A Model-Independent Measure of Aggregate Idiosyncratic Risk

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis A Model-Independent Measure of Aggregate Idiosyncratic Risk by : Turan G. Bali

Download or read book A Model-Independent Measure of Aggregate Idiosyncratic Risk written by Turan G. Bali and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper introduces a model-independent measure of aggregate idiosyncratic risk based on the mean-variance portfolio theory and the concept of gain from portfolio diversification. With the new approach, there is no need to estimate the covariance terms or the industry-level or firm-level beta coefficients when constructing the average idiosyncratic risk at the industry- or firm-level. Since there is no gain from diversification when the correlations among individual stocks equal one, the variance of the portfolio with perfectly correlated securities contains systematic risk and idiosyncratic risk of the securities in the portfolio. We also think that the stock market index can be viewed as a fully diversified portfolio, which does not contain any idiosyncratic risk. Since the market portfolio contains a large number of stocks, enough diversification gains are achieved and the idiosyncratic risk contributes nothing to the total risk of the market portfolio. That is, the risk of this well-diversified portfolio is due solely to the systematic risk of the securities in the portfolio. The new measure of average idiosyncratic volatility is defined as the difference between the variance of the non-diversified portfolio and the variance of the fully diversified portfolio. We present two versions of the new methodology; one decomposing total risk into firm and market variance, and the other decomposing total risk into firm, industry, and market variance. The statistical results and graphical analyses provide strong evidence that there are significant level and trend differences between the average idiosyncratic volatility measures of Campbell, Lettau, Malkiel, and Xu (2001, CLMX) and the new methodology. Although both approaches indicate a noticeable increase in the firm-level idiosyncratic risk, the volatility measure of CLMX is greater and has a stronger upward trend than the new idiosyncratic volatility measure. The analytical and empirical results show that the significant upward trend in the differences of the two idiosyncratic volatility measures is related to the increase in the cross-sectional dispersion of the volatility of individual stocks.

Aggregate Idiosyncratic Risk and Market Returns

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Aggregate Idiosyncratic Risk and Market Returns by : Turan G. Bali

Download or read book Aggregate Idiosyncratic Risk and Market Returns written by Turan G. Bali and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper tests the empirical performance of a model-independent measure of aggregate idiosyncratic risk introduced by Bali and Cakici (2004) in ICAPM framework. The results indicate a significantly positive relation between the equal-weighted average stock volatility and the value-weighted portfolio returns on the NYSE/AMEX/Nasdaq stocks for the sample period of 1963:08-1999:12. We show that this result is driven by small stocks traded on the NASDAQ. In addition, the positive risk-return tradeoff does not exist for the extended sample of 1963:08-2004:12 and for portfolios of NYSE/AMEX and NYSE stocks. More importantly, we find almost no evidence of a significant link between the value-weighted portfolio returns and various measures of the value-weighted average idiosyncratic volatility.

Is Aggregate Idiosyncratic Risk Priced? Follow the Bid-Ask Bounce

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Is Aggregate Idiosyncratic Risk Priced? Follow the Bid-Ask Bounce by : David A. Lesmond

Download or read book Is Aggregate Idiosyncratic Risk Priced? Follow the Bid-Ask Bounce written by David A. Lesmond and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper models a market microstructure bias, driven by the bid-ask spread, that is evident in the pricing of aggregate firm-level risk embodied by the stock return variance estimates of Goyal and Santa-Clara (2003). Controlling for this bias, we find no pricing ability for aggregate firm-level variance for the period 1927 to 2012 or for any sub-period tested. Market microstructure also explains the time-trend of aggregate firm-level volatility observed from 1962 to 1997 (Campbell, Lettau, Malkiel, and Xu, 2001), and subsumes any relation between retail trading and future idiosyncratic volatility from 1983 to 1999 (Brandt, Brav, Graham, and Kumar, 2010). We conclude that the aggregate firm-level bid-ask spread is priced with future market returns rather than any of the aggregate firm-level risk measures.

Empirical Asset Pricing

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118589475
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Turan G. Bali

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Turan G. Bali and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-02-26 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by every serious student of the field, academic and professional.” Eugene Fama, Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, University of Chicago and 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences “The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research. Both the established facts and the methods used to discover them have subtle complexities that can mislead casual observers and novice researchers. Bali, Engle, and Murray’s clear and careful guide to these issues provides a firm foundation for future discoveries.” John Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University “Bali, Engle, and Murray provide clear and accessible descriptions of many of the most important empirical techniques and results in asset pricing.” Kenneth R. French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College “This exciting new book presents a thorough review of what we know about the cross-section of stock returns. Given its comprehensive nature, systematic approach, and easy-to-understand language, the book is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.” Lubos Pastor, Charles P. McQuaid Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is a comprehensive overview of the most important findings of empirical asset pricing research. The book begins with thorough expositions of the most prevalent econometric techniques with in-depth discussions of the implementation and interpretation of results illustrated through detailed examples. The second half of the book applies these techniques to demonstrate the most salient patterns observed in stock returns. The phenomena documented form the basis for a range of investment strategies as well as the foundations of contemporary empirical asset pricing research. Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns also includes: Discussions on the driving forces behind the patterns observed in the stock market An extensive set of results that serve as a reference for practitioners and academics alike Numerous references to both contemporary and foundational research articles Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses in asset pricing and portfolio management. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in finance and economics. Turan G. Bali, PhD, is the Robert Parker Chair Professor of Finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. The recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize, he is the coauthor of Mathematical Methods for Finance: Tools for Asset and Risk Management, also published by Wiley. Robert F. Engle, PhD, is the Michael Armellino Professor of Finance in the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is the 2003 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Director of the New York University Stern Volatility Institute, and co-founding President of the Society for Financial Econometrics. Scott Murray, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Finance in the J. Mack Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University. He is the recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize.

Vol. misc. inscr.: Franzoesische Revolution ; 1788-1793

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (254 download)

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Book Synopsis Vol. misc. inscr.: Franzoesische Revolution ; 1788-1793 by :

Download or read book Vol. misc. inscr.: Franzoesische Revolution ; 1788-1793 written by and published by . This book was released on 1788 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Valuation

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780321384140
Total Pages : 556 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (841 download)

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Book Synopsis Valuation by : Sheridan Titman

Download or read book Valuation written by Sheridan Titman and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 556 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Financial Integration, Entrepreneurial Risk and Global Dynamics

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Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1437980244
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (379 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Integration, Entrepreneurial Risk and Global Dynamics by : George-Marios Angeletos

Download or read book Financial Integration, Entrepreneurial Risk and Global Dynamics written by George-Marios Angeletos and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011-04 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How does financial integration impact capital accumulation, current-account dynamics, and cross-country inequality? This paper investigates this question within a two-country, general-equilibrium, incomplete-markets model that focuses on the importance of idiosyncratic entrepreneurial risk -- a risk that introduces, not only a precautionary motive for saving, but also a wedge between the interest rate and the marginal product of capital. This friction provides a simple resolution to the empirical puzzle that capital often fails to flow from the rich or slow-growing countries to the poor or fast-growing ones, and a distinct set of policy lessons regarding the intertemporal costs and benefits of capital-account liberalization. Illus. A print on demand report.

The Irrelevance of Market Incompleteness for the Price of Aggregate Risk

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis The Irrelevance of Market Incompleteness for the Price of Aggregate Risk by : Dirk Krueger

Download or read book The Irrelevance of Market Incompleteness for the Price of Aggregate Risk written by Dirk Krueger and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In models with a large number of agents who have constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) preferences, the absence of insurance markets for idiosyncratic labor income risk has no effect on the premium for aggregate risk if the distribution of idiosyncratic risk is independent of aggregate shocks. In spite of the missing markets, a representative agent who consumes aggregate income prices the excess returns on stocks correctly. This result holds regardless of the persistence of idiosyncratic shocks, as long as they are not permanent, even when households face binding, and potentially very tight borrowing constraints. Consequently, in this class of models there is no link between the extent of self-insurance against idiosyncratic income risk and aggregate risk premia.

International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards

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Publisher : Lulu.com
ISBN 13 : 9291316695
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (913 download)

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Book Synopsis International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards by :

Download or read book International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards written by and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2004 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Financial Markets and the Real Economy

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Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1933019158
Total Pages : 117 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Markets and the Real Economy by : John H. Cochrane

Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.

Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781556232312
Total Pages : 202 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (323 download)

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Book Synopsis Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation by : Roger G. Ibbotson

Download or read book Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation written by Roger G. Ibbotson and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 202 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Household Portfolios

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262072212
Total Pages : 552 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (722 download)

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Book Synopsis Household Portfolios by : Luigi Guiso

Download or read book Household Portfolios written by Luigi Guiso and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2002 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Theoretical and empirical analysis of the structure of household portfolios.

Volatility and Correlation

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470091401
Total Pages : 864 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility and Correlation by : Riccardo Rebonato

Download or read book Volatility and Correlation written by Riccardo Rebonato and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-07-08 with total page 864 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Volatility and Correlation 2nd edition: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox, Rebonato looks at derivatives pricing from the angle of volatility and correlation. With both practical and theoretical applications, this is a thorough update of the highly successful Volatility & Correlation – with over 80% new or fully reworked material and is a must have both for practitioners and for students. The new and updated material includes a critical examination of the ‘perfect-replication’ approach to derivatives pricing, with special attention given to exotic options; a thorough analysis of the role of quadratic variation in derivatives pricing and hedging; a discussion of the informational efficiency of markets in commonly-used calibration and hedging practices. Treatment of new models including Variance Gamma, displaced diffusion, stochastic volatility for interest-rate smiles and equity/FX options. The book is split into four parts. Part I deals with a Black world without smiles, sets out the author’s ‘philosophical’ approach and covers deterministic volatility. Part II looks at smiles in equity and FX worlds. It begins with a review of relevant empirical information about smiles, and provides coverage of local-stochastic-volatility, general-stochastic-volatility, jump-diffusion and Variance-Gamma processes. Part II concludes with an important chapter that discusses if and to what extent one can dispense with an explicit specification of a model, and can directly prescribe the dynamics of the smile surface. Part III focusses on interest rates when the volatility is deterministic. Part IV extends this setting in order to account for smiles in a financially motivated and computationally tractable manner. In this final part the author deals with CEV processes, with diffusive stochastic volatility and with Markov-chain processes. Praise for the First Edition: “In this book, Dr Rebonato brings his penetrating eye to bear on option pricing and hedging.... The book is a must-read for those who already know the basics of options and are looking for an edge in applying the more sophisticated approaches that have recently been developed.” —Professor Ian Cooper, London Business School “Volatility and correlation are at the very core of all option pricing and hedging. In this book, Riccardo Rebonato presents the subject in his characteristically elegant and simple fashion...A rare combination of intellectual insight and practical common sense.” —Anthony Neuberger, London Business School

Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting

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Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 9780198296836
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (968 download)

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Book Synopsis Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting by : Halbert White

Download or read book Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting written by Halbert White and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1999 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of essays in honour of Clive Granger. The chapters are by some of the world's leading econometricians, all of whom have collaborated with and/or studied with both) Clive Granger. Central themes of Granger's work are reflected in the book with attention to tests for unit roots and cointegration, tests of misspecification, forecasting models and forecast evaluation, non-linear and non-parametric econometric techniques, and overall, a careful blend of practical empirical work and strong theory. The book shows the scope of Granger's research and the range of the profession that has been influenced by his work.

Empirical Asset Pricing

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262039370
Total Pages : 497 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Wayne Ferson

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262072726
Total Pages : 479 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005 by : Kenneth S. Rogoff

Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005 written by Kenneth S. Rogoff and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2006-04 with total page 479 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 20th NBER Macroeconomics Annual, covering questions at the cutting edge of macroeconomics that are central to current policy debates.

Behavioral Simulation Methods in Tax Policy Analysis

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226241750
Total Pages : 523 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioral Simulation Methods in Tax Policy Analysis by : Martin Feldstein

Download or read book Behavioral Simulation Methods in Tax Policy Analysis written by Martin Feldstein and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 523 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These thirteen papers and accompanying commentaries are the first fruits of an ongoing research project that has concentrated on developing simulation models that incorporate the behavioral responses of individuals and businesses to alternative tax rules and rates and on expanding computational general equilibrium models that analyze the long-run effects of changes on the economy as a whole. The principal focus of the project has been on the microsimulation of individual behavior. Thus, this volume includes studies of individual responses to an over reduction in tax rates and to changes in the highest tax rates; a study of alternative tax treatments of the family; and studies of such specific aspects of household behavior as tax treatment of home ownership, charitable contributions, and individual saving behavior. Microsimulation techniques are also used to estimate the effects of alternative policies on the long-run financial status of the social security program and to examine the effects of alternative tax rules on corporate investment and of foreign-source income on overseas investment. The papers devoted to the development of general equilibrium simulation models to include an examination of the implications of international trade and capital flows, a study of the effects of capital taxation that uses a closed economy equilibrium model, and an examination of the effect of switching to an inflation-indexed tax system. In the volume's final paper, a life-cycle model in which individuals maximize lifetime utility subject to a lifetime budget constraint is used to simulate the effects of tax rules on personal savings.