A Flow Network Analysis Of Direct Balance Sheet Contagion In Financial Networks

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Interconnectedness and Contagion Analysis: A Practical Framework

Author : Mrs.Jana Bricco
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513517856
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Interconnectedness and Contagion Analysis: A Practical Framework by : Mrs.Jana Bricco

Download or read book Interconnectedness and Contagion Analysis: A Practical Framework written by Mrs.Jana Bricco and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-10-11 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The analysis of interconnectedness and contagion is an important part of the financial stability and risk assessment of a country’s financial system. This paper offers detailed and practical guidance on how to conduct a comprehensive analysis of interconnectedness and contagion for a country’s financial system under various circumstances. We survey current approaches at the IMF for analyzing interconnectedness within the interbank, cross-sector and cross-border dimensions through an overview and examples of the data and methodologies used in the Financial Sector Assessment Program. Finally, this paper offers practical advice on how to interpret results and discusses potential financial stability policy recommendations that can be drawn from this type of in-depth analysis.

Data Science for Economics and Finance

Author : Sergio Consoli
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030668916
Total Pages : 357 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (36 download)

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Book Synopsis Data Science for Economics and Finance by : Sergio Consoli

Download or read book Data Science for Economics and Finance written by Sergio Consoli and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021 with total page 357 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book covers the use of data science, including advanced machine learning, big data analytics, Semantic Web technologies, natural language processing, social media analysis, time series analysis, among others, for applications in economics and finance. In addition, it shows some successful applications of advanced data science solutions used to extract new knowledge from data in order to improve economic forecasting models. The book starts with an introduction on the use of data science technologies in economics and finance and is followed by thirteen chapters showing success stories of the application of specific data science methodologies, touching on particular topics related to novel big data sources and technologies for economic analysis (e.g. social media and news); big data models leveraging on supervised/unsupervised (deep) machine learning; natural language processing to build economic and financial indicators; and forecasting and nowcasting of economic variables through time series analysis. This book is relevant to all stakeholders involved in digital and data-intensive research in economics and finance, helping them to understand the main opportunities and challenges, become familiar with the latest methodological findings, and learn how to use and evaluate the performances of novel tools and frameworks. It primarily targets data scientists and business analysts exploiting data science technologies, and it will also be a useful resource to research students in disciplines and courses related to these topics. Overall, readers will learn modern and effective data science solutions to create tangible innovations for economic and financial applications.

Estimating Bilateral Exposures in the German Interbank Market

Author : Christian Upper
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating Bilateral Exposures in the German Interbank Market by : Christian Upper

Download or read book Estimating Bilateral Exposures in the German Interbank Market written by Christian Upper and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit risk associated with interbank lending may lead to domino effects, where the failureKreditrisiken aus Interbankbeziehungen können zu Dominoeffekten führen indem der.

Handbook on Systemic Risk

Author : Jean-Pierre Fouque
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107023432
Total Pages : 993 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook on Systemic Risk by : Jean-Pierre Fouque

Download or read book Handbook on Systemic Risk written by Jean-Pierre Fouque and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-05-23 with total page 993 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook on Systemic Risk, written by experts in the field, provides researchers with an introduction to the multifaceted aspects of systemic risks facing the global financial markets. The Handbook explores the multidisciplinary approaches to analyzing this risk, the data requirements for further research, and the recommendations being made to avert financial crisis. The Handbook is designed to encourage new researchers to investigate a topic with immense societal implications as well as to provide, for those already actively involved within their own academic discipline, an introduction to the research being undertaken in other disciplines. Each chapter in the Handbook will provide researchers with a superior introduction to the field and with references to more advanced research articles. It is the hope of the editors that this Handbook will stimulate greater interdisciplinary academic research on the critically important topic of systemic risk in the global financial markets.

Propagation Phenomena in Real World Networks

Author : Dariusz Król
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 331915916X
Total Pages : 375 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (191 download)

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Book Synopsis Propagation Phenomena in Real World Networks by : Dariusz Król

Download or read book Propagation Phenomena in Real World Networks written by Dariusz Król and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-03-19 with total page 375 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Propagation, which looks at spreading in complex networks, can be seen from many viewpoints; it is undesirable, or desirable, controllable, the mechanisms generating that propagation can be the topic of interest, but in the end all depends on the setting. This book covers leading research on a wide spectrum of propagation phenomenon and the techniques currently used in its modelling, prediction, analysis and control. Fourteen papers range over topics including epidemic models, models for trust inference, coverage strategies for networks, vehicle flow propagation, bio-inspired routing algorithms, P2P botnet attacks and defences, fault propagation in gene-cellular networks, malware propagation for mobile networks, information propagation in crisis situations, financial contagion in interbank networks, and finally how to maximize the spread of influence in social networks. The compendium will be of interest to researchers, those working in social networking, communications and finance and is aimed at providing a base point for further studies on current research. Above all, by bringing together research from such diverse fields, the book seeks to cross-pollinate ideas, and give the reader a glimpse of the breath of current research.”

CoMap: Mapping Contagion in the Euro Area Banking Sector

Author : Mehmet Ziya Gorpe
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498312071
Total Pages : 63 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis CoMap: Mapping Contagion in the Euro Area Banking Sector by : Mehmet Ziya Gorpe

Download or read book CoMap: Mapping Contagion in the Euro Area Banking Sector written by Mehmet Ziya Gorpe and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-05-10 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a novel approach to investigate and model the network of euro area banks’ large exposures within the global banking system. Drawing on a unique dataset, the paper documents the degree of interconnectedness and systemic risk of the euro area banking system based on bilateral linkages. We develop a Contagion Mapping model fully calibrated with bank-level data to study the contagion potential of an exogenous shock via credit and funding risks. We find that tipping points shifting the euro area banking system from a less vulnerable state to a highly vulnerable state are a non-linear function of the combination of network structures and bank-specific characteristics.

The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks

Author : Yann Bramoullé
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190216832
Total Pages : 857 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks by : Yann Bramoullé

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks written by Yann Bramoullé and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2016-03-01 with total page 857 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks represents the frontier of research into how and why networks they form, how they influence behavior, how they help govern outcomes in an interactive world, and how they shape collective decision making, opinion formation, and diffusion dynamics. From a methodological perspective, the contributors to this volume devote attention to theory, field experiments, laboratory experiments, and econometrics. Theoretical work in network formation, games played on networks, repeated games, and the interaction between linking and behavior is synthesized. A number of chapters are devoted to studying social process mediated by networks. Topics here include opinion formation, diffusion of information and disease, and learning. There are also chapters devoted to financial contagion and systemic risk, motivated in part by the recent financial crises. Another section discusses communities, with applications including social trust, favor exchange, and social collateral; the importance of communities for migration patterns; and the role that networks and communities play in the labor market. A prominent role of networks, from an economic perspective, is that they mediate trade. Several chapters cover bilateral trade in networks, strategic intermediation, and the role of networks in international trade. Contributions discuss as well the role of networks for organizations. On the one hand, one chapter discusses the role of networks for the performance of organizations, while two other chapters discuss managing networks of consumers and pricing in the presence of network-based spillovers. Finally, the authors discuss the internet as a network with attention to the issue of net neutrality.

Systemic Risk from Global Financial Derivatives

Author : Ms.Sheri M. Markose
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475531869
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Systemic Risk from Global Financial Derivatives by : Ms.Sheri M. Markose

Download or read book Systemic Risk from Global Financial Derivatives written by Ms.Sheri M. Markose and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-11-30 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial network analysis is used to provide firm level bottom-up holistic visualizations of interconnections of financial obligations in global OTC derivatives markets. This helps to identify Systemically Important Financial Intermediaries (SIFIs), analyse the nature of contagion propagation, and also monitor and design ways of increasing robustness in the network. Based on 2009 FDIC and individually collected firm level data covering gross notional, gross positive (negative) fair value and the netted derivatives assets and liabilities for 202 financial firms which includes 20 SIFIs, the bilateral flows are empirically calibrated to reflect data-based constraints. This produces a tiered network with a distinct highly clustered central core of 12 SIFIs that account for 78 percent of all bilateral exposures and a large number of financial intermediaries (FIs) on the periphery. The topology of the network results in the “Too- Interconnected-To-Fail” (TITF) phenomenon in that the failure of any member of the central tier will bring down other members with the contagion coming to an abrupt end when the ‘super-spreaders’ have demised. As these SIFIs account for the bulk of capital in the system, ipso facto no bank among the top tier can be allowed to fail, highlighting the untenable implicit socialized guarantees needed for these markets to operate at their current levels. Systemic risk costs of highly connected SIFIs nodes are not priced into their holding of capital or collateral. An eigenvector centrality based ‘super-spreader’ tax has been designed and tested for its capacity to reduce the potential socialized losses from failure of SIFIs.

Advances in Computational Social Science

Author : Shu-Heng Chen
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 4431548475
Total Pages : 365 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Computational Social Science by : Shu-Heng Chen

Download or read book Advances in Computational Social Science written by Shu-Heng Chen and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-05-22 with total page 365 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is a post-conference publication of the 4th World Congress on Social Simulation (WCSS), with contents selected from among the 80 papers originally presented at the conference. WCSS is a biennial event, jointly organized by three scientific communities in computational social science, namely, the Pacific-Asian Association for Agent-Based Approach in Social Systems Sciences (PAAA), the European Social Simulation Association (ESSA), and the Computational Social Science Society of the Americas (CSSSA). It is, therefore, currently the most prominent conference in the area of agent-based social simulation. The papers selected for this volume give a holistic view of the current development of social simulation, indicating the directions for future research and creating an important archival document and milestone in the history of computational social science. Specifically, the papers included here cover substantial progress in artificial financial markets, macroeconomic forecasting, supply chain management, bank networks, social networks, urban planning, social norms and group formation, cross-cultural studies, political party competition, voting behavior, computational demography, computational anthropology, evolution of languages, public health and epidemics, AIDS, security and terrorism, methodological and epistemological issues, empirical-based agent-based modeling, modeling of experimental social science, gaming simulation, cognitive agents, and participatory simulation. Furthermore, pioneering studies in some new research areas, such as the theoretical foundations of social simulation and categorical social science, also are included in the volume.

The Network Challenge (Chapter 21)

Author : Franklin Allen
Publisher : Pearson Education
ISBN 13 : 0137015518
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis The Network Challenge (Chapter 21) by : Franklin Allen

Download or read book The Network Challenge (Chapter 21) written by Franklin Allen and published by Pearson Education. This book was released on 2009-05-19 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modern financial systems exhibit a high degree of interdependence, with connections between financial institutions stemming from both the asset and the liability sides of their balance sheets. Networks--broadly understood as a collection of nodes and links between nodes--can be a useful representation of financial systems. By modeling economic interactions, network analysis can better explain certain economic phenomena. In this chapter, Allen and Babus argue that the use of network theories can enrich our understanding of financial systems. They explore several critical issues. First, they address the issue of systemic risk, by studying two questions: how resilient financial networks are to contagion, and how financial institutions form connections when exposed to the risk of contagion. Second, they consider how network theory can be used to explain freezes in the interbank market. Third, they examine how social networks can improve investment decisions and corporate governance, based on recent empirical results. Fourth, they examine the role of networks in distributing primary issues of securities. Finally, they consider the role of networks as a form of mutual monitoring, as in microfinance.

Systemic Contingent Claims Analysis

Author : Mr.Andreas A. Jobst
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475557531
Total Pages : 93 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Systemic Contingent Claims Analysis by : Mr.Andreas A. Jobst

Download or read book Systemic Contingent Claims Analysis written by Mr.Andreas A. Jobst and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-02-27 with total page 93 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent global financial crisis has forced a re-examination of risk transmission in the financial sector and how it affects financial stability. Current macroprudential policy and surveillance (MPS) efforts are aimed establishing a regulatory framework that helps mitigate the risk from systemic linkages with a view towards enhancing the resilience of the financial sector. This paper presents a forward-looking framework ("Systemic CCA") to measure systemic solvency risk based on market-implied expected losses of financial institutions with practical applications for the financial sector risk management and the system-wide capital assessment in top-down stress testing. The suggested approach uses advanced contingent claims analysis (CCA) to generate aggregate estimates of the joint default risk of multiple institutions as a conditional tail expectation using multivariate extreme value theory (EVT). In addition, the framework also helps quantify the individual contributions to systemic risk and contingent liabilities of the financial sector during times of stress.

Advanced Dynamic Modeling of Economic and Social Systems

Author : Araceli N. Proto
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3642329039
Total Pages : 237 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (423 download)

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Book Synopsis Advanced Dynamic Modeling of Economic and Social Systems by : Araceli N. Proto

Download or read book Advanced Dynamic Modeling of Economic and Social Systems written by Araceli N. Proto and published by Springer. This book was released on 2012-09-18 with total page 237 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this volume recent advances in the use of modern quantitative models for the analysis of various problems related to the dynamics of social and economic systems are presented. The majority chapters describe tools and techniques of broadly perceived computational intelligence, notably fuzzy logic, evolutionary computation, neural networks and some non-standard probabilistic and statistical analyses. Due to the high complexity of the systems and problems considered, in many situations it is necessary to consider at the same time analytic, topological and statistical aspects and apply appropriate procedures and algorithms. This volume is a direct result of vivid discussions held during the Fifth International Workshop on Dynamics of Social and Economical Systems (DYSES) which was held at Benevento, Italy September 20-25, 2010, as well as a couple of post-workshop meetings and consultations.

Liquidity and Crises

Author : Franklin Allen
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199780935
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (997 download)

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Book Synopsis Liquidity and Crises by : Franklin Allen

Download or read book Liquidity and Crises written by Franklin Allen and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2010-11-30 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial crises have been pervasive for many years. Their frequency in recent decades has been double that of the Bretton Woods Period (1945-1971) and the Gold Standard Era (1880-1993), comparable only to the period during the Great Depression. Nevertheless, the financial crisis that started in the summer of 2007 came as a great surprise to most people. What initially was seen as difficulties in the U.S. subprime mortgage market, rapidly escalated and spilled over first to financial markets and then to the real economy. The crisis changed the financial landscape worldwide and its full costs are yet to be evaluated. One important reason for the global impact of the 2007-2009 financial crisis was massive illiquidity in combination with an extreme exposure of many financial institutions to liquidity needs and market conditions. As a consequence, many financial instruments could not be traded anymore, investors ran on a variety of financial institutions particularly in wholesale markets, financial institutions and industrial firms started to sell assets at fire sale prices to raise cash, and central banks all over the world injected huge amounts of liquidity into financial systems. But what is liquidity and why is it so important for firms and financial institutions to command enough liquidity? This book brings together classic articles and recent contributions to this important field of research. It provides comprehensive coverage of the role of liquidity in financial crises and is divided into five parts: (i) liquidity and interbank markets; (ii) the public provision of liquidity and regulation; (iii) money, liquidity and asset prices; (iv) contagion effects; (v) financial crises and currency crises.

Stress Testing at the IMF

Author : Mr.Tobias Adrian
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513520741
Total Pages : 73 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Stress Testing at the IMF by : Mr.Tobias Adrian

Download or read book Stress Testing at the IMF written by Mr.Tobias Adrian and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-02-05 with total page 73 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explains specifics of stress testing at the IMF. After a brief section on the evolution of stress tests at the IMF, the paper presents the key steps of an IMF staff stress test. They are followed by a discussion on how IMF staff uses stress tests results for policy advice. The paper concludes by identifying remaining challenges to make stress tests more useful for the monitoring of financial stability and an overview of IMF staff work program in that direction. Stress tests help assess the resilience of financial systems in IMF member countries and underpin policy advice to preserve or restore financial stability. This assessment and advice are mainly provided through the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). IMF staff also provide technical assistance in stress testing to many its member countries. An IMF macroprudential stress test is a methodology to assess financial vulnerabilities that can trigger systemic risk and the need of systemwide mitigating measures. The definition of systemic risk as used by the IMF is relevant to understanding the role of its stress tests as tools for financial surveillance and the IMF’s current work program. IMF stress tests primarily apply to depository intermediaries, and, systemically important banks.

Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus

Author : Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484359623
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus by : Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia

Download or read book Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus written by Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-09-07 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews empirical and theoretical work on the links between banks and their governments (the bank-sovereign nexus). How significant is this nexus? What do we know about it? To what extent is it a source of concern? What is the role of policy intervention? The paper concludes with a review of recent policy proposals.

Bank Network Analysis in the ECCU

Author : Mr.Balazs Csonto
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484367502
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Bank Network Analysis in the ECCU by : Mr.Balazs Csonto

Download or read book Bank Network Analysis in the ECCU written by Mr.Balazs Csonto and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-12 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper applies network analysis to assess the extent of systemic vulnerabilities in the ECCU banking system. It includes two sets of illustrative stress tests. First, solvency and liquidity shocks to each individual bank and the impact on other banks in the network through their biltareal net asset exposures. Second, country and region-wide tail shocks to GDP affecting capital and liquidity of all banks in the shocked jurisdictions, followed by the rippling effects through the regional network. The results identify systemic institutions that merit hightened attention by the regulator, as determined by the degree of connectivity with the rest of the system, and the extent to which they are vulnerable to the failure of other banks.

Finance at Fields

Author : Matheus R. Grasselli
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814407887
Total Pages : 598 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Finance at Fields by : Matheus R. Grasselli

Download or read book Finance at Fields written by Matheus R. Grasselli and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2013 with total page 598 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This outstanding collection of articles includes papers presented at the Fields Institute, Toronto, as part of the Thematic Program in Quantitative Finance that took place in the first six months of the year 2010. The scope of the volume in very broad, including papers on foundational issues in mathematical finance, papers on computational finance, and papers on derivatives and risk management. Many of the articles contain path-breaking insights that are relevant to the developing new order of post-crisis financial risk management.