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A Stochastic Control Framework For Real Options In Strategic Valuation
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Book Synopsis A Stochastic Control Framework for Real Options in Strategic Evaluation by : Alexander Vollert
Download or read book A Stochastic Control Framework for Real Options in Strategic Evaluation written by Alexander Vollert and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The theoretical foundation for real options goes back to the mid 1980s and the development of a model that forms the basis for many current applications of real option theory. Over the last decade the theory has rapidly expanded and become enriched thanks to increasing research activity. Modern real option theory may be used for the valuation of entire companies as well as for particular investment projects in the presence of uncertainty. As such, the theory of real options can serve as a tool for more practically oriented decision making, providing management with strategies maximizing its capital market value. This book is devoted to examining a new framework for classifying real options from a management and a valuation perspective, giving the advantages and disadvantages of the real option approach. Impulse control theory and the theory of optimal stopping combined with methods of mathematical finance are used to construct arbitrarily complex real option models which can be solved numerically and which yield optimal capital market strategies and values. Various examples are given to demonstrate the potential of this framework. This work will benefit the financial community, companies, as well as academics in mathematical finance by providing an important extension of real option research from both a theoretical and practical point of view.
Book Synopsis A Stochastic Control Framework for Real Options in Strategic Valuation by : Alexander Vollert
Download or read book A Stochastic Control Framework for Real Options in Strategic Valuation written by Alexander Vollert and published by Birkhauser. This book was released on 2003 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text unfolds and examines a new framework for classifying real options from a management as well as a valuation perspective, giving the advantages and disadvantages of the real option approach. Impulse control theory and the theory of optimal stopping combined with methods of mathematical finance are used to construct arbitrarily complex real option models which can be solved numerically and yield optimal capital market strategies and values. Various examples are given, demonstrating the potential of the proposed framework.
Author :Erricos Kontoghiorghes Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :3540366261 Total Pages :275 pages Book Rating :4.5/5 (43 download)
Book Synopsis Optimisation, Econometric and Financial Analysis by : Erricos Kontoghiorghes
Download or read book Optimisation, Econometric and Financial Analysis written by Erricos Kontoghiorghes and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-05-17 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book addresses issues associated with the interface of computing, optimisation, econometrics and financial modeling, emphasizing computational optimisation methods and techniques. The first part addresses optimisation problems and decision modeling, plus applications of supply chain and worst-case modeling and advances in methodological aspects of optimisation techniques. The second part covers optimisation heuristics, filtering, signal extraction and time series models. The final part discusses optimisation in portfolio selection and real option modeling.
Book Synopsis Real Options in Engineering Design, Operations, and Management by : Harriet Black Nembhard
Download or read book Real Options in Engineering Design, Operations, and Management written by Harriet Black Nembhard and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2009-10-27 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Given that engineering flexibility can potentially provide a competitive advantage, the question then becomes: Precisely how valuable is this flexibility? However, traditional methods often fail to accurately capture the economic value of investments in an environment of widespread uncertainty and rapid change. The real options method represents th
Book Synopsis Applications of Stochastic Optimal Control to Economics and Finance by : Salvatore Federico
Download or read book Applications of Stochastic Optimal Control to Economics and Finance written by Salvatore Federico and published by . This book was released on 2020-06-23 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a world dominated by uncertainty, modeling and understanding the optimal behavior of agents is of the utmost importance. Many problems in economics, finance, and actuarial science naturally require decision makers to undertake choices in stochastic environments. Examples include optimal individual consumption and retirement choices, optimal management of portfolios and risk, hedging, optimal timing issues in pricing American options, and investment decisions. Stochastic control theory provides the methods and results to tackle all such problems. This book is a collection of the papers published in the Special Issue "Applications of Stochastic Optimal Control to Economics and Finance", which appeared in the open access journal Risks in 2019. It contains seven peer-reviewed papers dealing with stochastic control models motivated by important questions in economics and finance. Each model is rigorously mathematically funded and treated, and the numerical methods are employed to derive the optimal solution. The topics of the book's chapters range from optimal public debt management to optimal reinsurance, real options in energy markets, and optimal portfolio choice in partial and complete information settings. From a mathematical point of view, techniques and arguments of dynamic programming theory, filtering theory, optimal stopping, one-dimensional diffusions and multi-dimensional jump processes are used.
Book Synopsis Real Options Valuation by : Max Schöne
Download or read book Real Options Valuation written by Max Schöne and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-09-27 with total page 114 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Author shows that modelling the uncertain cash flow dynamics of an investment project deserves careful attention in real options valuation. Focusing on the case of commodity price uncertainty, a broad empirical study reveals that, contrary to common assumptions, prices are often non-stationary and exhibit non-normally distributed returns. Subsequently, more realistic stochastic volatility, jump diffusion, and Lévy processes are evaluated in the context of a stylised investment project. The valuation results suggest that stochastic process choice can have substantial implications for valuation results and optimal investment rules.
Book Synopsis Real Options Theory by : Jeffrey J. Reuer
Download or read book Real Options Theory written by Jeffrey J. Reuer and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2007-07-05 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examines the ways in which real options theory can contribute to strategic management. This volume offers conceptual pieces that trace out pathways for the theory to move forward and presents research on the implications of real options for strategic investment, organization, and firm performance.
Book Synopsis Applications of Stochastic Control in Energy Real Options and Market Illiquidity by : Christian Maxwell
Download or read book Applications of Stochastic Control in Energy Real Options and Market Illiquidity written by Christian Maxwell and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present three interesting applications of stochastic control in nance. The rst is a real option model that considers the optimal entry into and subsequent operation of a biofuel production facility. We derive the associated Hamilton Jacobi Bellman (HJB) equation for the entry and operating decisions along with the econometric analysis of the stochastic price inputs. We follow with a Monte Carlo analysis of the risk pro le for the facility. The second application expands on the analysis of the biofuel facility to account for the associated regulatory and taxation uncertainty experienced by players in the renewables and energy industries. A federal biofuel production subsidy per gallon has been available to producers for many years but the subsidy price level has changed repeatedly. We model this uncertain price as a jump process. We present and solve the HJB equations for the associated multidimensional jump di usion problem which also addresses the model uncertainty pervasive in real option problems such as these. The novel real option framework we present has many applications for industry practitioners and policy makers dealing with country risk or regulatory uncertainty which is a very real problem in our current global environment. Our final application (which, although apparently different from the first two applications, uses the same tools) addresses the problem of producing reliable bid-ask spreads for derivatives in illiquid markets. We focus on the hedging of over the counter (OTC) equity derivatives where the underlying assets realistically have transaction costs and possible illiquidity which standard nance models such as Black- Scholes neglect. We present a model for hedging under market impact (such as bid-ask spreads, order book depth, liquidity) using temporary and permanent equity price impact functions and derive the associated HJB equations for the problem. This model transitions from continuous to impulse trading (control) with the introduction of xed trading costs. We then price and hedge via the economically sound framework of utility indi erence pricing. The problem of hedging under liquidity impact is an on-going concern of market makers following the Global Financial Crisis.
Book Synopsis 日本オペレーションズ・リサーチ学会論文誌 by : 日本オペレーションズ・リサーチ学会
Download or read book 日本オペレーションズ・リサーチ学会論文誌 written by 日本オペレーションズ・リサーチ学会 and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Effect of Capital Controls on Foreign Direct Investment Decisions Under Country Risk with Intangible Assets by : Kinga Z. Elo
Download or read book The Effect of Capital Controls on Foreign Direct Investment Decisions Under Country Risk with Intangible Assets written by Kinga Z. Elo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-04 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines how capital controls affect FDI decisions and how the impact of these restrictive measures varies with different levels of country risk. We construct a model of firms' FDI decisions, broadly in Dunning's "eclectic theory" framework, using "real options" to emphasize economic uncertainty and country risk. Numerical results of the model take the form of "quality statistics" that uncover the underlying dynamics hidden in the aggregate data that is responsible for the low performance of recent empirical studies. We find that increasing levels of capital controls reduce the life-span of FDI investments at each level of country risk and foreign investors' willingness towards risk sharing increases. We reveal a significant interaction between capital control and country risk, resulting in a nonlinear relationship between these and the volatility and volume statistics. We estimate a standard cross-sectional model that provides strong support for our theoretical findings.
Download or read book Forthcoming Books written by Rose Arny and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 1816 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis A Stochastic Control Approach for Option Market Making by : Sofiene El Aoud
Download or read book A Stochastic Control Approach for Option Market Making written by Sofiene El Aoud and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we establish a model for market making in options whose underlying is perfectly liquid. In our model framework, the stock price follows a generic stochastic volatility model under the real-world probability measure P. Market participants price options on this stock under a risk-neutral pricing measure Q, and they may misspecify the parameters controlling the dynamics of the volatility process. We consider that there is an agent who is willing to make markets in an option on the stock with the aim of maximizing his expected utility from terminal wealth at the maturity date of this option. Through the use of optimal stochastic control, we provide exact expressions of optimal bid and ask quotes of the market making strategy in the case where the agent is risk-neutral. Afterward, we suppose that the agent is risk-averse and wants to reduce the variance of the final wealth. For this purpose, we perturb the utility function by a penalty on the variance term. Using singular perturbation with respect to the penalty parameter, we provide analytic approximations of the optimal bid and ask quotes. In order to confirm our theoretical results, we perform Monte Carlo simulations of the optimal market making strategy in the case where the stock price process follows a Heston model. We show that the optimal strategy is more profitable than a zero-intelligence strategy. Besides, we highlight the effects of the misspecification of the parameters on the performance of the strategy.
Book Synopsis Stochastic Processes, Finance and Control by : Robert J. Elliot
Download or read book Stochastic Processes, Finance and Control written by Robert J. Elliot and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2012 with total page 605 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Festschrift is dedicated to Robert J Elliott on the occasion of his 70th birthday It brings together a collection of chapters by distinguished and eminent scholars in the fields of stochastic processes, filtering and control, as well as their applications to mathematical finance It presents cutting edge developments in these fields and is a valuable source of references for researchers, graduate students and market practitioners in mathematical finance and financial engineering Topics include the theory of stochastic processes, differential and stochastic games, mathematical finance, filtering and control.
Download or read book Mathematical Reviews written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 844 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Books in Print Supplement written by and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 2576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Essays on the Application and Computation of Real Options by :
Download or read book Essays on the Application and Computation of Real Options written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation presents a series of three essays that examine applications and computational issues associated with the use of stochastic optimal control modeling in the field of economics. In the first essay we examine the problem of valuing brownfield remediation and redevelopment projects amid regulatory and market uncertainty. A real options framework is developed to model the dynamic behavior of developers working with environmentally contaminated land in an investment environment with stochastic real estate prices and an uncertain entitlement process. In a case study of an actual brownfield regeneration project we examine the impact of entitlement risk on the value of the site and optimal developer behavior. The second essay presents a numerical method for solving optimal switching models combined with a stochastic control. For this class of hybrid control problems the value function and the optimal control policy are the solution to a Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman quasi-variational inequality. We present a technique whereby approximating the value function using projection methods the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman quasi-variational inequality may be recast as extended vertical non-linear complementarity problem that may be solved using Newton's method. In the third essay we present a new method for estimating the parameters of stochastic differential equations using low observation frequency data. The technique utilizes a quasi-maximum likelihood framework with the assumption of a Gaussian conditional transition density for the process. In order to reduce the error associated with the normality assumption sub-intervals are incorporated and integrated out using the Chapman-Kolmogorov equation and multi-dimensional Gauss Hermite quadrature. Further improvements are made through the use of Richardson extrapolation and higher order approximations for the conditional mean and variance of the process, resulting in an algorithm that may easily produce third and fourth order.
Book Synopsis Project Valuation Using Real Options by : Prasad Kodukula
Download or read book Project Valuation Using Real Options written by Prasad Kodukula and published by J. Ross Publishing. This book was released on 2006-07-15 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Business leaders are frequently faced with investment decisions on new and ongoing projects. The challenge lies in deciding what projects to choose, expand, contract, defer, or abandon, and which method of valuation to use is the key tool in the process. This title presents a step-by-step, practical approach to real options valuation to make it easily understandable by practitioners as well as senior management. This systematic approach to project valuation helps you minimize upfront investment risks, exercise flexibility in decision making, and maximize the returns. Whereas the traditional decision tools such as discounted cash flow/net present value (DCF/NPV) analysis assume a “fixed” path ahead, real options analysis offers more flexible strategies. Considered one of the greatest innovations of modern finance, the real options approach is based on Nobel-prize winning work by three MIT economists, Fischer Black, Robert Merton, and Myron Scholes.
