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Author : Gregory R. Duffee
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book Asymmetric Cross-sectional Dispersion in Stock Returns written by Gregory R. Duffee and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Li Gu
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Asymmetric Risk Loadings in the Cross Section of Stock Returns written by Li Gu and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Time-varying factor loadings exhibit pronounced asymmetry in the cross section of stock returns. To capture this asymmetry, we develop regime-switching versions of the CAPM and the Fama French three-factor model, allowing both factor loadings and predictable risk premiums to switch across regimes. We estimate the models jointly on the decile book-to-market portfolios, together with the market portfolio to investigate the role of asymmetric risk in the book-to-market premium. We find that betas of value stocks increase significantly during bear market episodes. However, we still reject that the book-to-market premium is equal to zero for both the regime-switching conditional CAPM and the Fama-French model, even in the presence of regimes.
Author : Larry R. Gorman
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book The Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Stock Returns, Alpha and the Information Ratio written by Larry R. Gorman and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both the cross-sectional dispersion of U.S. stock returns and the VIX provide forecasts of alpha dispersion across high- and low-performing portfolios of stocks that are statistically and economically significant. These findings suggest that absolute return investors can use cross-sectional dispersion and time-series volatility as signals to improve the tactical timing of their alpha-focused strategies. Because active risk increases by a greater amount than alpha, however, high return dispersion/high VIX periods are followed by slightly lower information ratio dispersion. Therefore, relative return investors who keep score in an information ratio framework are unlikely to find return dispersion useful as a signal regarding when to increase or decrease the activeness of their portfolio strategies.
Author : Jinghan Meng
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Skewness and Dispersion of Opinion and the Cross Section of Stock Returns written by Jinghan Meng and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show that the degree of dispersion and asymmetry of analysts' earnings forecasts is related to future stock returns. When skewness is negative, future returns are decreasing in the degree of dispersion of analysts' earnings forecasts; when skewness is positive, future returns are increasing in the degree of dispersion of analysts earnings forecasts. We develop a model that incorporates dispersion and asymmetry in agents' beliefs that can account for these empirical facts.
Author : Tao Huang
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Option-Implied Variance Asymmetry and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Tao Huang and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We find a positive relationship between individual stocks' implied variance asymmetry, defined as the difference between upside and downside risk-neutral semivariances extracted from out-of-money options, and future stock returns. The high-minus-low hedge portfolio earns the excess return of 0.90% (0.67%) per month in equal-weighted (value-weighted) returns. We show that implied variance asymmetry provides a neat measure of risk-neutral skewness and outperforms the standard risk-neutral skewness in predicting the cross-section of future stock returns. Risk-based equilibrium asset pricing models can not explain such a positive relationship, which instead can be potentially explained by information asymmetry and informed trading.
Author : Gregory R. Duffee
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (485 download)
Download or read book Asymetric Cross-sectional Dispersion in Stock Returns written by Gregory R. Duffee and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Cheekiat Low
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book The Bulls and Bears in the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Cheekiat Low and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many financial decision-makers seem to regard risk as the variability of returns below some pre-specified target and treat above-target variability as a sweetener. The disutility from losses also appears to be larger than the utility from gains. Using some simple metrics of downside bearishness and upside bullishness constructed from semivariances, this paper tests for the empirical content of this asymmetry. Some of these simple metrics are priced in the U.S. stock market. In particular, exploring a composite metric of asymmetric risk reveals that non-linearity in the covariation of stock returns with bullish and bearish states of the market carries a significant price. Also, market premium for bearishness is larger in magnitude than that for bullishness, lending support to the existence of loss aversion in the aggregate. While small-cap stocks tend to be more bearish than bullish, the asymmetric risk effect is not spuriously driven by the size effect. Finally, some results consistent with an aymmetric-risk-based explanation for the puzzles of return momentum and reversal are presented.
Author : Zhongxiang Xu
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Return Asymmetry and the Cross Section of Stock Returns written by Zhongxiang Xu and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a new measure of return asymmetry, following Patil et al. (2012). We demonstrate that the return asymmetry measure helps explain the cross section of stock returns. Consistent with results in Barberis and Huang (2008), our empirical findings show that stocks with high return asymmetry exhibit low expected returns. The negative relation between return asymmetry and the cross section of stock returns persists for up to the 12-month forecast horizon and remains robust after controlling for the effects of skewness.
Author : Wing-Keung Wong
Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3039365312
Total Pages : 382 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (393 download)
Download or read book Sustainability of the Theories Developed by Mathematical Finance and Mathematical Economics with Applications written by Wing-Keung Wong and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-12-15 with total page 382 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The topics studied in this Special Issue include a wide range of areas in finance, economics, tourism, management, marketing, and education. The topics in finance include stock market, volatility and excess returns, REIT, warrant and options, herding behavior and trading strategy, supply finance, and corporate finance. The topics in economics including economic growth, income poverty, and political economics.
Author : Thanos Verousis
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Cross-Sectional Dispersion and Expected Returns written by Thanos Verousis and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates whether the cross-sectional dispersion of stock returns, which reflects the aggregate level of idiosyncratic risk in the market, represents a priced state variable. We find that stocks with high sensitivities to dispersion offer low expected returns. Furthermore, a zero-cost spread portfolio that is long (short) in stocks with low (high) dispersion betas produces a statistically and economically significant return, after accounting for its exposure to other systematic risk factors. Dispersion is associated with a significantly negative risk premium in the cross-section (-1.32% per annum) which is distinct from premia commanded by a set of alternative systematic factors. These results are robust to a wide set of stock characteristics, market conditions, and industry groupings.
Author : Hersh Shefrin
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080482244
Total Pages : 636 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (84 download)
Download or read book A Behavioral Approach to Asset Pricing written by Hersh Shefrin and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2008-05-19 with total page 636 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Behavioral finance is the study of how psychology affects financial decision making and financial markets. It is increasingly becoming the common way of understanding investor behavior and stock market activity. Incorporating the latest research and theory, Shefrin offers both a strong theory and efficient empirical tools that address derivatives, fixed income securities, mean-variance efficient portfolios, and the market portfolio. The book provides a series of examples to illustrate the theory. The second edition continues the tradition of the first edition by being the one and only book to focus completely on how behavioral finance principles affect asset pricing, now with its theory deepened and enriched by a plethora of research since the first edition
Author : Riza Demirer
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book The Conditional Relation Between Dispersion and Return written by Riza Demirer and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The main goal of this paper is to examine the conditional pricing effect of return dispersion on the cross section of returns. We observe a systematic conditional relation between dispersion and return even after controlling for market, size and book-to-market factors. However, we find that return dispersion risk is asymmetrically priced with a significantly positive premium observed during periods of large market gains only. The findings are found to be robust to alternative conditional specifications of market returns, suggesting asymmetric pricing effect of the return dispersion factor. We provide alternative explanations for the systematic risk captured by the return dispersion factor and discuss implications for portfolio management and corporate decisions.
Author : James W. Kolari
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030651975
Total Pages : 326 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (36 download)
Download or read book A New Model of Capital Asset Prices written by James W. Kolari and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-03-01 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book proposes a new capital asset pricing model dubbed the ZCAPM that outperforms other popular models in empirical tests using US stock returns. The ZCAPM is derived from Fischer Black’s well-known zero-beta CAPM, itself a more general form of the famous capital asset pricing model (CAPM) by 1990 Nobel Laureate William Sharpe and others. It is widely accepted that the CAPM has failed in its theoretical relation between market beta risk and average stock returns, as numerous studies have shown that it does not work in the real world with empirical stock return data. The upshot of the CAPM’s failure is that many new factors have been proposed by researchers. However, the number of factors proposed by authors has steadily increased into the hundreds over the past three decades. This new ZCAPM is a path-breaking asset pricing model that is shown to outperform popular models currently in practice in finance across different test assets and time periods. Since asset pricing is central to the field of finance, it can be broadly employed across many areas, including investment analysis, cost of equity analyses, valuation, corporate decision making, pension portfolio management, etc. The ZCAPM represents a revolution in finance that proves the CAPM as conceived by Sharpe and others is alive and well in a new form, and will certainly be of interest to academics, researchers, students, and professionals of finance, investing, and economics.
Author : John Y. Campbell
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book Dispersion and Volatility in Stock Returns written by John Y. Campbell and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies three different measures of monthly stock market volatility: the time-series volatility of daily market returns within the month; the cross-sectional volatility or 'dispersion' of daily returns on industry portfolios, relative to the market, within the month; and the dispersion of daily returns on individual firms, relative to their industries, within the month. Over the period 1962-97 there has been a noticeable increase in firm-level volatility relative to market volatility. All the volatility measures move together in a countercyclical fashion. While market volatility tends to lead the other volatility series, industry-level volatility is a particularly important leading indicator for the business cycle.
Author : Warren G. Dean
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Asymmetric Covariance, Volatility, and the Effect of News written by Warren G. Dean and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose that covariance (rather than beta) asymmetry provides a superior framework for examining issues related to changing risk premiums. Accordingly, we investigate whether the conditional covariance between stock and market returns is asymmetric in response to good and bad news. Our model of conditional covariance accommodates both the sign and magnitude of return innovations, and we find significant covariance asymmetry that can explain, at least in part, the volatility feedback of stock returns. Our findings are consistent across firm size, firm leverage, and temporal and cross-sectional aggregations.
Author : Chris T. Stivers
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Cross-sectional Return Dispersion and Time-Variation in Value and Momentum Premiums written by Chris T. Stivers and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We find that the market's recent cross-sectional dispersion in stock returns is positively related to the subsequent value book-to-market premium and negatively related to the subsequent momentum premium. The partial relation between return dispersion (RD) and the subsequent value and momentum premiums remains strong when controlling for macroeconomic state variables suggested by the literature. Our findings are consistent with recent theoretical insights and empirical evidence which suggest that the market's RD may serve as a leading countercyclical state variable, the value premium is countercyclical, and the momentum premium is procyclical.
Author : Paulo F. Maio
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Cross-Sectional Return Dispersion and the Equity Premium written by Paulo F. Maio and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, I examine whether stock return dispersion (RD) provides useful information about future stock returns. RD consistently forecasts a decline in the excess market return at multiple horizons, and compares favorably with alternative predictors used in the literature. The out-of-sample performance of RD tends to beat the alternative predictors, and is economically significant as indicated by the certainty equivalent gain associated with a trading investment strategy. RD has greater forecasting power for big and growth stocks compared to small and value stocks, respectively. I discuss a theoretical mechanism giving rise to the negative correlation between RD and the equity premium.
