Assumption-Based Planning for Army 21

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (946 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption-Based Planning for Army 21 by :

Download or read book Assumption-Based Planning for Army 21 written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report presents results of one phase of a project called Future Combat Development Concepts. The project supports the Training and Doctrine Command's (TRADOC's) work toward understanding future combat development and doctrine issues. This particular report is intended to help TRADOC develop Army 21, a vision of the Army and an operational concept appropriate for 15 to 30 years in the future. The Army 21 effort entails the development of a set of plausible alternative worlds that could eventuate within that span of time. The results of this study are most relevant to those interested in future Army concepts and doctrine. Since Army 21 is an integral part of the Army Long-Range Planning System, the report will interest Army long-range planners. However, the methodologies used in this study are more general and should also be of interest to other long-range planners looking for an alternative to trend-based approaches to futures planning. Section 2 of this report describes the methodology the authors developed for Army 21 specifically and for long-range planning in general. It includes a description of the methodology and a comparison of that methodology with a more common approach to long-range planning that concentrates on trend extrapolation. Section 3 describes the implementation of the first step of the methodology: identification and analysis of the assumptions underlying AirLand Battle-Future (ALB-F). Section 4 describes the identification, by means of an innovative Delphi exercise, of plausible changes in the world in 25 to 30 years that would affect the Army and its operational concept. These steps are critical in the generation of alternative future scenarios that stress the ALB-F Umbrella Concept. Section 4 also explains how the assumptions and plausible changes are combined to generate the alternative future scenarios and describes the scenarios thus generated. Section 5 offers conclusions and observations. (5 tables).

Assumption-based Planning for Army 21

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ISBN 13 : 9780833012685
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (126 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption-based Planning for Army 21 by : James A. Dewar

Download or read book Assumption-based Planning for Army 21 written by James A. Dewar and published by . This book was released on 1992-01-01 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report describes a long-range planning methodology developed for Army 21 - an Army planning exercise designed to envision how the Army will fight between 15 and 30 years in the future - and demonstrates a partial implementation of the methodology by generating a set of alternative futures. In applying the methodology to the AirLand Battle-Future (ALB-F) concept, the authors found that the scenarios generated can be properly used to do two things: think about actions that should be taken in current planning to begin preparing for the eventuation of any of the scenarios, and identify "signposts"--Events or trends that would suggest the world had taken an important turn toward one of the challenges to the ALB-F concept. The authors also found the methodology could be improved by developing a rudimentary theory of assumptions to guide their discovery and formulation. Finally, the authors found the ALB-F concept to be robust because it was difficult to come up with assumptions underlying it that might be violated; such a finding implies that doctrine writers will be challenged to develop the concept into a compelling guide to force structure development, training, etc.

Assumption-based Planning and Force XXI

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Publisher : RAND Corporation
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 118 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption-based Planning and Force XXI by : James A. Dewar

Download or read book Assumption-based Planning and Force XXI written by James A. Dewar and published by RAND Corporation. This book was released on 1997 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Force XXI is the Army's ongoing process to define the Army of the next century. RAND was asked to apply its Assumption-Based Planning methodology to assess its robustness into the future.

Assumption-Based Planning

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521001267
Total Pages : 270 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption-Based Planning by : James A. Dewar

Download or read book Assumption-Based Planning written by James A. Dewar and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2002-10-17 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Table of contents

Assumption-Based Planning; A Planning Tool for Very Uncertain Times

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 89 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (227 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption-Based Planning; A Planning Tool for Very Uncertain Times by :

Download or read book Assumption-Based Planning; A Planning Tool for Very Uncertain Times written by and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report documents a strategic planning methodology, Assumption- Based Planning, the RAND has developed over the last four years. It distills long-range planning work for the Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC) Research Activity and the Manpower, Training, and Performance Program (now the Manpower and Training Program) of RAND's Arroyo Center and was funded as Arroyo Center exploratory research. This work was conducted to aid the U.S. Army with its long- and mid-range planning. As argued, the method is particularly suited to planning in the military. It should also be of interest to anyone engaged in long-range or strategic planning. This report is intended to describe the fundamentals of Assumption-Based Planning and to provide numerous examples, although it is not a complete user's manual.

Assumption Based Campaign Planning

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 53 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (53 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption Based Campaign Planning by : Alan M. Mosher

Download or read book Assumption Based Campaign Planning written by Alan M. Mosher and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Assumption-based Planning

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Publisher : RAND Corporation
ISBN 13 : 9780833013415
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (134 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption-based Planning by : James A. Dewar

Download or read book Assumption-based Planning written by James A. Dewar and published by RAND Corporation. This book was released on 1993 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Documents the process of Assumption-Based Planning (ABP)--a five-step methodology for long- and mid-range strategic planning developed at RAND to make organizational planning more adaptive to change.

Assumption Based Campaign Planning

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (53 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption Based Campaign Planning by : Alan M. Mosher

Download or read book Assumption Based Campaign Planning written by Alan M. Mosher and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Army 21 as the U.S. Army's Future Warfighting Concept

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780833009029
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Army 21 as the U.S. Army's Future Warfighting Concept by : Yoav Ben-Horin

Download or read book Army 21 as the U.S. Army's Future Warfighting Concept written by Yoav Ben-Horin and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report discusses an attempt to identify the major problems with the existing Army 21 Interim Operational Concept and suggests an alternative framework for the Army's study of future warfighting concepts. With the current Army doctrine--Airland Battle--as the baseline, the plausible variations in implementation should be made over the next 10 to 15 years. The objective would be to project an estimate of Army needs and preferences. A long-term exploration effort would extend 30 to 40 years, where projections are necessarily highly speculative. Essentially deductive, this effort would consider a range of visions and would highlight generic developments. The purpose would be to stimulate conceptual thinking by contrasting different concepts, profiting from comparisons and choices between and among them. Keywords: Army operations; Army planning; Military doctrine.

The United States Army

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Publisher : Nova Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9781590333006
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis The United States Army by : George D. Bennett

Download or read book The United States Army written by George D. Bennett and published by Nova Publishers. This book was released on 2002 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: United States Army - Issues, Background, Bibliography

Strategic Theory for the 21st Century: The Little Book on Big Strategy

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Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1428916229
Total Pages : 93 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (289 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Theory for the 21st Century: The Little Book on Big Strategy by : Harry R. Yarger

Download or read book Strategic Theory for the 21st Century: The Little Book on Big Strategy written by Harry R. Yarger and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2006 with total page 93 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Professional Journal of the United States Army

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 392 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Professional Journal of the United States Army by :

Download or read book Professional Journal of the United States Army written by and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Parameters

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Parameters by :

Download or read book Parameters written by and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Joint Force Quarterly

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 690 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Joint Force Quarterly by :

Download or read book Joint Force Quarterly written by and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 690 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Military Review

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 608 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Military Review by :

Download or read book Military Review written by and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 608 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Separate Space

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Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 1977404103
Total Pages : 194 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (774 download)

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Book Synopsis A Separate Space by : Michael Spirtas

Download or read book A Separate Space written by Michael Spirtas and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2020-03-13 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As the United States creates the Space Force as a service within the Department of the Air Force, RAND assessed which units to bring into the Space Force, analyzed career field sustainability, and drew lessons from other defense organizations. The report focuses on implications for effectiveness, efficiency, independence, and sense of identity for the new service.

Defense Planning in a Decade of Change

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Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 9780833030245
Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Defense Planning in a Decade of Change by : Eric Victor Larson

Download or read book Defense Planning in a Decade of Change written by Eric Victor Larson and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2001 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The end of the Cold War ushered in an era of profound change in the international arena and hence in the policymaking environment as well. Yet the changes that have characterized the post-Cold War era have often proceeded at different paces and have at times moved in opposing directions, placing unprecedented strain on policymakers seeking to shape a new national security and military strategy. This report describes the challenges policymakers have faced as seen through the lens of the three major force structure reviews that have taken place over the past decade: the 1990 Base Force, the 1993 Bottom-Up Review, and the 1997 Quadrennial Defense Review. The report focuses on the assumptions, decisions, and outcomes associated with these reviews as well as the planning and execution of each. It concludes that all three reviews fell short of fully apprehending the demands of the emerging threat environment, and the budgets that would be needed and afforded, resulting in a growing imbalance between strategy, forces, and resources over the decade. Accordingly, the report recommends that future defense planners adopt an assumption-based approach in which key planning assumptions are continually reassessed with a view toward recognizing--and rapidly responding to--emerging gaps and shortfalls.