Assumption-based Planning and Force XXI

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Publisher : RAND Corporation
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 118 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption-based Planning and Force XXI by : James A. Dewar

Download or read book Assumption-based Planning and Force XXI written by James A. Dewar and published by RAND Corporation. This book was released on 1997 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Force XXI is the Army's ongoing process to define the Army of the next century. RAND was asked to apply its Assumption-Based Planning methodology to assess its robustness into the future.

Assumption-Based Planning for Army 21

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (946 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption-Based Planning for Army 21 by :

Download or read book Assumption-Based Planning for Army 21 written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report presents results of one phase of a project called Future Combat Development Concepts. The project supports the Training and Doctrine Command's (TRADOC's) work toward understanding future combat development and doctrine issues. This particular report is intended to help TRADOC develop Army 21, a vision of the Army and an operational concept appropriate for 15 to 30 years in the future. The Army 21 effort entails the development of a set of plausible alternative worlds that could eventuate within that span of time. The results of this study are most relevant to those interested in future Army concepts and doctrine. Since Army 21 is an integral part of the Army Long-Range Planning System, the report will interest Army long-range planners. However, the methodologies used in this study are more general and should also be of interest to other long-range planners looking for an alternative to trend-based approaches to futures planning. Section 2 of this report describes the methodology the authors developed for Army 21 specifically and for long-range planning in general. It includes a description of the methodology and a comparison of that methodology with a more common approach to long-range planning that concentrates on trend extrapolation. Section 3 describes the implementation of the first step of the methodology: identification and analysis of the assumptions underlying AirLand Battle-Future (ALB-F). Section 4 describes the identification, by means of an innovative Delphi exercise, of plausible changes in the world in 25 to 30 years that would affect the Army and its operational concept. These steps are critical in the generation of alternative future scenarios that stress the ALB-F Umbrella Concept. Section 4 also explains how the assumptions and plausible changes are combined to generate the alternative future scenarios and describes the scenarios thus generated. Section 5 offers conclusions and observations. (5 tables).

Assumption-based Planning for Army 21

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780833012685
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (126 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption-based Planning for Army 21 by : James A. Dewar

Download or read book Assumption-based Planning for Army 21 written by James A. Dewar and published by . This book was released on 1992-01-01 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report describes a long-range planning methodology developed for Army 21 - an Army planning exercise designed to envision how the Army will fight between 15 and 30 years in the future - and demonstrates a partial implementation of the methodology by generating a set of alternative futures. In applying the methodology to the AirLand Battle-Future (ALB-F) concept, the authors found that the scenarios generated can be properly used to do two things: think about actions that should be taken in current planning to begin preparing for the eventuation of any of the scenarios, and identify "signposts"--Events or trends that would suggest the world had taken an important turn toward one of the challenges to the ALB-F concept. The authors also found the methodology could be improved by developing a rudimentary theory of assumptions to guide their discovery and formulation. Finally, the authors found the ALB-F concept to be robust because it was difficult to come up with assumptions underlying it that might be violated; such a finding implies that doctrine writers will be challenged to develop the concept into a compelling guide to force structure development, training, etc.

Parameters

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Parameters by :

Download or read book Parameters written by and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Assumption-Based Planning; A Planning Tool for Very Uncertain Times

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 89 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (227 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption-Based Planning; A Planning Tool for Very Uncertain Times by :

Download or read book Assumption-Based Planning; A Planning Tool for Very Uncertain Times written by and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report documents a strategic planning methodology, Assumption- Based Planning, the RAND has developed over the last four years. It distills long-range planning work for the Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC) Research Activity and the Manpower, Training, and Performance Program (now the Manpower and Training Program) of RAND's Arroyo Center and was funded as Arroyo Center exploratory research. This work was conducted to aid the U.S. Army with its long- and mid-range planning. As argued, the method is particularly suited to planning in the military. It should also be of interest to anyone engaged in long-range or strategic planning. This report is intended to describe the fundamentals of Assumption-Based Planning and to provide numerous examples, although it is not a complete user's manual.

Force Planning Considerations for Army XXI

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Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Force Planning Considerations for Army XXI by : William Thomas Johnsen

Download or read book Force Planning Considerations for Army XXI written by William Thomas Johnsen and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 1998 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The U.S. Army has moved along the path of preparing for the 21st century. This process began with the conceptual examinations and assessments carried out under the "Louisiana Maneuvers" and the Army's Battle Labs, and matured through the Force XXI process. The Army recently completed its first series of Advanced Warfighting Experiments that will shape the redesign and restructure of the future force, Army XXI, for the early years of the new millennium. While the broad outlines of Army XXI have been sketched out, many of the details remain to be filled in. Undoubtedly, these efforts will be influenced by the recent reports of the Quadrennial Defense Review (May 1997) and the National Defense Panel (December 1997). Indeed, debates over details of the force structure and the ultimate size of the Army are not likely to abate any time soon. To assist in the further conceptual development, Dr. William T. Johnsen places Army XXI in a broad strategic context. He briefly examines the anticipated international security environment and the roles that the U.S. Armed Forces and the Army can be expected to perform. He then assesses a wide range of general factors that will influence the capabilities needed to carry out the anticipated roles. Finally, he examines general and specific criteria that can be used to determine the appropriate size of Army XXI.

Assumption-Based Planning

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521001267
Total Pages : 270 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption-Based Planning by : James A. Dewar

Download or read book Assumption-Based Planning written by James A. Dewar and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2002-10-17 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Table of contents

Rapid Decisive Operations

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Rapid Decisive Operations by : Antulio J. Echevarria (II)

Download or read book Rapid Decisive Operations written by Antulio J. Echevarria (II) and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Technological innovation plays a paradoxical role in military transformation. With each problem it solves, technological innovation tends to introduce new challenges or complications. Operational concepts can partly reconcile these tensions by finding the optimal balance between technological strengths and weaknesses. In so doing, they perform two vital functions (integrating and stimulating) for military transformation ..."--Page v.

Unfolding the Future of the Long War

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Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 083304673X
Total Pages : 229 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Unfolding the Future of the Long War by : Christopher G. Pernin

Download or read book Unfolding the Future of the Long War written by Christopher G. Pernin and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2008-12-16 with total page 229 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The United States is currently engaged in a military effort that has been characterized as the "long war." This study explores the concept of long war and identifies ways in which it might unfold as well as the implications for the Army and the U.S. military more generally. This report uses the generation of either "trajectories" or alternative paths in which the long war might unfold to explore the implications for the U.S. military.

Force Planning Assumptions: New Assumptions -- New Forces

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (644 download)

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Book Synopsis Force Planning Assumptions: New Assumptions -- New Forces by :

Download or read book Force Planning Assumptions: New Assumptions -- New Forces written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The rapid demise of the Soviet threat has called into question the need for the United States to plan and size its military force structure requirements based upon specifically identifies threats to national security interests. However, not everyone agrees that military forces can be properly sized without using a realistic and credible notion of the threat as a framework. The debate revolves around two contending views. One postulates that specific threat-based planning is essential, for it leads to a more objective measure of how much is enough for the protection of US vital interests. The second postulates that in today's world and the rapidly changing strategic environment there are really no clear threats to US interests other than the unknown and the uncertain. Thus military forces must be prepared to respond to unanticipated crises. While each is a valid argurnent for force planning purposes they both are, in many respects, backward looking in that the prime driver is the historical knowledge of where we were -- the wars we have already fought and the surprises of unpreparedness -- not where we are going. It is therefore, possible to suggest yet a third approach to force planning that is more forward looking and tied more directly to the US view of the future world and US long-range objectives.

Assumption-based Planning

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Publisher : RAND Corporation
ISBN 13 : 9780833013415
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (134 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption-based Planning by : James A. Dewar

Download or read book Assumption-based Planning written by James A. Dewar and published by RAND Corporation. This book was released on 1993 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Documents the process of Assumption-Based Planning (ABP)--a five-step methodology for long- and mid-range strategic planning developed at RAND to make organizational planning more adaptive to change.

Assumption Based Campaign Planning

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 53 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (53 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption Based Campaign Planning by : Alan M. Mosher

Download or read book Assumption Based Campaign Planning written by Alan M. Mosher and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The United States Army

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Publisher : Nova Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9781590333006
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis The United States Army by : George D. Bennett

Download or read book The United States Army written by George D. Bennett and published by Nova Publishers. This book was released on 2002 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: United States Army - Issues, Background, Bibliography

Assumption Based Campaign Planning

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (53 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption Based Campaign Planning by : Alan M. Mosher

Download or read book Assumption Based Campaign Planning written by Alan M. Mosher and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Beyond the Technological Frontiers of Force XXI

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 106 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (21 download)

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Book Synopsis Beyond the Technological Frontiers of Force XXI by :

Download or read book Beyond the Technological Frontiers of Force XXI written by and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Composite Approach to Air Force Planning

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Publisher : RAND Corporation
ISBN 13 : 9780833024336
Total Pages : 74 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (243 download)

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Book Synopsis A Composite Approach to Air Force Planning by : Paul K. Davis

Download or read book A Composite Approach to Air Force Planning written by Paul K. Davis and published by RAND Corporation. This book was released on 1996 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After the 1996 Presidential election, the Department of Defense (DoD) will probably conduct a major review of national military strategy and the current basis of force planning, the Bottom-Up Review. In preparation for this review, what issues should the Air Force consider, what planning methods should be brought to bear, and when? The authors address these questions and note that there is no single best planning method. Different methods focus on and deal with different generic planning activities, and no method stands alone or constitutes a complete methodology. If undertaken by creative minds, most of the techniques discussed here will do a good job for the Air Force (and for the DoD more generally). But it is particularly important to allow and encourage participants to break the shackles of conventional wisdom--not only about current realities, but about what the nature of the future will be, about what "good" strategic planners are "supposed" to assume about the future, and what types and levels of forces are allegedly "required."

Infantry

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 504 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (327 download)

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Book Synopsis Infantry by :

Download or read book Infantry written by and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: