

Download or read book Exchange Rates in South America's Emerging Markets written by Luis Molinas Sosa and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2020-07-16 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since Meese and Rogoff (1983) results showed that no model could outperform a random walk in predicting exchange rates. Many papers have tried to find a forecasting methodology that could beat the random walk, at least for certain forecasting periods. This Element compares the Purchasing Power Parity, the Uncovered Interest Rate, the Sticky Price, the Bayesian Model Averaging, and the Bayesian Vector Autoregression models to the random walk benchmark in forecasting exchange rates between most South American currencies and the US Dollar, and between the Paraguayan Guarani and the Brazilian Real and the Argentinian Peso. Forecasts are evaluated under the criteria of Root Mean Square Error, Direction of Change, and the Diebold-Mariano statistic. The results indicate that the two Bayesian models have greater forecasting power and that there is little evidence in favor of using the other three fundamentals models, except Purchasing Power Parity at longer forecasting horizons.

Subsidy-led Growth in a Fortified Port

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.A/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Subsidy-led Growth in a Fortified Port by : Adolfo Meisel Roca

Download or read book Subsidy-led Growth in a Fortified Port written by Adolfo Meisel Roca and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Issues in General Economic Research and Application: 2013 Edition

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Publisher : ScholarlyEditions
ISBN 13 : 149010688X
Total Pages : 1229 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Issues in General Economic Research and Application: 2013 Edition by :

Download or read book Issues in General Economic Research and Application: 2013 Edition written by and published by ScholarlyEditions. This book was released on 2013-05-01 with total page 1229 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Issues in General Economic Research and Application: 2013 Edition is a ScholarlyEditions™ book that delivers timely, authoritative, and comprehensive information about Theoretical Economics. The editors have built Issues in General Economic Research and Application: 2013 Edition on the vast information databases of ScholarlyNews.™ You can expect the information about Theoretical Economics in this book to be deeper than what you can access anywhere else, as well as consistently reliable, authoritative, informed, and relevant. The content of Issues in General Economic Research and Application: 2013 Edition has been produced by the world’s leading scientists, engineers, analysts, research institutions, and companies. All of the content is from peer-reviewed sources, and all of it is written, assembled, and edited by the editors at ScholarlyEditions™ and available exclusively from us. You now have a source you can cite with authority, confidence, and credibility. More information is available at http://www.ScholarlyEditions.com/.

Colombia: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note on Risk Analysis

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 88 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Colombia: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note on Risk Analysis by : International Monetary

Download or read book Colombia: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note on Risk Analysis written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-06-03 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) risk analysis work was conducted in the aftermath of the initial COVID shock and subsequent lockdowns, and while a strong economic recovery was underway in Colombia during 2021. Given the persistent uncertainty around the evolution of the COVID-19 virus, and for the trajectory of the economic recovery, the outlook remained subject to significant revisions throughout the year. While the workstreams took the latest macroeconomic and supervisory data updates into account as much as possible for the various analyses, the test results and their implications should be interpreted with caution due to high uncertainty around the central projections and downside risks.

Colombia

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Colombia by : International Monetary

Download or read book Colombia written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-03-23 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Colombia: Selected Issues

Exchange Rate Target Zone Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Target Zone Models by : Kai Li

Download or read book Exchange Rate Target Zone Models written by Kai Li and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444513957
Total Pages : 1071 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : G. Elliott

Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by G. Elliott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2006-07-14 with total page 1071 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Section headings in this handbook include: 'Forecasting Methodology; 'Forecasting Models'; 'Forecasting with Different Data Structures'; and 'Applications of Forecasting Methods.'.

Stochastic Volatility

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Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191531421
Total Pages : 536 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Volatility by : Neil Shephard

Download or read book Stochastic Volatility written by Neil Shephard and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2005-03-10 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic volatility is the main concept used in the fields of financial economics and mathematical finance to deal with time-varying volatility in financial markets. This book brings together some of the main papers that have influenced the field of the econometrics of stochastic volatility, and shows that the development of this subject has been highly multidisciplinary, with results drawn from financial economics, probability theory, and econometrics, blending to produce methods and models that have aided our understanding of the realistic pricing of options, efficient asset allocation, and accurate risk assessment. A lengthy introduction by the editor connects the papers with the literature.

World Economic Outlook, April 2014

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475571933
Total Pages : 234 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, April 2014 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, April 2014 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-04-08 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global activity has broadly strengthened and is expected to improve further in 2014–15, according to the April 2014 WEO, with much of the impetus for growth coming from advanced economies. Although downside risks have diminished overall, lower-than-expected inflation poses risks for advanced economies, there is increased financial volatility in emerging market economies, and increases in the cost of capital will likely dampen investment and weigh on growth. Advanced economy policymakers need to avoid a premature withdrawal of monetary accommodation. Emerging market economy policymakers must adopt measures to changing fundamentals, facilitate external adjustment, further monetary policy tightening, and carry out structural reforms. The report includes a chapter that analyzes the causes of worldwide decreases in real interest rates since the 1980s and concludes that global rates can be expected to rise in the medium term, but only moderately. Another chapter examines factors behind the fluctuations in emerging market economies’ growth and concludes that strong growth in China played a key role in buffering the effects of the global financial crisis in these economies.

Stochastic Volatility

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Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0199257205
Total Pages : 534 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (992 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Volatility by : Neil Shephard

Download or read book Stochastic Volatility written by Neil Shephard and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2005 with total page 534 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic volatility is the main concept used in the fields of financial economics and mathematical finance to deal with time-varying volatility in financial markets. This work brings together some of the main papers that have influenced this field, andshows that the development of this subject has been highly multidisciplinary.

Handbook of International Trade and Transportation

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Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1785366157
Total Pages : 719 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (853 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of International Trade and Transportation by : Bruce A. Blonigen

Download or read book Handbook of International Trade and Transportation written by Bruce A. Blonigen and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2018-01-26 with total page 719 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International trade has grown rapidly over the past half century, accommodated by the transportation industry through concomitant growth and technological change. But while the connection between transport and trade flows is clear, the academic literature often looks at these two issues separately. This Handbook is unique in pulling together the key insights of each field while highlighting what we know about their intersection and ideas for future research in this relatively unexamined but growing area of study.

A Selected Annotated Bibliography on the Analysis of Water Resource Systems

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 498 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis A Selected Annotated Bibliography on the Analysis of Water Resource Systems by :

Download or read book A Selected Annotated Bibliography on the Analysis of Water Resource Systems written by and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 498 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Oxford Handbook of Bayesian Econometrics

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0191618268
Total Pages : 576 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Bayesian Econometrics by : John Geweke

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Bayesian Econometrics written by John Geweke and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2011-09-29 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian econometric methods have enjoyed an increase in popularity in recent years. Econometricians, empirical economists, and policymakers are increasingly making use of Bayesian methods. This handbook is a single source for researchers and policymakers wanting to learn about Bayesian methods in specialized fields, and for graduate students seeking to make the final step from textbook learning to the research frontier. It contains contributions by leading Bayesians on the latest developments in their specific fields of expertise. The volume provides broad coverage of the application of Bayesian econometrics in the major fields of economics and related disciplines, including macroeconomics, microeconomics, finance, and marketing. It reviews the state of the art in Bayesian econometric methodology, with chapters on posterior simulation and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, Bayesian nonparametric techniques, and the specialized tools used by Bayesian time series econometricians such as state space models and particle filtering. It also includes chapters on Bayesian principles and methodology.