Uncertainty In Entrepreneurial Decision Making

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Uncertainty in Entrepreneurial Decision Making

Author : Panagiotis E. Petrakis
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137460792
Total Pages : 220 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (374 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Entrepreneurial Decision Making by : Panagiotis E. Petrakis

Download or read book Uncertainty in Entrepreneurial Decision Making written by Panagiotis E. Petrakis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-29 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty in Entrepreneurial Decision Making fills an existing gap in understanding three key concepts of business management: entrepreneurship, uncertainty, and strategy. By extending the impact of uncertainty on entrepreneurship and the role of strategy in reducing uncertainty, Petrakis and Konstantakopoulou emphasize that uncertainty can be converted into creative advantage. Given that the business environment is changing both very quickly and very often, any wrong decisions taken can lead to devastation. This exciting new volume explains the reasons why we cannot see the complete the future and our position in it. This uncertainty affects entrepreneurship and how it can be turned into a competitive advantage for businesses sustainability.

Uncertainty in Entrepreneurial Decision Making

Author : Panagiotis E. Petrakis
Publisher : Palgrave Macmillan
ISBN 13 : 9781349689897
Total Pages : 219 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (898 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Entrepreneurial Decision Making by : Panagiotis E. Petrakis

Download or read book Uncertainty in Entrepreneurial Decision Making written by Panagiotis E. Petrakis and published by Palgrave Macmillan. This book was released on 2014-01-14 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty in Entrepreneurial Decision Making fills an existing gap in understanding three key concepts of business management: entrepreneurship, uncertainty, and strategy.

Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Author : Mykel J. Kochenderfer
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262331713
Total Pages : 350 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making Under Uncertainty by : Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Download or read book Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Mykel J. Kochenderfer and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2015-07-24 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective, covering both theory and applications ranging from speech recognition to airborne collision avoidance. Many important problems involve decision making under uncertainty—that is, choosing actions based on often imperfect observations, with unknown outcomes. Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system. This book provides an introduction to the challenges of decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective. It presents both the theory behind decision making models and algorithms and a collection of example applications that range from speech recognition to aircraft collision avoidance. Focusing on two methods for designing decision agents, planning and reinforcement learning, the book covers probabilistic models, introducing Bayesian networks as a graphical model that captures probabilistic relationships between variables; utility theory as a framework for understanding optimal decision making under uncertainty; Markov decision processes as a method for modeling sequential problems; model uncertainty; state uncertainty; and cooperative decision making involving multiple interacting agents. A series of applications shows how the theoretical concepts can be applied to systems for attribute-based person search, speech applications, collision avoidance, and unmanned aircraft persistent surveillance. Decision Making Under Uncertainty unifies research from different communities using consistent notation, and is accessible to students and researchers across engineering disciplines who have some prior exposure to probability theory and calculus. It can be used as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in fields including computer science, aerospace and electrical engineering, and management science. It will also be a valuable professional reference for researchers in a variety of disciplines.

Entrepreneurial Action

Author : Andrew C. Corbett
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1780529015
Total Pages : 327 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Entrepreneurial Action by : Andrew C. Corbett

Download or read book Entrepreneurial Action written by Andrew C. Corbett and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2012-07-17 with total page 327 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Volume 14 addresses the central issue of entrepreneurial action: while many factors are important to the phenomenon of entrepreneurship, entrepreneurship does not happen until someone takes action!

Entrepreneurial Strategic Decision-making

Author : Patrick Alexander Maria Vermeulen
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1848444036
Total Pages : 261 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (484 download)

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Book Synopsis Entrepreneurial Strategic Decision-making by : Patrick Alexander Maria Vermeulen

Download or read book Entrepreneurial Strategic Decision-making written by Patrick Alexander Maria Vermeulen and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2010-01-01 with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a commendable source of reference for entrepreneurship researchers. It offers insight into a number of focused research accounts that may assist other researchers in their entrepreneurship research proposals and execution. . . the literature review section will be of particular value to such early scholars of the field. The book is highly recommended for postgraduate entrepreneurship students and would be worthy of filling a space on any active entrepreneurship researcher s bookshelf. David Douglas, International Journal of Entrepreneurial Behaviour and Research Strategic choices made by entrepreneurs have major consequences for SME performance. This book explores the factors that influence entrepreneurial strategic decisions using a cognitive theoretical framework. The proposed model, based on a dual processing approach, integrates motivation, emotions and information processing modes and is tested in several empirical studies. The results show the model s potential for furthering interesting research agendas in entrepreneurial cognition research. The authors also reveal that entrepreneurial cognitions can be elicited and represented in the form of cognitive maps. The structural complexity of the cognitive maps (cognitive complexity) is an important prerequisite of effective strategic decisions and is a core concept for the advancement of our knowledge in entrepreneurial cognition. The book is an informed and interesting exploration of entrepreneurial cognition with both theoretical and methodological contributions to this field of research. Entrepreneurial Strategic Decision-Making will be of great interest to undergraduate students and academics in the field of entrepreneurship. Policymakers will learn from this book to understand the distinctions between various types of entrepreneurial decision-makers and the way they make strategic decisions.

Entrepreneurial Decision-making

Author : Veronica Gustafsson
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781781958773
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (587 download)

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Book Synopsis Entrepreneurial Decision-making by : Veronica Gustafsson

Download or read book Entrepreneurial Decision-making written by Veronica Gustafsson and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2006-01-01 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This fascinating book aims to provide a deeper understanding of the decision-making processes of entrepreneurs. This is achieved via a comparison of entrepreneurial individuals with different levels of expertise in contexts with varying degrees of potential for entrepreneurial success. This multidisciplinary study is based on entrepreneurship theory and empirical research as well as cognitive psychology. The cognitive perspective provides a link between the entrepreneur and new business creation by focusing on an individual's cognitive behaviour rather than on their personality traits. The essential issues of gathering and application of knowledge and expertise are also addressed: one of the most important implications of the study is that successful entrepreneurial decision-making behaviour can actually be taught and learned. The book concludes, however, that the provision of optimal teaching methods of this decision-making behaviour is a stiff challenge faced by entrepreneurship education. Presenting a novel combination of cognitive psychology and entrepreneurship theory with important practical implications, this book will strongly appeal to those involved in the study of entrepreneurship and cognitive psychology, and business and management. Entrepreneurs themselves will also find much to interest them in this book.

Uncertainty Types and Transitions in the Entrepreneurial Process

Author : Mark Packard
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Types and Transitions in the Entrepreneurial Process by : Mark Packard

Download or read book Uncertainty Types and Transitions in the Entrepreneurial Process written by Mark Packard and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While judgment is typically viewed as a discrete decision process, we conceptualize it as a continuous and dynamic process of reassessment and revision. Adopting this approach, we revisit the nature of entrepreneurial decision-making under uncertainty. We begin with a novel typology of uncertainty that defines and delineates different types of uncertain contexts. We then examine the nature of decision-making within these distinct contexts, highlighting differences in how entrepreneurs make decisions within different types of uncertainty. We build these insights into a theory of the entrepreneurial process that highlights the transitory nature of uncertainty as entrepreneurs make certain judgments and revise those judgments over time. We discuss how uncertainty transitions throughout the judgment process, how the judgment process continues dynamically even after a judgment is made, and how the nature of uncertainty shifts over time due to endogenous and exogenous change.

Trailblazing in Entrepreneurship

Author : Dean A. Shepherd
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319487019
Total Pages : 299 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (194 download)

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Book Synopsis Trailblazing in Entrepreneurship by : Dean A. Shepherd

Download or read book Trailblazing in Entrepreneurship written by Dean A. Shepherd and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-01-21 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is open access under a CC BY 4.0 license.In this book, the authors present a challenge for future research to build a stronger, more complete understanding of entrepreneurial phenomena. They argue that this more complete picture of entrepreneurial phenomena will likely come from scholars who undertake at least some trailblazing projects; from scholars who broaden the range of research questions, the potential outcomes of entrepreneurial action, and the selection and combination of research methods; and from researchers who avoid the endless debates about the margins of the field and its sub-fields or about whether one theoretical or philosophical lens is superior to another. This book offers suggestions for future research through a variety of topics including prosocial action, innovation, family business, sustainability and development, and the financial, social, and psychological costs of failure. It promises to make an important contribution to the development of the field and help academics, organizations, and society make useful contributions to the generation of entrepreneurial research.

Decision-Making Under Uncertainty

Author : George K. Chacko
Publisher : Praeger
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 280 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision-Making Under Uncertainty by : George K. Chacko

Download or read book Decision-Making Under Uncertainty written by George K. Chacko and published by Praeger. This book was released on 1991 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In real-life decision-making situations it is necessary to make decisions with incomplete information, for oftentimes uncertain results. In Decision-Making Under Uncertainty, Dr. Chacko applies his years of statistical research and experience to the analysis of twenty-four real-life decision-making situations, both those with few data points (eg: Cuban Missile Crisis), and many data points (eg: aspirin for heart attack prevention). These situations encompass decision-making in a variety of business, social and political, physical and biological, and military environments. Though different, all of these have one characteristic in common: their outcomes are uncertain/unkown, and unknowable. Chacko Demonstrates how the decision-maker can reduce uncertainty by choosing probable outcomes using the statistical methods he introduces. This detailed volume develops standard statistical concepts (t, x2, normal distribution, ANOVA), and the less familiar concepts (logical probability, subjective probability, Bayesian Inference, Penalty for Non-Fulfillment, Bluff-Threats Matrix, etc.). Chacko also offers a thorough discussion of the underlying theoretical principles. The end of each chapter contains a set of questions, three quarters of which focus on concepts, formulation, conclusion, resource commitments, and caveats; only one quarter with computations. Ideal for the practitioner, the work is also designed to serve as the primary text for graduate or advanced undergraduate courses in statistics and decision science.

Planning on Uncertainty

Author : Ruth Prince Mack
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Planning on Uncertainty by : Ruth Prince Mack

Download or read book Planning on Uncertainty written by Ruth Prince Mack and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1971 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Uncertainty and Behaviour

Author : Melanie E. Kreye
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317005503
Total Pages : 162 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty and Behaviour by : Melanie E. Kreye

Download or read book Uncertainty and Behaviour written by Melanie E. Kreye and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-04-14 with total page 162 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty affects us in our everyday lives, and in a wide range of situations but how do individuals and indeed organisations respond to uncertainty and how does it impact their decision-making and actions? Based on the latest developments in academic research, the author offers solid advice on how to manage uncertainty in every-day life, bringing a new perspective to these issues and extrapolating this to offer implications for an organisational and managerial context. The author brings this emerging area of research to a wider audience by: Tying together insights from various fields including psychology, engineering, business and management. Creating a framework for usefully applying the research concepts in every-day life. Extrapolating insights from the psychology of individual decision makers to the organisational context and managerial decision-making. Creating highly applicable and impactful recommendations for how managers, organisations, and every day people can understand and manage uncertainty in their life. The book is divided into two main parts. Part I deals with the behaviour of individuals facing uncertainty and includes accessible explanations and examples of every-day applications, while Part II deals with behaviour in organisations facing uncertainty, where insights from Part I are combined and related to the organisational and work context to explore how, for example, (mis)-perceptions and decision-making biases impact managerial life. This is a must read for both managers and those who are seeking to better understand their own behaviour and management approach.

Managing Risk and Uncertainty

Author : Richard Friberg
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262528193
Total Pages : 395 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing Risk and Uncertainty by : Richard Friberg

Download or read book Managing Risk and Uncertainty written by Richard Friberg and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2015-11-13 with total page 395 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive framework for assessing strategies for managing risk and uncertainty, integrating theory and practice and synthesizing insights from many fields. This book offers a framework for making decisions under risk and uncertainty. Synthesizing research from economics, finance, decision theory, management, and other fields, the book provides a set of tools and a way of thinking that determines the relative merits of different strategies. It takes as its premise that we make better decisions if we use the whole toolkit of economics and related fields to inform our decision making. The text explores the distinction between risk and uncertainty and covers standard models of decision making under risk as well as more recent work on decision making under uncertainty, with a particular focus on strategic interaction. It also examines the implications of incomplete markets for managing under uncertainty. It presents four core strategies: a benchmark strategy (proceeding as if risk and uncertainty were low), a financial hedging strategy (valuable if there is much risk), an operational hedging strategy (valuable for conditions of much uncertainty), and a flexible strategy (valuable if there is much risk and/or uncertainty). The book then examines various aspects of these strategies in greater depth, building on empirical work in several different fields. Topics include price-setting, real options and Monte Carlo techniques, organizational structure, and behavioral biases. Many chapters include exercises and appendixes with additional material. The book can be used in graduate or advanced undergraduate courses in risk management, as a guide for researchers, or as a reference for management practitioners.

Paradigms and Conventions

Author : Young Back Choi
Publisher : University of Michigan Press
ISBN 13 : 9780472104222
Total Pages : 198 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Paradigms and Conventions by : Young Back Choi

Download or read book Paradigms and Conventions written by Young Back Choi and published by University of Michigan Press. This book was released on 1993 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Paradigms and Conventions presents a viable alternative to the standard neoclassical economic approach of a rational maximizing model. Young Back Choi develops the concept of convention and uses it to build our understanding of the working of the market as a social learning process. This approach offers a unique perspective on entrepreneurs and innovators by carefully analyzing the nature of decision making under uncertainty and the problem of modeling it, and then systematically exploring its behavioral implications. Paradigms and Conventions presents propositions and their corollaries logically derived from the principles that human beings must judge situations before they can act; and that when faced with an unfamiliar situation, human beings will endeavor to form a judgment of it. By putting the human mind at the center of the analysis, Professor Choi creates a surprisingly fruitful way of thinking about these issues that promises a new view of decision making. This book offers the stimulus of new ideas and the insights of a new approach that will be attractive to students and faculty in psychology, sociology, anthropology, political science, and philosophy, as well as economics.

Uncertainty in Strategic Decision Making

Author : Richard J. Arend
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 303148553X
Total Pages : 466 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (314 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Strategic Decision Making by : Richard J. Arend

Download or read book Uncertainty in Strategic Decision Making written by Richard J. Arend and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2024-01-03 with total page 466 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Knight (1921) defines uncertainty as an informational market failure that, while being detrimental to most existing businesses, presents possible profitable opportunities for others. This book builds upon that classic work by providing an analysis of the alternative approaches to strategic decision-making under such uncertainty. It covers what uncertainty is, why it is important, and what connections it has to business and related fields, culminating in a new and comprehensive typology and a valuable guide for how to appropriately address various types of uncertainties, even under AI. It clarifies the current terminological and categorical confusion about ‘unknowns’ while complementing the mathematical, probability-based approaches that treat uncertainty as ‘knowable’ (i.e., as risk). It corrects the mistaken approaches that treat ‘unknowables’ as ‘shapeable’ or ‘discoverable’. This book widens the perspective for viewing uncertainty, in terms of its impacts across humanity, by offering a shrewder understanding of what roles uncertainties play in human activity. It will appeal to academics across business, economics, philosophy, and other disciplines looking for approaches to apply, test, and hone for dealing with decision-making under uncertainty.

Risk, Choice, and Uncertainty

Author : George G. Szpiro
Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 0231550979
Total Pages : 413 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk, Choice, and Uncertainty by : George G. Szpiro

Download or read book Risk, Choice, and Uncertainty written by George G. Szpiro and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2020-01-07 with total page 413 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: At its core, economics is about making decisions. In the history of economic thought, great intellectual prowess has been exerted toward devising exquisite theories of optimal decision making in situations of constraint, risk, and scarcity. Yet not all of our choices are purely logical, and so there is a longstanding tension between those emphasizing the rational and irrational sides of human behavior. One strand develops formal models of rational utility maximizing while the other draws on what behavioral science has shown about our tendency to act irrationally. In Risk, Choice, and Uncertainty, George G. Szpiro offers a new narrative of the three-century history of the study of decision making, tracing how crucial ideas have evolved and telling the stories of the thinkers who shaped the field. Szpiro examines economics from the early days of theories spun from anecdotal evidence to the rise of a discipline built around elegant mathematics through the past half century’s interest in describing how people actually behave. Considering the work of Locke, Bentham, Jevons, Walras, Friedman, Tversky and Kahneman, Thaler, and a range of other thinkers, he sheds light on the vast scope of discovery since Bernoulli first proposed a solution to the St. Petersburg Paradox. Presenting fundamental mathematical theories in easy-to-understand language, Risk, Choice, and Uncertainty is a revelatory history for readers seeking to grasp the grand sweep of economic thought.

Methods for Decision Making in an Uncertain Environment

Author : Jaime Gil Aluja
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814415774
Total Pages : 471 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Methods for Decision Making in an Uncertain Environment by : Jaime Gil Aluja

Download or read book Methods for Decision Making in an Uncertain Environment written by Jaime Gil Aluja and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2012 with total page 471 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains a selection of the papers presented at the XVII SIGEF Congress. It presents fuzzy logic, neural networks and other intelligent techniques applied to economic and business problems. This book is very useful for researchers and graduate students aiming to introduce themselves to the field of quantitative techniques for overcoming uncertain environments. The contributors are experienced scholars of different countries who offer real world applications of these mathematical techniques.

Decision Making in Entrepreneurship

Author : Dean A. Shepherd
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1784716049
Total Pages : 502 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (847 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making in Entrepreneurship by : Dean A. Shepherd

Download or read book Decision Making in Entrepreneurship written by Dean A. Shepherd and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2016-11-25 with total page 502 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this volume, Dean Shepherd focuses on the varying topics of entrepreneurship unified through conjoint analysis. Although the topic of entrepreneurial decision making is broad, in doing so, he reveals the mechanisms that come into play during the entrepreneurial decision-making process.