Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451974272
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty by : Mr.Guillermo Calvo

Download or read book Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty written by Mr.Guillermo Calvo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-04-01 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines trade reforms of uncertain duration undertaken in economies subject to real foreign and domestic shocks. These reforms induce consumption and import booms regardless of whether they succeed or fail and of the degree of intertemporal elasticity of substitution. If tariff revenue is rebated, a recession follows the boom, but without rebates a boom or a recession may follow depending on the outcome of the reform. Consumption fluctuations reflect imperfect credibility and real shocks, and the credibility component depends on the mean and risk of real asset returns. Thus, observed booms are a noisy signal of imperfect credibility. Quantitatively, lack of credibility produces sizable consumption cycles, but generally smaller than those induced by real disturbances.

Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty by : Enrique G. Mendoza

Download or read book Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty written by Enrique G. Mendoza and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines trade reforms of uncertain duration undertaken in economies subject to real foreign and domestic shocks. These reforms induce consumption and import booms regardless of whether they succeed or fail and of the degree of intertemporal elasticity of substitution. If tariff revenue is rebated, a recession follows the boom, but without rebates a boom or a recession may follow depending on the outcome of the reform. Consumption fluctuations reflect imperfect credibility and real shocks, and the credibility component depends on the mean and risk of real asset returns. Thus, observed booms are a noisy signal of imperfect credibility. Quantitatively, lack of credibility produces sizable consumption cycles, but generally smaller than those induced by real disturbances.

Trade reforms of uncertain duration and real uncertainty

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Trade reforms of uncertain duration and real uncertainty by : Fondo Monetario Internacional

Download or read book Trade reforms of uncertain duration and real uncertainty written by Fondo Monetario Internacional and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainity

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainity by : Guillermo A. Calvo

Download or read book Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainity written by Guillermo A. Calvo and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

IMF Staff papers

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451930887
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-01-01 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper presents a model of optimum currency areas using a general equilibrium approach with regionally differentiated goods. The choice of a currency union depends upon the size of the underlying disturbances, the correlation between these disturbances, the costs of transactions across currencies, factor mobility across regions, and the interrelationships between demand for different goods. It is found that, while a currency union can raise the welfare of the regions within the union, it unambiguously lowers welfare for those outside the union. [JEL F33, F36]

Working Paper Summaries (WP/94/1 - WP/94/76)

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451850956
Total Pages : 86 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Working Paper Summaries (WP/94/1 - WP/94/76) by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Working Paper Summaries (WP/94/1 - WP/94/76) written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-08-01 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and national and international economic developments.

Policy Uncertainty in Japan

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484302362
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Policy Uncertainty in Japan by : Ms.Elif C Arbatli

Download or read book Policy Uncertainty in Japan written by Ms.Elif C Arbatli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-05-30 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop new economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indices for Japan from January 1987 onwards building on the approach of Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016). Each index reflects the frequency of newspaper articles that contain certain terms pertaining to the economy, policy matters and uncertainty. Our overall EPU index co-varies positively with implied volatilities for Japanese equities, exchange rates and interest rates and with a survey-based measure of political uncertainty. The EPU index rises around contested national elections and major leadership transitions in Japan, during the Asian Financial Crisis and in reaction to the Lehman Brothers failure, U.S. debt downgrade in 2011, Brexit referendum, and Japan’s recent decision to defer a consumption tax hike. Our uncertainty indices for fiscal, monetary, trade and exchange rate policy co-vary positively but also display distinct dynamics. VAR models imply that upward EPU innovations foreshadow deteriorations in Japan’s macroeconomic performance, as reflected by impulse response functions for investment, employment and output. Our study adds to evidence that credible policy plans and strong policy frameworks can favorably influence macroeconomic performance by, in part, reducing policy uncertainty.

Competition Policy, Deregulation, and Modernization in Latin America

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Publisher : Lynne Rienner Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9781555878184
Total Pages : 306 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (781 download)

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Book Synopsis Competition Policy, Deregulation, and Modernization in Latin America by : Moisés Naím

Download or read book Competition Policy, Deregulation, and Modernization in Latin America written by Moisés Naím and published by Lynne Rienner Publishers. This book was released on 1999 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Providing one of the first studies to explore the topic, the authors trace the development of competition policy in Latin America, where that policy stands today, and how it may be reconceptualized and deployed as a tool for consolidating the region's economic future."--BOOK JACKET.

IMF Working Paper

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 700 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Working Paper by :

Download or read book IMF Working Paper written by and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 700 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Open Economy Macroeconomics in Developing Countries

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 026201890X
Total Pages : 911 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Open Economy Macroeconomics in Developing Countries by : Carlos A. Vegh

Download or read book Open Economy Macroeconomics in Developing Countries written by Carlos A. Vegh and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2013-08-30 with total page 911 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive and rigorous text that shows how a basic open economy model can be extended to answer important macroeconomic questions that arise in emerging markets. This rigorous and comprehensive textbook develops a basic small open economy model and shows how it can be extended to answer many important macroeconomic questions that arise in emerging markets and developing economies, particularly those regarding monetary, fiscal, and exchange rate issues. Eschewing the complex calibrated models on which the field of international finance increasingly relies, the book teaches the reader how to think in terms of simple models and grasp the fundamentals of open economy macroeconomics. After analyzing the standard intertemporal small open economy model, the book introduces frictions such as imperfect capital markets, intertemporal distortions, and nontradable goods, into the basic model in order to shed light on the economy's response to different shocks. The book then introduces money into the model to analyze the real effects of monetary and exchange rate policy. It then applies these theoretical tools to a variety of important macroeconomic issues relevant to developing countries (and, in a world of continuing financial crisis, to industrial countries as well), including the use of a nominal interest rate as a main policy instrument, the relative merits of flexible and predetermined exchange rate regimes, and the targeting of “real anchors.” Finally, the book analyzes in detail specific topics such as inflation stabilization, “dollarization,” balance of payments crises, and, inspired by recent events, financial crises. Each chapter includes boxes with relevant empirical evidence and ends with exercises. The book is suitable for use in graduate courses in development economics, international finance, and macroeconomics.

IMF Macroeconomic Research on Low-Income Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589062733
Total Pages : 130 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (627 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Macroeconomic Research on Low-Income Countries by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book IMF Macroeconomic Research on Low-Income Countries written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-01-30 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Summarizes the for ward-looking analytical work program on macroeconomic issues related to the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper approach. The program is evolving through a process that began with a technical workshop; participants from low-income countries, donors, academia, and civil society drafted guidance on selected issues and identified priority research topics. Partners, policymakers, and economic scholars are encouraged to share their perspectives and findings through respective team leaders, whose e-mail addresses are provided. The publication also summarizes IMF analytical work, and contains a bibliography of nearly 1,000 papers.

The Collapse of Global Trade, Murky Protectionism, and the Crisis

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781907142239
Total Pages : 112 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (422 download)

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Book Synopsis The Collapse of Global Trade, Murky Protectionism, and the Crisis by : Richard E. Baldwin

Download or read book The Collapse of Global Trade, Murky Protectionism, and the Crisis written by Richard E. Baldwin and published by . This book was released on 2011-03 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global financial crisis of 2008/9 is the Great Depression of the 21st century. For many though, the similarities stop at the Wall Street Crash as the current generation of policymakers have acted quickly to avoid the mistakes of the past. Yet the global crisis has made room for mistakes all of its own. While governments have apparently kept to their word on refraining from protectionist measures in the style of 1930s tariffs, there has been a disturbing rise in "murky protectionism." Seemingly benign, these crisis-linked policies are twisted to favour domestic firms, workers and investors. This book, first published as an eBook on VoxEU.org in March 2009, brings together leading trade policy practitioners and experts - including Australian Trade Minister Simon Crean and former Mexican President Ernesto Zedillo. Initially its aim was to advise policymakers heading in to the G20 meeting in London, but since the threat of murky protectionism persists, so too do their warnings.

The Syndrome of Exchange-rate-based Stabilizations and the Uncertain Duration of Currency Pegs

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Syndrome of Exchange-rate-based Stabilizations and the Uncertain Duration of Currency Pegs by : Enrique G. Mendoza

Download or read book The Syndrome of Exchange-rate-based Stabilizations and the Uncertain Duration of Currency Pegs written by Enrique G. Mendoza and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Investment under Uncertainty

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400830176
Total Pages : 484 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Investment under Uncertainty by : Robert K. Dixit

Download or read book Investment under Uncertainty written by Robert K. Dixit and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2012-07-14 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are made. In so doing, they answer important questions about investment decisions and the behavior of investment spending. This new approach to investment recognizes the option value of waiting for better (but never complete) information. It exploits an analogy with the theory of options in financial markets, which permits a much richer dynamic framework than was possible with the traditional theory of investment. The authors present the new theory in a clear and systematic way, and consolidate, synthesize, and extend the various strands of research that have come out of the theory. Their book shows the importance of the theory for understanding investment behavior of firms; develops the implications of this theory for industry dynamics and for government policy concerning investment; and shows how the theory can be applied to specific industries and to a wide variety of business problems.

Working Paper Summaries, January-June 1994

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 90 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Working Paper Summaries, January-June 1994 by :

Download or read book Working Paper Summaries, January-June 1994 written by and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Global Trends 2040

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Publisher : Cosimo Reports
ISBN 13 : 9781646794973
Total Pages : 158 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (949 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Trends 2040 by : National Intelligence Council

Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

The Globalizers

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Publisher : Cornell University Press
ISBN 13 : 0801456010
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (14 download)

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Book Synopsis The Globalizers by : Ngaire Woods

Download or read book The Globalizers written by Ngaire Woods and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2014-11-15 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The IMF and the World Bank have integrated a large number of countries into the world economy by requiring governments to open up to global trade, investment, and capital. They have not done this out of pure economic zeal. Politics and their own rules and habits explain much of why they have presented globalization as a solution to challenges they have faced in the world economy.—from the Introduction The greatest success of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank has been as globalizers. But at whose cost? Would borrowing countries be better off without the IMF and World Bank? This book takes readers inside these institutions and the governments they work with. Ngaire Woods brilliantly decodes what they do and why they do it, using original research, extensive interviews carried out across many countries and institutions, and scholarship from the fields of economics, law, and politics. The Globalizers focuses on both the political context of IMF and World Bank actions and their impact on the countries in which they intervene. After describing the important debates between U.S. planners and the Allies in the 1944 foundation at Bretton Woods, she analyzes understandings of their missions over the last quarter century. She traces the impact of the Bank and the Fund in the recent economic history of Mexico, of post-Soviet Russia, and in the independent states of Africa. Woods concludes by proposing a range of reforms that would make the World Bank and the IMF more effective, equitable, and just.