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Uncovered Interest Parity At Distant Horizons
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Book Synopsis Uncovered Interest Parity at Distant Horizons by : Arnaud Mehl
Download or read book Uncovered Interest Parity at Distant Horizons written by Arnaud Mehl and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper tests for uncovered interest parity (UIP) at distant horizons for the US and its main trading partners, including both mature and emerging market economies, also exploring the existence of nonlinearities. At long and medium horizons, it finds support in favour of the standard, linear, specification of UIP for dollar rates vis-à-vis major floating currencies, but not vis-à-vis emerging market currencies. Moreover, the paper finds evidence that, not only yield differentials widen, but that US bond yields do react in anticipation of exchange rate movements, notably when these take place vis-à-vis major floating currencies. Last, the paper detects signs of nonlinearities in UIP at the medium term horizon for dollar rates vis-à-vis some of the major floating currencies, albeit surrounded by some uncertainty.
Book Synopsis Uncovered Interest Parity at Long Horizons by : Arnaud Mehl
Download or read book Uncovered Interest Parity at Long Horizons written by Arnaud Mehl and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates uncovered interest parity (UIP) at long horizons using bilateral US dollar rates vis-à-vis mature economy and emerging market currencies. The paper finds support in favor of UIP for dollar rates vis-à-vis major mature economy currencies, but far less against emerging market currencies. There are also signs that political risk and the exchange risk premium help explain the empirical failure of UIP for these latter currencies. This suggests that whether UIP holds depends more on the currency than on the horizon.
Book Synopsis Uncovered Interest Parity and Monetary Policy Near and Far from the Zero Lower Bound by : Menzie David Chinn
Download or read book Uncovered Interest Parity and Monetary Policy Near and Far from the Zero Lower Bound written by Menzie David Chinn and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Relying upon a standard New Keynesian DSGE, the authors propose an explanation for two empirical findings in the international finance literature. First, the unbiasedness hypothesis - the proposition that expost exchange rate depreciation matches interest differentials - is rejected much more strongly at short horizons than at long. Second, even at long horizons, the unbiasedness hypothesis tends to be rejected when one of the currencies has experienced a long period of low interest rates, such as in Japan and Switzerland. Using a calibrated New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model, the authors show how a monetary policy rule can induce the negative (positive) correlation between depreciation and interest differentials at short (long) horizons. The tendency to reject unbiasedness for Japan and Switzerland even at long horizons they attribute to the interaction of the monetary reaction function and the zero lower bound.
Book Synopsis Covered Interest Parity Deviations: Macrofinancial Determinants by : Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti
Download or read book Covered Interest Parity Deviations: Macrofinancial Determinants written by Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-01-16 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For about three decades until the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), Covered Interest Parity (CIP) appeared to hold quite closely—even as a broad macroeconomic relationship applying to daily or weekly data. Not only have CIP deviations significantly increased since the GFC, but potential macrofinancial drivers of the variation in CIP deviations have also become significant. The variation in CIP deviations seems to be associated with multiple factors, not only regulatory changes. Most of these do not display a uniform importance across currency pairs and time, and some are associated with possible temporary considerations (such as asynchronous monetary policy cycles).
Book Synopsis Long-horizon Uncovered Interest Rate Parity by : Guy Meredith
Download or read book Long-horizon Uncovered Interest Rate Parity written by Guy Meredith and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncovered interest parity (UIP) has been almost universally rejected in studies of exchange rate movements, although there is little consensus on why it fails. In contrast to previous studies, which have used relatively short-horizon data, we test UIP using interest rates on longer-maturity bonds for the G-7 countries. These long-horizon regressions yield much more support for UIP -- all the coefficients on interest differentials are of the correct sign, and almost all are closer to the UIP value of unity than to the zero coefficient implied by the random walk hypothesis. We then use a small macroeconomic model to explain the differences between the short- and long-horizon results. Regressions run on data generated by stochastic simulations replicate the important regularities in the actual data, including the sharp differences between short- and long-horizon parameters. In the short run from risk premium shocks in the face of endogenous monetary policy. In the long run, in contrast, exchange rate movements are driven by the "fundamentals," leading to a relationship between interest rates and exchange rates that is more consistent with UIP.
Book Synopsis International Currency Exposure by : Yin-Wong Cheung
Download or read book International Currency Exposure written by Yin-Wong Cheung and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2017-07-14 with total page 323 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Issues in debates about foreign currency exposure—the denomination of liabilities or assets in foreign currency. The foreign currency denomination of contracts in international transactions can lead to international currency exposure at the country level with important economic and policy implications. When debts are denominated in foreign currency and revenues in domestic currency, exchange rate fluctuations can result in balance sheet effects for countries with either net asset or liability positions. Moreover, currency mismatch between assets and liabilities can be a cause for crises in developing and emerging economies. This book looks at the issues surrounding foreign currency exposure in today's increasingly integrated world economy. The contributors draw on cross-country as well as country-specific data. They consider international currency risk after the Swiss franc ended its one-sided peg with the euro, for example, and the foreign exchange positions of firms in Turkey and Russia. Other contributors take macroeconomic perspectives, examining the potential effects of exchange rate realignment, the pressure to appreciate on countries with current account surpluses, and the currency exposure in international trade. Finally, contributors consider the issue from finance and political economy perspectives, addressing the phenomenon of the forward premium puzzle and discussing geopolitical aspects ascending currencies. Contributors Fatih Altunok, Huseyin Aytug, Agustín S. Bénétrix, Jörg Breitung, Paul De Grauwe, Eiji Fujii, Peter Garber, Juann H. Hung, Signe Krogstrup, Philip R. Lane, Katja Mann, Arif Oduncu, Gunther Schnabl, Maria V. Sokolova, Cédric Tille
Book Synopsis Uncovered Interest Parity, Forward Guidance, and the Exchange Rate by : Jordi Galí
Download or read book Uncovered Interest Parity, Forward Guidance, and the Exchange Rate written by Jordi Galí and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Under uncovered interest parity (UIP), the size of the effect on the real exchange rate of an anticipated change in real interest rate differentials is invariant to the horizon at which the change is expected. Empirical evidence using US, euro area and UK data points to a substantial deviation from that invariance prediction: expectations of interest rate differentials in the near (distant) future are shown to have much larger (smaller) effects on the real exchange rate than is implied by UIP. Some possible explanations are discussed.
Book Synopsis Uncovered Interest Parity by : Mr.Peter Isard
Download or read book Uncovered Interest Parity written by Mr.Peter Isard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-05 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This note provides an overview of the uncovered interest parity assumption. It traces the history of the interest parity concept, summarizes evidence on the empirical validity of uncovered interest parity, and discusses the implications for macroeconomic analysis. The uncovered interest parity assumption has been an important building block in multiperiod and continuous time models of open economies, and although its validity is strongly challenged by the empirical evidence, its retention in macroeconomic models is supported on pragmatic grounds, at least for the time being, by the lack of much empirical support for existing models of the exchange risk premium.
Book Synopsis Uncovered Interest Parity in Crisis by : Robert P. Flood
Download or read book Uncovered Interest Parity in Crisis written by Robert P. Flood and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Paper tests for uncovered interest parity (UIP) using daily data for twenty-three developing and developed countries through the crisis-strewn 1990s. We find that UIP works better on average in the 1990s than in previous eras in the sense that the slope coefficient from a regression of exchange rate changes on interest differentials yields a positive coefficient (which is sometimes insignificantly different from unity). UIP works systematically worse for fixed and flexible exchange rate countries than for crisis countries, but we find no significant differences between rich and poor countries. Finally, we find evidence that varies considerably across countries and time, but is usually weakly consistent with an effective 'interest rate defense' of the exchange rate.
Download or read book Monthly Bulletin written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 662 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Handbook of International Economics by : Gita Gopinath
Download or read book Handbook of International Economics written by Gita Gopinath and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2014-02-22 with total page 773 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What conclusions can be drawn from recent advances in international trade and international macroeconomics? New datasets, theoretical models, and empirical studies have resulted in fresh questions about the world trade and payment system. These chapters--six on trade and six on international macroeconomics--reveal the richness that researchers have uncovered in recent years. The chapters on foreign trade present, among other subjects, new integrated multisector analytical frameworks, the use of gravity equations for the estimation of trade flows, the role of domestic institutions in shaping comparative advantage, and international trade agreements. On international macroeconomics, chapters explore the relation between exchange rates and other macroeconomic variables; risk sharing, allocation of capital across countries, and current account dynamics; and sovereign debt and financial crises. By addressing new issues while enabling deeper and sharper analyses of old issues, this volume makes a significant contribution to our understanding of the global economy. Systematically illuminates and interprets recent developments in research on international trade and international macroeconomics Focuses on newly developing questions and opportunities for future research Presents multiple perspectives on ways to understand the global economy
Book Synopsis What Do Deviations from Covered Interest Parity and Higher FX Hedging Costs Mean for Asia by : Mr.Gee Hee Hong
Download or read book What Do Deviations from Covered Interest Parity and Higher FX Hedging Costs Mean for Asia written by Mr.Gee Hee Hong and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-08-02 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asian countries have high demand for U.S. dollars and are sensitive to U.S. dollar funding costs. An important, but often overlooked, component of these costs is the basis spread in the cross-currency swap market that emerges when there are deviations from covered interest parity (CIP). CIP deviations mean that investors need to pay a premium to borrow U.S. dollars or other currencies on a hedged basis via cross-currency swap markets. These deviations can be explained by regulatory changes since the global financial crisis, which have limited arbitrage opportunities and country-specific factors that contribute to a mismatch in the demand and supply of U.S. dollars. We find that an increase in the basis spread tightens financial conditions in net debtor countries, while easing financial conditions in net creditor countries. The main reason is that net debtor countries are, in general, unable to substitute smoothly to other domestic funding channels. Policies that promote reliable alternative funding sources, such as long-term corporate bond market or stable long-term investors, including a “hedging counterpart of last resort,” can help stabilize financial intermediation when U.S. dollar funding markets come under stress.
Book Synopsis The Princeton Encyclopedia of the World Economy. (Two volume set) by : Kenneth A. Reinert
Download or read book The Princeton Encyclopedia of the World Economy. (Two volume set) written by Kenneth A. Reinert and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2010-08-02 with total page 1329 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An essential reference to all facets of the world economy Increasing economic globalization has made understanding the world economy more important than ever. From trade agreements to offshore outsourcing to foreign aid, this two-volume encyclopedia explains the key elements of the world economy and provides a first step to further research for students and scholars in public policy, international studies, business, and the broader social sciences, as well as for economic policy professionals. Written by an international team of contributors, this comprehensive reference includes more than 300 up-to-date entries covering a wide range of topics in international trade, finance, production, and economic development. These topics include concepts and principles, models and theory, institutions and agreements, policies and instruments, analysis and tools, and sectors and special issues. Each entry includes cross-references and a list of sources for further reading and research. Complete with an index and a table of contents that groups entries by topic, The Princeton Encyclopedia of the World Economy is an essential resource for anyone who needs to better understand the global economy. More than 300 alphabetically arranged articles on topics in international trade, finance, production, and economic development International team of contributors Annotated list of further reading with each article Topical list of entries Full index and cross-references Entry categories and sample topics: Concepts and principles: globalization, anti-globalization, fair trade, foreign direct investment, international migration, economic development, multinational enterprises Models and theory: Heckscher-Ohlin model, internalization theory, New Trade Theory, North-South trade, Triffin dilemma Institutions and agreements: European Union, International Monetary Fund, World Trade Organization, World Bank, Doha Round, international investment agreements Policies and instruments: dollar standard, international aid, sanctions, tariffs Analysis and tools: exchange rate forecasting, effective protection, monetary policy rules Sectors and special issues: child labor, corporate governance, the digital divide, health and globalization, illegal drugs trade, petroleum, steel
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald
Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""
Book Synopsis Random Walks in Fixed Income and Foreign Exchange by : Jessica James
Download or read book Random Walks in Fixed Income and Foreign Exchange written by Jessica James and published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2021-06-08 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The fixed income and foreign exchange (FX) markets have never been as challenging to operate in as they are today. The post-crash combination of reduced liquidity, higher operating costs, low interest rates, flat yield curves and increased regulation means that market makers and investors alike need to work harder to generate value and remain in full understanding of the markets. Random Walks in Fixed Income and Foreign Exchange brings together the best of detailed and original practitioner-orientated market research on many specialist areas of the bond and FX markets. Written by the highly regarded FX and bonds research desk at Commerzbank, the book offers varied and in-depth insight into specific topics of vital important to dealers and investors, including the cross-currency basis and hedging, the yield curve, and overseas issuance conversion factors which will give investors a genuine edge in generating value. Written in accessible text, it is a must-read for all those interested in bonds and FX.
Author :Giancarlo Gandolfo Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :9783540434597 Total Pages :646 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (345 download)
Book Synopsis International Finance and Open-Economy Macroeconomics by : Giancarlo Gandolfo
Download or read book International Finance and Open-Economy Macroeconomics written by Giancarlo Gandolfo and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2002-06-26 with total page 646 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book deals with the financial side of international economics and covers all aspects of international finance. There are many books and articles by exponents of alternative points of view. I know of no other book that provides the scope, balance, objectivity and rigor of the book." (Professor Jerome L. Stein, Brown University) From the reviews: "In this survey of international finance and open-economy macroeconomics, Gandolfo succeeds in meeting the needs of advanced undergraduate or lower-level graduate students through a largely textual and graphical approach, while at the same time presenting in the appendices explicit mathematical analyses for more advanced graduate students." (Journal of Banking & Finance 2004)
Book Synopsis Elements of International Economics by : Giancarlo Gandolfo
Download or read book Elements of International Economics written by Giancarlo Gandolfo and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-09 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modern economies become more and more open and the external sector of an economy becomes more and more important. This textbook aims at clarify ing how an open economy functions, in particular at explaining the determi nants of international fiows of commodities and financial assets. It also aims at examining the effects of these fiows on the domestic and international econ omy and the possible policy acti.ons at the national and international level. Particular attention will be paid to the problems of international economic at both the commercial and monetary level. integration Students will be able to read and interpret the balance of payments of a country, evaluating the various types of balance, to explain the behaviour of commercial fiows in the light of the theories studied, to analyze fiows of financial assets according to interest-rate differentials and other elements, to study the forces that determine exchange rates and cause currency crises, to understand the reasons behind international economic integration such as the European Union, to evaluate the effects of national and international policies.
