Hidden Markov Models for Time Series

Download Hidden Markov Models for Time Series PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1420010891
Total Pages : 298 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Hidden Markov Models for Time Series by : Walter Zucchini

Download or read book Hidden Markov Models for Time Series written by Walter Zucchini and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2009-04-28 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reveals How HMMs Can Be Used as General-Purpose Time Series Models Implements all methods in R Hidden Markov Models for Time Series: An Introduction Using R applies hidden Markov models (HMMs) to a wide range of time series types, from continuous-valued, circular, and multivariate series to binary data, bounded and unbounded counts, and categorical observations. It also discusses how to employ the freely available computing environment R to carry out computations for parameter estimation, model selection and checking, decoding, and forecasting. Illustrates the methodology in action After presenting the simple Poisson HMM, the book covers estimation, forecasting, decoding, prediction, model selection, and Bayesian inference. Through examples and applications, the authors describe how to extend and generalize the basic model so it can be applied in a rich variety of situations. They also provide R code for some of the examples, enabling the use of the codes in similar applications. Effectively interpret data using HMMs This book illustrates the wonderful flexibility of HMMs as general-purpose models for time series data. It provides a broad understanding of the models and their uses.

Volatility and Correlation

Download Volatility and Correlation PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470091401
Total Pages : 864 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Volatility and Correlation by : Riccardo Rebonato

Download or read book Volatility and Correlation written by Riccardo Rebonato and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-07-08 with total page 864 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Volatility and Correlation 2nd edition: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox, Rebonato looks at derivatives pricing from the angle of volatility and correlation. With both practical and theoretical applications, this is a thorough update of the highly successful Volatility & Correlation – with over 80% new or fully reworked material and is a must have both for practitioners and for students. The new and updated material includes a critical examination of the ‘perfect-replication’ approach to derivatives pricing, with special attention given to exotic options; a thorough analysis of the role of quadratic variation in derivatives pricing and hedging; a discussion of the informational efficiency of markets in commonly-used calibration and hedging practices. Treatment of new models including Variance Gamma, displaced diffusion, stochastic volatility for interest-rate smiles and equity/FX options. The book is split into four parts. Part I deals with a Black world without smiles, sets out the author’s ‘philosophical’ approach and covers deterministic volatility. Part II looks at smiles in equity and FX worlds. It begins with a review of relevant empirical information about smiles, and provides coverage of local-stochastic-volatility, general-stochastic-volatility, jump-diffusion and Variance-Gamma processes. Part II concludes with an important chapter that discusses if and to what extent one can dispense with an explicit specification of a model, and can directly prescribe the dynamics of the smile surface. Part III focusses on interest rates when the volatility is deterministic. Part IV extends this setting in order to account for smiles in a financially motivated and computationally tractable manner. In this final part the author deals with CEV processes, with diffusive stochastic volatility and with Markov-chain processes. Praise for the First Edition: “In this book, Dr Rebonato brings his penetrating eye to bear on option pricing and hedging.... The book is a must-read for those who already know the basics of options and are looking for an edge in applying the more sophisticated approaches that have recently been developed.” —Professor Ian Cooper, London Business School “Volatility and correlation are at the very core of all option pricing and hedging. In this book, Riccardo Rebonato presents the subject in his characteristically elegant and simple fashion...A rare combination of intellectual insight and practical common sense.” —Anthony Neuberger, London Business School

Statistics for Finance

Download Statistics for Finance PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1498785891
Total Pages : 303 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (987 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Statistics for Finance by : Erik Lindström

Download or read book Statistics for Finance written by Erik Lindström and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-04-21 with total page 303 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistics for Finance develops students’ professional skills in statistics with applications in finance. Developed from the authors’ courses at the Technical University of Denmark and Lund University, the text bridges the gap between classical, rigorous treatments of financial mathematics that rarely connect concepts to data and books on econometrics and time series analysis that do not cover specific problems related to option valuation. The book discusses applications of financial derivatives pertaining to risk assessment and elimination. The authors cover various statistical and mathematical techniques, including linear and nonlinear time series analysis, stochastic calculus models, stochastic differential equations, Itō’s formula, the Black–Scholes model, the generalized method-of-moments, and the Kalman filter. They explain how these tools are used to price financial derivatives, identify interest rate models, value bonds, estimate parameters, and much more. This textbook will help students understand and manage empirical research in financial engineering. It includes examples of how the statistical tools can be used to improve value-at-risk calculations and other issues. In addition, end-of-chapter exercises develop students’ financial reasoning skills.

GARCH Models

Download GARCH Models PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119313570
Total Pages : 517 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (193 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis GARCH Models by : Christian Francq

Download or read book GARCH Models written by Christian Francq and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-06-10 with total page 517 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides a comprehensive and updated study of GARCH models and their applications in finance, covering new developments in the discipline This book provides a comprehensive and systematic approach to understanding GARCH time series models and their applications whilst presenting the most advanced results concerning the theory and practical aspects of GARCH. The probability structure of standard GARCH models is studied in detail as well as statistical inference such as identification, estimation, and tests. The book also provides new coverage of several extensions such as multivariate models, looks at financial applications, and explores the very validation of the models used. GARCH Models: Structure, Statistical Inference and Financial Applications, 2nd Edition features a new chapter on Parameter-Driven Volatility Models, which covers Stochastic Volatility Models and Markov Switching Volatility Models. A second new chapter titled Alternative Models for the Conditional Variance contains a section on Stochastic Recurrence Equations and additional material on EGARCH, Log-GARCH, GAS, MIDAS, and intraday volatility models, among others. The book is also updated with a more complete discussion of multivariate GARCH; a new section on Cholesky GARCH; a larger emphasis on the inference of multivariate GARCH models; a new set of corrected problems available online; and an up-to-date list of references. Features up-to-date coverage of the current research in the probability, statistics, and econometric theory of GARCH models Covers significant developments in the field, especially in multivariate models Contains completely renewed chapters with new topics and results Handles both theoretical and applied aspects Applies to researchers in different fields (time series, econometrics, finance) Includes numerous illustrations and applications to real financial series Presents a large collection of exercises with corrections Supplemented by a supporting website featuring R codes, Fortran programs, data sets and Problems with corrections GARCH Models, 2nd Edition is an authoritative, state-of-the-art reference that is ideal for graduate students, researchers, and practitioners in business and finance seeking to broaden their skills of understanding of econometric time series models.

Forecasting Expected Returns in the Financial Markets

Download Forecasting Expected Returns in the Financial Markets PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080550673
Total Pages : 299 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Forecasting Expected Returns in the Financial Markets by : Stephen Satchell

Download or read book Forecasting Expected Returns in the Financial Markets written by Stephen Satchell and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2011-04-08 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting returns is as important as forecasting volatility in multiple areas of finance. This topic, essential to practitioners, is also studied by academics. In this new book, Dr Stephen Satchell brings together a collection of leading thinkers and practitioners from around the world who address this complex problem using the latest quantitative techniques.*Forecasting expected returns is an essential aspect of finance and highly technical *The first collection of papers to present new and developing techniques *International authors present both academic and practitioner perspectives

Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications

Download Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118272056
Total Pages : 566 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (182 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications by : Luc Bauwens

Download or read book Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications written by Luc Bauwens and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-03-22 with total page 566 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A complete guide to the theory and practice of volatility models in financial engineering Volatility has become a hot topic in this era of instant communications, spawning a great deal of research in empirical finance and time series econometrics. Providing an overview of the most recent advances, Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications explores key concepts and topics essential for modeling the volatility of financial time series, both univariate and multivariate, parametric and non-parametric, high-frequency and low-frequency. Featuring contributions from international experts in the field, the book features numerous examples and applications from real-world projects and cutting-edge research, showing step by step how to use various methods accurately and efficiently when assessing volatility rates. Following a comprehensive introduction to the topic, readers are provided with three distinct sections that unify the statistical and practical aspects of volatility: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity and Stochastic Volatility presents ARCH and stochastic volatility models, with a focus on recent research topics including mean, volatility, and skewness spillovers in equity markets Other Models and Methods presents alternative approaches, such as multiplicative error models, nonparametric and semi-parametric models, and copula-based models of (co)volatilities Realized Volatility explores issues of the measurement of volatility by realized variances and covariances, guiding readers on how to successfully model and forecast these measures Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications is an essential reference for academics and practitioners in finance, business, and econometrics who work with volatility models in their everyday work. The book also serves as a supplement for courses on risk management and volatility at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.

Financial Economics and Econometrics

Download Financial Economics and Econometrics PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000506088
Total Pages : 787 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (5 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Financial Economics and Econometrics by : Nikiforos T. Laopodis

Download or read book Financial Economics and Econometrics written by Nikiforos T. Laopodis and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-12-14 with total page 787 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Economics and Econometrics provides an overview of the core topics in theoretical and empirical finance, with an emphasis on applications and interpreting results. Structured in five parts, the book covers financial data and univariate models; asset returns; interest rates, yields and spreads; volatility and correlation; and corporate finance and policy. Each chapter begins with a theory in financial economics, followed by econometric methodologies which have been used to explore the theory. Next, the chapter presents empirical evidence and discusses seminal papers on the topic. Boxes offer insights on how an idea can be applied to other disciplines such as management, marketing and medicine, showing the relevance of the material beyond finance. Readers are supported with plenty of worked examples and intuitive explanations throughout the book, while key takeaways, ‘test your knowledge’ and ‘test your intuition’ features at the end of each chapter also aid student learning. Digital supplements including PowerPoint slides, computer codes supplements, an Instructor’s Manual and Solutions Manual are available for instructors. This textbook is suitable for upper-level undergraduate and graduate courses on financial economics, financial econometrics, empirical finance and related quantitative areas.

Unobserved Components and Time Series Econometrics

Download Unobserved Components and Time Series Econometrics PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199683662
Total Pages : 389 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (996 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Unobserved Components and Time Series Econometrics by : Siem Jan Koopman

Download or read book Unobserved Components and Time Series Econometrics written by Siem Jan Koopman and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2015 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents original and up-to-date studies in unobserved components (UC) time series models from both theoretical and methodological perspectives.

Mathematical Reviews

Download Mathematical Reviews PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 866 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Mathematical Reviews by :

Download or read book Mathematical Reviews written by and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 866 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Applied Bayesian Modelling

Download Applied Bayesian Modelling PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118895053
Total Pages : 464 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (188 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Applied Bayesian Modelling by : Peter Congdon

Download or read book Applied Bayesian Modelling written by Peter Congdon and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-05-23 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an accessible approach to Bayesian computing and data analysis, with an emphasis on the interpretation of real data sets. Following in the tradition of the successful first edition, this book aims to make a wide range of statistical modeling applications accessible using tested code that can be readily adapted to the reader's own applications. The second edition has been thoroughly reworked and updated to take account of advances in the field. A new set of worked examples is included. The novel aspect of the first edition was the coverage of statistical modeling using WinBUGS and OPENBUGS. This feature continues in the new edition along with examples using R to broaden appeal and for completeness of coverage.

Recent Advances and Trends in Nonparametric Statistics

Download Recent Advances and Trends in Nonparametric Statistics PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444513787
Total Pages : 524 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Recent Advances and Trends in Nonparametric Statistics by : M.G. Akritas

Download or read book Recent Advances and Trends in Nonparametric Statistics written by M.G. Akritas and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2003-10-31 with total page 524 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The advent of high-speed, affordable computers in the last two decades has given a new boost to the nonparametric way of thinking. Classical nonparametric procedures, such as function smoothing, suddenly lost their abstract flavour as they became practically implementable. In addition, many previously unthinkable possibilities became mainstream; prime examples include the bootstrap and resampling methods, wavelets and nonlinear smoothers, graphical methods, data mining, bioinformatics, as well as the more recent algorithmic approaches such as bagging and boosting. This volume is a collection of short articles - most of which having a review component - describing the state-of-the art of Nonparametric Statistics at the beginning of a new millennium. Key features: . algorithic approaches . wavelets and nonlinear smoothers . graphical methods and data mining . biostatistics and bioinformatics . bagging and boosting . support vector machines . resampling methods

Economic Review

Download Economic Review PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 860 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Economic Review by :

Download or read book Economic Review written by and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 860 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Download Handbook of Economic Forecasting PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444627405
Total Pages : 667 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (446 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : Graham Elliott

Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-08-23 with total page 667 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. - Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications - Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications - Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

High-Frequency Financial Econometrics

Download High-Frequency Financial Econometrics PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691161437
Total Pages : 683 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis High-Frequency Financial Econometrics by : Yacine Aït-Sahalia

Download or read book High-Frequency Financial Econometrics written by Yacine Aït-Sahalia and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2014-07-21 with total page 683 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive introduction to the statistical and econometric methods for analyzing high-frequency financial data High-frequency trading is an algorithm-based computerized trading practice that allows firms to trade stocks in milliseconds. Over the last fifteen years, the use of statistical and econometric methods for analyzing high-frequency financial data has grown exponentially. This growth has been driven by the increasing availability of such data, the technological advancements that make high-frequency trading strategies possible, and the need of practitioners to analyze these data. This comprehensive book introduces readers to these emerging methods and tools of analysis. Yacine Aït-Sahalia and Jean Jacod cover the mathematical foundations of stochastic processes, describe the primary characteristics of high-frequency financial data, and present the asymptotic concepts that their analysis relies on. Aït-Sahalia and Jacod also deal with estimation of the volatility portion of the model, including methods that are robust to market microstructure noise, and address estimation and testing questions involving the jump part of the model. As they demonstrate, the practical importance and relevance of jumps in financial data are universally recognized, but only recently have econometric methods become available to rigorously analyze jump processes. Aït-Sahalia and Jacod approach high-frequency econometrics with a distinct focus on the financial side of matters while maintaining technical rigor, which makes this book invaluable to researchers and practitioners alike.

Computational Methods in Finance

Download Computational Methods in Finance PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1439829578
Total Pages : 446 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (398 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Computational Methods in Finance by : Ali Hirsa

Download or read book Computational Methods in Finance written by Ali Hirsa and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2012-09-05 with total page 446 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As today’s financial products have become more complex, quantitative analysts, financial engineers, and others in the financial industry now require robust techniques for numerical analysis. Covering advanced quantitative techniques, Computational Methods in Finance explains how to solve complex functional equations through numerical methods. The first part of the book describes pricing methods for numerous derivatives under a variety of models. The book reviews common processes for modeling assets in different markets. It then examines many computational approaches for pricing derivatives. These include transform techniques, such as the fast Fourier transform, the fractional fast Fourier transform, the Fourier-cosine method, and saddlepoint method; the finite difference method for solving PDEs in the diffusion framework and PIDEs in the pure jump framework; and Monte Carlo simulation. The next part focuses on essential steps in real-world derivative pricing. The author discusses how to calibrate model parameters so that model prices are compatible with market prices. He also covers various filtering techniques and their implementations and gives examples of filtering and parameter estimation. Developed from the author’s courses at Columbia University and the Courant Institute of New York University, this self-contained text is designed for graduate students in financial engineering and mathematical finance as well as practitioners in the financial industry. It will help readers accurately price a vast array of derivatives.

Flexible Bayesian Regression Modelling

Download Flexible Bayesian Regression Modelling PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128158638
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Flexible Bayesian Regression Modelling by : Yanan Fan

Download or read book Flexible Bayesian Regression Modelling written by Yanan Fan and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2019-10-30 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Flexible Bayesian Regression Modeling is a step-by-step guide to the Bayesian revolution in regression modeling, for use in advanced econometric and statistical analysis where datasets are characterized by complexity, multiplicity, and large sample sizes, necessitating the need for considerable flexibility in modeling techniques. It reviews three forms of flexibility: methods which provide flexibility in their error distribution; methods which model non-central parts of the distribution (such as quantile regression); and finally models that allow the mean function to be flexible (such as spline models). Each chapter discusses the key aspects of fitting a regression model. R programs accompany the methods. This book is particularly relevant to non-specialist practitioners with intermediate mathematical training seeking to apply Bayesian approaches in economics, biology, finance, engineering and medicine. - Introduces powerful new nonparametric Bayesian regression techniques to classically trained practitioners - Focuses on approaches offering both superior power and methodological flexibility - Supplemented with instructive and relevant R programs within the text - Covers linear regression, nonlinear regression and quantile regression techniques - Provides diverse disciplinary case studies for correlation and optimization problems drawn from Bayesian analysis 'in the wild'

Stochastic Finance

Download Stochastic Finance PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN 13 : 3110463458
Total Pages : 608 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (14 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Stochastic Finance by : Hans Föllmer

Download or read book Stochastic Finance written by Hans Föllmer and published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2016-07-25 with total page 608 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is an introduction to financial mathematics. It is intended for graduate students in mathematics and for researchers working in academia and industry. The focus on stochastic models in discrete time has two immediate benefits. First, the probabilistic machinery is simpler, and one can discuss right away some of the key problems in the theory of pricing and hedging of financial derivatives. Second, the paradigm of a complete financial market, where all derivatives admit a perfect hedge, becomes the exception rather than the rule. Thus, the need to confront the intrinsic risks arising from market incomleteness appears at a very early stage. The first part of the book contains a study of a simple one-period model, which also serves as a building block for later developments. Topics include the characterization of arbitrage-free markets, preferences on asset profiles, an introduction to equilibrium analysis, and monetary measures of financial risk. In the second part, the idea of dynamic hedging of contingent claims is developed in a multiperiod framework. Topics include martingale measures, pricing formulas for derivatives, American options, superhedging, and hedging strategies with minimal shortfall risk. This fourth, newly revised edition contains more than one hundred exercises. It also includes material on risk measures and the related issue of model uncertainty, in particular a chapter on dynamic risk measures and sections on robust utility maximization and on efficient hedging with convex risk measures. Contents: Part I: Mathematical finance in one period Arbitrage theory Preferences Optimality and equilibrium Monetary measures of risk Part II: Dynamic hedging Dynamic arbitrage theory American contingent claims Superhedging Efficient hedging Hedging under constraints Minimizing the hedging error Dynamic risk measures