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Time Varying Risk Premia In Foreign Exchange And Equity Markets
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Book Synopsis Time-Varying Risk Premia in Foreign Exchange and Equity Markets by : Chu-Sheng Tai
Download or read book Time-Varying Risk Premia in Foreign Exchange and Equity Markets written by Chu-Sheng Tai and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the puzzles in international finance literature is the deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP). In this paper, I further examine the validity of the risk premia hypothesis in explaining this puzzle by testing a conditional international CAPM (ICAPM) in the absence of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) using data from both foreign exchange and equity markets in Asia-Pacific countries. When considering foreign exchange markets only, I find that conditional variances are not related to the deviations from UIP in any statistical sense based on an univariate GARCH(1,1)-M model. However, as I consider both foreign exchange and equity markets together and test the conditional ICAPM in the absence of PPP, I can not reject the model based on the J-test by Hansen (Econometrica 50 (1982), 1029-1054), and find significant time-varying market and foreign exchange risk premia presented in the data. This empirical evidence supports the notion of time-varying risk premia in explaining the deviations from UIP. It also supports the idea that the foreign exchange risk is not diversifiable and hence should be priced in both markets.Key Words: International asset pricing, Uncovered interest parity, Time-varying risk premium, GARCH, GMM.
Book Synopsis Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets by : Shaun K. Roache
Download or read book Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets written by Shaun K. Roache and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-08 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Large fundamental imbalances persist in the global economy, with potential exchange rate implications. This paper assesses whether exchange rate risk is priced across G-7 stock markets. Given the multitude of hedging instruments available, theory suggests that stock market investors should not be compensated for currency risk. However, data covering 33 industry portfolios across seven major stock markets suggest that not only is exchange rate risk priced in many markets, but that it is time-varying and sensitive to currency-specific shocks. With stock market investors typically exhibiting "home bias," this suggests that investors are using equity asset proxies to hedge the exchange rate risks to consumption.
Book Synopsis The Time-variation of Risk and Return in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets by : Alberto Giovannini
Download or read book The Time-variation of Risk and Return in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets written by Alberto Giovannini and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent empirical work indicates that, in a variety of financial markets, both conditional expectations and conditional variances of returns are time- varying. The purpose of this paper is to determine whether these joint fluctuations of conditional first and second moments are consistent with the Sharpe-Lintner-Mossin capital-asset-pricing model. We test the mean-variance model under several different assumptions about the time-variation of conditional second moments of returns, using weekly data from July 1974 to December 1986, that include returns on a portfolio composed of dollar, Deutsche mark, Sterling, and Swiss franc assets, together with the US stock market. The model is estimated constraining risk premia to depend on the time-varying conditional covariance matrix of the residuals of the expected returns equations. The results indicate that estimated conditional variances cannot explain the observed time-variation of risk premia. Furthermore, the constraints imposed by the static CAPH are always rejected.
Book Synopsis Interest Rates and Risk Premia in the Stock Market and in the Foreign Exchange Market by : Alberto Giovannini
Download or read book Interest Rates and Risk Premia in the Stock Market and in the Foreign Exchange Market written by Alberto Giovannini and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Time-varying Risk Premia in Forward Foreign Exchange Markets and Conditional Heteroskedasticity by : William Dean Lastrapes
Download or read book Time-varying Risk Premia in Forward Foreign Exchange Markets and Conditional Heteroskedasticity written by William Dean Lastrapes and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The World Price of Foreign Exchange Risk by : Bernard Dumas
Download or read book The World Price of Foreign Exchange Risk written by Bernard Dumas and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We consider a world capital market in which the investor population is heterogenous. Investors of different countries differ in the prices of goods at which they consume the income from their investments. In such a setting, the international CAPM incorporates rewards for exchange rate risk, in addition to the traditional reward for market-covariance risk. The aim of the paper is to determine whether these additional risk premia empirically playa significant role in the pricing of securities. The test being conducted is a test of a conditional version of the CAPM. It builds on the recent empirical literature which points out that stock market returns may, to some extent, be predicted on the basis of a number of instrumental variables, such as interest rates and dividend yields. All previous tests of the international CAPM with exchange risk premia have been tests of the unconditional version and have been inconclusive.
Book Synopsis Non-parametric Estimates of the Foreign Exchange and Equity Risk Premia and Tests of Market Efficiency by : Mike Wickens
Download or read book Non-parametric Estimates of the Foreign Exchange and Equity Risk Premia and Tests of Market Efficiency written by Mike Wickens and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Time-Varying Risk Premia, Volatility, and Technical Trading Rule Profits by : Bong-Chan Kho
Download or read book Time-Varying Risk Premia, Volatility, and Technical Trading Rule Profits written by Bong-Chan Kho and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper re-examines the efficiency of foreign currency futures markets by evaluating the role of time-varying risk premia and volatility in explaining technical trading rule profits. The results show that large parts of the technical rule profits can be explained by the time-varying risk premia estimated from a general model for the conditional CAPM: The bootstrap distributions for the profits under the null model average one-third to one-half of the actual profits and enclose the actual profits well within the 90% confidence intervals. Time-varying conditional volatility explains an additional 10% of the profits.
Book Synopsis Time Varying Risk Premia in Futures Markets by : Mr.Manmohan S. Kumar
Download or read book Time Varying Risk Premia in Futures Markets written by Mr.Manmohan S. Kumar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1990-12-01 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper undertakes an econometric investigation into the presence of risk premium in commodity futures markets. The statistical tests are derived from a formal model of asset pricing and are applied to futures prices in a variety of commodity markets. The results suggest that for several commodities there is evidence of a time varying risk premium, particularly in futures contracts maturing six months ahead. The implications of the study for the efficiency of the futures markets and the costs of using these markets for hedging are also noted.
Book Synopsis Risk Premia in Foreign Exchange Markets by : Wen-he Lu
Download or read book Risk Premia in Foreign Exchange Markets written by Wen-he Lu and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We have attempted to test the existence of time-varying risk premia in foreign exchange markets under two models that we have developed in this dissertation. This first one is an extension to Lucas's general equilibrium model of international finance. By assumption of the Cobb- Douglas utility function of the consumers we are able to derive a closed form for the risk premia in the foreign exchange markets on the setting of a two-country economy model. We used White's test and Engle's test for homoscedasticity and used White's heteroscedasticity-consistent variance-covariance matrix to derive the correct standard errors. The time varying risk premium is tested jointly with the efficiency of the foreign exchange market, i.e., whether the forward exchange rates are unbiased predictors of the future spot exchange rates. The empirical findings indicate that the notion of market efficiency is rejected and there is no risk premium for any of the three cases we studied. In the monetary approach, however, we test the existence of time- varying risk premia alone. By PPP and an extension to the uncovered interest parity we introduced the risk premia into our monetary approach to foreign exchange rate determination. The forward premium is used as a driving force of the risk premium. A rational expectation hypothesis is made and the forward solution derived. Since it is a non-linear single equation model and there is evidence of heteroscedasticity we used GMM estimators and the corresponding variance-covariance matrix and found that there is constant risk premia in the case of Germany and Japan but not in the case of Canada. We also did an empirical study of monetary model with the formation of risk premium derived before. The findings we have is that there is time-varying risk premium in the case of Germany but not in the cases of Japan and Canada. Since our monetary model relaxes the restriction imposed on the semi-elasticity of interest rate the empirical results are based on a more general setting than most of the monetary models of foreign exchange rates. The conflicting empirical results from the two attempts are attributed to the different setting of the models. Extensions to the current data will test whether the conclusion we have drawn is valid.
Book Synopsis Financial Markets and the Real Economy by : John H. Cochrane
Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.
Book Synopsis Risk Premia in Forward Foreign Exchange Markets by : Prasad V. Bidarkota
Download or read book Risk Premia in Forward Foreign Exchange Markets written by Prasad V. Bidarkota and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate time varying risk premia in forward dollar/pound monthly exchange rates over the last two decades. We study this issue using a signal plus noise model and separately using regression techniques. Our models account for time varying volatility and non-normalities in the observed series. Our signal plus noise model fails to isolate a statistically significant risk premium component whereas our regression model does. We attribute the discrepancy in the results from the two methods to the low power of the signal plus noise model in discriminating between a time varying risk premium component and a serially uncorrelated spot exchange rate expectational error. An important reason for the low power of the signal plus noise model is its failure to use information on current period forward rates in extracting the risk premium.
Book Synopsis Foreign exchange market risk premia with time-nonseparable and time-varying risk preferences. /..., Kodjovi G. Assoe by : Minh Chau To
Download or read book Foreign exchange market risk premia with time-nonseparable and time-varying risk preferences. /..., Kodjovi G. Assoe written by Minh Chau To and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :Assoé, Kodjovi G Publisher :Montréal : École des hautes études commerciales, Centre d'études en administration internationale ISBN 13 : Total Pages :66 pages Book Rating :4.:/5 (39 download)
Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Market Risk Premia with Time-nonseparable and Time-varying Risk Preferences by : Assoé, Kodjovi G
Download or read book Foreign Exchange Market Risk Premia with Time-nonseparable and Time-varying Risk Preferences written by Assoé, Kodjovi G and published by Montréal : École des hautes études commerciales, Centre d'études en administration internationale. This book was released on 1993 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Sources of Time Varying Risk and Risk Premia in U.S. Stock and Bond Markets by : Bala Arshanapalli
Download or read book Sources of Time Varying Risk and Risk Premia in U.S. Stock and Bond Markets written by Bala Arshanapalli and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the sources of time-varying risk and risk premia for both the U.S. stock and bond markets. Although a growing literature has emerged that examines the return and volatility characteristics of the U.S. stock and bond markets separately, little work has appeared that models these markets jointly. This paper proposes a model that provides evidence concerning the sources of time varying risk and risk premia in the markets that considers both markets simultaneously. The model captures the change in the risk premium to each market's own volatility risk as well as to the covariance risk for specific events. We test for the effects of macroeconomic news on time-varying volatility as well as time-varying covariance, and whether such news induces time-varying risk premia in either of the markets. We find that stocks, as opposed to bonds exhibit a change in the risk premium on variance risk on PPI announcement dates. There is also evidence of a change in the bond risk premium on covariance risk on macroeconomic news announcement dates. Employment reports and PPI releases appear as events inducing time-varying conditional variance for stock, Treasury Notes, as well as Treasury Bond returns. Finally, the results do not support the conjecture that conditional covariance of stock and bond returns falls on announcement days.
Book Synopsis Measuring the Euro Exchange Rate Risk Premium by : Lorenzo Cappiello
Download or read book Measuring the Euro Exchange Rate Risk Premium written by Lorenzo Cappiello and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper derives measures for the bilateral euro exchange rate risk premia vis-a-vis the US dollar and the UK pound sterling, as well as the US and the UK equity market risk premia using the perspective of a european investor. We carry out the estimations applying the conditional International Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM). The ICAPM is estimated for both constant and time-varying prices of risk, using weekly data on the equity and foreign exchange returns for Europe, the UK and the US. In estimating the time-varying prices of risk, we propose a new set of instrumental variables that take both business cycle and market volatility considerations into account. Consequently, our risk premium estimates are more intuitive, picking up most of the individual events that moved the markets between 1986 and 2001.
Book Synopsis Estimation of Time-varying Risk Premia on Stock Market Indices and Exchange Rates Pricing Macroeconomic Variables by :
Download or read book Estimation of Time-varying Risk Premia on Stock Market Indices and Exchange Rates Pricing Macroeconomic Variables written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
