Assessing Target Zone Credibility

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Assessing Target Zone Credibility

Author : Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451949960
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing Target Zone Credibility by : Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson

Download or read book Assessing Target Zone Credibility written by Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-10-01 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper presents estimates of devaluation expectations for six EMS currencies relative to the Deutsche mark, for the period March 1979-May 1990. The estimation method is simple and operational, and consistently generates sensible results. The estimates are constructed by the adjusting interest rate differentials by subtracting estimated expected rates of depreciation within the exchange rate band. The adjustment is nontrivial because exchange rates within the ERM bands display mean reversion rather than random walk (unit root) behavior. The adjustment is essential since the expected rates of depreciation are usually of about the same magnitude as the interest rate differentials.

On the credibility issue of exchange rate target zones

Author : Matthias Rau-Göhring
Publisher : diplom.de
ISBN 13 : 3832467351
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (324 download)

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Book Synopsis On the credibility issue of exchange rate target zones by : Matthias Rau-Göhring

Download or read book On the credibility issue of exchange rate target zones written by Matthias Rau-Göhring and published by diplom.de. This book was released on 2003-04-29 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inhaltsangabe:Zusammenfassung: Währungskrisen, wie die des Europäischen Währungssystems (EWS) 1992, können noch immer nur unzureichend vorausgesagt werden. Es wird jedoch anerkannt, dass die Glaubwürdigkeit eines jeden Währungssystems ausschließlich endogen bestimmt wird, d.h. durch Interaktion der einzelnen Akteure an den Wechselkursmärkten. Die vorliegende Arbeit untersucht, ob ein bestimmtes Glaubwürdigkeitsmaß, eingeführt von Avesani, Gallo und Salmon (1995), geeignet ist, die große EWS Krise 1992 vorauszusagen. Dabei handelt es sich um ein dynamisches Spiel, in dem die beiden Akteure (Zentralbank und Finanzmarkt) miteinander interagieren und damit die Glaubwürdigkeit des Systems aushandeln . Es wird gezeigt, dass o.g. Glaubwürdigkeitsmaß ein geeigneter Indikator für Währungskrisen darstellt, was empirisch anhand des französischen Francs, der italienischen Lira und des niederländischen Guldens nachgewiesen wird. Introduction: The objective of the present study is to present the literature of exchange rate target zones and to explore empirically the Avesani-Gallo-Salmon credibility measure for selected currencies belonging to the Exchange-Rate Mechanism (ERM) of the European Monetary System (EMS). In the past decade the empirical literature on real world target zones mushroomed considerably, but still, its overall significance in explaining strains in the relevant foreign exchange markets remains relatively low. In this context, I will explore whether the Avesani-Gallo-Salmon (1995) credibility measure demonstrates more power than earlier studies in the analysis of the 1992/3 EMS crisis. It is not my intention to pursue a normative analysis whether flexible or fixed exchange rates or intermediate regimes are superior to one another in terms of their economic implications. This question is beyond the scope of my analysis.1 Given that target zones are applied frequently in the real world, I purely want to figure out, whether their application is sensible on grounds of a firm commitment of the policy-makers. Exchange rate bands have been discussed widely after the breakdown of the Bretton Woods System in 1973. Although experiences with the fixed exchange rate regime were disappointing in the 1960s, increased volatility and/or overshooting of the exchange rates in the 1970s let economists doubt the famous argument by Friedman (1953) that speculation would stabilize exchange rate movements in the floating system. McKinnon (1976) reckoned that [...]

The Credibility and Performance of Unilateral Target Zones

Author : Raúl Aníbal Feliz
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Credibility and Performance of Unilateral Target Zones by : Raúl Aníbal Feliz

Download or read book The Credibility and Performance of Unilateral Target Zones written by Raúl Aníbal Feliz and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Arbitrage-based Tests of Target Zone Credibility

Author : José Campa
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Arbitrage-based Tests of Target Zone Credibility by : José Campa

Download or read book Arbitrage-based Tests of Target Zone Credibility written by José Campa and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Credibility and the International Monetary Regime

Author : Michael D. Bordo
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521811333
Total Pages : 257 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (218 download)

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Book Synopsis Credibility and the International Monetary Regime by : Michael D. Bordo

Download or read book Credibility and the International Monetary Regime written by Michael D. Bordo and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-04-09 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents ten studies which combine historical narrative with econometrics to analyze the role of credibility in four monetary regimes.

Handbook of International Economics

Author : G.M. Grossman
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080933459
Total Pages : 896 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of International Economics by : G.M. Grossman

Download or read book Handbook of International Economics written by G.M. Grossman and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1997-10-24 with total page 896 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of International Economics

Understanding Interdependence

Author : Peter B. Kenen
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691231133
Total Pages : 566 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Interdependence by : Peter B. Kenen

Download or read book Understanding Interdependence written by Peter B. Kenen and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-06-08 with total page 566 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Drawing together new papers by some of today's leading figures in international economics and finance, Understanding Interdependence surveys the current state of knowledge on the international monetary system and, by implication, defines the research horizon for the future. Covering topics including the behavior of exchange rates, the choice of exchange-rate regime, current-account adjustment in classical and Keynesian models, the extent and effects of capital mobility, international debt, the stabilization and reform of the formerly planned economies, European monetary union, and international policy coordination, the book underscores the importance of these subjects and identifies lessons for policymakers. The contributors to the volume are Michael Bruno, Ralph C. Bryant, Richard N. Cooper, Michael P. Dooley, Barry Eichengreen, Stanley Fischer, Charles A. E. Goodhart, Peter Hooper, Peter B. Kenen, Paul R. Krugman, Henri Lorie, Jaime Marquez, Ronald I. McKinnon, Michael Mussa, Maurice Obstfeld, John Odling-Smee, Assaf Razin, Dani Rodrik, Mark P. Taylor, and John Williamson.

Regional and Global Capital Flows

Author : Takatoshi Ito
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226387011
Total Pages : 404 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (263 download)

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Book Synopsis Regional and Global Capital Flows by : Takatoshi Ito

Download or read book Regional and Global Capital Flows written by Takatoshi Ito and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2009-02-15 with total page 404 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The volume of capital flows between industrial and developing countries has grown dramatically in the past decade and has become a major issue in a world that is increasingly "globalized." Here Takatoshi Ito and Anne O. Krueger, two leading experts on this topic, have assembled a group of scholars who address different types of capital flows—bank lending, bonds, direct foreign investment—and the implications they hold for economic performance. With its particular focus on the Asian financial crises, this work presents a new model for policy makers everywhere in thinking about the role of private capital flows.

Capital Mobility

Author : Leonardo Leiderman
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521454384
Total Pages : 400 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (543 download)

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Book Synopsis Capital Mobility by : Leonardo Leiderman

Download or read book Capital Mobility written by Leonardo Leiderman and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1994-07-14 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edited volume examines capital mobility in both industrialised and developing countries.

Handbook of International Economics

Author : Ronald Winthrop Jones
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444828648
Total Pages : 896 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (448 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of International Economics by : Ronald Winthrop Jones

Download or read book Handbook of International Economics written by Ronald Winthrop Jones and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1984 with total page 896 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This Handbook adopts a traditional definition of the subject, and focuses primarily on the explanation of international transactions in goods, services, and assets, and on the main domestic effects of those transactions. The first volume deals with the "real side" of international economics. It is concerned with the explanation of trade and factor flows, with their main effects on goods and factor prices, on the allocation of resources and income distribution and on economic welfare, and also with the effects on national policies designed explicitly to influence trade and factor flows. In other words, it deals chiefly with microeconomic issues and methods. The second volume deals with the "monetary side" of the subject. It is concerned with the balance of payments adjustment process under fixed exchange rates, with exchange rate determination under flexible exchange rates, and with the domestic ramifications of these phenomena. Accordingly, it deals mainly with economic issues, although microeconomic methods are frequently utilized, especially in work on expectations, asset markets, and exchange rate behavior."--Publisher's information

Currency Options and Exchange Rate Economics

Author : Zhaohui Chen
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9789810226190
Total Pages : 224 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (261 download)

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Book Synopsis Currency Options and Exchange Rate Economics by : Zhaohui Chen

Download or read book Currency Options and Exchange Rate Economics written by Zhaohui Chen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1998 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is a collection of classical and recent empirical studies of currency options and their implications for issues of exchange rate economics, such as exchange rate risk premium, volatility, market expectations, and credibility of exchange rate regimes. It contains applications on how to extract useful information from option market data for financial forecasting policy purposes. The subjects are discussed in a self-contained, user-friendly format, with introductory chapters on currency option theory and currency option markets. The book can be used as supplementary reading for graduate finance and international economics courses, as training material for central bank and regulatory authorities, or as a reference book for financial analysts.

Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets

Author : Stephen Satchell
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080494978
Total Pages : 417 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets by : Stephen Satchell

Download or read book Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets written by Stephen Satchell and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2002-08-22 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets' assumes that the reader has a firm grounding in the key principles and methods of understanding volatility measurement and builds on that knowledge to detail cutting edge modelling and forecasting techniques. It then uses a technical survey to explain the different ways to measure risk and define the different models of volatility and return.The editors have brought together a set of contributors that give the reader a firm grounding in relevant theory and research and an insight into the cutting edge techniques applied in this field of the financial markets.This book is of particular relevance to anyone who wants to understand dynamic areas of the financial markets.* Traders will profit by learning to arbitrage opportunities and modify their strategies to account for volatility.* Investment managers will be able to enhance their asset allocation strategies with an improved understanding of likely risks and returns.* Risk managers will understand how to improve their measurement systems and forecasts, enhancing their risk management models and controls.* Derivative specialists will gain an in-depth understanding of volatility that they can use to improve their pricing models.* Students and academics will find the collection of papers an invaluable overview of this field.This book is of particular relevance to those wanting to understand the dynamic areas of volatility modeling and forecasting of the financial marketsProvides the latest research and techniques for Traders, Investment Managers, Risk Managers and Derivative Specialists wishing to manage their downside risk exposure Current research on the key forecasting methods to use in risk management, including two new chapters

An Exchange Rate History of the United Kingdom

Author : Alain Naef
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108839991
Total Pages : 267 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (88 download)

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Book Synopsis An Exchange Rate History of the United Kingdom by : Alain Naef

Download or read book An Exchange Rate History of the United Kingdom written by Alain Naef and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2022-09-29 with total page 267 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This history of sterling shows how the Bank of England defended the pound and managed foreign exchange.

The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets

Author : Jeffrey A. Frankel
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226260232
Total Pages : 358 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets by : Jeffrey A. Frankel

Download or read book The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets written by Jeffrey A. Frankel and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2009-05-15 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The foreign exchange market is the largest, fastest-growing financial market in the world. Yet conventional macroeconomic approaches do not explain why people trade foreign exchange. At the same time, they fail to explain the short-run determinants of the exchange rate. These nine innovative essays use a microstructure approach to analyze the workings of the foreign exchange market, with special emphasis on institutional aspects and the actual behavior of market participants. They examine the volume of transactions, heterogeneity of traders, the time of day and location of trading, the bid-ask spread, and the high level of exchange rate volatility that has puzzled many observers. They also consider the structure of the market, including such issues as nontransparency, asymmetric information, liquidity trading, the use of automated brokers, the relationship between spot and derivative markets, and the importance of systemic risk in the market. This timely volume will be essential reading for anyone interested in the economics of international finance.

Europe's Monetary Future

Author : Stefan Collignon
Publisher : Fairleigh Dickinson Univ Press
ISBN 13 : 9780838636060
Total Pages : 282 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (36 download)

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Book Synopsis Europe's Monetary Future by : Stefan Collignon

Download or read book Europe's Monetary Future written by Stefan Collignon and published by Fairleigh Dickinson Univ Press. This book was released on 1994 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contributes to the European debate on the best way of achieving Economic and Monetary Union, as agreed by the Treaty of Maastricht. Contributions are provided from a large group of experts, both academics and market participants from all EC countries.

Evaluating the EMS and EMU Using Stochastic Simulations

Author : Mr.Paul R. Masson
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451844581
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Evaluating the EMS and EMU Using Stochastic Simulations by : Mr.Paul R. Masson

Download or read book Evaluating the EMS and EMU Using Stochastic Simulations written by Mr.Paul R. Masson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1993-03-01 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Evaluations of European monetary integration using model simulations have given conflicting results, and the paper attempts to elucidate the reasons for the differences. Several features stand out: how to model realignments; how monetary policy is set for individual countries or for Europe; and how large are risk premium shocks in exchange markets. We quantify the effects of different assumptions relating to these features using MULTIMOD.

Economic Liberalization and Integration in East Asia

Author : Yŏng-chʻŏl Pak
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0199276773
Total Pages : 295 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (992 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Liberalization and Integration in East Asia by : Yŏng-chʻŏl Pak

Download or read book Economic Liberalization and Integration in East Asia written by Yŏng-chʻŏl Pak and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2006 with total page 295 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book Park argues for the continuing validity of an 'East Asian' model of economic development that differs distinctly from the Washington Consensus. He argues that, while this model was undermined to some extent by the 1997-98 financial crisis, it remains robust and important in explaining economic events in East Asia.