Yield Curve Forecast Combinations Based On Bond Portfolio Performance

Download Yield Curve Forecast Combinations Based On Bond Portfolio Performance full books in PDF, epub, and Kindle. Read online Yield Curve Forecast Combinations Based On Bond Portfolio Performance ebook anywhere anytime directly on your device. Fast Download speed and no annoying ads. We cannot guarantee that every ebooks is available!

Yield Curve Forecast Combinations Based on Bond Portfolio Performance

Author : João Caldeira
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Yield Curve Forecast Combinations Based on Bond Portfolio Performance by : João Caldeira

Download or read book Yield Curve Forecast Combinations Based on Bond Portfolio Performance written by João Caldeira and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose an economically motivated forecast combination strategy in which model weights are related to portfolio returns obtained by a given forecast model. An empirical application based on an optimal mean-variance bond portfolio problem is used to highlight the advantages of the proposed approach with respect to combination methods based on statistical measures of forecast accuracy. We compute average net excess returns, standard deviation, and the Sharpe ratio of bond portfolios obtained with 9 alternative yield curve specifications, as well as with 12 different forecast combination strategies. Return-based forecast combination schemes clearly outperformed approaches based on statistical measures of forecast accuracy in terms of economic criteria. Moreover, return-based approaches that dynamically selects only the model with highest weight each period and discard all other models delivered even better results, evidencing not only the advantages of trimming forecast combinations but also the ability of the proposed approach to detect best performing models. To analyze the robustness of our results, different levels of risk aversion and a different data set are considered.

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting

Author : Francis X. Diebold
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691146802
Total Pages : 223 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting by : Francis X. Diebold

Download or read book Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-15 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, conducting monetary policy, and valuing capital goods. Unfortunately, most yield curve models tend to be theoretically rigorous but empirically disappointing, or empirically successful but theoretically lacking. In this book, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch propose two extensions of the classic yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel that are both theoretically rigorous and empirically successful. The first extension is the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model (DNS), while the second takes this dynamic version and makes it arbitrage-free (AFNS). Diebold and Rudebusch show how these two models are just slightly different implementations of a single unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient-markets aspects, they pay special attention to the links between the yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals, and they show why DNS and AFNS are likely to remain of lasting appeal even as alternative arbitrage-free models are developed. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility for academics, central banks, governments, and industry.

Portfolio Structuring and the Value of Forecasting

Author : Jacques Lussier
Publisher : CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN 13 : 1944960090
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (449 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Portfolio Structuring and the Value of Forecasting by : Jacques Lussier

Download or read book Portfolio Structuring and the Value of Forecasting written by Jacques Lussier and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2016-10-10 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Author : Graham Elliott
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444627405
Total Pages : 667 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (446 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : Graham Elliott

Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-08-23 with total page 667 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Machine Learning

Author :
Publisher : BoD – Books on Demand
ISBN 13 : 183969484X
Total Pages : 153 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (396 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Machine Learning by :

Download or read book Machine Learning written by and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2021-12-22 with total page 153 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent times are witnessing rapid development in machine learning algorithm systems, especially in reinforcement learning, natural language processing, computer and robot vision, image processing, speech, and emotional processing and understanding. In tune with the increasing importance and relevance of machine learning models, algorithms, and their applications, and with the emergence of more innovative uses–cases of deep learning and artificial intelligence, the current volume presents a few innovative research works and their applications in real-world, such as stock trading, medical and healthcare systems, and software automation. The chapters in the book illustrate how machine learning and deep learning algorithms and models are designed, optimized, and deployed. The volume will be useful for advanced graduate and doctoral students, researchers, faculty members of universities, practicing data scientists and data engineers, professionals, and consultants working on the broad areas of machine learning, deep learning, and artificial intelligence.

Riding the Yield Curve: Risk Taking Behavior in a Low Interest Rate Environment

Author : Mr.Ralph Chami
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513531867
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Riding the Yield Curve: Risk Taking Behavior in a Low Interest Rate Environment by : Mr.Ralph Chami

Download or read book Riding the Yield Curve: Risk Taking Behavior in a Low Interest Rate Environment written by Mr.Ralph Chami and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-03-13 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Investors seek to hedge against interest rate risk by taking long or short positions on bonds of different maturities. We study changes in risk taking behavior in a low interest rate environment by estimating a market stochastic discount factor that is non-linear and therefore consistent with the empirical properties of cashflow valuations identified in the literature. We provide evidence that non-linearities arise from hedging strategies of investors exposed to interest rate risk. Capital losses are amplified when interest rates increase and risk averse investors have taken positions on instruments with longer maturity, expecting instead interest rates to revert back to their historical average.

International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards

Author :
Publisher : Lulu.com
ISBN 13 : 9291316695
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (913 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards by :

Download or read book International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards written by and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2004 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Companion to Economic Forecasting

Author : Michael P. Clements
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 140517191X
Total Pages : 616 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (51 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis A Companion to Economic Forecasting by : Michael P. Clements

Download or read book A Companion to Economic Forecasting written by Michael P. Clements and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 616 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Companion to Economic Forecasting provides an accessible and comprehensive account of recent developments in economic forecasting. Each of the chapters has been specially written by an expert in the field, bringing together in a single volume a range of contrasting approaches and views. Uniquely surveying forecasting in a single volume, the Companion provides a comprehensive account of the leading approaches and modeling strategies that are routinely employed.

Estimating and Interpreting Forward Interest Rates

Author : Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451853750
Total Pages : 76 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Estimating and Interpreting Forward Interest Rates by : Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson

Download or read book Estimating and Interpreting Forward Interest Rates written by Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-09-01 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The use of forward interest rates as a monetary policy indicator is demonstrated, using Sweden 1992-1994 as an example. The forward rates are interpreted as indicating market expectations of the time-path of future interest rates, future inflation rates, and future currency depreciation rates. They separate market expectations for the short-, medium-, and long-term more easily than the standard yield curve. Forward rates are estimated with an extended and more flexible version of Nelson and Siegel’s functional form.

Empirical Asset Pricing

Author : Wayne Ferson
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262039370
Total Pages : 497 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Wayne Ferson

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective

Author : Vasant Naik
Publisher : CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN 13 : 1944960155
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (449 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective by : Vasant Naik

Download or read book Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective written by Vasant Naik and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2016-12-30 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Quantitative Management of Bond Portfolios

Author : Lev Dynkin
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691210616
Total Pages : 1000 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Quantitative Management of Bond Portfolios by : Lev Dynkin

Download or read book Quantitative Management of Bond Portfolios written by Lev Dynkin and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2020-05-26 with total page 1000 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The practice of institutional bond portfolio management has changed markedly since the late 1980s in response to new financial instruments, investment methodologies, and improved analytics. Investors are looking for a more disciplined, quantitative approach to asset management. Here, five top authorities from a leading Wall Street firm provide practical solutions and feasible methodologies based on investor inquiries. While taking a quantitative approach, they avoid complex mathematical derivations, making the book accessible to a wide audience, including portfolio managers, plan sponsors, research analysts, risk managers, academics, students, and anyone interested in bond portfolio management. The book covers a range of subjects of concern to fixed-income portfolio managers--investment style, benchmark replication and customization, managing credit and mortgage portfolios, managing central bank reserves, risk optimization, and performance attribution. The first part contains empirical studies of security selection versus asset allocation, index replication with derivatives and bonds, optimal portfolio diversification, and long-horizon performance of assets. The second part covers portfolio management tools for risk budgeting, bottom-up risk modeling, performance attribution, innovative measures of risk sensitivities, and hedging risk exposures. A first-of-its-kind publication from a team of practitioners at the front lines of financial thinking, this book presents a winning combination of mathematical models, intuitive examples, and clear language.

Economic Forecasting

Author : Graham Elliott
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691140138
Total Pages : 566 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Economic Forecasting by : Graham Elliott

Download or read book Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2016-04-05 with total page 566 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive and integrated approach to economic forecasting problems Economic forecasting involves choosing simple yet robust models to best approximate highly complex and evolving data-generating processes. This poses unique challenges for researchers in a host of practical forecasting situations, from forecasting budget deficits and assessing financial risk to predicting inflation and stock market returns. Economic Forecasting presents a comprehensive, unified approach to assessing the costs and benefits of different methods currently available to forecasters. This text approaches forecasting problems from the perspective of decision theory and estimation, and demonstrates the profound implications of this approach for how we understand variable selection, estimation, and combination methods for forecasting models, and how we evaluate the resulting forecasts. Both Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods are covered in depth, as are a range of cutting-edge techniques for producing point, interval, and density forecasts. The book features detailed presentations and empirical examples of a range of forecasting methods and shows how to generate forecasts in the presence of large-dimensional sets of predictor variables. The authors pay special attention to how estimation error, model uncertainty, and model instability affect forecasting performance. Presents a comprehensive and integrated approach to assessing the strengths and weaknesses of different forecasting methods Approaches forecasting from a decision theoretic and estimation perspective Covers Bayesian modeling, including methods for generating density forecasts Discusses model selection methods as well as forecast combinations Covers a large range of nonlinear prediction models, including regime switching models, threshold autoregressions, and models with time-varying volatility Features numerous empirical examples Examines the latest advances in forecast evaluation Essential for practitioners and students alike

Foundations of High-Yield Analysis

Author : Martin S. Fridson
Publisher : CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN 13 : 1944960546
Total Pages : 92 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (449 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Foundations of High-Yield Analysis by : Martin S. Fridson

Download or read book Foundations of High-Yield Analysis written by Martin S. Fridson and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2018-08-27 with total page 92 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the advent some 40 years ago of a vibrant primary market for speculative-grade corporate bonds, the high-yield market has evolved from a niche occupied by a small group of specialists into a full-fledged institutional investment category. Asset allocators and portfolio managers now have at their disposal the tools necessary for rigorous investment analysis, including financial statements of the issuers, indexes, trading prices, historical default rates, and time series on such credit factors as liquidity, ratings, and covenant quality. This research brief provides up-to-date techniques for extracting from the extensive data the information that can lead to sound investment decisions.

Fixed Income Analysis Workbook

Author : Barbara S. Petitt
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119627443
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (196 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Fixed Income Analysis Workbook by : Barbara S. Petitt

Download or read book Fixed Income Analysis Workbook written by Barbara S. Petitt and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-10-15 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: THE THOROUGHLY REVISED AND UPDATED FOURTH EDITION OF THE COMPANION WORKBOOK TO FIXED INCOME ANALYSIS Now in its fourth edition, the Fixed Income Analysis Workbook offers a range of practical information and exercises that will enhance your understanding of the tools, strategies, and techniques associated with fixed-income portfolio management. Written by a team of knowledgeable contributors, this hands-on resource helps busy professionals and those new to the discipline apply the concepts and methodologies that are essential for mastery. The Workbook is an accessible guide for understanding the metrics, methods, and mechanics as applied in the competitive world of fixed-income analysis. It also provides a stress-free way to practice the tools and techniques described in the companion text. The Fixed Income Analysis Workbook includes information and exercises to help you: Work real-world problems associated with fixed-income risk and return Review the fundamentals of asset-backed securities Comprehend the principles of credit analysis Understand the arbitrage-free valuation framework Practice important methods and techniques before applying them in actual situations The fourth edition provides updated coverage of fixed income portfolio management including detailed applications of liability-driven and index-based strategies, exposure to the major types of yield curve strategies, and practical approaches to implementing active credit strategies. For anyone who wants a more solid understanding of fixed-income portfolio management, the Fixed Income Analysis Workbook is a comprehensive and practical resource.

Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management

Author : Söhnke M. Bartram
Publisher : CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN 13 : 195292703X
Total Pages : 95 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (529 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management by : Söhnke M. Bartram

Download or read book Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management written by Söhnke M. Bartram and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2020-08-28 with total page 95 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Artificial intelligence (AI) has grown in presence in asset management and has revolutionized the sector in many ways. It has improved portfolio management, trading, and risk management practices by increasing efficiency, accuracy, and compliance. In particular, AI techniques help construct portfolios based on more accurate risk and return forecasts and more complex constraints. Trading algorithms use AI to devise novel trading signals and execute trades with lower transaction costs. AI also improves risk modeling and forecasting by generating insights from new data sources. Finally, robo-advisors owe a large part of their success to AI techniques. Yet the use of AI can also create new risks and challenges, such as those resulting from model opacity, complexity, and reliance on data integrity.

Advanced Bond Portfolio Management

Author : Frank J. Fabozzi
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0471785768
Total Pages : 578 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (717 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Advanced Bond Portfolio Management by : Frank J. Fabozzi

Download or read book Advanced Bond Portfolio Management written by Frank J. Fabozzi and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-03-08 with total page 578 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In order to effectively employ portfolio strategies that can control interest rate risk and/or enhance returns, you must understand the forces that drive bond markets, as well as the valuation and risk management practices of these complex securities. In Advanced Bond Portfolio Management, Frank Fabozzi, Lionel Martellini, and Philippe Priaulet have brought together more than thirty experienced bond market professionals to help you do just that. Divided into six comprehensive parts, Advanced Bond Portfolio Management will guide you through the state-of-the-art techniques used in the analysis of bonds and bond portfolio management. Topics covered include: General background information on fixed-income markets and bond portfolio strategies The design of a strategy benchmark Various aspects of fixed-income modeling that will provide key ingredients in the implementation of an efficient portfolio and risk management process Interest rate risk and credit risk management Risk factors involved in the management of an international bond portfolio Filled with in-depth insight and expert advice, Advanced Bond Portfolio Management is a valuable resource for anyone involved or interested in this important industry.