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A Multicountry Econometric Model
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Book Synopsis A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised) by : Ray C. Fair
Download or read book A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised) written by Ray C. Fair and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A multi-country econometric model is presented in this paper. The theoretical basis of the model is discussed in Fair (l979a), and the present paper is an empirical extension of this work. The model is quarterly and contains estimated equations for 44 countries. Most of the equations have been estimated by two stage least squares. The basic estimation period is 19581-19801 (89 observations). For equations that are relevant only when exchange rates are flexible, the basic estimation period is 1972II-19801 (32 observations). The trade matrix contains data for 64 countries. The U.S. part of the model is the model described in Fair (1976, 1980b). The model differs from previous models in a number of ways.(1) Linkages among countries with respect to exchange rates, interest rates, and prices appear to be more important in the model than they are in previous models. (2) There is no natural distinction in the model between stock-market and flow-market determination of the exchange rate.(3) The number of countries is larger than usual, and the data are all quarterly. (4) I alone have estimated small models for each country and then linked them together, rather than, as Project LINK has done, take models developed by others and link them together. The advantage of this approach is that the person constructing the individual models knows from the beginning that they are to be linked together, and this may lead to better specification of the linkages. The paper contains (1) a review of the theoretical basis of the model, (2) a description of the econometric model, including presentation and discussion of all the estimated equations, (3) a comparison of the predictive accuracy of the model to that of a fourth order autoregressive model, and (4) a brief discussion of the properties of the model. A much more detailed examination of the properties of the model is presented in Fair (1981).
Book Synopsis Exchange Rates in Multicountry Econometric Models by : P. de Grauwe
Download or read book Exchange Rates in Multicountry Econometric Models written by P. de Grauwe and published by Springer. This book was released on 1983-12-01 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Exchange Rates in Multicountry Econometric Models by : Paul de Grauwe
Download or read book Exchange Rates in Multicountry Econometric Models written by Paul de Grauwe and published by Palgrave Macmillan. This book was released on 1983 with total page 287 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis MULTIMOD by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book MULTIMOD written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1988-03-04 with total page 91 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper describes a global model consisting of several industrial and developing country blocks built to analyze alternative economic policies in a medium-term context. The model, which has been used to construct medium-term scenarios for the World Economic Outlook, consists of aggregate demand and supply relationships, with endogenous determination of interest rates, prices, and exchange rates. Financing flows to developing countries depend on expectations of their ability to service debt. Expectations of interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates are modeled in a way that is consistent with the model’s solution, and budget constraints are imposed on governments.
Book Synopsis Global Economic Modeling: A Volume In Honor Of Lawrence R Klein by : Peter Pauly
Download or read book Global Economic Modeling: A Volume In Honor Of Lawrence R Klein written by Peter Pauly and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2018-04-25 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global econometric models have a long history. From the early 1970s to the present, as modeling techniques have advanced, different modeling paradigms have emerged and been used to support national and international policy making. One purpose of this volume — based on a conference in recognition of the seminal impact of Nobel Prize winner in Economic Sciences Lawrence R Klein, whose pioneering work has spawned the field of international econometric modeling — is to survey these developments from today's perspective.A second objective of the volume is to shed light on the wide range of attempts to broaden the scope of modeling on an international scale. Beyond new developments in traditional areas of the trade and financial flows, the volume reviews new approaches to the modeling of linkages between macroeconomic activity and individual economic units, new research on the analysis of trends in income distribution and economic wellbeing on a global scale, and innovative ideas about modeling the interactions between economic development and the environment.With the expansion of elaborated economic linkages, this volume makes an important contribution to the evolving literature of global econometric models.
Book Synopsis Policy Analysis with a Multicountry Model by : John B. Taylor
Download or read book Policy Analysis with a Multicountry Model written by John B. Taylor and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper summarizes the results of an empirical study of alternative international monetary arrangements using a multicountry, rational expectations, econometric model of the G-7 countries; Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States. The model is fit to quarterly data and the effect of different monetary rules on the performance of the economy is determined by stochastic simulations of the estimated model. The results indicate that, with the current international economic structure, internal stability as well as external stability would be greater if Germany, Japan and the United States oriented their monetary policies toward domestic price stability, or perhaps towards domestic nominal GNP stability, rather than towards fixing the exchange rates between them. Empirical measures of demand and supply elasticities and of the average size of the shocks to the demand and supply curves are used in the analysis. Thus the advantage that one international monetary arrangement has for dealing with one type of shock is assessed and measured up against the advantage that another arrangement has for dealing with other types of shocks. It turns out that in this assessment a more flexible exchange rate system between Germany, Japan, and the United States does better than a fixed exchange rate system.
Book Synopsis Global and National Macroeconometric Modelling by : Anthony Garratt
Download or read book Global and National Macroeconometric Modelling written by Anthony Garratt and published by Oxford University Press (UK). This book was released on 2012-03-15 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Providing a description of the state of modelling in global and national economies, this title introduces an approach to modelling that can readily be adopted for use in understanding how economies work and in generating forecasts for decision-makers and policy-makers alike.
Book Synopsis Specification of Policy Rules and Performance Measures in Multicountry Simulation Studies by : Mr.Bennett T. McCallum
Download or read book Specification of Policy Rules and Performance Measures in Multicountry Simulation Studies written by Mr.Bennett T. McCallum and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1992-06-01 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Much recent analysis of international monetary and fiscal policy issues, such as the choice of an exchange-rate regime or the design of a policy coordination scheme, has been conducted by stochastic simulations with multicountry econometric models. In these studies, it has become standard practice to consider alternative policy rules of a particular form that calls for departures of a policy instrument, from some “baseline” reference path, that are proportional to deviations of a specified target variable from its own baseline path. The present paper argues, however, that this standard rule form is seriously defective for evaluating such issues because the implied rules (1) often fail to be operational and (2) have associated performance measures that can be misleading in important cases. An example is presented that concerns the international “assignment problem” of optimally pairing instruments with policy objectives.
Book Synopsis A Multicountry Econometric Model by : Ray C. Fair
Download or read book A Multicountry Econometric Model written by Ray C. Fair and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Global Economic Modeling by : Peter H. Pauly
Download or read book Global Economic Modeling written by Peter H. Pauly and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The U.S. Economy in an Interdependent World by : Guy V. G. Stevens
Download or read book The U.S. Economy in an Interdependent World written by Guy V. G. Stevens and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 612 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Estimating How the Macroeconomy Works by : Ray C. FAIR
Download or read book Estimating How the Macroeconomy Works written by Ray C. FAIR and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2009-06-30 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macroeconomics tries to describe and explain the economywide movement of prices, output, and unemployment. The field has been sharply divided among various schools, including Keynesian, monetarist, new classical, and others. It has also been split between theorists and empiricists. Ray Fair is a resolute empiricist, developing and refining methods for testing theories and models. The field cannot advance without the discipline of testing how well the models approximate the data. Using a multicountry econometric model, he examines several important questions, including what causes inflation, how monetary authorities behave and what are their stabilization limits, how large is the wealth effect on aggregate consumption, whether European monetary policy has been too restrictive, and how large are the stabilization costs to Europe of adopting the euro. He finds, among other things, little evidence for the rational expectations hypothesis and for the so-called non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) hypothesis. He also shows that the U.S. economy in the last half of the 1990s was not a new age economy.
Book Synopsis Modelling Europe by : Antonella Rancan
Download or read book Modelling Europe written by Antonella Rancan and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 155 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Global International Economic Models by : B.G. Hickman
Download or read book Global International Economic Models written by B.G. Hickman and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2014-06-28 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume surveys the state-of-the-art of global international modeling. All 15 models included in the survey feature national or regional disaggregation of the world economy and interdependencies among the various nations and regions. A few are constructed for short-term forecasting, but the primary focus is on long-run models and applications.Macroeconomic, input-output, general equilibrium, trade and exchange rate, and several hybrid models are included. A cross-sectional analysis by the editor compares the structures, linkage mechanisms, methodologies and applications of the various models and concludes with some observations on prospective research trends.
Book Synopsis Policy Analysis And Modeling Of The Global Economy: A Festschrift Celebrating Thomas Hertel by : Peter Dixon
Download or read book Policy Analysis And Modeling Of The Global Economy: A Festschrift Celebrating Thomas Hertel written by Peter Dixon and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2020-12-14 with total page 595 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume honors the extraordinary career of Thomas Hertel. It also celebrates the 25th anniversary of the founding of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) by Prof. Hertel. All of those contributing to this volume, including Prof. Hertel's students and colleagues, have benefitted in some ways from the selfless professional generosity and dedication to scientific public goods that have been hallmarks of his career.The book examines the history of the GTAP project, the scientific contributions of Prof. Hertel, and the general application of computational modeling to global economic policy analysis. The applications in the volume, reflecting the broad contributions made by the GTAP community to global policy analysis, range from the impact of globalization on employment to the sustainability impacts of economic integration.
Book Synopsis Block Distributed Methods for Solving Multi-country Econometric Models by : Jon Faust
Download or read book Block Distributed Methods for Solving Multi-country Econometric Models written by Jon Faust and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis A Newton's algorithm for solving multicountry econometric models by : Patrick Jean Henaff
Download or read book A Newton's algorithm for solving multicountry econometric models written by Patrick Jean Henaff and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
