Time Series Sales Forecasting And Prediction Using Machine Learning With Tkinter

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Time-Series Sales Forecasting and Prediction Using Machine Learning with Tkinter

Author : Rismon Hasiholan Sianipar
Publisher : Independently Published
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (622 download)

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Book Synopsis Time-Series Sales Forecasting and Prediction Using Machine Learning with Tkinter by : Rismon Hasiholan Sianipar

Download or read book Time-Series Sales Forecasting and Prediction Using Machine Learning with Tkinter written by Rismon Hasiholan Sianipar and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2023-09-23 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This project leverages the power of data visualization and exploration to provide a comprehensive understanding of sales trends over time. Through an intuitive GUI built with Tkinter, users can seamlessly navigate through various aspects of their sales data. The journey begins with a detailed visualization of the dataset. This critical step allows users to grasp the overall structure, identify trends, and spot outliers. The application provides a user-friendly interface to interact with the data, offering an informative visual representation of the sales records. Moving forward, users can delve into the distribution of features within the dataset. This feature distribution analysis provides valuable insights into the characteristics of the sales data. It enables users to identify patterns, anomalies, and correlations among different attributes, paving the way for more accurate forecasting and prediction. One of the central functionalities of this application lies in its ability to perform sales forecasting using machine learning regressors. By employing powerful regression models, such as Random Forest Regressor, KNN regressor, Support Vector Regressor, AdaBoost regressor, Gradient Boosting Regressor, MLP regressor, Lasso regressor, and Ridge regressor, the application assists users in predicting future sales based on historical data. This empowers businesses to make informed decisions and plan for upcoming periods with greater precision. The application takes sales forecasting a step further by allowing users to fine-tune their models using Grid Search. This powerful optimization technique systematically explores different combinations of hyperparameters to find the optimal configuration for the machine learning models. This ensures that the models are fine-tuned for maximum accuracy in sales predictions. In addition to sales forecasting, the application addresses the critical issue of customer churn prediction. It identifies customers who are likely to churn based on a combination of features and behaviors. By employing a selection of machine learning models and Grid Search such as Random Forest Classifier, Support Vector Classifier, and K-Nearest Neighbors Classifier, Linear Regression Classifier, AdaBoost Classifier, Support Vector Classifier, Gradient Boosting Classifier, Extreme Gradient Boosting Classifier, and Multi-Layer Perceptron Classifier, the application provides a robust framework for accurately predicting which customers are at risk of leaving. The project doesn't just stop at prediction; it also includes functionalities for evaluating model performance. Users can assess the accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score of their models, allowing them to gauge the effectiveness of their forecasting and customer churn predictions. Furthermore, the application incorporates an intuitive user interface with widgets such as menus, buttons, listboxes, and comboboxes. These elements facilitate seamless interaction and navigation within the application, ensuring a user-friendly experience. To enhance user convenience, the application also supports data loading from external sources. It enables users to import their sales datasets directly into the application, streamlining the analysis process. The project is built on a foundation of modular and organized code. Each functionality is encapsulated within separate classes, promoting code reusability and maintainability. This ensures that the application is robust and can be easily extended or modified to accommodate future enhancements.

DATA VISUALIZATION, TIME-SERIES FORECASTING, AND PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING WITH TKINTER

Author : Vivian Siahaan
Publisher : BALIGE PUBLISHING
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 267 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis DATA VISUALIZATION, TIME-SERIES FORECASTING, AND PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING WITH TKINTER by : Vivian Siahaan

Download or read book DATA VISUALIZATION, TIME-SERIES FORECASTING, AND PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING WITH TKINTER written by Vivian Siahaan and published by BALIGE PUBLISHING. This book was released on 2023-09-06 with total page 267 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This "Data Visualization, Time-Series Forecasting, and Prediction using Machine Learning with Tkinter" project is a comprehensive and multifaceted application that leverages data visualization, time-series forecasting, and machine learning techniques to gain insights into bitcoin data and make predictions. This project serves as a valuable tool for financial analysts, traders, and investors seeking to make informed decisions in the stock market. The project begins with data visualization, where historical bitcoin market data is visually represented using various plots and charts. This provides users with an intuitive understanding of the data's trends, patterns, and fluctuations. Features distribution analysis is conducted to assess the statistical properties of the dataset, helping users identify key characteristics that may impact forecasting and prediction. One of the project's core functionalities is time-series forecasting. Through a user-friendly interface built with Tkinter, users can select a stock symbol and specify the time horizon for forecasting. The project supports multiple machine learning regressors, such as Linear Regression, Decision Trees, Random Forests, Gradient Boosting, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Multi-Layer Perceptron, Lasso, Ridge, AdaBoost, and KNN, allowing users to choose the most suitable algorithm for their forecasting needs. Time-series forecasting is crucial for making predictions about stock prices, which is essential for investment strategies. The project employs various machine learning regressors to predict the adjusted closing price of bitcoin stock. By training these models on historical data, users can obtain predictions for future adjusted closing prices. This information is invaluable for traders and investors looking to make buy or sell decisions. The project also incorporates hyperparameter tuning and cross-validation to enhance the accuracy of these predictions. These models employ metrics such as Mean Absolute Error (MAE), which quantifies the average absolute discrepancy between predicted values and actual values. Lower MAE values signify superior model performance. Additionally, Mean Squared Error (MSE) is used to calculate the average squared differences between predicted and actual values, with lower MSE values indicating better model performance. Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), derived from MSE, provides insights in the same units as the target variable and is valued for its lower values, denoting superior performance. Lastly, R-squared (R2) evaluates the fraction of variance in the target variable that can be predicted from independent variables, with higher values signifying better model fit. An R2 of 1 implies a perfect model fit. In addition to close price forecasting, the project extends its capabilities to predict daily returns. By implementing grid search, users can fine-tune the hyperparameters of machine learning models such as Random Forests, Gradient Boosting, Support Vector, Decision Tree, Gradient Boosting, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Multi-Layer Perceptron, and AdaBoost Classifiers. This optimization process aims to maximize the predictive accuracy of daily returns. Accurate daily return predictions are essential for assessing risk and formulating effective trading strategies. Key metrics in these classifiers encompass Accuracy, which represents the ratio of correctly predicted instances to the total number of instances, Precision, which measures the proportion of true positive predictions among all positive predictions, and Recall (also known as Sensitivity or True Positive Rate), which assesses the proportion of true positive predictions among all actual positive instances. The F1-Score serves as the harmonic mean of Precision and Recall, offering a balanced evaluation, especially when considering the trade-off between false positives and false negatives. The ROC Curve illustrates the trade-off between Recall and False Positive Rate, while the Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC-ROC) summarizes this trade-off. The Confusion Matrix provides a comprehensive view of classifier performance by detailing true positives, true negatives, false positives, and false negatives, facilitating the computation of various metrics like accuracy, precision, and recall. The selection of these metrics hinges on the project's specific objectives and the characteristics of the dataset, ensuring alignment with the intended goals and the ramifications of false positives and false negatives, which hold particular significance in financial contexts where decisions can have profound consequences. Overall, the "Data Visualization, Time-Series Forecasting, and Prediction using Machine Learning with Tkinter" project serves as a powerful and user-friendly platform for financial data analysis and decision-making. It bridges the gap between complex machine learning techniques and accessible user interfaces, making financial analysis and prediction more accessible to a broader audience. With its comprehensive features, this project empowers users to gain insights from historical data, make informed investment decisions, and develop effective trading strategies in the dynamic world of finance. You can download the dataset from: http://viviansiahaan.blogspot.com/2023/09/data-visualization-time-series.html.

TIME-SERIES SALES FORECASTING AND PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING WITH TKINTER

Author : Vivian Siahaan
Publisher : BALIGE PUBLISHING
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 274 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis TIME-SERIES SALES FORECASTING AND PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING WITH TKINTER by : Vivian Siahaan

Download or read book TIME-SERIES SALES FORECASTING AND PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING WITH TKINTER written by Vivian Siahaan and published by BALIGE PUBLISHING. This book was released on 2023-09-23 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This project leverages the power of data visualization and exploration to provide a comprehensive understanding of sales trends over time. Through an intuitive GUI built with Tkinter, users can seamlessly navigate through various aspects of their sales data. The journey begins with a detailed visualization of the dataset. This critical step allows users to grasp the overall structure, identify trends, and spot outliers. The application provides a user-friendly interface to interact with the data, offering an informative visual representation of the sales records. Moving forward, users can delve into the distribution of features within the dataset. This feature distribution analysis provides valuable insights into the characteristics of the sales data. It enables users to identify patterns, anomalies, and correlations among different attributes, paving the way for more accurate forecasting and prediction. One of the central functionalities of this application lies in its ability to perform sales forecasting using machine learning regressors. By employing powerful regression models, such as Random Forest Regressor, KNN regressor, Support Vector Regressor, AdaBoost regressor, Gradient Boosting Regressor, MLP regressor, Lasso regressor, and Ridge regressor, the application assists users in predicting future sales based on historical data. This empowers businesses to make informed decisions and plan for upcoming periods with greater precision. The application takes sales forecasting a step further by allowing users to fine-tune their models using Grid Search. This powerful optimization technique systematically explores different combinations of hyperparameters to find the optimal configuration for the machine learning models. This ensures that the models are fine-tuned for maximum accuracy in sales predictions. In addition to sales forecasting, the application addresses the critical issue of customer churn prediction. It identifies customers who are likely to churn based on a combination of features and behaviors. By employing a selection of machine learning models and Grid Search such as Random Forest Classifier, Support Vector Classifier, and K-Nearest Neighbors Classifier, Linear Regression Classifier, AdaBoost Classifier, Support Vector Classifier, Gradient Boosting Classifier, Extreme Gradient Boosting Classifier, and Multi-Layer Perceptron Classifier, the application provides a robust framework for accurately predicting which customers are at risk of leaving. The project doesn't just stop at prediction; it also includes functionalities for evaluating model performance. Users can assess the accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score of their models, allowing them to gauge the effectiveness of their forecasting and customer churn predictions. Furthermore, the application incorporates an intuitive user interface with widgets such as menus, buttons, listboxes, and comboboxes. These elements facilitate seamless interaction and navigation within the application, ensuring a user-friendly experience. To enhance user convenience, the application also supports data loading from external sources. It enables users to import their sales datasets directly into the application, streamlining the analysis process. The project is built on a foundation of modular and organized code. Each functionality is encapsulated within separate classes, promoting code reusability and maintainability. This ensures that the application is robust and can be easily extended or modified to accommodate future enhancements. You can download the dataset from: http://viviansiahaan.blogspot.com/2023/09/time-series-sales-forecasting-and.html.

Introduction to Time Series Forecasting With Python

Author : Jason Brownlee
Publisher : Machine Learning Mastery
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 359 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Time Series Forecasting With Python by : Jason Brownlee

Download or read book Introduction to Time Series Forecasting With Python written by Jason Brownlee and published by Machine Learning Mastery. This book was released on 2017-02-16 with total page 359 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Time series forecasting is different from other machine learning problems. The key difference is the fixed sequence of observations and the constraints and additional structure this provides. In this Ebook, finally cut through the math and specialized methods for time series forecasting. Using clear explanations, standard Python libraries and step-by-step tutorials you will discover how to load and prepare data, evaluate model skill, and implement forecasting models for time series data.

Practical Time Series Analysis

Author : Dr. Avishek Pal
Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
ISBN 13 : 178829419X
Total Pages : 238 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (882 download)

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Book Synopsis Practical Time Series Analysis by : Dr. Avishek Pal

Download or read book Practical Time Series Analysis written by Dr. Avishek Pal and published by Packt Publishing Ltd. This book was released on 2017-09-28 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Step by Step guide filled with real world practical examples. About This Book Get your first experience with data analysis with one of the most powerful types of analysis—time-series. Find patterns in your data and predict the future pattern based on historical data. Learn the statistics, theory, and implementation of Time-series methods using this example-rich guide Who This Book Is For This book is for anyone who wants to analyze data over time and/or frequency. A statistical background is necessary to quickly learn the analysis methods. What You Will Learn Understand the basic concepts of Time Series Analysis and appreciate its importance for the success of a data science project Develop an understanding of loading, exploring, and visualizing time-series data Explore auto-correlation and gain knowledge of statistical techniques to deal with non-stationarity time series Take advantage of exponential smoothing to tackle noise in time series data Learn how to use auto-regressive models to make predictions using time-series data Build predictive models on time series using techniques based on auto-regressive moving averages Discover recent advancements in deep learning to build accurate forecasting models for time series Gain familiarity with the basics of Python as a powerful yet simple to write programming language In Detail Time Series Analysis allows us to analyze data which is generated over a period of time and has sequential interdependencies between the observations. This book describes special mathematical tricks and techniques which are geared towards exploring the internal structures of time series data and generating powerful descriptive and predictive insights. Also, the book is full of real-life examples of time series and their analyses using cutting-edge solutions developed in Python. The book starts with descriptive analysis to create insightful visualizations of internal structures such as trend, seasonality and autocorrelation. Next, the statistical methods of dealing with autocorrelation and non-stationary time series are described. This is followed by exponential smoothing to produce meaningful insights from noisy time series data. At this point, we shift focus towards predictive analysis and introduce autoregressive models such as ARMA and ARIMA for time series forecasting. Later, powerful deep learning methods are presented, to develop accurate forecasting models for complex time series, and under the availability of little domain knowledge. All the topics are illustrated with real-life problem scenarios and their solutions by best-practice implementations in Python. The book concludes with the Appendix, with a brief discussion of programming and solving data science problems using Python. Style and approach This book takes the readers from the basic to advance level of Time series analysis in a very practical and real world use cases.

Practical Time Series Analysis

Author : Aileen Nielsen
Publisher : O'Reilly Media
ISBN 13 : 1492041629
Total Pages : 500 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis Practical Time Series Analysis by : Aileen Nielsen

Download or read book Practical Time Series Analysis written by Aileen Nielsen and published by O'Reilly Media. This book was released on 2019-09-20 with total page 500 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Time series data analysis is increasingly important due to the massive production of such data through the internet of things, the digitalization of healthcare, and the rise of smart cities. As continuous monitoring and data collection become more common, the need for competent time series analysis with both statistical and machine learning techniques will increase. Covering innovations in time series data analysis and use cases from the real world, this practical guide will help you solve the most common data engineering and analysis challengesin time series, using both traditional statistical and modern machine learning techniques. Author Aileen Nielsen offers an accessible, well-rounded introduction to time series in both R and Python that will have data scientists, software engineers, and researchers up and running quickly. You’ll get the guidance you need to confidently: Find and wrangle time series data Undertake exploratory time series data analysis Store temporal data Simulate time series data Generate and select features for a time series Measure error Forecast and classify time series with machine or deep learning Evaluate accuracy and performance

Forecasting Time Series Data with Facebook Prophet

Author : Greg Rafferty
Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
ISBN 13 : 1800566522
Total Pages : 270 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Time Series Data with Facebook Prophet by : Greg Rafferty

Download or read book Forecasting Time Series Data with Facebook Prophet written by Greg Rafferty and published by Packt Publishing Ltd. This book was released on 2021-03-12 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Create and improve high-quality automated forecasts for time series data that have strong seasonal effects, holidays, and additional regressors using Python Key Features Learn how to use the open-source forecasting tool Facebook Prophet to improve your forecasts Build a forecast and run diagnostics to understand forecast quality Fine-tune models to achieve high performance, and report that performance with concrete statistics Book Description Prophet enables Python and R developers to build scalable time series forecasts. This book will help you to implement Prophet's cutting-edge forecasting techniques to model future data with higher accuracy and with very few lines of code. You will begin by exploring the evolution of time series forecasting, from the basic early models to the advanced models of the present day. The book will demonstrate how to install and set up Prophet on your machine and build your first model with only a few lines of code. You'll then cover advanced features such as visualizing your forecasts, adding holidays, seasonality, and trend changepoints, handling outliers, and more, along with understanding why and how to modify each of the default parameters. Later chapters will show you how to optimize more complicated models with hyperparameter tuning and by adding additional regressors to the model. Finally, you'll learn how to run diagnostics to evaluate the performance of your models and see some useful features when running Prophet in production environments. By the end of this Prophet book, you will be able to take a raw time series dataset and build advanced and accurate forecast models with concise, understandable, and repeatable code. What you will learn Gain an understanding of time series forecasting, including its history, development, and uses Understand how to install Prophet and its dependencies Build practical forecasting models from real datasets using Python Understand the Fourier series and learn how it models seasonality Decide when to use additive and when to use multiplicative seasonality Discover how to identify and deal with outliers in time series data Run diagnostics to evaluate and compare the performance of your models Who this book is for This book is for data scientists, data analysts, machine learning engineers, software engineers, project managers, and business managers who want to build time series forecasts in Python. Working knowledge of Python and a basic understanding of forecasting principles and practices will be useful to apply the concepts covered in this book more easily.

Practical Time Series Forecasting

Author : Galit Shmueli
Publisher : Axelrod Schnall Publishers
ISBN 13 : 099784793X
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (978 download)

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Book Synopsis Practical Time Series Forecasting by : Galit Shmueli

Download or read book Practical Time Series Forecasting written by Galit Shmueli and published by Axelrod Schnall Publishers. This book was released on 2016-08-30 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Practical Time Series Forecasting: A Hands-On Guide, Third Edition provides an applied approach to time-series forecasting. Forecasting is an essential component of predictive analytics. The book introduces popular forecasting methods and approaches used in a variety of business applications. The book offers clear explanations, practical examples, and end-of-chapter exercises and cases. Readers will learn to use forecasting methods to develop effective forecasting solutions that extract business value from time-series data. Featuring improved organization and new material, the Second Edition also includes: - Popular forecasting methods including smoothing algorithms, regression models, and neural networks - A practical approach to evaluating the performance of forecasting solutions - A business-analytics exposition focused on linking time-series forecasting to business goals - Guided cases for integrating the acquired knowledge using real data - End-of-chapter problems to facilitate active learning - A companion site with data sets, learning resources, and instructor materials (solutions to exercises, case studies) - Globally-available textbook, available in both softcover and Kindle formats Practical Time Series Forecasting: A Hands-On Guide, Third Edition is the perfect textbook for upper-undergraduate, graduate and MBA-level courses as well as professional programs in data science and business analytics. The book is also designed for practitioners in the fields of operations research, supply chain management, marketing, economics, finance and management. For more information, visit forecastingbook.com

MODERN TIME SERIES FORECASTING WITH PYTHON

Author : MANU. TACKES JOSEPH (JEFFREY.)
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781835883181
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (831 download)

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Book Synopsis MODERN TIME SERIES FORECASTING WITH PYTHON by : MANU. TACKES JOSEPH (JEFFREY.)

Download or read book MODERN TIME SERIES FORECASTING WITH PYTHON written by MANU. TACKES JOSEPH (JEFFREY.) and published by . This book was released on 2024 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Machine Learning for Time-Series with Python

Author : Ben Auffarth
Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
ISBN 13 : 1801816107
Total Pages : 371 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Machine Learning for Time-Series with Python by : Ben Auffarth

Download or read book Machine Learning for Time-Series with Python written by Ben Auffarth and published by Packt Publishing Ltd. This book was released on 2021-10-29 with total page 371 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Get better insights from time-series data and become proficient in model performance analysis Key FeaturesExplore popular and modern machine learning methods including the latest online and deep learning algorithmsLearn to increase the accuracy of your predictions by matching the right model with the right problemMaster time series via real-world case studies on operations management, digital marketing, finance, and healthcareBook Description The Python time-series ecosystem is huge and often quite hard to get a good grasp on, especially for time-series since there are so many new libraries and new models. This book aims to deepen your understanding of time series by providing a comprehensive overview of popular Python time-series packages and help you build better predictive systems. Machine Learning for Time-Series with Python starts by re-introducing the basics of time series and then builds your understanding of traditional autoregressive models as well as modern non-parametric models. By observing practical examples and the theory behind them, you will become confident with loading time-series datasets from any source, deep learning models like recurrent neural networks and causal convolutional network models, and gradient boosting with feature engineering. This book will also guide you in matching the right model to the right problem by explaining the theory behind several useful models. You'll also have a look at real-world case studies covering weather, traffic, biking, and stock market data. By the end of this book, you should feel at home with effectively analyzing and applying machine learning methods to time-series. What you will learnUnderstand the main classes of time series and learn how to detect outliers and patternsChoose the right method to solve time-series problemsCharacterize seasonal and correlation patterns through autocorrelation and statistical techniquesGet to grips with time-series data visualizationUnderstand classical time-series models like ARMA and ARIMAImplement deep learning models, like Gaussian processes, transformers, and state-of-the-art machine learning modelsBecome familiar with many libraries like Prophet, XGboost, and TensorFlowWho this book is for This book is ideal for data analysts, data scientists, and Python developers who want instantly useful and practical recipes to implement today, and a comprehensive reference book for tomorrow. Basic knowledge of the Python Programming language is a must, while familiarity with statistics will help you get the most out of this book.

TIME SERIES FORECASTING USING NEURAL NETWORKS. EXAMPLES WITH MATLAB

Author : Cesar Perez Lopez
Publisher : CESAR PEREZ
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 283 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis TIME SERIES FORECASTING USING NEURAL NETWORKS. EXAMPLES WITH MATLAB by : Cesar Perez Lopez

Download or read book TIME SERIES FORECASTING USING NEURAL NETWORKS. EXAMPLES WITH MATLAB written by Cesar Perez Lopez and published by CESAR PEREZ. This book was released on with total page 283 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: MATLAB has the tool Deep Leraning Toolbox that provides algorithms, functions, and apps to create, train, visualize, and simulate neural networks. You can perform classification, regression, clustering, dimensionality reduction, timeseries forecasting, and dynamic system modeling and control. Dynamic neural networks are good at timeseries prediction. You can use the Neural Net Time Series app to solve different kinds of time series problems It is generally best to start with the GUI, and then to use the GUI to automatically generate command line scripts. Before using either method, the first step is to define the problem by selecting a data set. Each GUI has access to many sample data sets that you can use to experiment with the toolbox. If you have a specific problem that you want to solve, you can load your own data into the workspace. With MATLAB is possibe to solve three different kinds of time series problems. In the first type of time series problem, you would like to predict future values of a time series y(t) from past values of that time series and past values of a second time series x(t). This form of prediction is called nonlinear autoregressive network with exogenous (external) input, or NARX. In the second type of time series problem, there is only one series involved. The future values of a time series y(t) are predicted only from past values of that series. This form of prediction is called nonlinear autoregressive, or NAR. The third time series problem is similar to the first type, in that two series are involved, an input series (predictors) x(t) and an output series (responses) y(t). Here you want to predict values of y(t) from previous values of x(t), but without knowledge of previous values of y(t). This book develops methods for time series forecasting using neural networks across MATLAB

Time-Series Prediction and Applications

Author : Amit Konar
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319545973
Total Pages : 255 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis Time-Series Prediction and Applications by : Amit Konar

Download or read book Time-Series Prediction and Applications written by Amit Konar and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-03-25 with total page 255 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents machine learning and type-2 fuzzy sets for the prediction of time-series with a particular focus on business forecasting applications. It also proposes new uncertainty management techniques in an economic time-series using type-2 fuzzy sets for prediction of the time-series at a given time point from its preceding value in fluctuating business environments. It employs machine learning to determine repetitively occurring similar structural patterns in the time-series and uses stochastic automaton to predict the most probabilistic structure at a given partition of the time-series. Such predictions help in determining probabilistic moves in a stock index time-series Primarily written for graduate students and researchers in computer science, the book is equally useful for researchers/professionals in business intelligence and stock index prediction. A background of undergraduate level mathematics is presumed, although not mandatory, for most of the sections. Exercises with tips are provided at the end of each chapter to the readers’ ability and understanding of the topics covered.

Time Series Analysis

Author : Chun-Kit Ngan
Publisher : BoD – Books on Demand
ISBN 13 : 1789847788
Total Pages : 131 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (898 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis by : Chun-Kit Ngan

Download or read book Time Series Analysis written by Chun-Kit Ngan and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2019-11-06 with total page 131 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book aims to provide readers with the current information, developments, and trends in a time series analysis, particularly in time series data patterns, technical methodologies, and real-world applications. This book is divided into three sections and each section includes two chapters. Section 1 discusses analyzing multivariate and fuzzy time series. Section 2 focuses on developing deep neural networks for time series forecasting and classification. Section 3 describes solving real-world domain-specific problems using time series techniques. The concepts and techniques contained in this book cover topics in time series research that will be of interest to students, researchers, practitioners, and professors in time series forecasting and classification, data analytics, machine learning, deep learning, and artificial intelligence.

Time Series Analysis with Python 3.x

Author : Karen Yang
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781838640590
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (45 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis with Python 3.x by : Karen Yang

Download or read book Time Series Analysis with Python 3.x written by Karen Yang and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A hands-on definitive guide to working with time series data About This Video Perform efficient time series analysis using Python and master essential machine learning models Apply various time series methods and techniques and assemble a project step-by-step Build a complete project on anomaly detection that has a distinct emphasis on applications in the finance (or any other) domain In Detail Time series analysis encompasses methods for examining time series data found in a wide variety of domains. Being equipped to work with time-series data is a crucial skill for data scientists. In this course, you'll learn to extract and visualize meaningful statistics from time series data. You'll apply several analysis methods to your project. Along the way, you'll learn to explore, analyze, and predict time series data. You'll start by working with pandas' datetime and finding useful ways to extract data. Then you'll be introduced to correlation/autocorrelation time-series relationships and detecting anomalies. You'll learn about autoregressive (AR) models and Moving Average (MA) models for time series, and explore anomalies in detail. You'll also discover how to blend AR and MA models to build a robust ARMA model. You'll also grasp how to build time series forecasting models using ARIMA. Finally, you'll complete your own project on time series anomaly detection. By the end of this practical tutorial, you'll have acquired the skills you need to perform time series analysis using Python. Please note that this course assumes some prior knowledge of Python programming; a working knowledge of pandas and NumPy; and some experience working with data.

Time Series with Python: How to Implement Time Series Analysis and Forecasting Using Python

Author : Bob Mather
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781393147381
Total Pages : 164 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (473 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series with Python: How to Implement Time Series Analysis and Forecasting Using Python by : Bob Mather

Download or read book Time Series with Python: How to Implement Time Series Analysis and Forecasting Using Python written by Bob Mather and published by . This book was released on 2020-04-17 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Improving Accuracy Without Losing Interpretability

Author : Yiqi Sun
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Improving Accuracy Without Losing Interpretability by : Yiqi Sun

Download or read book Improving Accuracy Without Losing Interpretability written by Yiqi Sun and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In time series forecasting, decomposition-based algorithms break aggregate data into meaningful components and are therefore appreciated for their particular advantages in interpretability. Recent algorithms often combine machine learning (hereafter ML) methodology with decomposition to improve prediction accuracy. However, incorporating ML is generally considered to sacrifice interpretability inevitably. In addition, existing hybrid algorithms usually rely on theoretical models with statistical assumptions and focus only on the accuracy of aggregate predictions, and thus suffer from accuracy problems, especially in component estimates. In response to the above issues, this research explores the possibility of improving accuracy without losing interpretability in time series forecasting. We first quantitatively define interpretability for data-driven forecasts and systematically review the existing forecasting algorithms from the perspective of interpretability. Accordingly, we propose the W-R algorithm, a hybrid algorithm that combines decomposition and ML from a novel perspective. Specifically, the W-R algorithm uses ML to modify the estimates of all components simultaneously, while other algorithms predict the components only by individual ML modules. We mathematically analyze the theoretical basis of the algorithm and validate its performance through extensive numerical experiments. In general, the W-R algorithm outperforms all decomposition-based and ML benchmarks. Based on P50_QL, a common evaluation indicator for quantile prediction, the algorithm relatively improves by 8.76% in accuracy on the practical sales forecasts of JD.com and 77.99% on a public dataset of electricity loads. This research offers an innovative perspective to combine the statistical and ML algorithms, and JD.com has implemented the W-R algorithm to make accurate sales predictions and guide its marketing activities.

Practical Time Series Analysis

Author : Avishek Pal
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781523116744
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (167 download)

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Book Synopsis Practical Time Series Analysis by : Avishek Pal

Download or read book Practical Time Series Analysis written by Avishek Pal and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Step by Step guide filled with real world practical examples. About This Book Get your first experience with data analysis with one of the most powerful types of analysis--time-series. Find patterns in your data and predict the future pattern based on historical data. Learn the statistics, theory, and implementation of Time-series methods using this example-rich guide Who This Book Is For This book is for anyone who wants to analyze data over time and/or frequency. A statistical background is necessary to quickly learn the analysis methods. What You Will Learn Understand the basic concepts of Time Series Analysis and appreciate its importance for the success of a data science project Develop an understanding of loading, exploring, and visualizing time-series data Explore auto-correlation and gain knowledge of statistical techniques to deal with non-stationarity time series Take advantage of exponential smoothing to tackle noise in time series data Learn how to use auto-regressive models to make predictions using time-series data Build predictive models on time series using techniques based on auto-regressive moving averages Discover recent advancements in deep learning to build accurate forecasting models for time series Gain familiarity with the basics of Python as a powerful yet simple to write programming language In Detail Time Series Analysis allows us to analyze data which is generated over a period of time and has sequential interdependencies between the observations. This book describes special mathematical tricks and techniques which are geared towards exploring the internal structures of time series data and generating powerful descriptive and predictive insights. Also, the book is full of real-life examples of time series and their analyses using cutting-edge solutions developed in Python. The book starts with descriptive analysis to create insightful visualizations of internal structures such as trend, seasonality and autocorrelation. Next, the statistical methods of dealing with autocorrelation and non-stationary time series are described. This is followed by exponential smoothing to produce meaningful insights from noisy time series data. At this point, we shift focus towards predictive analysis and introduce autoregressive models such as ARMA and ARIMA for time series forecasting. Later, powerful deep learning methods are presented, to develop accurate forecasting models for complex time series, and under the availability of litt...