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Time Series Structure Of Exchange Rate Fluctuations Heteroskedasticity Arch Purchasing Power Parity
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Book Synopsis Time-series structure of exchange rate fluctuations : heteroskedasticity, arch, purchasing power parity by : Francis X. Diebold
Download or read book Time-series structure of exchange rate fluctuations : heteroskedasticity, arch, purchasing power parity written by Francis X. Diebold and published by . This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Time-series Structure of Exchange Rate Fluctuations by : Francis X. Diebold
Download or read book The Time-series Structure of Exchange Rate Fluctuations written by Francis X. Diebold and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Empirical Modeling of Exchange Rate Dynamics by : Francis X. Diebold
Download or read book Empirical Modeling of Exchange Rate Dynamics written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 153 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Structural exchange rate modeling has proven extremely difficult during the recent post-1973 float. The disappointment climaxed with the papers of Meese and Rogoff (1983a, 1983b), who showed that a "naive" random walk model distinctly dominated received theoretical models in terms of predictive performance for the major dollar spot rates. One purpose of this monograph is to seek the reasons for this failure by exploring the temporal behavior of seven major dollar exchange rates using nonstructural time-series methods. The Meese-Rogoff finding does not mean that exchange rates evolve as random walks; rather it simply means that the random walk is a better stochastic approximation than any of their other candidate models. In this monograph, we use optimal model specification techniques, including formal unit root tests which allow for trend, and find that all of the exchange rates studied do in fact evolve as random walks or random walks with drift (to a very close approximation). This result is consistent with efficient asset markets, and provides an explanation for the Meese-Rogoff results. Far more subtle forces are at work, however, which lead to interesting econometric problems and have implications for the measurement of exchange rate volatility and moment structure. It is shown that all exchange rates display substantial conditional heteroskedasticity. A particularly reasonable parameterization of this conditional heteroskedasticity, which captures the observed clustering of prediction error variances, is developed in Chapter 2.
Book Synopsis Nonlinear Time Series Analysis with Applications to Foreign Exchange Rate Volatility by : Christian Hafner
Download or read book Nonlinear Time Series Analysis with Applications to Foreign Exchange Rate Volatility written by Christian Hafner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-27 with total page 235 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book deals with the econometric analysis of high frequency financial time series. It emphasizes a new nonparametric approach to volatility models and provides theoretical and empirical comparisons with conventional ARCH models, applied to foreign exchange rates. Nonparametric models are discussed that cope with asymmetry and long memory of volatility as well as heterogeneity of higher conditional moments.
Book Synopsis Econometric Analysis of Financial Markets by : Jürgen Kaehler
Download or read book Econometric Analysis of Financial Markets written by Jürgen Kaehler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This collection of papers represents the state of the art in the applicationof recent econometric methods to the analysis of financial markets. From a methodological point of view the main emphasis is on cointegration analysis and ARCH modelling. In cointegration analysis the links between long-runcomponents of time series are studied. The methods used can be applied to the determination of equilibrium relationships between the variables, whereas ARCH models are concerned with the measurement and analysis of changing variances in time series. These econometric models have been the most significant innovations for the empirical analysis of financial time series in recent years. Other econometric methods and models applied in the papers include factor analysis, vector autoregressions, and Markov-switching models. The papers cover a wide range of issues and theories in financial and international economics: the term structure ofinterest rates, exchange-rate determination, target-zone dynamics, stock-market efficiency, and option pricing.
Book Synopsis The Time-series Structure of Exchange Rate Fluctuations by : Francis Xavier Diebold
Download or read book The Time-series Structure of Exchange Rate Fluctuations written by Francis Xavier Diebold and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald
Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""
Book Synopsis Purchasing Power Parity, Balanced Growth, and Volatility Forecasting: An Application of Recent Developments in Time Series Analysis by : Periklis Gogas
Download or read book Purchasing Power Parity, Balanced Growth, and Volatility Forecasting: An Application of Recent Developments in Time Series Analysis written by Periklis Gogas and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2014-12-18 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I use recent advance in statistics and econometrics in an effort to re-test some well-known theoretical propositions, examine whether those new techniques support the theory, provide models that are better fitted to describe and forecast economic time-series. The Purchasing Power Parity theory is tested using the Fisher and Seater (1993) and King and Watson (1997) methodologies and strong evidence in support of PPP is found. I use the general class of ARCH/GARCH processes to model financial time series in an ARIMA framework and the best fitted models outperform traditional ARIMA models in terms of the forecast variance. Finally, I test the balanced growth theory and try to estimate a money demand function using the Johansen and Juselius (1993) methodology. I do not find evidence in support of the balanced growth theory and a stable money demand function, and these results are not sensitive to different monetary aggregates that are constructed according to recent index number theory.
Book Synopsis Time Series Techniques for Economists by : Terence C. Mills
Download or read book Time Series Techniques for Economists written by Terence C. Mills and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The application of time series techniques in economics has become increasingly important, both for forecasting purposes and in the empirical analysis of time series in general. In this book, Terence Mills not only brings together recent research at the frontiers of the subject, but also analyses the areas of most importance to applied economics. It is an up-to-date text which extends the basic techniques of analysis to cover the development of methods that can be used to analyse a wide range of economic problems. The book analyses three basic areas of time series analysis: univariate models, multivariate models, and non-linear models. In each case the basic theory is outlined and then extended to cover recent developments. Particular emphasis is placed on applications of the theory to important areas of applied economics and on the computer software and programs needed to implement the techniques. This book clearly distinguishes itself from its competitors by emphasising the techniques of time series modelling rather than technical aspects such as estimation, and by the breadth of the models considered. It features many detailed real-world examples using a wide range of actual time series. It will be useful to econometricians and specialists in forecasting and finance and accessible to most practitioners in economics and the allied professions.
Book Synopsis Nonlinear Time Series: Analysis with Applications to Foreign Exchange Rate Volatility by : Christian M. Hafner
Download or read book Nonlinear Time Series: Analysis with Applications to Foreign Exchange Rate Volatility written by Christian M. Hafner and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Structural Time Series Modelling by : Imad A. Moosa
Download or read book Structural Time Series Modelling written by Imad A. Moosa and published by ICFAI Books. This book was released on 2006 with total page 185 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a diverse range of applications of structural time series modelling in Economics and Finance. Chapter 1 begins with a description of structural time series modelling, including model specification, estimation and validation, as well as
Book Synopsis A Guide to Modern Econometrics by : Marno Verbeek
Download or read book A Guide to Modern Econometrics written by Marno Verbeek and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-05-27 with total page 489 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This revised and updated edition of A Guide to Modern Econometrics continues to explore a wide range of topics in modern econometrics by focusing on what is important for doing and understanding empirical work. It serves as a guide to alternative techniques with the emphasis on the intuition behind the approaches and their practical relevance. New material includes Monte Carlo studies, weak instruments, nonstationary panels, count data, duration models and the estimation of treatment effects. Features of this book include: Coverage of a wide range of topics, including time series analysis, cointegration, limited dependent variables, panel data analysis and the generalized method of moments Empirical examples drawn from a wide variety of fields including labour economics, finance, international economics, environmental economics and macroeconomics. End-of-chapter exercises review key concepts in light of empirical examples.
Book Synopsis Analysis of Volatile Time Series, with Reference to Foreign Exchange Rates by : Bin Zhou
Download or read book Analysis of Volatile Time Series, with Reference to Foreign Exchange Rates written by Bin Zhou and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Applied Econometric Time Series by : Walter Enders
Download or read book Applied Econometric Time Series written by Walter Enders and published by . This book was released on 1995-01 with total page 433 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This advanced text for a course on time series econometrics introduces modern time series analyses through the use of wide-ranging examples and applications. Providing a balance between macro and microeconomic applications, the book covers recent work in non-stationary time series that has only been published in journals, including unit-root test, ARCH models and co-integration/error-correction models. VAR analysis has been added as well as examples from different sources; the examples include Exchange Rate determination, the theory of purchasing power parity, and transnational terrorism.
Book Synopsis Modeling Exchange Rates by : Michael A. Hauser
Download or read book Modeling Exchange Rates written by Michael A. Hauser and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Index to American Doctoral Dissertations by :
Download or read book Index to American Doctoral Dissertations written by and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 606 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis High Frequency Data and Volatility, in Foreign Exchange Rates by : Bin Zhou
Download or read book High Frequency Data and Volatility, in Foreign Exchange Rates written by Bin Zhou and published by Forgotten Books. This book was released on 2015-06-02 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Excerpt from High Frequency Data and Volatility, in Foreign Exchange Rates Exchange rates, like many other financial time series, display substantial heteroscedasticity. This poses obstacles in detecting trends and changes. Understanding volatility becomes extremely important in studying financial time series. Unfortunately, estimating volatility from low frequency data, such as daily, weekly, or monthly observations, is very difficult. The recent availability of ultra-high frequency observations, such as tick-by-tick data, to large financial institutions creates a new possibility for the analysis of volatile time series. This article uses tick-by-tick Deutsche Mark and US Dollar (DM/$) exchange rates to explore this new type of data. Unlike low frequency data, high frequency data have extremely high negative first order autocorrelation in their return. A model explaining the negative autocorrelation and volatility estimators using the high frequency data are proposed. Daily and hourly volatility of the DM/$ exchange rates are estimated and the behaviors of the volatility are discussed. About the Publisher Forgotten Books publishes hundreds of thousands of rare and classic books. Find more at www.forgottenbooks.com This book is a reproduction of an important historical work. Forgotten Books uses state-of-the-art technology to digitally reconstruct the work, preserving the original format whilst repairing imperfections present in the aged copy. In rare cases, an imperfection in the original, such as a blemish or missing page, may be replicated in our edition. We do, however, repair the vast majority of imperfections successfully; any imperfections that remain are intentionally left to preserve the state of such historical works.
