TAIL RISK HEDGING: Creating Robust Portfolios for Volatile Markets

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Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 0071791760
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (717 download)

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Book Synopsis TAIL RISK HEDGING: Creating Robust Portfolios for Volatile Markets by : Vineer Bhansali

Download or read book TAIL RISK HEDGING: Creating Robust Portfolios for Volatile Markets written by Vineer Bhansali and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2013-12-27 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "TAIL RISKS" originate from the failure of mean reversion and the idealized bell curve of asset returns, which assumes that highly probable outcomes occur near the center of the curve and that unlikely occurrences, good and bad, happen rarely, if at all, at either "tail" of the curve. Ever since the global financial crisis, protecting investments against these severe tail events has become a priority for investors and money managers, but it is something Vineer Bhansali and his team at PIMCO have been doing for over a decade. In one of the first comprehensive and rigorous books ever written on tail risk hedging, he lays out a systematic approach to protecting portfolios from, and potentially benefiting from, rare yet severe market outcomes. Tail Risk Hedging is built on the author's practical experience applying macroeconomic forecasting and quantitative modeling techniques across asset markets. Using empirical data and charts, he explains the consequences of diversification failure in tail events and how to manage portfolios when this happens. He provides an easy-to-use, yet rigorous framework for protecting investment portfolios against tail risk and using tail hedging to play offense. Tail Risk Hedging explores how to: Generate profits from volatility and illiquidity during tail-risk events in equity and credit markets Buy attractively priced tail hedges that add value to a portfolio and quantify basis risk Interpret the psychology of investors in option pricing and portfolio construction Customize explicit hedges for retirement investments Hedge risk factors such as duration risk and inflation risk Managing tail risk is today's most significant development in risk management, and this thorough guide helps you access every aspect of it. With the time-tested and mathematically rigorous strategies described here, including pieces of computer code, you get access to insights to help mitigate portfolio losses in significant downturns, create explosive liquidity while unhedged participants are forced to sell, and create more aggressive yet tail-risk-focused portfolios. The book also gives you a unique, higher level view of how tail risk is related to investing in alternatives, and of derivatives such as zerocost collars and variance swaps. Volatility and tail risks are here to stay, and so should your clients' wealth when you use Tail Risk Hedging for managing portfolios. PRAISE FOR TAIL RISK HEDGING: "Managing, mitigating, and even exploiting the risk of bad times are the most important concerns in investments. Bhansali puts tail risk hedging and tail risk management under a microscope--pricing, implementation, and showing how we can fine-tune our risk exposures, which are all crucial ways in how we can better weather our bad times." -- ANDREW ANG, Ann F. Kaplan Professor of Business at Columbia University "This book is critical and accessible reading for fiduciaries, financial consultants and investors interested in both theoretical foundations and practical considerations for how to frame hedging downside risk in portfolios. It is a tremendous resource for anyone involved in asset allocation today." -- CHRISTOPHER C. GECZY, Ph.D., Academic Director, Wharton Wealth Management Initiative and Adj. Associate Professor of Finance, The Wharton School "Bhansali's book demonstrates how tail risk hedging can work, be concretely implemented, and lead to higher returns so that it is possible to have your cake and eat it too! A must read for the savvy investor." -- DIDIER SORNETTE, Professor on the Chair of Entrepreneurial Risks, ETH Zurich

Volatility Vs. Tail Risk

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility Vs. Tail Risk by : James X. Xiong

Download or read book Volatility Vs. Tail Risk written by James X. Xiong and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research that has led to what is known as the “low volatility anomaly” in cross-sectional stocks from a similar universe indicates that volatility is not compensated with a “volatility” premium. We find evidence of a risk premium, but it depends on the definition or measure of risk. “Tail risk” measures the probability of having significant losses and should be what investors care about the most. We investigated several risk measures, including volatility and tail risk, and found that volatility is not compensated but tail risk is compensated with higher expected return in both U.S. and non-U.S. equity funds.

Volatility of Volatility and Tail Risk Premiums

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (931 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility of Volatility and Tail Risk Premiums by : Yang-ho Park

Download or read book Volatility of Volatility and Tail Risk Premiums written by Yang-ho Park and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Tail Risk Hedging

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781782720805
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (28 download)

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Book Synopsis Tail Risk Hedging by : Andrew Rozanov

Download or read book Tail Risk Hedging written by Andrew Rozanov and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Risk-Based and Factor Investing

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0081008112
Total Pages : 488 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk-Based and Factor Investing by : Emmanuel Jurczenko

Download or read book Risk-Based and Factor Investing written by Emmanuel Jurczenko and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2015-11-24 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a compilation of recent articles written by leading academics and practitioners in the area of risk-based and factor investing (RBFI). The articles are intended to introduce readers to some of the latest, cutting edge research encountered by academics and professionals dealing with RBFI solutions. Together the authors detail both alternative non-return based portfolio construction techniques and investing style risk premia strategies. Each chapter deals with new methods of building strategic and tactical risk-based portfolios, constructing and combining systematic factor strategies and assessing the related rules-based investment performances. This book can assist portfolio managers, asset owners, consultants, academics and students who wish to further their understanding of the science and art of risk-based and factor investing. Contains up-to-date research from the areas of RBFI Features contributions from leading academics and practitioners in this field Features discussions of new methods of building strategic and tactical risk-based portfolios for practitioners, academics and students

Unperturbed by Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781791983536
Total Pages : 371 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (835 download)

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Book Synopsis Unperturbed by Volatility by : Florent Segonne

Download or read book Unperturbed by Volatility written by Florent Segonne and published by . This book was released on 2019-01-21 with total page 371 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Central to all investment allocation and risk management is being clear on what risks one is being compensated for in the reward delivered. In an era of increasingly interlaced markets, assessing this correctly is paramount, but often used measures such as volatility can in practice be inadequate and misleading without other serious and often more important considerations. Unperturbed by Volatility takes a deep look at the essential features of real-world financial markets, analyzing the strengths and the limitations of various metrics, techniques and methods, where these can be tweaked to work, where metrics such as volatility break down, and where in practice we must seek constructions that make such errors manageable. Primary themes also include the limits of data, and the role of market extremes - both up and down and in both risk and opportunity. Relevant issues are diagnosed within a consistent framework that forces market realities to the fore and from which useful conclusions can be drawn. All available market instruments are put to full use. Unperturbed by Volatility is built on strong theoretical grounds and practical insights. Drawing on applicable elements from diverse quantitative disciplines, from probability theory to statistical tools to quantitative finance and others, the book requires some prior knowledge but its delivery is not heavily mathematical. The simple, robust and useful is given preference over the technically fancy. The book serves as a reference and source of ideas and intuition for quantitative traders, portfolio managers, risk managers, financial economists and regulatory professionals, amongst others, as well as researchers in related areas.

Tail Risk Killers: How Math, Indeterminacy, and Hubris Distort Markets

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Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 0071784918
Total Pages : 385 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (717 download)

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Book Synopsis Tail Risk Killers: How Math, Indeterminacy, and Hubris Distort Markets by : Jeffrey McGinn

Download or read book Tail Risk Killers: How Math, Indeterminacy, and Hubris Distort Markets written by Jeffrey McGinn and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2012-01-06 with total page 385 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reshape your investing strategy for an increasingly uncertain world “An engrossing, fast-paced, terrific read for anyone interested in the financial imbalances due to too much reliance on math and too little respect for indeterminacy.” —Tyler Durden, ZeroHedge.com The world does not unfold according to a fixed set of rules. It is a dynamical system whose evolution looks like a bell curve with fat “tails.” The same is true of financial markets. However, every day we rely on the certainty and precision of mathematical strategies that assume the contrary to control and grow wealth in markets. Tail Risk Killers shows you how the rigidity of model-based thinking has led to the fragility of today’s global financial marketplace, and it explains how to use adaptive trading strategies to mitigate risk in impending market conditions. Risk management veteran Jeff McGinn pokes holes in prevalent assumptions about how financial markets act that tend to underestimate the likelihood of occurrence of extreme events. Through clear, conversational writing, real-world anecdotes, and easy-tofollow formulas, he provides a glimpse into the way tomorrow’s successful traders are viewing financial markets—with an eye for probability distributions. While illustrating how to protect your assets from tail risk, he shows you how to: Implement the six axioms for risk management Prepare for the unintended consequences of central banks suppressing tail risk Identify and avoid the dark risks hidden in today’s derivative-laden financial system Anticipate the fate of credit default swaps that may not face extinction McGinn argues that the intervention of central banks has robbed global markets of their opportunities to adapt, but this highly relevant book shows you that it is not too late to adapt your portfolio to survive the extreme events that happen more often than popular financial models suggest. Tail Risk Killers helps you discover useful information and processes beyond the focus of industry standards, helps you connect the dots of evolving trading strategies and time your next trade for maximum profitability.

Volatility-of-Volatility and Tail Risk Hedging Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility-of-Volatility and Tail Risk Hedging Returns by : Yang-Ho Park

Download or read book Volatility-of-Volatility and Tail Risk Hedging Returns written by Yang-Ho Park and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reports that the volatility-of-volatility implied by VIX options has predictability for tail risk hedging returns. Specifically, an increase in the volatility-of-volatility as measured by the VVIX index raises current prices of tail risk hedging options, such as S&P 500 puts and VIX calls, and lowers their subsequent returns over the next three to four weeks. The results are robust to jump risk, skewness, kurtosis, option liquidity, variance risk premium, and limit of arbitrage. The predictability can be explained by either risk premiums for a time-varying crash risk factor or uncertainty premiums for a time-varying uncertain belief in volatility.

A New Heuristic Measure of Fragility and Tail Risks

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475505663
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis A New Heuristic Measure of Fragility and Tail Risks by : Mr.Nassim N. Taleb

Download or read book A New Heuristic Measure of Fragility and Tail Risks written by Mr.Nassim N. Taleb and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-01 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a simple heuristic measure of tail risk, which is applied to individual bank stress tests and to public debt. Stress testing can be seen as a first order test of the level of potential negative outcomes in response to tail shocks. However, the results of stress testing can be misleading in the presence of model error and the uncertainty attending parameters and their estimation. The heuristic can be seen as a second order stress test to detect nonlinearities in the tails that can lead to fragility, i.e., provide additional information on the robustness of stress tests. It also shows how the measure can be used to assess the robustness of public debt forecasts, an important issue in many countries. The heuristic measure outlined here can be used in a variety of situations to ascertain an ordinal ranking of fragility to tail risks.

Tail Risk Mitigation with Managed Volatility Strategies

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Tail Risk Mitigation with Managed Volatility Strategies by : Anna Dreyer

Download or read book Tail Risk Mitigation with Managed Volatility Strategies written by Anna Dreyer and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Managed volatility strategies adjust market exposure in inverse relation to a risk estimate, to stabilize realized portfolio volatility through time. Our paper examines strategy performance from an investment practitioner perspective. Using long-term data from the Standard & Poor's 500, we show that these strategies offer an improvement in risk-adjusted return compared with a buy-and-hold benchmark, on average, but with some variation. Managed volatility strategies achieve robust tail-risk reduction while also enhancing skewness. These return normalization features are inherently linked to the nature of the volatility stabilization mechanism. We illustrate them via utility-based metrics that reward the tail-risk reduction emanating from volatility stabilization. These enhancements are economically meaningful for many time horizons and holding period combinations, and they remain once transaction costs have been included, suggesting a durable and tangible value-add from managed volatility strategies. They also suggest a more appropriate way to measure the performance improvements of tail-risk-mitigating strategies.

Market Liquidity

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521191769
Total Pages : 293 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (211 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Liquidity by : Yakov Amihud

Download or read book Market Liquidity written by Yakov Amihud and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013 with total page 293 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the effect of liquidity on asset prices, liquidity variations over time and how liquidity risk affects prices.

Dynamic Models for Volatility and Heavy Tails

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107328780
Total Pages : 281 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (73 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Models for Volatility and Heavy Tails by : Andrew C. Harvey

Download or read book Dynamic Models for Volatility and Heavy Tails written by Andrew C. Harvey and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-04-22 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The volatility of financial returns changes over time and, for the last thirty years, Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models have provided the principal means of analyzing, modeling and monitoring such changes. Taking into account that financial returns typically exhibit heavy tails - that is, extreme values can occur from time to time - Andrew Harvey's new book shows how a small but radical change in the way GARCH models are formulated leads to a resolution of many of the theoretical problems inherent in the statistical theory. The approach can also be applied to other aspects of volatility. The more general class of Dynamic Conditional Score models extends to robust modeling of outliers in the levels of time series and to the treatment of time-varying relationships. The statistical theory draws on basic principles of maximum likelihood estimation and, by doing so, leads to an elegant and unified treatment of nonlinear time-series modeling.

Volatility Vs. Downside Risk

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility Vs. Downside Risk by : Diana Barro

Download or read book Volatility Vs. Downside Risk written by Diana Barro and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As a consequence of recent market conditions an increasing number of investors are realizing the importance of controlling tail risk to reduce drawdowns thus increasing possibilities of achieving long-term objectives. Recently, so called volatility control strategies and volatility target approaches to investment have gained a lot of interest as strategies able to mitigate tail risk and produce better risk-adjusted returns. Essentially these are rule-based backward looking strategies in which no optimization is considered. In this contribution we focus on the role of volatility in downside risk reduction and, in particular, in tail risk reduction. The first contribution of our paper is to provide a viable way to integrate a target volatility approach, into a multiperiod portfolio optimization model, through the introduction of a local volatility control approach. Our optimized volatility control is contrasted with existing rule-based target volatility strategies, in an out-of sample simulation on real data, to assess the improvement that can be obtained from the optimization process.A second contribution of this work is to study the interaction between volatility control and downside risk control. We show that combining the two tools we can enhance the possibility of achieving the desired performance objectives and, simultaneously, we reduce the cost of hedging.The multiperiod portfolio optimization problem is formulated in a stochastic programming framework that provides the necessary flexibility for dealing with different constraints and multiple sources of risk.

Tail Risks Across Investment Funds

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 67 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Tail Risks Across Investment Funds by : Jerchern Lin

Download or read book Tail Risks Across Investment Funds written by Jerchern Lin and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Managed portfolios are subject to tail risks, which can be either index level (systematic) or fund-specific. Examples of fund-specific extreme events include those due to big bets or fraud. This paper studies the two components in relation to compensation structure in managed portfolios. A simple model generates fund-specific tail risk and its asymmetric dependence on the market, and makes predictions for where such risks should be concentrated. The model predicts that systematic tail risks increase with an increased weight on systematic returns in compensation and idiosyncratic tail risks increase with the degree of convexity in contracts. The model predictions are supported with empirical results. Hedge funds are subject to higher idiosyncratic tail risks and Exchange Traded Funds exhibit higher systematic tail risks. In skewness and kurtosis decompositions, I find that coskewness is an important source for fund skewness, but fund kurtosis is driven by cokurtosis, as well as volatility comovement and residual kurtosis, with the importance of these components varying across fund types. Investors are subject to different sources of skewness and fat tail risks through delegated investments. Volatility based tail risk hedging is not effective for all fund styles and types.

The Dao of Capital

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118416678
Total Pages : 375 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (184 download)

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Book Synopsis The Dao of Capital by : Mark Spitznagel

Download or read book The Dao of Capital written by Mark Spitznagel and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-08-16 with total page 375 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As today's preeminent doomsday investor Mark Spitznagel describes his Daoist and roundabout investment approach, “one gains by losing and loses by gaining.” This is Austrian Investing, an archetypal, counterintuitive, and proven approach, gleaned from the 150-year-old Austrian School of economics, that is both timeless and exceedingly timely. In The Dao of Capital, hedge fund manager and tail-hedging pioneer Mark Spitznagel—with one of the top returns on capital of the financial crisis, as well as over a career—takes us on a gripping, circuitous journey from the Chicago trading pits, over the coniferous boreal forests and canonical strategists from Warring States China to Napoleonic Europe to burgeoning industrial America, to the great economic thinkers of late 19th century Austria. We arrive at his central investment methodology of Austrian Investing, where victory comes not from waging the immediate decisive battle, but rather from the roundabout approach of seeking the intermediate positional advantage (what he calls shi), of aiming at the indirect means rather than directly at the ends. The monumental challenge is in seeing time differently, in a whole new intertemporal dimension, one that is so contrary to our wiring. Spitznagel is the first to condense the theories of Ludwig von Mises and his Austrian School of economics into a cohesive and—as Spitznagel has shown—highly effective investment methodology. From identifying the monetary distortions and non-randomness of stock market routs (Spitznagel's bread and butter) to scorned highly-productive assets, in Ron Paul's words from the foreword, Spitznagel “brings Austrian economics from the ivory tower to the investment portfolio.” The Dao of Capital provides a rare and accessible look through the lens of one of today's great investors to discover a profound harmony with the market process—a harmony that is so essential today.

The Tail Risk of Hedge Fund Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (912 download)

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Book Synopsis The Tail Risk of Hedge Fund Returns by :

Download or read book The Tail Risk of Hedge Fund Returns written by and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I test whether recently proposed, stock market-based tail risk measures explain hedge fund returns. The tail risk measures are TAIL (Kelly and Jiang; 2014), LBVIX (Agarwal, Arisoy, and Naik; 2014), VVIX (Park; 2013), and variations of these measures. The hedge fund data is a variety of hedge fund indices and different samples of individual hedge funds drawn from the Lipper/TASS database. Using EUR-denominated stocks and hedge funds instead of USD-denominated stocks and hedge funds, I test the results of Kelly and Jiang (2012) by applying their methodology to the Eurozone. The results are qualitatively identical, lending support to the claim that TAIL is a risk factor for hedge funds. On the other hand, I find evidence against the claim that TAIL suitably represents tail risk. Incorporating a weighting factor for the stocks' market capitalizations in the calculation of TAIL leads to a more plausible but very different evolution of TAIL and reverses the effect of TAIL in the cross-section of hedge fund returns. Ultimately, no evidence remains for the claim that exposure to tail risk is compensated with higher overall returns. In the second part of this paper, I replicate the results of Agarwal, Arisoy, and Naik (2014) and perform additional robustness tests that confirm the relevance of the second-order volatility measure LBVIX for hedge fund returns. These results extend to the VVIX as an alternative, non-investable measure of second-order volatility. Hedge funds that are more negatively exposed to second-order volatility achieve higher average excess and alpha returns. Following Park (2013), I decompose VVIX into the integrated volatility of volatility (IVV) and the jump variation (VJUMP). This decomposition allows a further and novel analysis of the relationship between second-order volatility and hedge fund returns. I find that it is not the exposure to volatility jumps but to diffusive movements in volatility that is negative.

Volatility and Correlation

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470091401
Total Pages : 864 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility and Correlation by : Riccardo Rebonato

Download or read book Volatility and Correlation written by Riccardo Rebonato and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-07-08 with total page 864 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Volatility and Correlation 2nd edition: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox, Rebonato looks at derivatives pricing from the angle of volatility and correlation. With both practical and theoretical applications, this is a thorough update of the highly successful Volatility & Correlation – with over 80% new or fully reworked material and is a must have both for practitioners and for students. The new and updated material includes a critical examination of the ‘perfect-replication’ approach to derivatives pricing, with special attention given to exotic options; a thorough analysis of the role of quadratic variation in derivatives pricing and hedging; a discussion of the informational efficiency of markets in commonly-used calibration and hedging practices. Treatment of new models including Variance Gamma, displaced diffusion, stochastic volatility for interest-rate smiles and equity/FX options. The book is split into four parts. Part I deals with a Black world without smiles, sets out the author’s ‘philosophical’ approach and covers deterministic volatility. Part II looks at smiles in equity and FX worlds. It begins with a review of relevant empirical information about smiles, and provides coverage of local-stochastic-volatility, general-stochastic-volatility, jump-diffusion and Variance-Gamma processes. Part II concludes with an important chapter that discusses if and to what extent one can dispense with an explicit specification of a model, and can directly prescribe the dynamics of the smile surface. Part III focusses on interest rates when the volatility is deterministic. Part IV extends this setting in order to account for smiles in a financially motivated and computationally tractable manner. In this final part the author deals with CEV processes, with diffusive stochastic volatility and with Markov-chain processes. Praise for the First Edition: “In this book, Dr Rebonato brings his penetrating eye to bear on option pricing and hedging.... The book is a must-read for those who already know the basics of options and are looking for an edge in applying the more sophisticated approaches that have recently been developed.” —Professor Ian Cooper, London Business School “Volatility and correlation are at the very core of all option pricing and hedging. In this book, Riccardo Rebonato presents the subject in his characteristically elegant and simple fashion...A rare combination of intellectual insight and practical common sense.” —Anthony Neuberger, London Business School