What Drives Mortgage Default Risk In Europe And The Us

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What Drives Mortgage Default Risk in Europe and the U.S.?

Author : Mr. Marco Gross
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis What Drives Mortgage Default Risk in Europe and the U.S.? by : Mr. Marco Gross

Download or read book What Drives Mortgage Default Risk in Europe and the U.S.? written by Mr. Marco Gross and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-04 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present an analysis of the sensitivity of household mortgage probabilities of default (PDs) and loss given default (LGDs) on unemployment rates, house price growth, interest rates, and other drivers. A structural micro-macro simulation model is used to that end. It is anchored in the balance sheets and income-expense flow data from about 95,000 households and 230,000 household members from 21 EU countries and the U.S. We present country-specific nonlinear regressions based on the structural model simulation-implied relation between PDs and LGDs and their drivers. These can be used for macro scenario-conditional forecasting, without requiring the conduct of the micro simulation. We also present a policy counterfactual analysis of the responsiveness of mortgage PDs, LGDs, and bank capitalization conditional on adverse scenarios related to the COVID-19 pandemic across all countries. The economics of debt moratoria and guarantees are discussed against the background of the model-based analysis.

The Impact of the Mortgage Credit Directive in Europe

Author : Miriam Anderson
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789089521989
Total Pages : 460 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (219 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of the Mortgage Credit Directive in Europe by : Miriam Anderson

Download or read book The Impact of the Mortgage Credit Directive in Europe written by Miriam Anderson and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How has European Private Law responded to the property and mortgage markets crisis? And in what way is this reaction likely to model domestic systems? The financial and economic crisis that marked the beginning of the century has had a devastating effect on the property and mortgage markets in many Member States of the European Union. Despite this, the European legislator took its time to respond. This book analyzes the impact of the Mortgage Credit Directive (Directive 2014/17) in twelve different jurisdictions: Belgium, England, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Malta, The Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, and Spain. The reports show how in some instances only certain products (such as foreign currency loans) or practices (irresponsible lending, homeownership promoting policies, the use of unfair terms) were factors that triggered the property crash; in other cases; the system completely failed to address an exceptional situation; and, finally, how in some instances prudent lending explained why the market was virtually not hit at all. This book aims to find out whether the two goals of Directive 2014/17 (financial sector stability and enhanced consumer protection) can be achieved in light of its provisions and of the transposition carried out by the different Member States, and whether the changes it introduces have a significant impact in the jurisdictions considered here. Some systems are already showing signs of yet another property bubble. There is room for hope: perhaps we have learned from the past, perhaps the Directive is a step forward, but more importantly this book shows that we can learn from each other. [Subject: European Law, Private Law, Property Law]

Complex Mortgages (CM)

Author : Gene Amromin
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1437987850
Total Pages : 57 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (379 download)

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Book Synopsis Complex Mortgages (CM) by : Gene Amromin

Download or read book Complex Mortgages (CM) written by Gene Amromin and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: CM became a popular borrowing instrument during the bullish housing market of the early 2000s but vanished rapidly during the subsequent downturn. These non-traditional loans (interest only, negative amortization, and teaser mortgages) enable households to postpone loan repayment compared to traditional mortgages and hence relax borrowing constraints. But, they increase household leverage and heighten dependence on mortgage refinancing. CM were chosen by prime borrowers with high income levels seeking to purchase expensive houses relative to their incomes. Borrowers with CM experience substantially higher ex post default rates than borrowers with traditional mortgages with similar characteristics. Illus. This is a print on demand report.

Heterogeneity of Bank Risk Weights in the EU

Author : Rima Turk-Ariss
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484302958
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Heterogeneity of Bank Risk Weights in the EU by : Rima Turk-Ariss

Download or read book Heterogeneity of Bank Risk Weights in the EU written by Rima Turk-Ariss and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-06-09 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Concerns about excessive variability in bank risk weights have prompted their review by regulators. This paper provides prima facie evidence on the extent of risk weight heterogeneity across broad asset classes and by country of counterparty for major banks in the European Union using internal models. It also finds that corporate risk weights are sensitive to the riskiness of an average representative firm, but not to a market indicator of a firm’s probablity of default. Under plausible yet severe hypothetical scenarios for harmonized risk weights, counterfactual capital ratios would decline significantly for some banks, but they would not experience a shortfall relative to Basel III’s minimum requirements. This, however, does not preclude falling short of meeting additional national supervisory capital requirements.

Revisiting Risk-Weighted Assets

Author : Vanessa Le Leslé
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475502656
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Revisiting Risk-Weighted Assets by : Vanessa Le Leslé

Download or read book Revisiting Risk-Weighted Assets written by Vanessa Le Leslé and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-03-01 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we provide an overview of the concerns surrounding the variations in the calculation of risk-weighted assets (RWAs) across banks and jurisdictions and how this might undermine the Basel III capital adequacy framework. We discuss the key drivers behind the differences in these calculations, drawing upon a sample of systemically important banks from Europe, North America, and Asia Pacific. We then discuss a range of policy options that could be explored to fix the actual and perceived problems with RWAs, and improve the use of risk-sensitive capital ratios.

Reducing Foreclosures

Author : Christopher Foote
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1437928773
Total Pages : 53 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (379 download)

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Book Synopsis Reducing Foreclosures by : Christopher Foote

Download or read book Reducing Foreclosures written by Christopher Foote and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2009 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Takes a skeptical look at a leading argument about what is causing the foreclosure crisis and what should be done to stop it. The authors focus on two key decisions: the borrower's choice to default on a mortgage and the lender's subsequent choice whether to renegotiate or modify the loan. Unaffordable loans, defined as those with high mortgage payments relative to income at origination, are unlikely to be the main reason that borrowers decide to default. The efficiency of foreclosure for investors is a more plausible explanation for the low number of modifications to date. Policies designed to reduce foreclosures should focus on ameliorating the effects of job loss rather than modifying loans to make them more affordable on a long-term basis. Illustrations.

The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report

Author : Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission
Publisher : Cosimo, Inc.
ISBN 13 : 1616405414
Total Pages : 692 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (164 download)

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Book Synopsis The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report by : Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission

Download or read book The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report written by Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission and published by Cosimo, Inc.. This book was released on 2011-05-01 with total page 692 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report, published by the U.S. Government and the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in early 2011, is the official government report on the United States financial collapse and the review of major financial institutions that bankrupted and failed, or would have without help from the government. The commission and the report were implemented after Congress passed an act in 2009 to review and prevent fraudulent activity. The report details, among other things, the periods before, during, and after the crisis, what led up to it, and analyses of subprime mortgage lending, credit expansion and banking policies, the collapse of companies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the federal bailouts of Lehman and AIG. It also discusses the aftermath of the fallout and our current state. This report should be of interest to anyone concerned about the financial situation in the U.S. and around the world.THE FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION is an independent, bi-partisan, government-appointed panel of 10 people that was created to "examine the causes, domestic and global, of the current financial and economic crisis in the United States." It was established as part of the Fraud Enforcement and Recovery Act of 2009. The commission consisted of private citizens with expertise in economics and finance, banking, housing, market regulation, and consumer protection. They examined and reported on "the collapse of major financial institutions that failed or would have failed if not for exceptional assistance from the government."News Dissector DANNY SCHECHTER is a journalist, blogger and filmmaker. He has been reporting on economic crises since the 1980's when he was with ABC News. His film In Debt We Trust warned of the economic meltdown in 2006. He has since written three books on the subject including Plunder: Investigating Our Economic Calamity (Cosimo Books, 2008), and The Crime Of Our Time: Why Wall Street Is Not Too Big to Jail (Disinfo Books, 2011), a companion to his latest film Plunder The Crime Of Our Time. He can be reached online at www.newsdissector.com.

Global Financial Stability Report

Author : International Monetary Fund Staff
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145197941X
Total Pages : 210 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Financial Stability Report by : International Monetary Fund Staff

Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report written by International Monetary Fund Staff and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-04-08 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The events of the past six months have demonstrated the fragility of the global financial system and raised fundamental questions about the effectiveness of the response by private and public sector institutions. the report assesses the vulnerabilities that the system is facing and offers tentative conclusions and policy lessons. the report reflects information available up to March 21, 2008.

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2017

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475564562
Total Pages : 126 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Financial Stability Report, April 2017 by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report, April 2017 written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-04-19 with total page 126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial stability has continued to improve since the October 2016 Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR). Economic activity has gained momentum, as outlined in the April 2017 World Economic Outlook (WEO), amid broadly accommodative monetary and financial conditions, spurring hopes for reflation. Chapter 2 analyzes the potential long-term impact of a scenario of sustained low growth and low real and nominal rates for the business models of financial institutions and the products offered by the financial sector. Chapter 3 examines whether countries still retain influence over their domestic financial conditions in a globally integrated financial system. The chapter develops financial conditions indices that make it possible to compare a large set of advanced and emerging market economies.

Nonperforming Loans in Asia and Europe—Causes, Impacts, and Resolution Strategies

Author : Asian Development Bank
Publisher : Asian Development Bank
ISBN 13 : 9292691163
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (926 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonperforming Loans in Asia and Europe—Causes, Impacts, and Resolution Strategies by : Asian Development Bank

Download or read book Nonperforming Loans in Asia and Europe—Causes, Impacts, and Resolution Strategies written by Asian Development Bank and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2021-12-01 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: High and persistent levels of nonperforming loans (NPLs) have featured prominently in recent financial crises. This book traces NPL trends during and after crises, examines the economic impact of high NPLs, and compares the effectiveness of NPL resolution strategies across economies in Asia and Europe. The book distills important lessons from the experiences of economies using case studies and empirical investigation of ways to resolve NPLs. These findings can be invaluable in charting a course through the financial and economic fallout of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic to recovery and sustained financial stability in Asia, Europe, and beyond.

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2013

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475589581
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Financial Stability Report, April 2013 by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report, April 2013 written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Global Financial Stability Report examines current risks facing the global financial system and policy actions that may mitigate these. It analyzes the key challenges facing financial and nonfinancial firms as they continue to repair their balance sheets. Chapter 2 takes a closer look at whether sovereign credit default swaps markets are good indicators of sovereign credit risk. Chapter 3 examines unconventional monetary policy in some depth, including the policies pursued by the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, and the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Credit Risk Analytics

Author : Bart Baesens
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119143985
Total Pages : 517 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (191 download)

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Book Synopsis Credit Risk Analytics by : Bart Baesens

Download or read book Credit Risk Analytics written by Bart Baesens and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-10-03 with total page 517 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The long-awaited, comprehensive guide to practical credit risk modeling Credit Risk Analytics provides a targeted training guide for risk managers looking to efficiently build or validate in-house models for credit risk management. Combining theory with practice, this book walks you through the fundamentals of credit risk management and shows you how to implement these concepts using the SAS credit risk management program, with helpful code provided. Coverage includes data analysis and preprocessing, credit scoring; PD and LGD estimation and forecasting, low default portfolios, correlation modeling and estimation, validation, implementation of prudential regulation, stress testing of existing modeling concepts, and more, to provide a one-stop tutorial and reference for credit risk analytics. The companion website offers examples of both real and simulated credit portfolio data to help you more easily implement the concepts discussed, and the expert author team provides practical insight on this real-world intersection of finance, statistics, and analytics. SAS is the preferred software for credit risk modeling due to its functionality and ability to process large amounts of data. This book shows you how to exploit the capabilities of this high-powered package to create clean, accurate credit risk management models. Understand the general concepts of credit risk management Validate and stress-test existing models Access working examples based on both real and simulated data Learn useful code for implementing and validating models in SAS Despite the high demand for in-house models, there is little comprehensive training available; practitioners are left to comb through piece-meal resources, executive training courses, and consultancies to cobble together the information they need. This book ends the search by providing a comprehensive, focused resource backed by expert guidance. Credit Risk Analytics is the reference every risk manager needs to streamline the modeling process.

Germany

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 104 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Germany by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Download or read book Germany written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-08-16 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The financial sector weathered COVID relatively well on the back of high pre-crisis capital and liquidity buffers, strong public and private sector balance sheets, and unprecedented public and ECB support. Immediate risks to Germany’s financial stability of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine appear to be manageable due to the banks’ limited direct exposures to Russia. However, risks associated with the economic fallout could impact some individual financial institutions, non-performing loans, and house prices. Real GDP growth was projected to regain momentum from mid-2022 onwards, but the war could hinder the recovery through supply constraints, higher-than-expected above-target inflation (with higher energy prices and supply constraints), a tightening of financial conditions, and shifts in investors’ confidence.

The Risks of Financial Institutions

Author : Mark Carey
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226092984
Total Pages : 669 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis The Risks of Financial Institutions by : Mark Carey

Download or read book The Risks of Financial Institutions written by Mark Carey and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 669 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Until about twenty years ago, the consensus view on the cause of financial-system distress was fairly simple: a run on one bank could easily turn to a panic involving runs on all banks, destroying some and disrupting the financial system. Since then, however, a series of events—such as emerging-market debt crises, bond-market meltdowns, and the Long-Term Capital Management episode—has forced a rethinking of the risks facing financial institutions and the tools available to measure and manage these risks. The Risks of Financial Institutions examines the various risks affecting financial institutions and explores a variety of methods to help institutions and regulators more accurately measure and forecast risk. The contributors--from academic institutions, regulatory organizations, and banking--bring a wide range of perspectives and experience to the issue. The result is a volume that points a way forward to greater financial stability and better risk management of financial institutions.

Macroprudential Policy and Bank Systemic Risk: Does Inflation Targeting Matter?

Author : Mohamed Belkhir
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroprudential Policy and Bank Systemic Risk: Does Inflation Targeting Matter? by : Mohamed Belkhir

Download or read book Macroprudential Policy and Bank Systemic Risk: Does Inflation Targeting Matter? written by Mohamed Belkhir and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-06-02 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates macroprudential policy effects on bank systemic risk and the role of inflation targeting in such effects. Using bank-level data for 45 countries comprising various monetary and exchange rate regimes, our regime-dependent dynamic panel regression results point to complementarities between monetary and macroprudential policies. We find that the tightening of most macroprudential tools—including DSTI and LTV limits, and capital requirements—reduces bank systemic risk further under inflation targeting. Our findings lend credence to the view that inflation targeting strengthens macroprudential policy roles in mitigating financial stability risks.

The National Homeownership Strategy

Author : United States. Department of Housing and Urban Development
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 120 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (121 download)

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Book Synopsis The National Homeownership Strategy by : United States. Department of Housing and Urban Development

Download or read book The National Homeownership Strategy written by United States. Department of Housing and Urban Development and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Global Waves of Debt

Author : M. Ayhan Kose
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464815453
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Waves of Debt by : M. Ayhan Kose

Download or read book Global Waves of Debt written by M. Ayhan Kose and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.