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Volume Opinion Divergence And Returns
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Book Synopsis Volume, Opinion Divergence and Returns by : Jon A. Garfinkel
Download or read book Volume, Opinion Divergence and Returns written by Jon A. Garfinkel and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the relationship between post-earnings announcement returns and different measures of volume at the earnings date. We find that post-event returns are strictly increasing in the component of volume that is unexplained by prior trading activity. We interpret unexplained volume as an indicator of opinion divergence among investors and conclude that post-event returns are increasing in ex-ante opinion divergence. Our evidence is consistent with Varian (1985) who suggests that opinion divergence may be treated as an additional risk factor affecting asset prices.
Book Synopsis Opinion Divergence and Post-Earnings Announcement Drift by : Kirsten L. Anderson
Download or read book Opinion Divergence and Post-Earnings Announcement Drift written by Kirsten L. Anderson and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the relationship between divergent opinions and post-earnings announcement drift. We provide an improved measure of opinion divergence constructed from the dispersion of order flow across Nasdaq market makers that captures the breadth of divergence that is lost by volume-based measures. We find evidence that both limited participation (in the form of delayed price reaction and short sale constraints) and divergent opinions contribute significantly to drift. We also find that earnings surprises induce permanent upward shifts in opinion divergence, trading volume, and return volatility that last up to nine months following the announcement. Our results suggest that opinion divergence elicits added risk in the form of increased volatility with the resulting returns comprising a component of drift. We document that daily opinion divergence is a priced risk factor over the nine month drift period. The persistence of these relationships suggests that opinion divergence represents a fundamental change in the market's assessment of the announcing firm that extends beyond the announcement period and influences post-announcement stock returns.
Book Synopsis Volume, Opinion Divergence and Book-to-Market Anomaly by : Sebahattin Demirkan
Download or read book Volume, Opinion Divergence and Book-to-Market Anomaly written by Sebahattin Demirkan and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ali et al (2003) finding about the mispricing explanation on B/M anomaly is replicated by including risk compensation explanation. The proxy for opinion divergence in this study is unexpected volume which is also used by Garfinkel and Sokobin (2006). The finding supported investors' treatment of unexpected volume proxies opinion divergence as an additional risk that requires ex post compensation. I documented that B/M effect increases with the opinion divergence. I also directly test Varian (1985) argument empirically and provide support for the compensation for risk to the B/M-based portfolio returns as suggested by Fama and French (1992, 1993, 1997).
Book Synopsis What Does Investors' Online Divergence of Opinion Tell Us about Stock Returns and Trading Volume? by : Alya Al-Nasseri
Download or read book What Does Investors' Online Divergence of Opinion Tell Us about Stock Returns and Trading Volume? written by Alya Al-Nasseri and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyse 289,443 online tweets from StockTwits and construct a divergence of opinion (disagreement) indicator for investigating the impact of disagreement on stock returns and trading volume. We find that the impact of disagreement on returns is asymmetric; it is negative (positive) during bull (bear) market periods. We also find that higher online disagreement increases trading volume; this effect is detected irrespective of whether the market is bullish or bearish. Moreover, portfolio strategies that are designed on the basis of our disagreement indicator are shown to generate abnormal profits. Overall, our results confirm the important role of belief dispersion in financial markets.
Book Synopsis The Convergence and Divergence of Investors' Opinions Around Earnings News by : Robert Charles Giannini
Download or read book The Convergence and Divergence of Investors' Opinions Around Earnings News written by Robert Charles Giannini and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We collect a unique dataset of Twitter posts to examine the change in investor disagreement around earnings announcements. We find that investors' opinions can either converge (reduced disagreement) or diverge (increased disagreement) around earnings announcements. The convergence and divergence of opinion has significant effects on trading volume and return. Consistent with theoretical predictions, both the convergence of opinion and the divergence of opinion are associated with greater volume reaction to earnings news. While the convergence of opinion is associated with lower earnings announcement returns, the divergence of opinion is associated with higher earnings announcement returns.
Book Synopsis Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) by : Cheng Few Lee
Download or read book Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) written by Cheng Few Lee and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2020-07-30 with total page 5053 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This four-volume handbook covers important concepts and tools used in the fields of financial econometrics, mathematics, statistics, and machine learning. Econometric methods have been applied in asset pricing, corporate finance, international finance, options and futures, risk management, and in stress testing for financial institutions. This handbook discusses a variety of econometric methods, including single equation multiple regression, simultaneous equation regression, and panel data analysis, among others. It also covers statistical distributions, such as the binomial and log normal distributions, in light of their applications to portfolio theory and asset management in addition to their use in research regarding options and futures contracts.In both theory and methodology, we need to rely upon mathematics, which includes linear algebra, geometry, differential equations, Stochastic differential equation (Ito calculus), optimization, constrained optimization, and others. These forms of mathematics have been used to derive capital market line, security market line (capital asset pricing model), option pricing model, portfolio analysis, and others.In recent times, an increased importance has been given to computer technology in financial research. Different computer languages and programming techniques are important tools for empirical research in finance. Hence, simulation, machine learning, big data, and financial payments are explored in this handbook.Led by Distinguished Professor Cheng Few Lee from Rutgers University, this multi-volume work integrates theoretical, methodological, and practical issues based on his years of academic and industry experience.
Book Synopsis Divergence of Opinion, Arbitrage Costs and Stock Returns by : Jin (Ginger) Wu
Download or read book Divergence of Opinion, Arbitrage Costs and Stock Returns written by Jin (Ginger) Wu and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we examine how divergence of opinion affect cross-sectional asset returns for different stocks with different arbitrage costs by employing a new proxy for divergence of opinion. We generalize Tauchen and Pitts' (1983) well-known Mixture of Distribution Hypothesis (MDH), which links asset volume and volatility in a way that derives a proxy for divergence of opinion among all individual investors. This new measure is a more reliable proxy for divergence of opinion among all individual investors than the existing proxies such as dispersion in analysts' earnings forecasts and turnover. We then use this measure of divergence of opinion in an empirical asset pricing analysis. In particular, we incorporate the crucial role of divergence of opinion in the determination of cross-sectional asset returns, establishing that when divergence of opinion is high, stock prices tend to be biased upwardly, resulting in lower future returns. These effects are especially pronounced for stocks with higher arbitrage costs including idiosyncratic risks, short sale costs, and other transaction costs, which are more difficult and costly to short sell. Hence the evidence for these stocks support Miller's (1977) view that, given short-sale constraints, observed prices overweight optimistic valuations. The predictions of recent theoretical work, such as Hong and Stein (2003), are valid only for stocks with less arbitrage costs. Also, our results suggest that the idiosyncratic risk, relative to other arbitrage cost measure, incrementally explain the divergence of opinon's effect on stock returns.
Book Synopsis The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies by : Leonard Zacks
Download or read book The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies written by Leonard Zacks and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-10-04 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Investment pioneer Len Zacks presents the latest academic research on how to beat the market using equity anomalies The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies organizes and summarizes research carried out by hundreds of finance and accounting professors over the last twenty years to identify and measure equity market inefficiencies and provides self-directed individual investors with a framework for incorporating the results of this research into their own investment processes. Edited by Len Zacks, CEO of Zacks Investment Research, and written by leading professors who have performed groundbreaking research on specific anomalies, this book succinctly summarizes the most important anomalies that savvy investors have used for decades to beat the market. Some of the anomalies addressed include the accrual anomaly, net stock anomalies, fundamental anomalies, estimate revisions, changes in and levels of broker recommendations, earnings-per-share surprises, insider trading, price momentum and technical analysis, value and size anomalies, and several seasonal anomalies. This reliable resource also provides insights on how to best use the various anomalies in both market neutral and in long investor portfolios. A treasure trove of investment research and wisdom, the book will save you literally thousands of hours by distilling the essence of twenty years of academic research into eleven clear chapters and providing the framework and conviction to develop market-beating strategies. Strips the academic jargon from the research and highlights the actual returns generated by the anomalies, and documented in the academic literature Provides a theoretical framework within which to understand the concepts of risk adjusted returns and market inefficiencies Anomalies are selected by Len Zacks, a pioneer in the field of investing As the founder of Zacks Investment Research, Len Zacks pioneered the concept of the earnings-per-share surprise in 1982 and developed the Zacks Rank, one of the first anomaly-based stock selection tools. Today, his firm manages U.S. equities for individual and institutional investors and provides investment software and investment data to all types of investors. Now, with his new book, he shows you what it takes to build a quant process to outperform an index based on academically documented market inefficiencies and anomalies.
Download or read book Short Selling written by Frank J. Fabozzi and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2004-11-17 with total page 434 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The latest theoretical and empirical evidence on short selling in the United States and throughout the world To get the most success out of what the finance community regards as a risky business, short sellers need high-level information. The Theory and Practice of Short Selling offers managers and investors the information they need to maximize and enhance their short selling capabilities for bigger profits. Frank Fabozzi collects a group of market experts who share their knowledge on everything from the basics to the complex in the world of short sales, including mechanics of short selling, the empirical evidence on short-selling, the implications or restrictions on short selling for investment strategies, short-selling strategies pursued by institutional investors, and identifying short-selling candidates. Frank J. Fabozzi, PhD, CFA (New Hope, PA), is the Frederick Frank Adjunct Professor of Finance at Yale University's School of Management and Editor of the Journal of Portfolio Management. He is the author or editor of over 100 books on finance and investing.
Book Synopsis Measuring Investors' Opinion Divergence by : Jon A. Garfinkel
Download or read book Measuring Investors' Opinion Divergence written by Jon A. Garfinkel and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Numerous proxies for divergence of investors' opinions have been suggested in the empirical accounting and finance literatures. I offer a new proxy constructed from proprietary limit order and market order data. This allows me to capture additional information on investors' private valuations. Proxies from the extant literature, based on publicly available data, do not contain such information. Given my new measure, I ask which of the extant proxies correlates best with it. In my regression analysis, unexplained volume is the best proxy for opinion divergence. Conditioning on various firm-specific and order-specific characteristics generally does not change this conclusion. The main exception is the sample of firms without IBES forecast dispersion data, for which bid-ask spread is the best proxy for opinion divergence. Factor analysis also suggests that unexplained volume is the preferred proxy for opinion divergence.
Book Synopsis Econophysics and Capital Asset Pricing by : James Ming Chen
Download or read book Econophysics and Capital Asset Pricing written by James Ming Chen and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-10-04 with total page 293 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book rehabilitates beta as a definition of systemic risk by using particle physics to evaluate discrete components of financial risk. Much of the frustration with beta stems from the failure to disaggregate its discrete components; conventional beta is often treated as if it were "atomic" in the original Greek sense: uncut and indivisible. By analogy to the Standard Model of particle physics theory's three generations of matter and the three-way interaction of quarks, Chen divides beta as the fundamental unit of systemic financial risk into three matching pairs of "baryonic" components. The resulting econophysics of beta explains no fewer than three of the most significant anomalies and puzzles in mathematical finance. Moreover, the model's three-way analysis of systemic risk connects the mechanics of mathematical finance with phenomena usually attributed to behavioral influences on capital markets. Adding consideration of volatility and correlation, and of the distinct cash flow and discount rate components of systematic risk, harmonizes mathematical finance with labor markets, human capital, and macroeconomics.
Book Synopsis Investing with Volume Analysis by : Buff Pelz Dormeier
Download or read book Investing with Volume Analysis written by Buff Pelz Dormeier and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2011-03-16 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the continual pursuit for higher profits, investors and traders alike often assume significantly higher risks while chasing the next hot opportunity. Other more sophisticated investors attempt to employ complicated indicators while not fully understanding the information the indicator was designed to reveal. On the other hand, savvy investors employ analysis to gauge the market, positioning themselves to potentially earn higher profits with significantly less risk. Volume analysis attempts to delve deep inside the market trends to help identify shifts within the markets. Investing with Volume Analysis: Identify, Follow, and Profit from Trendspresents an enlightened perspective on the role of volume, not only in pragmatic terms but also in terms of apprehending the underlying rationale of how and why. Award-winning technical analyst Buff Pelz Dormeier teaches state-of-the-art methods for analyzing the relationship of volume to price movements and the evolution of market trends.
Book Synopsis Expectations and the Structure of Share Prices by : John G. Cragg
Download or read book Expectations and the Structure of Share Prices written by John G. Cragg and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2009-05-15 with total page 185 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: John G. Cragg and Burton G. Malkiel collected detailed forecasts of professional investors concerning the growth of 175 companies and use this information to examine the impact of such forecasts on the market evaluations of the companies and to test and extend traditional models of how stock market values are determined.
Book Synopsis Proceedings of 20th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management by : Ershi Qi
Download or read book Proceedings of 20th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management written by Ershi Qi and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-12-17 with total page 1145 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management is sponsored by the Chinese Industrial Engineering Institution, CMES, which is the only national-level academic society for Industrial Engineering. The conference is held annually as the major event in this arena. Being the largest and the most authoritative international academic conference held in China, it provides an academic platform for experts and entrepreneurs in the areas of international industrial engineering and management to exchange their research findings. Many experts in various fields from China and around the world gather together at the conference to review, exchange, summarize and promote their achievements in the fields of industrial engineering and engineering management. For example, some experts pay special attention to the current state of the application of related techniques in China as well as their future prospects, such as green product design, quality control and management, supply chain and logistics management to address the need for, amongst other things low-carbon, energy-saving and emission-reduction. They also offer opinions on the outlook for the development of related techniques. The proceedings offers impressive methods and concrete applications for experts from colleges and universities, research institutions and enterprises who are engaged in theoretical research into industrial engineering and engineering management and its applications. As all the papers are of great value from both an academic and a practical point of view, they also provide research data for international scholars who are investigating Chinese style enterprises and engineering management.
Book Synopsis Advances in Pacific Basin Business, Economics and Finance by : Cheng-Few Lee
Download or read book Advances in Pacific Basin Business, Economics and Finance written by Cheng-Few Lee and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2020-09-09 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advances in Pacific Basin Business, Economics, and Finance is an annual publication designed to focus on interdisciplinary research in finance, economics, accounting and management among Pacific Rim countries.
Book Synopsis Excess Volatility, Learning, and Divergence of Opinion in Financial Markets Under Rational Expectations by : John Peter Hussman
Download or read book Excess Volatility, Learning, and Divergence of Opinion in Financial Markets Under Rational Expectations written by John Peter Hussman and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Volume Based Portfolio Strategies by : Alexander Brändle
Download or read book Volume Based Portfolio Strategies written by Alexander Brändle and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-06-28 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Alexander Brändle investigates the relationship between different measures of trading volume and returns in the Swiss stock market. He discovers that stocks with unusual trading volume in a given month experience systematically higher subsequent returns.
