Analysts Earnings Forecasts

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New Determinants of Analysts’ Earnings Forecast Accuracy

Author : Tanja Klettke
Publisher : Springer Science & Business
ISBN 13 : 3658056347
Total Pages : 120 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (58 download)

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Book Synopsis New Determinants of Analysts’ Earnings Forecast Accuracy by : Tanja Klettke

Download or read book New Determinants of Analysts’ Earnings Forecast Accuracy written by Tanja Klettke and published by Springer Science & Business. This book was released on 2014-04-28 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial analysts provide information in their research reports and thereby help forming expectations of a firm’s future business performance. Thus, it is essential to recognize analysts who provide the most precise forecasts and the accounting literature identifies characteristics that help finding the most accurate analysts. Tanja Klettke detects new relationships and identifies two new determinants of earnings forecast accuracy. These new determinants are an analyst’s “general forecast effort” and the “number of supplementary forecasts”. Within two comprehensive empirical investigations she proves these measures’ power to explain accuracy differences. Tanja Klettke’s research helps investors and researchers to identify more accurate earnings forecasts.

Accounting for Income Taxes

Author : John R. Graham
Publisher : Now Pub
ISBN 13 : 9781601986122
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (861 download)

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Book Synopsis Accounting for Income Taxes by : John R. Graham

Download or read book Accounting for Income Taxes written by John R. Graham and published by Now Pub. This book was released on 2012-11-09 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accounting for Income Taxes is the most comprehensive review of AFIT research. It is designed both to introduce new scholars to this field and to encourage active researchers to expand frontiers related to accounting for income taxes. Accounting for Income Taxes includes both a primer about the rules governing AFIT (Sections 3-4) and a review of the scholarly studies in the field (Sections 5-8). The primer uses accessible examples and clear language to express essential AFIT rules and institutional features. Section 3 reviews the basic rules and institutional details governing AFIT. Section 4 discusses ways that researchers, policymakers, and other interested parties can use the tax information in financial statements to better approximate information in the tax return. The second half of the monograph reviews the extant scholarly studies by splitting the research literature into four topics: earnings management, the association between book-tax differences and earnings characteristics, the equity market pricing of information in the tax accounts, and book-tax conformity. Section 5 focuses on the use of the tax accounts to manage earnings through the valuation allowance, the income tax contingency, and permanently reinvested foreign earnings. Section 6 discusses the association between book-tax differences and earnings characteristics, namely earnings growth and earnings persistence. Section 7 explores how tax information is reflected in share prices. Section 8 reviews the increased alignment of accounting for book purposes and tax purposes. The remainder of the paper focuses on topics of general interest in the economics and econometric literatures. Section 9 highlights some issues of general importance including a theoretical framework to interpret and guide empirical AFIT studies, the disaggregated components of book-tax differences and research opportunities as the U.S. moves toward International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). Section 10 discusses econometric weaknesses that are common in AFIT research and proposes ways to mitigate their deleterious effects.

Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis

Author : John B. Guerard, Jr.
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461452392
Total Pages : 245 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (614 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis by : John B. Guerard, Jr.

Download or read book Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis written by John B. Guerard, Jr. and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-01-04 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting—the art and science of predicting future outcomes—has become a crucial skill in business and economic analysis. This volume introduces the reader to the tools, methods, and techniques of forecasting, specifically as they apply to financial and investing decisions. With an emphasis on "earnings per share" (eps), the author presents a data-oriented text on financial forecasting, understanding financial data, assessing firm financial strategies (such as share buybacks and R&D spending), creating efficient portfolios, and hedging stock portfolios with financial futures. The opening chapters explain how to understand economic fluctuations and how the stock market leads the general economic trend; introduce the concept of portfolio construction and how movements in the economy influence stock price movements; and introduce the reader to the forecasting process, including exponential smoothing and time series model estimations. Subsequent chapters examine the composite index of leading economic indicators (LEI); review financial statement analysis and mean-variance efficient portfolios; and assess the effectiveness of analysts’ earnings forecasts. Using data from such firms as Intel, General Electric, and Hitachi, Guerard demonstrates how forecasting tools can be applied to understand the business cycle, evaluate market risk, and demonstrate the impact of global stock selection modeling and portfolio construction.

Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes)

Author : Cheng Few Lee
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9811202400
Total Pages : 5053 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) by : Cheng Few Lee

Download or read book Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) written by Cheng Few Lee and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2020-07-30 with total page 5053 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This four-volume handbook covers important concepts and tools used in the fields of financial econometrics, mathematics, statistics, and machine learning. Econometric methods have been applied in asset pricing, corporate finance, international finance, options and futures, risk management, and in stress testing for financial institutions. This handbook discusses a variety of econometric methods, including single equation multiple regression, simultaneous equation regression, and panel data analysis, among others. It also covers statistical distributions, such as the binomial and log normal distributions, in light of their applications to portfolio theory and asset management in addition to their use in research regarding options and futures contracts.In both theory and methodology, we need to rely upon mathematics, which includes linear algebra, geometry, differential equations, Stochastic differential equation (Ito calculus), optimization, constrained optimization, and others. These forms of mathematics have been used to derive capital market line, security market line (capital asset pricing model), option pricing model, portfolio analysis, and others.In recent times, an increased importance has been given to computer technology in financial research. Different computer languages and programming techniques are important tools for empirical research in finance. Hence, simulation, machine learning, big data, and financial payments are explored in this handbook.Led by Distinguished Professor Cheng Few Lee from Rutgers University, this multi-volume work integrates theoretical, methodological, and practical issues based on his years of academic and industry experience.

Asymmetric Information, Corporate Finance, and Investment

Author : R. Glenn Hubbard
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226355942
Total Pages : 354 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (263 download)

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Book Synopsis Asymmetric Information, Corporate Finance, and Investment by : R. Glenn Hubbard

Download or read book Asymmetric Information, Corporate Finance, and Investment written by R. Glenn Hubbard and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2009-05-15 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this volume, specialists from traditionally separate areas in economics and finance investigate issues at the conjunction of their fields. They argue that financial decisions of the firm can affect real economic activity—and this is true for enough firms and consumers to have significant aggregate economic effects. They demonstrate that important differences—asymmetries—in access to information between "borrowers" and "lenders" ("insiders" and "outsiders") in financial transactions affect investment decisions of firms and the organization of financial markets. The original research emphasizes the role of information problems in explaining empirically important links between internal finance and investment, as well as their role in accounting for observed variations in mechanisms for corporate control.

Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data

Author : Peter Easton
Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1601981945
Total Pages : 148 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data by : Peter Easton

Download or read book Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data written by Peter Easton and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2009 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data focuses on estimating the expected rate of return implied by market prices, summary accounting numbers, and forecasts of earnings and dividends. Estimates of the expected rate of return, often used as proxies for the cost of capital, are obtained by inverting accounting-based valuation models. The author describes accounting-based valuation models and discusses how these models have been used, and how they may be used, to obtain estimates of the cost of capital. The practical appeal of accounting-based valuation models is that they focus on the two variables that are commonly at the heart of valuations carried out by equity analysts -- forecasts of earnings and forecasts of earnings growth. The question at the core of this monograph is -- How can these forecasts be used to obtain an estimate of the cost of capital? The author examines the empirical validity of the estimates based on these forecasts and explores ways to improve these estimates. In addition, this monograph details a method for isolating the effect of any factor of interest (such as cross-listing, fraud, disclosure quality, taxes, analyst following, accounting standards, etc.) on the cost of capital. If you are interested in understanding the academic literature on accounting-based estimates of expected rate of return this monograph is for you. Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data provides a foundation for a deeper comprehension of this literature and will give a jump start to those who have an interest in these topics. The key ideas are introduced via examples based on actual forecasts, accounting information, and market prices for listed firms, and the numerical examples are based on sound algebraic relations.

Best Practices for Equity Research (PB)

Author : James Valentine
Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 0071736395
Total Pages : 465 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (717 download)

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Book Synopsis Best Practices for Equity Research (PB) by : James Valentine

Download or read book Best Practices for Equity Research (PB) written by James Valentine and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2011-01-07 with total page 465 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first real-world guide for training equity research analysts—from a Morgan Stanley veteran Addresses the dearth of practical training materials for research analysts in the U.S. and globally Valentine managed a department of 70 analysts and 100 associates at Morgan Stanley and developed new programs for over 500 employees around the globe He will promote the book through his company's extensive outreach capabilities

Determinants of Earnings Forecast Error, Earnings Forecast Revision and Earnings Forecast Accuracy

Author : Sebastian Gell
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3834939374
Total Pages : 144 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (349 download)

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Book Synopsis Determinants of Earnings Forecast Error, Earnings Forecast Revision and Earnings Forecast Accuracy by : Sebastian Gell

Download or read book Determinants of Earnings Forecast Error, Earnings Forecast Revision and Earnings Forecast Accuracy written by Sebastian Gell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-03-26 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Earnings forecasts are ubiquitous in today’s financial markets. They are essential indicators of future firm performance and a starting point for firm valuation. Extremely inaccurate and overoptimistic forecasts during the most recent financial crisis have raised serious doubts regarding the reliability of such forecasts. This thesis therefore investigates new determinants of forecast errors and accuracy. In addition, new determinants of forecast revisions are examined. More specifically, the thesis answers the following questions: 1) How do analyst incentives lead to forecast errors? 2) How do changes in analyst incentives lead to forecast revisions?, and 3) What factors drive differences in forecast accuracy?

CFROI Valuation

Author : Bartley Madden
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080476422
Total Pages : 385 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis CFROI Valuation by : Bartley Madden

Download or read book CFROI Valuation written by Bartley Madden and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1999-02-15 with total page 385 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What generates shareholder value? How can it be evaluated? How can it influence investment decisions and corporate strategy? Cash Flow Return On Investment answers all these questions by detailing the pioneering financial research carried out by HOLT Value Associates, the leading consultancy in the field. Read this book if you want to find out what really drives the wealth generation in any business, allowing you to pick which equities will succeed and which strategic initiatives are destined for high returns. The CFROI model is an essential tool for professionals working in finance and corporate strategy. It clarifies how economic value is created in a firm and acts as a reliable guide to: * making investment decisions * taking key strategic decisions * understanding economic value Shows how to judge and compare individual equities across markets and company sectorsCutting edge theory and practiceThe leading book about shareholder value authored by one of the world's leading consultancies in the field

Financial Gatekeepers

Author : Yasuyuki Fuchita
Publisher : Brookings Institution Press
ISBN 13 : 0815729820
Total Pages : 216 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (157 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Gatekeepers by : Yasuyuki Fuchita

Download or read book Financial Gatekeepers written by Yasuyuki Fuchita and published by Brookings Institution Press. This book was released on 2007-02-01 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Brookings Institution Press and Nomura Institute of Capital Markets Research publication Developed country capital markets have devised a set of institutions and actors to help provide investors with timely and accurate information they need to make informed investment decisions. These actors have become known as "financial gatekeepers" and include auditors, financial analysts, and credit rating agencies. Corporate financial reporting scandals in the United States and elsewhere in recent years, however, have called into question the sufficiency of the legal framework governing these gatekeepers. Policymakers have since responded by imposing a series of new obligations, restrictions, and punishments—all with the purpose of strengthening investor confidence in these important actors. Financial Gatekeepers provides an in-depth look at these new frameworks, especially in the United States and Japan. How have they worked? Are further refinements appropriate? These are among the questions addressed in this timely and important volume. Contributors include Leslie Boni (University of New Mexico), Barry Bosworth (Brookings Institution), Tomoo Inoue (Seikei University), Zoe-Vonna Palmrose (University of Southern California), Frank Partnoy (University of San Diego School of Law), George Perry (Brookings Institution), Justin Pettit (UBS), Paul Stevens (Investment Company Institute), Peter Wallison (American Enterprise Institute).

Financial Statement Analysis and Earnings Forecasting

Author : Steven J. Monahan
Publisher : Foundations and Trends (R) in Accounting
ISBN 13 : 9781680834505
Total Pages : 124 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (345 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Statement Analysis and Earnings Forecasting by : Steven J. Monahan

Download or read book Financial Statement Analysis and Earnings Forecasting written by Steven J. Monahan and published by Foundations and Trends (R) in Accounting. This book was released on 2018-07-17 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Statement Analysis and Earnings Forecasting is the process of analyzing historical financial statement data for the purpose of developing forecasts of future earnings. This process is important because it is central to the valuation of companies and the securities they issue. After a short introduction, Section 2 delves into the question "Why earnings"? Focusing on dividend policy irrelevance, the author describes key analytical results that imply that expected earnings are the fundamental determinant of both equity and enterprise value. Section 3 examines the issues involved in selecting the earnings metric to forecast. Once an earnings metric has been chosen, the next question to ask is "How useful are historical accounting numbers for developing forecasts of that metric?" Sections 4 through 8 focus on this question. Section 4 discusses the general role of econometric modeling. Section 5 reviews time-series models. Section 6 examines the choices a researcher makes when using panel-data approaches and the author describes the advantages of these approaches. Section 7 reviews the role of accounting measurement in determining the usefulness of historical accounting numbers for developing forecasts of future earnings. Section 8 examines approaches for forecasting the higher moments of future earnings and section 9 provides a summary.

Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation

Author : Stephen H. Penman
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780071267809
Total Pages : 754 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (678 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation by : Stephen H. Penman

Download or read book Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation written by Stephen H. Penman and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 754 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Valuation is at the heart of investing. A considerable part of the information for valuation is in the financial statements.Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation, 5 e by Stephen Penman shows students how to extract information from financial statements and use that data to value firms. The 5th edition shows how to handle the accounting in financial statements and use the financial statements as a lens to view a business and assess the value it generates.

Computer-Intensive Methods for Testing Hypotheses

Author : Eric W. Noreen
Publisher : Wiley-Interscience
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 246 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Computer-Intensive Methods for Testing Hypotheses by : Eric W. Noreen

Download or read book Computer-Intensive Methods for Testing Hypotheses written by Eric W. Noreen and published by Wiley-Interscience. This book was released on 1989-05-02 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to use computer-intensive methods to assess the significance of a statistic in an hypothesis test--for both statisticians and nonstatisticians alike. The significance of almost any test can be assessed using one of the methods presented here, for the techniques given are very general (e.g. virtually every nonparametric statistical test is a special case of one of the methods covered). Programs presented are brief, easy to read, require minimal programming, and can be run on most PC's. They also serve as templates adaptable to a wide range of applications. Includes numerous illustrations of how to apply computer-intensive methods.

Time Series Analysis and Its Applications

Author : Robert H. Shumway
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781475732627
Total Pages : 568 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (326 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis and Its Applications by : Robert H. Shumway

Download or read book Time Series Analysis and Its Applications written by Robert H. Shumway and published by . This book was released on 2014-01-15 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Earnings Forecasts and Share Price Reversals

Author : Werner Fransiscus Marcel De Bondt
Publisher : Cfa Inst
ISBN 13 : 9780943205137
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (51 download)

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Book Synopsis Earnings Forecasts and Share Price Reversals by : Werner Fransiscus Marcel De Bondt

Download or read book Earnings Forecasts and Share Price Reversals written by Werner Fransiscus Marcel De Bondt and published by Cfa Inst. This book was released on 1992 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Financial Analysts' Forecasts and Stock Recommendations

Author : Sundaresh Ramnath
Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1601981627
Total Pages : 125 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Analysts' Forecasts and Stock Recommendations by : Sundaresh Ramnath

Download or read book Financial Analysts' Forecasts and Stock Recommendations written by Sundaresh Ramnath and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2008 with total page 125 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Analysts' Forecasts and Stock Recommendations reviews research related to the role of financial analysts in the allocation of resources in capital markets. The authors provide an organized look at the literature, with particular attention to important questions that remain open for further research. They focus research related to analysts' decision processes and the usefulness of their forecasts and stock recommendations. Some of the major surveys were published in the early 1990's and since then no less than 250 papers related to financial analysts have appeared in the nine major research journals that we used to launch our review of the literature. The research has evolved from descriptions of the statistical properties of analysts' forecasts to investigations of the incentives and decision processes that give rise to those properties. However, in spite of this broader focus, much of analysts' decision processes and the market's mechanism of drawing a useful consensus from the combination of individual analysts' decisions remain hidden in a black box. What do we know about the relevant valuation metrics and the mechanism by which analysts and investors translate forecasts into present equity values? What do we know about the heuristics relied upon by analysts and the market and the appropriateness of their use? Financial Analysts' Forecasts and Stock Recommendations examines these and other questions and concludes by highlighting area for future research.

Company Valuation and Information in Analyst Forecasts

Author : Daniel Kreutzmann
Publisher : Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH
ISBN 13 : 3832525297
Total Pages : 141 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (325 download)

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Book Synopsis Company Valuation and Information in Analyst Forecasts by : Daniel Kreutzmann

Download or read book Company Valuation and Information in Analyst Forecasts written by Daniel Kreutzmann and published by Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH. This book was released on 2010 with total page 141 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis focuses on the three primitive value drivers of each company valuation model that is based on fundamental analysis: the discount rate, the expected future payoffs during the explicit forecasting period, and the terminal value at the end of the explicit forecasting period. While the first factor is analyzed theoretically by incorporating the government into the classical valuation framework, this thesis studies the other two factors by investigating forecasts made by professional investors, i.e. financial analysts. In the first part we show that the government's and the shareholders discount rate usually differ and analyze how the government's and shareholders different objectives lead to conflicts in the context of capital budgeting. The empirical part of this thesis shows that macroeconomic information is frequently used by financial analysts when updating their earnings expecations and that target price forecastsmade by financial analysts can be used to predict abnormal returns.