Unpredictable Events And The Stock Market

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How Novelty and Narratives Drive the Stock Market

Author : Nicholas Mangee
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108983588
Total Pages : 451 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis How Novelty and Narratives Drive the Stock Market by : Nicholas Mangee

Download or read book How Novelty and Narratives Drive the Stock Market written by Nicholas Mangee and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2021-10-14 with total page 451 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Animal spirits' is a term that describes the instincts and emotions driving human behaviour in economic settings. In recent years, this concept has been discussed in relation to the emerging field of narrative economics. When unscheduled events hit the stock market, from corporate scandals and technological breakthroughs to recessions and pandemics, relationships driving returns change in unforeseeable ways. To deal with uncertainty, investors engage in narratives which simplify the complexity of real-time, non-routine change. This book assesses the novelty-narrative hypothesis for the U.S. stock market by conducting a comprehensive investigation of unscheduled events using big data textual analysis of financial news. This important contribution to the field of narrative economics finds that major macro events and associated narratives spill over into the churning stream of corporate novelty and sub-narratives, spawning different forms of unforeseeable stock market instability.

The Black Swan

Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher : Random House Digital, Inc.
ISBN 13 : 0812979184
Total Pages : 388 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis The Black Swan by : Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Download or read book The Black Swan written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and published by Random House Digital, Inc.. This book was released on 2009-10-13 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the author's point of view, a black swan is an improbable event with three principal characteristics - It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'.

The Mind of Wall Street

Author : Leon Levy
Publisher : PublicAffairs
ISBN 13 : 0786730153
Total Pages : 237 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (867 download)

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Book Synopsis The Mind of Wall Street by : Leon Levy

Download or read book The Mind of Wall Street written by Leon Levy and published by PublicAffairs. This book was released on 2009-03-25 with total page 237 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As stock prices and investor confidence have collapsed in the wake of Enron, WorldCom, and the dot-com crash, people want to know how this happened and how to make sense of the uncertain times to come. Into the breach comes one of Wall Street's legendary investors, Leon Levy, to explain why the market so often confounds us, and why those who ought to understand it tend to get chewed up and spat out. Levy, who pioneered many of the innovations and investment instruments that we now take for granted, has prospered in every market for the past fifty years, particularly in today's bear market. In The Mind of Wall Street he recounts stories of his successes and failures to illustrate how investor psychology and willful self-deception so often play critical roles in the process. Like his peers George Soros and Warren Buffett, Levy takes a long and broad view of the rhythms of the markets and the economy. He also offers a provocative analysis of the spectacular Internet bubble, showing that the market has not yet completely recovered from its bout of "irrational exuberance." The Mind of Wall Street is essential reading for all of us, whether we are active traders or simply modest contributors to our 401(k) plans, as volatile and unnerving markets come to define so much of our net worth.

Why Stock Markets Crash

Author : Didier Sornette
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400885094
Total Pages : 449 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Why Stock Markets Crash by : Didier Sornette

Download or read book Why Stock Markets Crash written by Didier Sornette and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-03-21 with total page 449 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of materials. In this book, Didier Sornette boldly applies his varied experience in these areas to propose a simple, powerful, and general theory of how, why, and when stock markets crash. Most attempts to explain market failures seek to pinpoint triggering mechanisms that occur hours, days, or weeks before the collapse. Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a "bubble." Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions--among them, that the "end of the growth era" will occur around 2050. Sornette probes major historical precedents, from the decades-long "tulip mania" in the Netherlands that wilted suddenly in 1637 to the South Sea Bubble that ended with the first huge market crash in England in 1720, to the Great Crash of October 1929 and Black Monday in 1987, to cite just a few. He concludes that most explanations other than cooperative self-organization fail to account for the subtle bubbles by which the markets lay the groundwork for catastrophe. Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome Why Stock Markets Crash as a highly original "scientific tale," as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome--but no longer quite so unfathomable--world of stock markets.

A Random Walk Down Wall Street: The Time-Tested Strategy for Successful Investing (Ninth Edition)

Author : Burton G. Malkiel
Publisher : W. W. Norton & Company
ISBN 13 : 0393330338
Total Pages : 454 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (933 download)

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Book Synopsis A Random Walk Down Wall Street: The Time-Tested Strategy for Successful Investing (Ninth Edition) by : Burton G. Malkiel

Download or read book A Random Walk Down Wall Street: The Time-Tested Strategy for Successful Investing (Ninth Edition) written by Burton G. Malkiel and published by W. W. Norton & Company. This book was released on 2007-12-17 with total page 454 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Updated with a new chapter that draws on behavioral finance, the field that studies the psychology of investment decisions, the bestselling guide to investing evaluates the full range of financial opportunities.

Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics

Author : Seungho Jung
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1557759677
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (577 download)

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Book Synopsis Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics by : Seungho Jung

Download or read book Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics written by Seungho Jung and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-10-22 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate how corporate stock returns respond to geopolitical risk in the case of South Korea, which has experienced large and unpredictable geopolitical swings that originate from North Korea. To do so, a monthly index of geopolitical risk from North Korea (the GPRNK index) is constructed using automated keyword searches in South Korean media. The GPRNK index, designed to capture both upside and downside risk, corroborates that geopolitical risk sharply increases with the occurrence of nuclear tests, missile launches, or military confrontations, and decreases significantly around the times of summit meetings or multilateral talks. Using firm-level data, we find that heightened geopolitical risk reduces stock returns, and that the reductions in stock returns are greater especially for large firms, firms with a higher share of domestic investors, and for firms with a higher ratio of fixed assets to total assets. These results suggest that international portfolio diversification and investment irreversibility are important channels through which geopolitical risk affects stock returns.

Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets

Author : Wing-Keung Wong
Publisher : Mdpi AG
ISBN 13 : 9783036530802
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets by : Wing-Keung Wong

Download or read book Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets written by Wing-Keung Wong and published by Mdpi AG. This book was released on 2022-02-17 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Efficient Market Hypothesis believes that it is impossible for an investor to outperform the market because all available information is already built into stock prices. However, some anomalies could persist in stock markets while some other anomalies could appear, disappear and re-appear again without any warning. A Special Issue on "Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets" will be devoted to advancements in the theoretical development of market efficiency and anomaly in the Stock Market, as well as applications in Stock Market efficiency and anomalies.

Handbook of Corporate Finance

Author : Bjørn Espen Eckbo
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080488919
Total Pages : 559 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Corporate Finance by : Bjørn Espen Eckbo

Download or read book Handbook of Corporate Finance written by Bjørn Espen Eckbo and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2007-05-21 with total page 559 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Judging by the sheer number of papers reviewed in this Handbook, the empirical analysis of firms' financing and investment decisions—empirical corporate finance—has become a dominant field in financial economics. The growing interest in everything "corporate is fueled by a healthy combination of fundamental theoretical developments and recent widespread access to large transactional data bases. A less scientific—but nevertheless important—source of inspiration is a growing awareness of the important social implications of corporate behavior and governance. This Handbook takes stock of the main empirical findings to date across an unprecedented spectrum of corporate finance issues, ranging from econometric methodology, to raising capital and capital structure choice, and to managerial incentives and corporate investment behavior. The surveys are written by leading empirical researchers that remain active in their respective areas of interest. With few exceptions, the writing style makes the chapters accessible to industry practitioners. For doctoral students and seasoned academics, the surveys offer dense roadmaps into the empirical research landscape and provide suggestions for future work.*The Handbooks in Finance series offers a broad group of outstanding volumes in various areas of finance*Each individual volume in the series should present an accurate self-contained survey of a sub-field of finance*The series is international in scope with contributions from field leaders the world over

The Front Office

Author : Tom Costello
Publisher : Https: //Www.Isbnservices.COM
ISBN 13 : 9781637958476
Total Pages : 344 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (584 download)

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Book Synopsis The Front Office by : Tom Costello

Download or read book The Front Office written by Tom Costello and published by Https: //Www.Isbnservices.COM. This book was released on 2021-02-05 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Getting into the Hedge Fund industry is hard, being successful in the hedge fund industry is even harder. But the most successful people in the hedge fund industry all have some ideas in common that often mean the difference between success and failure. The Front Office is a guide to those ideas. It's a manual for learning how to think about markets in the way that's most likely to lead to sustained success in the way that the top Institutions, Investment Banks and Hedge Funds do. Anyone can tell you how to register a corporation or how to connect to a lawyer or broker. This isn't a book about those 'back office' issues. This is a book about the hardest part of running a hedge fund. The part that the vast majority of small hedge funds and trading system developers never learn on their own. The part that the accountants, settlement clerks, and back office staffers don't ever see. It explains why some trading systems never reach profitability, why some can't seem to stay profitable, and what to do about it if that happens to you. This isn't a get rich quick book for your average investor. There are no easy answers in it. If you need someone to explain what a stock option is or what Beta means, you should look somewhere else. But if you think you're ready to reach for the brass ring of a career in the institutional investing world, this is an excellent guide. This book explains what those people see when they look at the markets, and what nearly all of the other investors never do.

Navigating the Stock Market

Author : Arshad Khan
Publisher : Stylus Publishing, LLC
ISBN 13 : 1501519697
Total Pages : 527 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (15 download)

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Book Synopsis Navigating the Stock Market by : Arshad Khan

Download or read book Navigating the Stock Market written by Arshad Khan and published by Stylus Publishing, LLC. This book was released on 2024-03-30 with total page 527 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is ideal for individual investors, financial analysts, portfolio managers, and anyone interested in gaining a deeper understanding of stock market investing. It demystifies the complexities of the stock market, offering insightful strategies and practical advice for investors of all levels. Key topics include laying the groundwork of investing through research, numerous buying strategies, techniques for selling to maximize returns and minimize losses, and using AI integration to master the nuances of risk management. The book covers a wide array of topics to equip you with the knowledge and tools necessary for successful stock investing. FEATURES: Explores the impact of artificial intelligence on stock market investing and how to leverage it for better decision-making Covers foundational concepts to advanced topics to provide a thorough understanding of stock market dynamics Discusses numerous buying and selling techniques for maximizing returns and minimizing losses

Small Cap Millionaire 2.0

Author : Bill Ross
Publisher : FriesenPress
ISBN 13 : 1038310784
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (383 download)

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Book Synopsis Small Cap Millionaire 2.0 by : Bill Ross

Download or read book Small Cap Millionaire 2.0 written by Bill Ross and published by FriesenPress. This book was released on with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Small Cap Millionaire, is a roadmap for those looking for financial freedom and investment success. The book describes a proven methodology for investing and trading successfully in small cap stocks. It is designed for the self directed investor or professional stock broker looking to add value into the small cap component of their portfolio.

Insider Trading and the Stock Market

Author : Henry G. Manne
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 296 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (49 download)

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Book Synopsis Insider Trading and the Stock Market by : Henry G. Manne

Download or read book Insider Trading and the Stock Market written by Henry G. Manne and published by . This book was released on 1966 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles

Author : Jeffrey A. Hirsch
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 111828349X
Total Pages : 245 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (182 download)

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Book Synopsis The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles by : Jeffrey A. Hirsch

Download or read book The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles written by Jeffrey A. Hirsch and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-07-11 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Jeffrey Hirsch discusses how to capture market-beating returns by following specific stock market cycles While predicting the direction of the stock market at any given point is difficult, it's a fact that the market exhibits well-defined and sometimes predictable patterns. While cycles do not repeat exactly all of the time, statistical evidence suggests that cyclical tendencies are very strong and should not be ignored by investors. The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles will show you how to profit from these recurring stock market patterns and cycles. Written by Jeffrey Hirsch, President of the Hirsch Organization and Editor-in-Chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac, this reliable resource explains why these cycles occur, provides the historical evidence behind them, and shows you how to capture consistent profits from them moving forward. In addition to describing his most widely followed cycles and patters, Hirsch also discusses both longer term boom-bust economic cycles and shorter term tendencies involving the best days, weeks, and months of the year to trade the market. The methods found here follow everything from presidential election cycles to the "Santa Claus" effect Written by Jeffrey Hirsch, the pre-eminent authority on market cycles and seasonal patterns The strategies explored are easy-to-implement, and based on research that has proven profitable over the course of time For investors looking to beat the buy-and-hold philosophy, The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles will provide simple, actionable ideas that have stood the test of time and consistently outperformed the market.

Extreme Events in Finance

Author : Francois Longin
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118650190
Total Pages : 638 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (186 download)

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Book Synopsis Extreme Events in Finance by : Francois Longin

Download or read book Extreme Events in Finance written by Francois Longin and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-10-17 with total page 638 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A guide to the growing importance of extreme value risk theory, methods, and applications in the financial sector Presenting a uniquely accessible guide, Extreme Events in Finance: A Handbook of Extreme Value Theory and Its Applications features a combination of the theory, methods, and applications of extreme value theory (EVT) in finance and a practical understanding of market behavior including both ordinary and extraordinary conditions. Beginning with a fascinating history of EVTs and financial modeling, the handbook introduces the historical implications that resulted in the applications and then clearly examines the fundamental results of EVT in finance. After dealing with these theoretical results, the handbook focuses on the EVT methods critical for data analysis. Finally, the handbook features the practical applications and techniques and how these can be implemented in financial markets. Extreme Events in Finance: A Handbook of Extreme Value Theory and Its Applications includes: Over 40 contributions from international experts in the areas of finance, statistics, economics, business, insurance, and risk management Topical discussions on univariate and multivariate case extremes as well as regulation in financial markets Extensive references in order to provide readers with resources for further study Discussions on using R packages to compute the value of risk and related quantities The book is a valuable reference for practitioners in financial markets such as financial institutions, investment funds, and corporate treasuries, financial engineers, quantitative analysts, regulators, risk managers, large-scale consultancy groups, and insurers. Extreme Events in Finance: A Handbook of Extreme Value Theory and Its Applications is also a useful textbook for postgraduate courses on the methodology of EVTs in finance.

The Physics of Wall Street

Author : James Owen Weatherall
Publisher : Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
ISBN 13 : 0547317271
Total Pages : 309 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (473 download)

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Book Synopsis The Physics of Wall Street by : James Owen Weatherall

Download or read book The Physics of Wall Street written by James Owen Weatherall and published by Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. This book was released on 2013 with total page 309 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A young scholar tells the story of the physicists and mathematicians who created the models that have become the basis of modern finance and argues that these models are the "solution" to--not the source of--our current economic woes.

Automated Trading with R

Author : Chris Conlan
Publisher : Apress
ISBN 13 : 1484221788
Total Pages : 217 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (842 download)

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Book Synopsis Automated Trading with R by : Chris Conlan

Download or read book Automated Trading with R written by Chris Conlan and published by Apress. This book was released on 2016-09-28 with total page 217 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Learn to trade algorithmically with your existing brokerage, from data management, to strategy optimization, to order execution, using free and publicly available data. Connect to your brokerage’s API, and the source code is plug-and-play. Automated Trading with R explains automated trading, starting with its mathematics and moving to its computation and execution. You will gain a unique insight into the mechanics and computational considerations taken in building a back-tester, strategy optimizer, and fully functional trading platform. The platform built in this book can serve as a complete replacement for commercially available platforms used by retail traders and small funds. Software components are strictly decoupled and easily scalable, providing opportunity to substitute any data source, trading algorithm, or brokerage. This book will: Provide a flexible alternative to common strategy automation frameworks, like Tradestation, Metatrader, and CQG, to small funds and retail traders Offer an understanding of the internal mechanisms of an automated trading system Standardize discussion and notation of real-world strategy optimization problems What You Will Learn Understand machine-learning criteria for statistical validity in the context of time-series Optimize strategies, generate real-time trading decisions, and minimize computation time while programming an automated strategy in R and using its package library Best simulate strategy performance in its specific use case to derive accurate performance estimates Understand critical real-world variables pertaining to portfolio management and performance assessment, including latency, drawdowns, varying trade size, portfolio growth, and penalization of unused capital Who This Book Is For Traders/practitioners at the retail or small fund level with at least an undergraduate background in finance or computer science; graduate level finance or data science students

Fooled by Randomness

Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher : Random House
ISBN 13 : 1588367673
Total Pages : 369 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (883 download)

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Book Synopsis Fooled by Randomness by : Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Download or read book Fooled by Randomness written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and published by Random House. This book was released on 2008-10-14 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives. The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared. Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year