Vector Error Correction Model of Real Output Monetary and Fiscal Policy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (479 download)

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Book Synopsis Vector Error Correction Model of Real Output Monetary and Fiscal Policy by : Moh'd Hasan Al-Azzam

Download or read book Vector Error Correction Model of Real Output Monetary and Fiscal Policy written by Moh'd Hasan Al-Azzam and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Effects of Monetary Policy in the US. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) compared to the Structural Autoregressive Model (SVAR)

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3668548625
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (685 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effects of Monetary Policy in the US. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) compared to the Structural Autoregressive Model (SVAR) by : Colin Tissen

Download or read book The Effects of Monetary Policy in the US. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) compared to the Structural Autoregressive Model (SVAR) written by Colin Tissen and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2017-10-13 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research Paper (undergraduate) from the year 2017 in the subject Mathematics - Applied Mathematics, grade: 8.5, , course: Empirical Econometrics II, language: English, abstract: This paper investigates the effects of monetary policy in the US by comparing a system of equations – estimated from a VECM (vector error correction model) – to a SVAR (structural autoregressive) model. Vector error-correction models are used when there exists long-run equilibrium relation-ships between non-stationary data integrated of the same order. Those models imply that the stationary transformations of the variables adapt to disequilibria between the non-stationary variables in the model. In contrast, SVAR models focus on the contemporaneous interdependence between the variables. The authors apply these two methods on a model with a contractionary monetary policy which affects the short-term interest rate. Following Sims and Zha the authors use a shock to the Treasury Bill rate instead of a shock to the Federal Funds rate. The paper continues as follows. First, a description of the data is given. Secondly, it presents a system of equations built from the LSE approach, aiming at macroeconomic simulations. Thirdly, it compares results obtained from the previous part to those obtained using SVAR impulse response functions (IRFs) identified with sign restrictions. The paper focuses on the impact of the simulated policies or monetary shocks on GDP and its growth rate.

The Effects of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand in a Small Open Economy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effects of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand in a Small Open Economy by : Tetsuya Konuki

Download or read book The Effects of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand in a Small Open Economy written by Tetsuya Konuki and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Monetary and Fiscal Policy in an Integrated Europe

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642798179
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (427 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary and Fiscal Policy in an Integrated Europe by : Barry Eichengreen

Download or read book Monetary and Fiscal Policy in an Integrated Europe written by Barry Eichengreen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this volume, a group of distinguished economists and political scientists analyze the political economy of European integration, evaluating recent developments in European monetary and fiscal policy. They consider the current situation, as well as the prospects for an Integrated Europe. The book is unique in combining perspectives from economics and political science and provides an in-depth analysis of the new European institutions. The book will be of great interest to observers, scholars, and students of European economic and political affairs, macroeconomic policy, institutional analysis, and comparative and international political economy. Published in conjunction with "Politics and Institutions in an Integrated Europe" by the same editors.

Essays on Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in Small Open Economies

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 474 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (896 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in Small Open Economies by : Thitima Chucherd

Download or read book Essays on Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in Small Open Economies written by Thitima Chucherd and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis addresses interactions between monetary and fiscal policies in a theoretical dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model of a small open economy and in an empirical model under a structural vector error correction model (SVECM). The thesis consists of three essays. The contribution is both theoretical and empirical that enables a better understanding of the complexity of interactions between monetary and fiscal policies in small open economies. The first essay examines the equilibrium determinacy under monetary and fiscal rules. The goal is to investigate how monetary and fiscal policy interactions ensure a unique and non-explosive (determinate) equilibrium for a small open economy. The study focuses when policy makers implement a set of policy mixes to address domestic output price inflation control for monetary policy, debt stabilization for fiscal policy, and joint output stabilization tasks. The result indicates that two policy schemes facilitate a determinate equilibrium. First, monetary policy actively controls inflation when fiscal policy sets a sufficient feedback on debt. Second, monetary policy becomes passive against inflation when fiscal policy is insolvent. Adding output stabilization to each rule simply causes variants of this fundamental. An interest rate rule with output stabilization can be more passive against inflation while providing a stronger response to the output gap. Fiscal policy is required to set higher feedback on debt along with its stronger counter-cyclical policy. The second essay links between the equilibrium determinacy and policy optimization. This essay provides insights into the design of policy mixes and compares determinacy outcomes between two theoretical models of a small open economy: with and without an explicit exchange rate role. This study shows that policy interactions in a small open economy with an endogenous exchange rate is quite sophisticated, especially when a monetary rule is added with an output stabilization task and/or targeted to Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation. Additional concern for monetary policy in an open economy causes a partial offset to its reaction on domestic output price inflation that weakens its effect on the real debt burden. To minimize economic fluctuations, policy makers should mute the role of output stabilization for monetary policy, and set minimum feedback on debt that is compatible with the degree of counter-cyclical fiscal policy. Substantially active response to inflation is satisfactory for monetary policy with CPI inflation targeting. The third essay empirically presents monetary and fiscal policy interactions in Thailand's SVECM suggested by a theoretical DSGE model developed from the previous essays. This essay shows that the DSGE-SVECM model can be supported by Thai data. A shock to monetary policy is effective with a lag. Government spending policy is also effective with a lag and some crowding-out effects on output. An adverse shock in tax policy unexpectedly stimulates the economy, indicating room for enhancing economic growth by relaxing revenue constraint. Monetary policy is mainly implemented to correct a consequence of a fiscal shock on inflation (and also the domestic and foreign shocks), while fiscal policy appears to counter a consequence of the monetary policy shock on output.

Fiscal and Monetary Policy and Economic Growth in Nigeria. A Comparative Analysis

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 366857491X
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (685 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal and Monetary Policy and Economic Growth in Nigeria. A Comparative Analysis by : Emmanuel Elakhe

Download or read book Fiscal and Monetary Policy and Economic Growth in Nigeria. A Comparative Analysis written by Emmanuel Elakhe and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2017-11-20 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2016 in the subject Economics - Other, grade: 3.67, , course: Development Economics, language: English, abstract: The study examined the impact of government fiscal and monetary policies on economic growth within the period of 33 years (1981-2014). Time series data were derived from the Central Bank of Nigeria statistical bulletin, while the method of analysis was the Johansen Cointegration test, vector error correction method and the Wald test of coefficient. The result of the findings showed that there is a significant relationship between explanatory variables (government expenditure, interest rate and money supply) taken jointly and the dependent variable (real gross domestic product) in the long run. The coefficient of error correction term is -0.02 showing a 2% yearly adjustment towards the long run equilibrium. This proves that there is a relationship between the dependent variable- real gross domestic product and the independent variables - government expenditure, money supply and interest rate in the long run. The estimated coefficients of the short run model indicate no significant relationship between the dependent variable real gross domestic product and independent variables government expenditure, money supply and interest rates taken together but individually a short run relationship exist between the fiscal variable (government expenditure) and real GDP and between the monetary variable (money supply and interest rate) and real GDP. The policy implication of these findings is that more strategies needs to be put in place in order to ensure that monetary and fiscal policies taken jointly positively impacts on economic growth the in the shortrun.

Engineering Design and Mathematical Modelling

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000260135
Total Pages : 203 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Engineering Design and Mathematical Modelling by : Nnamdi Nwulu

Download or read book Engineering Design and Mathematical Modelling written by Nnamdi Nwulu and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-12-17 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Engineering Design and Mathematical Modelling: Concepts and Applications consists of chapters that span the Engineering design and mathematical modelling domains. Engineering design and mathematical modelling are key tools/techniques in the Science, Technology and Innovation spheres. Whilst engineering design is concerned with the creation of functional innovative products and processes, mathematical modelling seeks to utilize mathematical principles and concepts to describe and control real world phenomena. Both of these can be useful tools for spurring and hastening progress in developing countries. They are also areas where Africa needs to ‘skill-up’ in order to build a technological base. The chapters in this book cover the relevant research trends in the fields of both engineering design and mathematical modelling. This book was originally published as a special issue of the African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development.

Yemen

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451865694
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Yemen by : Mr.Faisal Ahmed

Download or read book Yemen written by Mr.Faisal Ahmed and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-01-01 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the likely implications of declining oil production on Yemen's equilibrium exchange rate, and discusses policy options to ensure a smooth transition to a nonoil economy. The empirical results suggest that, as oil production and foreign exchange earnings fall, the Yemeni rial will have to adjust downward in real effective terms to keep pace with the equilibrium exchange rate. In light of strong pass-through from exchange rate depreciation to domestic inflation, this could entail a substantial depreciation in nominal terms. Given the nature of the adjustment, a floating exchange rate regime appears to be the best option, if supported by appropriate macroeconomic policies. However, given public fixation on a exchange rate stability, a softly managed float would be a better option for Yemen whereby the central bank may have to lead the market toward the equilibrium exchange rate.

Cyclical Fluctuation, Growth, and Stabilization

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Cyclical Fluctuation, Growth, and Stabilization by : Sakil Ahmmed

Download or read book Cyclical Fluctuation, Growth, and Stabilization written by Sakil Ahmmed and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In conventional economics, two types of macroeconomic policy i.e. fiscal policy and monetary policy are used to streamline the business cycle. This paper has examined the cyclical behavior of these variables over the business cycle of Bangladesh. The objective of this examination is to show whether policies (fiscal policy and monetary policy) in Bangladesh are taken with a motive to stabilize the economy or only to promote economic growth. In other words, it has examined whether the policies in Bangladesh are procyclical or countercyclical or acyclical. Hodrick Prescott (HP) filter has been used to separate the cyclical component of considered variables. Both correlation and regression-based analysis have provided that in Bangladesh government expenditure and interest rates behave procyclically, but money supply behaves acyclically over the business cycle. Besides, this paper has tried to identify the long-term as well as the short-term relationship between real GDP and the macroeconomic policy variables with the help of the Johansen cointegration test, vector error correction model (VECM), and block exogeneity Wald test. Through these analyses, this study has found that fiscal policy has a significant impact on GDP growth both in the short-run and long-run. In the case of monetary policy, although the interest rate has an impact on real output both in the short-run and long-run, the money supply has neither a short-run nor long-run effect on output growth.

Monetary Theory and Policy

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262232319
Total Pages : 636 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (323 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Theory and Policy by : Carl E. Walsh

Download or read book Monetary Theory and Policy written by Carl E. Walsh and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2003 with total page 636 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An overview of recent theoretical and policy-related developments in monetary economics.

Challenges in Fiscal and Monetary Policies in Mongolia

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811993653
Total Pages : 255 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (119 download)

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Book Synopsis Challenges in Fiscal and Monetary Policies in Mongolia by : Hiroyuki Taguchi

Download or read book Challenges in Fiscal and Monetary Policies in Mongolia written by Hiroyuki Taguchi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-02-11 with total page 255 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides quantitative evidence on the issues in fiscal and monetary policies in Mongolia and presents necessary policy recommendations for policymakers and academic circles. Mongolia belongs to a natural resource-based, transition economy and thus has faced the risk of the so-called resource curse—including the “Dutch Disease” and immaturity in market-based systems, particularly in financial markets. Consequently, reformations of resource allocation and policy governance in fiscal and monetary fields have been required. So far, however, there have been only a very limited number of quantitative studies in the Mongolian economy among the vast literature of Asian studies. This book applies scientific approaches to address fiscal and monetary issues, such as data-oriented and econometric methods (a structural vector auto-regression model, a spatial econometric model, and panel estimation with fixed effects, among others). In this manner, the book enriches empirical evidence in academic literature and also contributes to evidence-based policymaking. All the authors are young leaders of government officials in the Ministry of Finance, Financial Regulatory Commission, and National Statistics Office in Mongolia, who have been trained in academic research methodologies at Saitama University, Japan, on JICA-JDS scholarships. Thus, academic researchers and policymakers will be prominent members of the target audience for this work.

Structural Changes and their Econometric Modeling

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030042634
Total Pages : 776 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Structural Changes and their Econometric Modeling by : Vladik Kreinovich

Download or read book Structural Changes and their Econometric Modeling written by Vladik Kreinovich and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-11-24 with total page 776 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on structural changes and economic modeling. It presents papers describing how to model structural changes, as well as those introducing improvements to the existing before-structural-changes models, making it easier to later on combine these models with techniques describing structural changes. The book also includes related theoretical developments and practical applications of the resulting techniques to economic problems. Most traditional mathematical models of economic processes describe how the corresponding quantities change with time. However, in addition to such relatively smooth numerical changes, economical phenomena often undergo more drastic structural change. Describing such structural changes is not easy, but it is vital if we want to have a more adequate description of economic phenomena – and thus, more accurate and more reliable predictions and a better understanding on how best to influence the economic situation.

Inflation Targeting in Practice

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557758897
Total Pages : 108 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (588 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting in Practice by : Mr.Mario I. Bléjer

Download or read book Inflation Targeting in Practice written by Mr.Mario I. Bléjer and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2000-08-21 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A growing number of countries are anchoring their monetary policy through explicit inflation targeting. This policy has already scored remarkable successes in several countries, establishing central bank credibility, and reining in inflation where it had long been stubbornly high. But implementing inflation targets raises many difficult questions. What prerequisites must an economy and its institutions meet for the strategy to work? What choices should central banks make from the menu of possible variations on the basic approach? This book summarizes the discussions in a seminar at which economists and policymakers from ten countries reviewed their experiences with inflation targeting.

Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Economic Management and Green Development

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9819705231
Total Pages : 2095 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Economic Management and Green Development by : Xiaolong Li

Download or read book Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Economic Management and Green Development written by Xiaolong Li and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 2095 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

What Drives Prices in Egypt?

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Publisher : American University in Cairo Press
ISBN 13 : 1617973858
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (179 download)

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Book Synopsis What Drives Prices in Egypt? by : Hanaa Kheir-El-Din

Download or read book What Drives Prices in Egypt? written by Hanaa Kheir-El-Din and published by American University in Cairo Press. This book was released on 2009-10-01 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since 2004, economic reforms in Egypt have led to robust expansion, a healthy external position, and enhanced investor confidence. But despite these positive macroeconomic developments, inflation has been steadily rising. Does fiscal policy threaten price stability? Does wage growth in the Egyptian economy lead price inflation, or is it the reverse? In this volume, these and other questions are examined by contributors who participated in a conference held in Cairo in late 2007. Here is a coherent and comprehensive analysis of the factors driving prices in Egypt, in an attempt to find a satisfactory balance between prices and economic growth. While Egypt is the focus of the analysis, the papers draw upon the relevant literature, and international experience, the findings can be applied to other middle-income economies. This timely study helps to explain the complex issues facing economists and policymakers, with proposals for reform. Contributors: Hala Abou-Ali, Hala Fares, Omneia A. Helmy, Alaa Ibrahim, Hanaa Kheir-El-Din, Rania Al-Mashat, Diaa Noureldin, Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, and Sherine Al-Shawarby.

Relative Effectiveness of Policy Choices During the Global Financial Crisis in SEACEN Economies

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 516 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Relative Effectiveness of Policy Choices During the Global Financial Crisis in SEACEN Economies by : Rupa Dheerasinghe

Download or read book Relative Effectiveness of Policy Choices During the Global Financial Crisis in SEACEN Economies written by Rupa Dheerasinghe and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 516 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policies

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451844239
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policies by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policies written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-03-01 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recently, monetary authorities have increasingly focused on implementing policies to ensure price stability and strengthen central bank independence. Simultaneously, in the fiscal area, market development has allowed public debt managers to focus more on cost minimization. This “divorce” of monetary and debt management functions in no way lessens the need for effective coordination of monetary and fiscal policy if overall economic performance is to be optimized and maintained in the long term. This paper analyzes these issues based on a review of the relevant literature and of country experiences from an institutional and operational perspective.