Uncertainty, Threat, and International Security

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317050371
Total Pages : 213 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty, Threat, and International Security by : Ivan Savic

Download or read book Uncertainty, Threat, and International Security written by Ivan Savic and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-04-21 with total page 213 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The rise of China is changing the strategic landscape globally and regionally. How states respond to potential threats posed by this new power arrangement will be crucial to international relations for the coming decades. This book builds on existing realist and rationalist concepts of balancing, bandwagoning, commitment problems, and asymmetric information to craft explanations about how states respond when faced with potential threats. Specifically, the book explores the role different types of uncertainty play in potential balancing situations. Particular focus is given to the nature of the rising state’s actions, the balance of forces, and the value of delay. These concepts are analysed and illustrated through a series of case studies on Europe in the 1930s as well as the present-day Southeast Asia, looking at great powers such as Britain and France, but also a wide range of smaller powers including Poland, Yugoslavia, Vietnam, and the Philippines.

War and Chance

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190938021
Total Pages : 241 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (99 download)

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Book Synopsis War and Chance by : Jeffrey A. Friedman

Download or read book War and Chance written by Jeffrey A. Friedman and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2019 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Over the past two decades, the most serious problems with U.S. foreign policy have revolved around the challenge of assessing uncertainty. Past experiences have shown that there is an urgent need to find ways of improving the ways in which foreign policy analysts assess uncertainty, and the ways in which foreign policy decision makers account for risk when evaluating high-stakes choices. This book shows shows how foreign policy analysts can assess uncertainty in amanner that is theoretically coherent, empirically meaningful, politically defensible, practically useful, and sometimes logically necessary for making sound choices." (éd.).

A strong Britain in an age of uncertainty

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Author :
Publisher : The Stationery Office
ISBN 13 : 9780101795326
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (953 download)

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Book Synopsis A strong Britain in an age of uncertainty by : Great Britain: Cabinet Office

Download or read book A strong Britain in an age of uncertainty written by Great Britain: Cabinet Office and published by The Stationery Office. This book was released on 2010-10-18 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The national security strategy of the United Kingdom is to use all national capabilities to build Britain's prosperity, extend the country's influence in the world and strengthen security. The National Security Council ensures a strategic and co-ordinated approach across the whole of Government to the risks and opportunities the country faces. Parts 1 and 2 of this document outline the Government's analysis of the strategic global context and give an assessment of the UK's place in the world. They also set out the core objectives of the strategy: (i) ensuring a secure and resilient UK by protecting the country from all major risks that can affect us directly, and (ii) shaping a stable world - actions beyond the UK to reduce specific risks to the country or our direct interests overseas. Part 3 identifies and analyses the key security risks the country is likely to face in the future. The National Security Council has prioritised the risks and the current highest priority are: international terrorism; cyber attack; international military crises; and major accidents or natural hazards. Part 4 describes the ways in which the strategy to prevent and mitigate the specific risks will be achieved. The detailed means to achieve these ends will be set out in the Strategic Defence and Security Review (Cm. 7948, ISBN 9780101794824), due to publish on 19 October 2010.

Uncertainty, Threat, and International Security

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Author :
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 131705038X
Total Pages : 180 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty, Threat, and International Security by : Ivan Savic

Download or read book Uncertainty, Threat, and International Security written by Ivan Savic and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2017-04-21 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The rise of China is changing the strategic landscape globally and regionally. How states respond to potential threats posed by this new power arrangement will be crucial to international relations for the coming decades. This book builds on existing realist and rationalist concepts of balancing, bandwagoning, commitment problems, and asymmetric information to craft explanations about how states respond when faced with potential threats. Specifically, the book explores the role different types of uncertainty play in potential balancing situations. Particular focus is given to the nature of the rising state’s actions, the balance of forces, and the value of delay. These concepts are analysed and illustrated through a series of case studies on Europe in the 1930s as well as the present-day Southeast Asia, looking at great powers such as Britain and France, but also a wide range of smaller powers including Poland, Yugoslavia, Vietnam, and the Philippines.

Reducing Uncertainty

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Author :
Publisher : Stanford University Press
ISBN 13 : 080477594X
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Reducing Uncertainty by : Thomas Fingar

Download or read book Reducing Uncertainty written by Thomas Fingar and published by Stanford University Press. This book was released on 2011-07-20 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes what Intelligence Community (IC) analysts do, how they do it, and how they are affected by the political context that shapes, uses, and sometimes abuses their output. It is written by a 25-year intelligence professional.

Global Trends 2040

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Publisher : Cosimo Reports
ISBN 13 : 9781646794973
Total Pages : 158 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (949 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Trends 2040 by : National Intelligence Council

Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

Uncertainty in Global Politics

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Author :
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1003823831
Total Pages : 305 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Global Politics by : Anastasia Shesterinina

Download or read book Uncertainty in Global Politics written by Anastasia Shesterinina and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2023-11-16 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book engages in a constructive, practical debate on the nature and effects of uncertainty in global politics. International contributors explore the processes associated with different forms of uncertainty in the context of environmental issues, diplomacy and international negotiations, and conflict and security. From the collapse of the Soviet Union to the 1997 and 2008 financial crises to the Arab Uprisings and the European migrant crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, assessments of many events with lasting consequences on the global order have begun with: “why didn’t we see this coming?” There is much to learn from how phenomena that affect the global order generate uncertainty and what effects such uncertainty has on actors and issues. Presenting perspectives from all corners of the discipline and emerging and established scholars the book provides an up-to-date overview of the state of the literature; a concise yet conceptually rich theoretical framework; a mix of regional and global contemporary issues; process-oriented empirical evidence and methodological tools to assess different forms of uncertainty and propose practical solutions to addressing uncertainty in diverse contexts. The book will be of interest to scholars of global politics, international security, global environmental politics, international organizations and institutions, social movements, and conflict studies.

Protean Power

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Author :
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108425178
Total Pages : 383 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Protean Power by : Peter J. Katzenstein

Download or read book Protean Power written by Peter J. Katzenstein and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-01-18 with total page 383 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inquires into the role of the unexpected in world politics by examining the protean power effects of agile innovation and improvisation.

Confronting an Uncertain Threat

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Author :
Publisher : CSIS Reports
ISBN 13 : 9780892066674
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (666 download)

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Book Synopsis Confronting an Uncertain Threat by : Rick David Nelson

Download or read book Confronting an Uncertain Threat written by Rick David Nelson and published by CSIS Reports. This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Al Qaeda and associated movements (AQAM) have become an increasingly diffuse security threat. Although the Afghanistan-Pakistan borderlands may have represented the epicenter of global terrorism in the past decade, al Qaeda's various regional affiliates are growing in prominence. The past several years also have seen a rise in al Qaeda-inspired plots by small cells or unaffiliated individuals based in the West. This flattening and expansion of al Qaeda's global scope, both physically and virtually, has complicated U.S. and international efforts to combat global terrorism. Counterterrorism professionals work tirelessly to confront existing threats. But the need to focus on today's exigencies, combined with officials' limited resources for alternative and long-range planning, means that governments tend to pursue reactive, rather than anticipatory, policies and strategies vis-à-vis terrorism. Containing, if not defeating, AQAM will require that policymakers and practitioners shape a global environment that is inhospitable to terrorism. Doing this, in turn, necessitates a better understanding of where and how future AQAM threats are likely to emerge. This report seeks to help fill this need for anticipatory knowledge and assist in the development of improved counterterrorism policies and strategy.

The growth of uncertainty after the end of the Cold War and its impact on the security environment of states

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Author :
Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3656033013
Total Pages : 51 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (56 download)

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Book Synopsis The growth of uncertainty after the end of the Cold War and its impact on the security environment of states by : Natalie Züfle

Download or read book The growth of uncertainty after the end of the Cold War and its impact on the security environment of states written by Natalie Züfle and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2011-10-19 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2009 in the subject Politics - Topic: Peace and Conflict, Security, grade: 2,1, Free University of Berlin (Center for Global Politics), course: International Relations Online, language: English, abstract: Uncertainty has grown considerably after the end of the Cold War. In the place of one big threat a plenitude of many “smaller” and more incalculable risks superseded. New dangers have emerged or become more salient as compared to former times (like environmental issues, IT problems, or economic crises), while “old” ones have not entirely vanished. The risks emanating from WMDs or the threat of wars remain existent, albeit sometimes in an altered form. Several factors have contributed to the alteration of the threat and risk pattern: in the main, the transition to a multipolar world order, the processes of globalization, and last but not least the diminishing importance of borders and of the sovereign nation-state as such are decisive. Hence, the vulnerability of civil society has increased considerably, as open societies are more risk-prone. In reaction to these developments, academics and politicians have refined the traditional concept of national security into a broader notion, considering a multitude of aspects affecting the safety of the human being as such. In consequence the classical security architecture is being adapted bit by bit to the conditions of the 21st century. On each level, i.e. the national, regional as well as international layers, diverse mechanisms have been developed – as exemplary illustrated with reference to the transnational danger of terrorism.

Risk State

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317062779
Total Pages : 202 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk State by : Sebastian Maslow

Download or read book Risk State written by Sebastian Maslow and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-03-03 with total page 202 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The increase of new complex security challenges and the heightening significance of a diverse array of actors has simultaneously posed a challenge to traditional perspectives on international relations and foreign policy and created an opportunity for new concepts to be applied. Conventional explanations of Japan’s foreign policy have provided us with theoretically predetermined understandings and fallacious predictions. Reformulating risk in its application to the study of international relations and foreign policy, this volume promises new insights into the analysis of contemporary foreign policy in East Asia and Japan’s post-Cold War international relations in particular.

Cyber Security Politics

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000567117
Total Pages : 287 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis Cyber Security Politics by : Myriam Dunn Cavelty

Download or read book Cyber Security Politics written by Myriam Dunn Cavelty and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2022-02-15 with total page 287 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines new and challenging political aspects of cyber security and presents it as an issue defined by socio-technological uncertainty and political fragmentation. Structured along two broad themes and providing empirical examples for how socio-technical changes and political responses interact, the first part of the book looks at the current use of cyber space in conflictual settings, while the second focuses on political responses by state and non-state actors in an environment defined by uncertainties. Within this, it highlights four key debates that encapsulate the complexities and paradoxes of cyber security politics from a Western perspective – how much political influence states can achieve via cyber operations and what context factors condition the (limited) strategic utility of such operations; the role of emerging digital technologies and how the dynamics of the tech innovation process reinforce the fragmentation of the governance space; how states attempt to uphold stability in cyberspace and, more generally, in their strategic relations; and how the shared responsibility of state, economy, and society for cyber security continues to be re-negotiated in an increasingly trans-sectoral and transnational governance space. This book will be of much interest to students of cyber security, global governance, technology studies, and international relations. The Open Access version of this book, available at www.taylorfrancis.com, has been made available under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives 4.0 license.

Beyond Fear

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387217126
Total Pages : 296 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (872 download)

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Book Synopsis Beyond Fear by : Bruce Schneier

Download or read book Beyond Fear written by Bruce Schneier and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-05-10 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many of us, especially since 9/11, have become personally concerned about issues of security, and this is no surprise. Security is near the top of government and corporate agendas around the globe. Security-related stories appear on the front page everyday. How well though, do any of us truly understand what achieving real security involves? In Beyond Fear, Bruce Schneier invites us to take a critical look at not just the threats to our security, but the ways in which we're encouraged to think about security by law enforcement agencies, businesses of all shapes and sizes, and our national governments and militaries. Schneier believes we all can and should be better security consumers, and that the trade-offs we make in the name of security - in terms of cash outlays, taxes, inconvenience, and diminished freedoms - should be part of an ongoing negotiation in our personal, professional, and civic lives, and the subject of an open and informed national discussion. With a well-deserved reputation for original and sometimes iconoclastic thought, Schneier has a lot to say that is provocative, counter-intuitive, and just plain good sense. He explains in detail, for example, why we need to design security systems that don't just work well, but fail well, and why secrecy on the part of government often undermines security. He also believes, for instance, that national ID cards are an exceptionally bad idea: technically unsound, and even destructive of security. And, contrary to a lot of current nay-sayers, he thinks online shopping is fundamentally safe, and that many of the new airline security measure (though by no means all) are actually quite effective. A skeptic of much that's promised by highly touted technologies like biometrics, Schneier is also a refreshingly positive, problem-solving force in the often self-dramatizing and fear-mongering world of security pundits. Schneier helps the reader to understand the issues at stake, and how to best come to one's own conclusions, including the vast infrastructure we already have in place, and the vaster systems--some useful, others useless or worse--that we're being asked to submit to and pay for. Bruce Schneier is the author of seven books, including Applied Cryptography (which Wired called "the one book the National Security Agency wanted never to be published") and Secrets and Lies (described in Fortune as "startlingly lively...¦[a] jewel box of little surprises you can actually use."). He is also Founder and Chief Technology Officer of Counterpane Internet Security, Inc., and publishes Crypto-Gram, one of the most widely read newsletters in the field of online security.

Not Congruent But Quite Complementary

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Author :
Publisher : Naval War College China Maritime Studies Institute
ISBN 13 : 9781935352044
Total Pages : 134 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (52 download)

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Book Synopsis Not Congruent But Quite Complementary by : Lyle Goldstein

Download or read book Not Congruent But Quite Complementary written by Lyle Goldstein and published by Naval War College China Maritime Studies Institute. This book was released on 2012 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume "is the result of the China Maritime Studies Institute's annual conference in Newport during May 2010, which involved the participation of almost a dozen Chinese specialist presenters, who were able to exchange ideas with their American counterparts."--p. 2

Economic Security: Neglected Dimension of National Security ?

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Author :
Publisher : Government Printing Office
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Security: Neglected Dimension of National Security ? by : National Defense University (U S )

Download or read book Economic Security: Neglected Dimension of National Security ? written by National Defense University (U S ) and published by Government Printing Office. This book was released on 2011-12-27 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: On August 24-25, 2010, the National Defense University held a conference titled “Economic Security: Neglected Dimension of National Security?” to explore the economic element of national power. This special collection of selected papers from the conference represents the view of several keynote speakers and participants in six panel discussions. It explores the complexity surrounding this subject and examines the major elements that, interacting as a system, define the economic component of national security.

Cyber War

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Publisher : Harper Collins
ISBN 13 : 0061992399
Total Pages : 318 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (619 download)

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Book Synopsis Cyber War by : Richard A. Clarke

Download or read book Cyber War written by Richard A. Clarke and published by Harper Collins. This book was released on 2010-04-02 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An essential, eye-opening book about cyberterrorism, cyber war, and the next great threat to our national security. “Cyber War may be the most important book about national security policy in the last several years.” –Slate Former presidential advisor and counter-terrorism expert Richard A. Clarke sounds a timely and chilling warning about America’s vulnerability in a terrifying new international conflict. Cyber War is a powerful book about technology, government, and military strategy; about criminals, spies, soldiers, and hackers. It explains clearly and convincingly what cyber war is, and how vulnerable we are as a nation and as individuals to the vast and looming web of cyber criminals. Every concerned American should read this startling and explosive book that offers an insider’s view of White House ‘Situation Room’ operations and carries the reader to the frontlines of our cyber defense. Cyber War exposes a virulent threat to our nation’s security.

The Evolution of International Security Studies

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Author :
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139480766
Total Pages : 401 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis The Evolution of International Security Studies by : Barry Buzan

Download or read book The Evolution of International Security Studies written by Barry Buzan and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-08-27 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International Security Studies (ISS) has changed and diversified in many ways since 1945. This book provides the first intellectual history of the development of the subject in that period. It explains how ISS evolved from an initial concern with the strategic consequences of superpower rivalry and nuclear weapons, to its current diversity in which environmental, economic, human and other securities sit alongside military security, and in which approaches ranging from traditional Realist analysis to Feminism and Post-colonialism are in play. It sets out the driving forces that shaped debates in ISS, shows what makes ISS a single conversation across its diversity, and gives an authoritative account of debates on all the main topics within ISS. This is an unparalleled survey of the literature and institutions of ISS that will be an invaluable guide for all students and scholars of ISS, whether traditionalist, 'new agenda' or critical.