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Asymmetry In The Us Output Inflation Nexus
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Book Synopsis Asymmetry in the U.S. Output-Inflation Nexus by : Mr.Peter B. Clark
Download or read book Asymmetry in the U.S. Output-Inflation Nexus written by Mr.Peter B. Clark and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-08-01 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents empirical evidence supporting the proposition that there is a significant asymmetry in the U.S. output-inflation process, which implies that excess demand conditions are much more inflationary than excess supply conditions are disinflationary. The important policy implication of this asymmetry is that it can be very costly if the economy overheats because this will necessitate a severe tightening in monetary conditions in order to reestablish inflation control. The small model of the U.S. outputinflation process developed in the paper shows that the seeds of large recessions, such as that in 1981-82, are planted by allowing the economy to overheat. This type of asymmetry implies that the measure of excess demand which is appropriate in estimating the Phillips curve cannot have a zero mean; instead, this mean must be negative if inflation is to be stationary. The paper also shows that a failure to account for this important implication of asymmetry can explain why some other researchers may have been misled into falsely accepting the linear model. The empirical results presented in the paper show that the conclusions regarding asymmetry are robust to a number of tests for sensitivity to changes in the method used to estimate potential output and in the specification of the Phillips curve.
Book Synopsis Asymmetry in the U.S. Output-Inflation Nexus by : Douglas Laxton
Download or read book Asymmetry in the U.S. Output-Inflation Nexus written by Douglas Laxton and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents empirical evidence supporting the proposition that there is a significant asymmetry in the U.S. output-inflation process, which implies that excess demand conditions are much more inflationary than excess supply conditions are disinflationary. The important policy implication of this asymmetry is that it can be very costly if the economy overheats because this will necessitate a severe tightening in monetary conditions in order to reestablish inflation control. The small model of the U.S. output-inflation process developed in the paper shows that the seeds of large recessions, such as that in 1981-82, are planted by allowing the economy to overheat. This type of asymmetry implies that the measure of excess demand which is appropriate in estimating the Phillips curve cannot have a zero mean; instead, this mean must be negative if inflation is to be stationary. The paper also shows that a failure to account for this important implication of asymmetry can explain why some other researchers may have been misled into falsely accepting the linear model. The empirical results presented in the paper show that the conclusions regarding asymmetry are robust to a number of tests for sensitivity to changes in the method used to estimate potential output and in the specification of the Phillips curve.
Book Synopsis Is the Phillips Curve Really a Curve? Some Evidence for Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States by : Mr.Douglas Laxton
Download or read book Is the Phillips Curve Really a Curve? Some Evidence for Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States written by Mr.Douglas Laxton and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-10-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Previous tests for convexity in the Phillips curve have been biased because researchers have employed filtering techniques for the NAIRU that have been fundamentally inconsistent with the existence of convexity. This paper places linear and nonlinear models of the Phillips curve on an equal statistical footing by estimating model-consistent measures of the NAIRU. After imposing plausible restrictions on the variability in the NAIRU we find that the nonlinear model fits the data best. The implications for the macroeconomic policy debate is that policymakers that are unsuccessful in stabilizing the business cycle will induce a higher natural rate of unemployment.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1451957092 Total Pages :268 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (519 download)
Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers, Volume 43 No. 1 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Download or read book IMF Staff papers, Volume 43 No. 1 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-01-01 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper extends a standard growth model and obtains consistent panel data estimates of the growth retarding effects of military spending via its adverse impact on capital formation and resource allocation. Simulation experiments suggest that a substantial long-term “peace dividend”—in the form of higher capacity output—may result from markedly lower military expenditure levels achieved in most regions during the late 1980s, and the further military spending cuts that would be possible if global peace could be secured.
Author :International Monetary Fund Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :9781557758606 Total Pages :124 pages Book Rating :4.7/5 (586 download)
Book Synopsis Research Activities of the IMF, January 1991-December 1998 by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Research Activities of the IMF, January 1991-December 1998 written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-09-24 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A selective index of major research papers prepared by IMF staff in 1991-98.
Book Synopsis Central Bank Policy by : Perry Warjiyo
Download or read book Central Bank Policy written by Perry Warjiyo and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2019-07-25 with total page 487 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Central Bank Policy: Theory and Practice analyses various policies, theories and practices adopted by central banks, as well as the institutional arrangements underlying the principles of good governance in policy-making. It is the first book to comprehensively discuss the latest theories and practices of central bank policy.
Download or read book EMU One Year on written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2000-03-29 with total page 181 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study assesses economic developments and policies during the inaugural year of Europe's single currency regime. It analyses the economic performance and prospects of the euro area as a whole, and highlights to what extent aggregate trends are shaped by convergence or divergence.
Book Synopsis EU Economic Policy at the Dawn of the Century by : Patrick M. Crowley
Download or read book EU Economic Policy at the Dawn of the Century written by Patrick M. Crowley and published by Nova Publishers. This book was released on 2008 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The European Union (EU) has undergone remarkable change in the last century, from frequent conflicts in the first part of the last century, to peace, stability and unprecedented prosperity in the second half. As we move into the first half of the twenty-first century, there is also a sense that a fragile economic renaissance is underway in the EU, but one that is fraught with challenges and difficulties. Contrary to many of the vociferous critics of the single currency project (mostly US economists and some UK politicians, most notably Thatcher (2002), to date the project has met with remarkable success, despite the dramatic fall in the euro from its launch date and the strains imposed on EU economies following the recent downturn in the world economy. EU Enlargement has now been successfully completed, and although there have been painful discussions on EU institutional reform to accommodate the expansion, a breakdown in the 2005 budget negotiations and an controversy over the implementation of the Stability and Growth pact, it is likely that this will not impede the addition of new Member States from the east.
Book Synopsis Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels by : Carl Chiarella
Download or read book Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels written by Carl Chiarella and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2006-05-30 with total page 563 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book represents an ongoing research agenda the aim of which is to contribute to the Keynesian paradigm in macroeconomics. It examines the Dynamic General Equilibrium (DGE) model, the assumption of intertemporal optimizing behavior of economic agents, competitive markets and price mediated market clearing through flexible wages and prices.
Author :International Monetary Fund Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :9781557759801 Total Pages :144 pages Book Rating :4.7/5 (598 download)
Book Synopsis Research Activities of the IMF, January 1991-December 1999 by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Research Activities of the IMF, January 1991-December 1999 written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2000-01-01 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research activity in the IMF emphasizes the links between the organization's policy and operational concerns. The main objectives of research is IMF staff understanding of policy and operational issues relevant to the institution, and to improve the analytical quality of the work prepared for management and the Executive Board and the advice provided to member countries. The scope of research in the IMF is defined by the purposes and functions of the institution. In order to foster innovation and ensure quality control, the IMF makes much of its research available outside the institution and encourages staff to interact with academia and other research organizations through conferences, seminars, and occasional joint research projects. The visiting scholar’s program has also enhanced the quality of research done in the IMF. This program brings in leading members of the economics profession from around the world to assist in the preparation of papers for the Executive Board and to conduct research on IMF-related issues.
Book Synopsis The Monetary Transmission Process by : D. Bundesbank
Download or read book The Monetary Transmission Process written by D. Bundesbank and published by Springer. This book was released on 2001-01-29 with total page 329 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The start of the European monetary union gave additional impetus to the lively debate on the effects of monetary policy and the appropriate strategy for central banks. This book collects papers and comments by leading academics and central bankers such as O.Issing, M.King, B.McCallum, A.Meltzer, L.Svensson and H.Tietmeyer. The volume examines methodological questions, the actual role played by the financial sectors and labour markets in implementing monetary policy in Europe, and the likely future developments in these areas.
Book Synopsis Reforming Britain's Economic and Financial Policy by : H. Treasury
Download or read book Reforming Britain's Economic and Financial Policy written by H. Treasury and published by Springer. This book was released on 2001-12-02 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years the UK's macroeconomic policy framework has undergone a period of radical reform so as to deliver the economic stability necessary to achieve high levels of growth and employment. This book provides a comprehensive account of these reforms, which constitute a new and innovative approach to policy making. Radical changes to the monetary policy framework, the fiscal policy framework, the regime for public spending and financial regulation are presented. Together they represent a coherent strategy to deliver economic stability and benefits to the wider economy. As well as providing an unprecedented insight into UK Government economic policy, the book takes the reader through the intellectual foundations of policy reform and the translation of these to applied policy making. Reforming Britain's Economic and Financial Policy contains a foreword by the Chancellor, Gordon Brown.
Book Synopsis Economic and Business Forecasting by : John E. Silvia
Download or read book Economic and Business Forecasting written by John E. Silvia and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-03-10 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discover the secrets to applying simple econometric techniques to improve forecasting Equipping analysts, practitioners, and graduate students with a statistical framework to make effective decisions based on the application of simple economic and statistical methods, Economic and Business Forecasting offers a comprehensive and practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables. Using simple econometric techniques, author John E. Silvia focuses on a select set of major economic and financial variables, revealing how to optimally use statistical software as a template to apply to your own variables of interest. Presents the economic and financial variables that offer unique insights into economic performance Highlights the econometric techniques that can be used to characterize variables Explores the application of SAS software, complete with simple explanations of SAS-code and output Identifies key econometric issues with practical solutions to those problems Presenting the "ten commandments" for economic and business forecasting, this book provides you with a practical forecasting framework you can use for important everyday business applications.
Author :Apostolos-Paul N. Refenes Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :1461556252 Total Pages :472 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (615 download)
Book Synopsis Decision Technologies for Computational Finance by : Apostolos-Paul N. Refenes
Download or read book Decision Technologies for Computational Finance written by Apostolos-Paul N. Refenes and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-12-01 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contains selected papers that were presented at the International Conference COMPUTATIONAL FINANCE 1997 held at London Business School on December 15-17 1997. Formerly known as Neural Networks in the Capital Markets (NNCM), this series of meetings has emerged as a truly multi-disciplinary international conference and provided an international focus for innovative research on the application of a multiplicity of advanced decision technologies to many areas of financial engineering. It has drawn upon theoretical advances in financial economics and robust methodological developments in the statistical, econometric and computer sciences. To reflect its multi-disciplinary nature, the NNCM conference has adopted the new title COMPUTATIONAL FINANCE. The papers in this volume are organised in six parts. Market Dynamics and Risk, Trading and Arbitrage strategies, Volatility and Options, Term-Structure and Factor models, Corporate Distress Models and Advances on Methodology. This years' acceptance rate (38%) reflects both the increasing interest in the conference and the Programme Committee's efforts to improve the quality of the meeting year-on-year. I would like to thank the members of the programme committee for their efforts in refereeing the papers. I also would like to thank the members of the computational finance group at London Business School and particularly Neil Burgess, Peter Bolland, Yves Bentz, and Nevil Towers for organising the meeting.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1451930909 Total Pages :224 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (519 download)
Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers, Volume 42 No. 4 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Download or read book IMF Staff papers, Volume 42 No. 4 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-01-01 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper describes early contributions of Staff Papers to international economics. The paper highlights that Staff Papers has, since its inception in 1950, been an important vehicle for the dissemination of research done by the IMF staff. This paper discusses three areas in which articles published in Staff Papers up until the 1970s made major contributions to the literature in international economics. The areas covered are: the absorption approach and the monetary theory of the balance of payments; the Mundell-Fleming model; and foreign trade modeling.
Book Synopsis EBOOK: Advanced Macroeconomics by : ROMER
Download or read book EBOOK: Advanced Macroeconomics written by ROMER and published by McGraw Hill. This book was released on 2018-02-22 with total page 738 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: EBOOK: Advanced Macroeconomics
Book Synopsis Simple Monetary Policy Rules Under Model Uncertainty by : Ann-Charlotte Eliasson
Download or read book Simple Monetary Policy Rules Under Model Uncertainty written by Ann-Charlotte Eliasson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-05-01 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using stochastic simulations and stability analysis, the paper compares how different monetary rules perform in a moderately nonlinear model with a time-varying nonaccelerating-inflation-rate-of-unemployment (NAIRU). Rules that perform well in linear models but implicitly embody backward-looking measures of real interest rates (such as conventional Taylor rules) or substantial interest rate smoothing perform very poorly in models with moderate nonlinearities, particularly when policymakers tend to make serially correlated errors in estimating the NAIRU. This challenges the practice of evaluating rules within linear models, in which the consequences of responding myopically to significant overheating are extremely unrealistic.
