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Time Varying Devaluation Risk Interest Rate Differentials And Exchange Rates In Target Zones
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Book Synopsis Time-varying Devaluation Risk, Interest Rate Differentials and Exchange Rates in Target Zones by : Axel A. Weber
Download or read book Time-varying Devaluation Risk, Interest Rate Differentials and Exchange Rates in Target Zones written by Axel A. Weber and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis French-German Interest Rate Differentials and Time-Varying Realignment Risk by : Mr.Francesco Caramazza
Download or read book French-German Interest Rate Differentials and Time-Varying Realignment Risk written by Mr.Francesco Caramazza and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1993-01-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores the determinants of expected rates of realignment of the French franc/Deutsche mark exchange rate during the period 1987-1991. It does so by first estimating expected parity changes and then relating these to economic variables that are believed to influence agents’ realignment expectations. Time-varying expected rates of realignment are estimated in two ways: one, by adjusting short-term euromarket interest rate differentials for the expected rate of change of the FF/DM exchange rate within the EMS fluctuation band and two, by the differential in the yield on long-term government bonds. The behavior of the exchange rate within the band is found to be consistent with mean reversion and the expected change is nontrivial. Thus, by filtering out the expected mean reversion within the band from short-term interest rate differentials more precise measures of expected changes in the central parity are obtained. Realignment expectations are found to be closely related to the evolution of fundamental economic variables and, for shorter horizons, the position of the franc in the fluctuation band.
Book Synopsis Adjustment and Growth in the European Monetary Union by : Francisco Torres
Download or read book Adjustment and Growth in the European Monetary Union written by Francisco Torres and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1993-10-21 with total page 406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Maastricht Treaty, signed in December 1991, set a timetable for the European Community's economic and monetary union (EMU) and clearly defined the institutional policy changes necessary for its achievement. Subsequent developments have demonstrated, however, the importance of many key issues in the transition to EMU that were largely neglected at the time. This volume reports the proceedings of a joint CEPR conference with the Banco de Portugal, held in January 1992. In these papers, leading international experts address the instability of the transition to EMU, the long-run implications of monetary union and the single market for growth and convergence in Europe. They also consider the prospects for inflation and fiscal convergence, regional policy and the integration of financial markets and fiscal systems. Attention focuses on adjustment mechanisms with differentiated shocks, region-specific business cycles and excessive industrial concentration and the cases for a two-speed EMU and fiscal federalism.
Book Synopsis The Economics of Exchange Rates by : Lucio Sarno
Download or read book The Economics of Exchange Rates written by Lucio Sarno and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2003-01-09 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last few decades exchange rate economics has seen a number of developments, with substantial contributions to both the theory and empirics of exchange rate determination. Important developments in econometrics and the increasingly large availability of high-quality data have also been responsible for stimulating the large amount of empirical work on exchange rates in this period. Nonetheless, while our understanding of exchange rates has significantly improved, a number of challenges and open questions remain in the exchange rate debate, enhanced by events including the launch of the Euro and the large number of recent currency crises. This volume provides a selective coverage of the literature on exchange rates, focusing on developments from within the last fifteen years. Clear explanations of theories are offered, alongside an appraisal of the literature and suggestions for further research and analysis.
Book Synopsis Capital Mobility by : Leonardo Leiderman
Download or read book Capital Mobility written by Leonardo Leiderman and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1994-07-14 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edited volume examines capital mobility in both industrialised and developing countries.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy and Interest Rates in the European Union by : Klaas Knot
Download or read book Fiscal Policy and Interest Rates in the European Union written by Klaas Knot and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 1996-01-01 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an extensive study concerned with the potential effects of fiscal policy on financial markets in the EU. It takes into account the gradual liberalization of capital movements through Western Europe & the framework of the European Monetary System.
Book Synopsis French-German Interest Rate Differentials and Time-varying Realignment Risk by : Francesco Caramazza
Download or read book French-German Interest Rate Differentials and Time-varying Realignment Risk written by Francesco Caramazza and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis On Exchange Rates by : Jeffrey A. Frankel
Download or read book On Exchange Rates written by Jeffrey A. Frankel and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1993 with total page 468 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These seventeen essays provide an accessible and thorough reference for understanding the role of exchange rates in the international monetary system since 1973, when the rates were allowed to float. The essays analyze such issues as exchange rate movements, exchange risk premia, investor expectations of exchange rates and behavior of exchange rates in different systems. Frankel's sound empirical treatment of exchange rate questions shows that it is possible to produce work that is interesting from a purely intellectual viewpoint while contributing to practical knowledge of the real world of international economics and finance.The essays have been organized in a way that provides an introduction to the field of empirical international finance. Part I documents the steady reduction in barriers to international capital movement and leads logically to part II, which explains how exchange rates are determined. Both monetary and portfolio-based models are surveyed in part II, providing a clear transition to the topic of part III; the possible existence of an exchange risk premium. Part IV applies the tools discussed in earlier sections to explore various policy questions related to exchange rate expectations such as whether foreign exchange intervention matters and whether the European monetary system had become credible by 1991. Each part begins with a detailed introduction explaining not only the central issues of that section but also suggesting connections with other essays in the book.Jeffrey A. Frankel is Professor of Economics at the University of California, Berkeley.
Book Synopsis Stochastic Devaluation Risk and the Empirical Fit of Target Zone Models by : Giuseppe Bertola
Download or read book Stochastic Devaluation Risk and the Empirical Fit of Target Zone Models written by Giuseppe Bertola and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes a tractable and realistic nonlinear model of exchange rate dynamics, and argues that its predictions are consistent with available empirical evidence on exchange rate and interest differential behavior in real-life target zones. In our model, the exchange rate fluctuates between given boundaries for random lengths of time and jumps discretely when devaluations occur. We allow for stochastic variability in the likelihood and size of devaluations, and we provide explicit solutions for the stochastic processes followed by the exchange rate and by the expected rate of depreciation. The model produces realistic patterns of covariation between exchange rates and interest rate differentials, and provides interesting interpretations of available empirical evidence. We also specify how to infer devaluation risk from target zone data.
Book Synopsis Modern Perspectives on the Gold Standard by : Tamim Bayoumi
Download or read book Modern Perspectives on the Gold Standard written by Tamim Bayoumi and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1996 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Currency crises in Europe and Mexico during the 1990s provided stark reminders of the importance and the fragility of international financial markets. These experiences led some commentators to conclude that open international capital markets are incompatible with financial stability. But the pre-1914 gold standard is an obvious challenge to the notion that open capital markets are sources of instability. To deepen our understanding of how this system worked, this volume draws together recent research on the gold standard. Theoretical models are used to guide qualitative discussions of historical experience, while econometric methods are used to help the historical data speak clearly. The result is an overview of the gold standard, a survey of the relevant applied research in international macroeconomics, and a demonstration of how the past can help to inform the present.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1451973446 Total Pages :188 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (519 download)
Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers, Volume 43 No. 3 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Download or read book IMF Staff papers, Volume 43 No. 3 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-01-01 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the volatility and predictability of emerging stock markets. A range of measures suggests that, despite perceptions to the contrary, the volatility of emerging markets may have fallen rather than risen on average. Also, although the autocorrelations in emerging market returns appear to turn negative at horizons of a year or more, the magnitude of these return reversals is not that much larger than reversals in some mature markets. One interpretation of the results would be that emerging markets have not consistently been subject to fads or bubbles, or at least no more so than in some industrial countries.
Book Synopsis The Term Structure of Interest Rate Differentials in a Target Zone by : Lars E. O. Svensson
Download or read book The Term Structure of Interest Rate Differentials in a Target Zone written by Lars E. O. Svensson and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The term structure of interest rate differentials is derived in a model of a small open economy with a target zone exchange rate regime. The target zone is modeled as a regulated Brownian motion. The interest rate differentials are computed as the solution to a parabolic partial differential equation with derivative boundary conditions, both via a Fourier-series analytical solution and via a direct numerical solution. Several specific properties of the term structure of interest rate differentials are derived. For instance, for given time to maturity the interest rate differential is decreasing in the exchange rate, and for given exchange rate the interest rate differential's absolute value and its instantaneous variability are both decreasing in the time to maturity. Devaluation/realignment risks are incorporated and imply upward shifts of the interest rate differentials. Some implications of the theory are found to be broadly consistent with data on Swedish exchange rates and interest differentials for the period 1986-1989.
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald
Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""
Book Synopsis Current Issues in Monetary Economics by : Helmut Wagner
Download or read book Current Issues in Monetary Economics written by Helmut Wagner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 343 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Helmut Wagner University of Hagen, Feithstr. 140, D - 58084 Hagen In the last few years decisive methodological and thematic focal points which are important for practical economic policy have been developed in the theory of monetary and exchange rate policy. This book is concerned with these developments, their assessment and the open questions which have still not been solved. It is divided into four parts. The first part deals with central bank design, the second with strategies of monetary policies and their implementation. Part III is concerned with theoretical aspects of exchange rate policy and monetary union, and part IV with selected issues of monetary and exchange rate policy in developing and transition countries. In the following pages I will provide an 1 overview of the individual articles With the exception of the article by Nobel . Laureate James Tobin, the contributions contained in this book were all introduced and discussed at an academic symposium I organized in Castrop Rauxel on 8 and 9 September 1997. James Tobin agreed spontaneously to my suggestion that he should write a comprehensive article especially for this publication. A short summary of the comments or supplementary papers and of the general discussions will be given in the last section of this book, titled "Conclusion and Supplements". There I will also provide some supplements respecting the issues which were the subject of the greatest amount of debate at the symposium.
Download or read book Journal of Economic Literature written by and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 1164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Targets and Currency Bands by : Paul Krugman
Download or read book Exchange Rate Targets and Currency Bands written by Paul Krugman and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1992-10-22 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume examines the intersection between a new analytical approach and a real economic problem.
Book Synopsis The Simplest Test of Target Zone Credibility by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book The Simplest Test of Target Zone Credibility written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1990-11-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Under the assumption of no arbitrage exchange rate target zone credibility is tested by whether domestic interest rates fall within “rate-of-return bands” between the maximum and minimum home-currency rate of return on a foreign investment absent a devaluation. Under the assumption of uncovered interest rate parity credibility is tested by whether expected future exchange rates fall within the exchange rate band. These tests are applied on data about the Swedish target zone during January 1987-August 1990.
