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Author : Frederick Mosteller
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 424 pages
Book Rating : 4.A/5 ( download)
Download or read book The Pre-election Polls of 1948 written by Frederick Mosteller and published by . This book was released on 1949 with total page 424 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Amy Fried
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136711694
Total Pages : 219 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (367 download)
Download or read book Pathways to Polling written by Amy Fried and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-03-01 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In midcentury America, the public opinion polling enterprise faced a crisis of legitimacy. Every major polling firm predicted a win for Thomas Dewey over Harry Truman in the 1948 presidential election—and of course they all got it wrong. This failure generated considerable criticisms of polling and pollsters were forced to defend their craft, the quantitative analysis of public sentiment. Pathways to Polling argues that early political pollsters, market researchers, and academic and government survey researchers were entrepreneurial figures who interacted through a broad network that was critical to the growth of public opinion enterprises. This network helped polling pioneers gain and maintain concrete, financial support to further their discrete operations. After the Truman-Dewey debacle, such links helped political polling survive when it could have just as easily been totally discredited. Amy Fried demonstrates how interactions between ideas, organizations, and institutions produced changes in the technological, political, and organizational paths of public opinion polling, notably affecting later developments and practice. Public opinion enterprises have changed a good deal, in the intervening half century, even as today’s approaches have been deeply imprinted by these early efforts.
Author : United States. Office of Management and Budget. Statistical Policy Division
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 662 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Report to Federal Statistical Agencies written by United States. Office of Management and Budget. Statistical Policy Division and published by . This book was released on 1948 with total page 662 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : W. Joseph Campbell
Publisher : Univ of California Press
ISBN 13 : 0520397827
Total Pages : 366 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (23 download)
Download or read book Lost in a Gallup written by W. Joseph Campbell and published by Univ of California Press. This book was released on 2024-02-20 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This update of a lively, first-of-its-kind study of polling misfires and fiascoes in U.S. presidential campaigns takes up pollsters’ failure over the decades to offer accurate assessments of the most important of American elections. Lost in a Gallup tells the story of polling flops and failures in presidential elections since 1936. Polls do go bad, as outcomes in 2020, 2016, 2012, 2004, and 2000 all remind us. This updated edition includes a new chapter and conclusion that address the 2020 polling surprise and considers whether polls will get it right in 2024. As author W. Joseph Campbell discusses, polling misfires in presidential elections are not all alike. Pollsters have anticipated tight elections when landslides have occurred. They have pointed to the wrong winner in closer elections. Misleading state polls have thrown off expected national outcomes. Polling failure also can lead to media error. Journalists covering presidential races invariably take their lead from polls. When polls go bad, media narratives can be off-target as well. Lost in a Gallup encourages readers to treat election polls with healthy skepticism, recognizing that they could be wrong.
Author : Michael A. Bailey
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108688306
Total Pages : 291 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (86 download)
Download or read book Polling at a Crossroads written by Michael A. Bailey and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2024-03-07 with total page 291 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Public opinion polling is in crisis. People aren't responding to polls and misses in critical elections have undermined the field's credibility. Polling at a Crossroads points a way forward by presenting an intuitive new paradigm that confronts the full spectrum of challenges facing modern polling.
Author : C. Holtz-Bacha
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230374956
Total Pages : 368 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (33 download)
Download or read book Opinion Polls and the Media written by C. Holtz-Bacha and published by Springer. This book was released on 2012-04-05 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Opinion Polls and the Media provides the most comprehensive analysis to date on the relationship between the media, opinion polls, and public opinion. Looking at the extent to which the media, through their use of opinion polls, both reflect and shape public opinion, it brings together a team of leading scholars and analyzes theoretical and methodological approaches to the media and their use of opinion polls. The contributors explore how the media use opinion polls in a range of countries across the world, and analyze the effects and uses of opinion polls by the public as well as political actors.
Author : Leo Bogart
Publisher : Transaction Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9781412831505
Total Pages : 308 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (315 download)
Download or read book Polls and the Awareness of Public Opinion written by Leo Bogart and published by Transaction Publishers. This book was released on with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How well can polls measure public opinion? Should government policies follow majority opinion? Do polls influence elections? Can there be polls under a dictatorship? Recent elections throughout the world have made these issues ever more crucial. "Polls and the Awareness of Public Opinion, "initially published under the title "Silent Politics, "is the first book to look upon polls and the awareness of poll results as forces that influence public opinion. It is a penetrating assessment of the uses of polls, their misuses, and the absurdities carried out in their name. Bogart argues that predictions based on polls can be misleading since they reflect a transient stage in a public opinion that is constantly and often rapidly changing.
Author : Sarah E. Igo
Publisher : Harvard University Press
ISBN 13 : 0674038940
Total Pages : 409 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (74 download)
Download or read book The Averaged American written by Sarah E. Igo and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2009-06-30 with total page 409 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: supports the death penalty, that half of all marriages end in divorce, and that four out of five prefer a particular brand of toothpaste. But remarkably, such data--now woven into our social fabric--became common currency only in the last century. With a bold and sophisticated analysis, Sarah Igo demonstrates the power of scientific surveys to shape Americans' sense of themselves as individuals, members of communities, and citizens of a nation.
Author : Hans J. Eysenck
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351303066
Total Pages : 486 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (513 download)
Download or read book The Psychology of Politics written by Hans J. Eysenck and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-04-24 with total page 486 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In writing The Psychology of Politics, Hans Eysenck had two aims in mind: to write a book about modern developments in the field of attitude studies which would be intelligible to the layman; and one that would integrate into one consistent theoretical system a large number of contributions on the topic from different fields. Eysenck believes that science has something to say about such problems as anti-Semitism, the origin and growth of fascist and communist ideologies, the causal determinants of voting behavior, the structure of opinions and attitudes, and the relationship between politics and personality. He seeks to rescue these factual findings from the obscurity of technical journals and present them in a more accessible form. The research presented in this book outlines the main principles of organization and structure in the field of attitudes. These principles account in a remarkably complete and detailed manner for the systems of political organization found in Great Britain, that is, the Conservative, Liberal, and Socialist parties, and the communist and fascist groups. Next, Eysenck relates these principles to the system of personality structure which for many years formed the main focus of research activity at the Institute of Psychiatry in London. The Psychology of Politics integrates attitude research with modern learning theory. In his new introduction, Eysenck writes that his research and personal experiences in Germany led him to believe that authoritarianism could appear equally well on the left as on the right. He saw Stalin as equally authoritarian as Hitler, and communism as equally totalitarian as Nazism. The Psychology of Politics contains the evidence and arguments Eysenck used to demonstrate his approach. This volume is of enduring significance for psychologists, political theorists, and historians. It is by indirection a major statement in modern liberalism.
Author : Robert Y. Shapiro
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0199673020
Total Pages : 804 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (996 download)
Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of American Public Opinion and the Media written by Robert Y. Shapiro and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2013-05-23 with total page 804 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With engaging new contributions from the major figures in the fields of the media and public opinion The Oxford Handbook of American Public Opinion and the Media is a key point of reference for anyone working in American politics today.
Author : Daniel J. Robinson
Publisher : University of Toronto Press
ISBN 13 : 1442638710
Total Pages : 276 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (426 download)
Download or read book The Measure of Democracy written by Daniel J. Robinson and published by University of Toronto Press. This book was released on 1999-04-24 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Politicians, government officials, and public relations officers lean heavily on polling when fashioning public policy. Proponents say this is for the best, arguing that surveys bring the views of citizens closer to civic officials. Critics decry polling's promotion of sycophantic politicians who pander to the whims of public sentiment, or, conversely, the use of surveys by special interest groups to thwart the majority will. Similar claims and criticisms were made during the early days of polling. When George Gallup began polling Americans in 1935, he heralded it as a bold step in popular democracy. The views of ordinary citizens could now be heard alongside those of organized interest groups. When brought to Canada in 1941, the Gallup Poll promised similar democratic rejuvenation. In actual practice, traditionally disadvantaged constituencies such as women, the poor, French Canadians, and African Americans were often heavily underrepresented in Gallup surveys. Preoccupied with election forecasting, Gallup pollsters undercounted social groups thought less likely or unable to vote, leading to a considerable gap between the polling results of the sampled polity and the opinions of the general public. Examining the origins and early years of public opinion polling in Canada, Robinson situates polling within the larger context of its forerunners – market research surveys and American opinion polling – and charts its growth until its first uses by political parties.
Author : National Library of Medicine (U.S.)
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 1118 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)
Download or read book National Library of Medicine Current Catalog written by National Library of Medicine (U.S.) and published by . This book was released on 1965 with total page 1118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 466 pages
Book Rating : 4.M/5 ( download)
Download or read book Public Management Sources written by and published by . This book was released on 1948 with total page 466 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Fritz J. Scheuren
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470399449
Total Pages : 333 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (73 download)
Download or read book Elections and Exit Polling written by Fritz J. Scheuren and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-06-30 with total page 333 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "An understanding of the relationship between the product and the process in election polling is often lost. This edited volume unites ideas and researchers, with quality playing the central role." —J. Michael Brick, PhD, Director of the Survey Methods Unit, Westat, Inc. Elections and Exit Polling is a truly unique examination of the specialized surveys that are currently used to track and collect data on elections and voter preferences. Employing modern research from the past decade and a series of interviews with famed American pollster Warren Mitofsky (1934-2006), this volume provides a relevant and groundbreaking look at the key statistical techniques and survey methods for measuring voter preferences worldwide. Drawing on the most current studies on pre-election and exit polling, this book outlines improvements that have developed in recent years and the results of their implementation. Coverage begins with an introduction to exit polling and a basic overview of its history, structure, limitations, and applications. Subsequent chapters focus on the use of exit polling in the United States election cycles from 2000–2006 and the problems that were encountered by both pollsters and the everyday voter, such as how to validate official vote count, confidentiality, new voting methods, and continuing data quality concerns. The text goes on to explore the presence of these issues in international politics, with examples and case studies of elections from Europe, Asia, and the Middle East. Finally, looking to the upcoming 2008 U.S. presidential election, the discussion concludes with predictions and recommendations on how to gather more accurate and timely polling data. Research papers from over fifty eminent practitioners in the fields of political science and survey methods are presented alongside excerpts from the editors' own interviews with Mitofsky. The editors also incorporate their own reflections throughout and conclude each chapter with a Summary Observations section that highlights notable concepts and trends. The appendix features sample questionnaires from actual exit polling scenarios and an extensive bibliography directs the reader to additional references for further study. Combining wisdom from one of the most notable names in the field along with findings from modern research and insightful recommendations for future practices, Elections and Exit Polling is an excellent supplement for political science and survey research courses at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. It is also a one-of-a-kind reference for pollsters, survey researchers, statisticians, and anyone with a general interest in the methods behind global elections and exit polling.
Author : Nathan Keyfitz
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475718799
Total Pages : 461 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)
Download or read book Applied Mathematical Demography written by Nathan Keyfitz and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 461 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What follows is a new edition of the second in a series of three books providing an account of the mathematical development of demography. The first, Introduction to the Mathematics of Population (Addison-Wesley, 1968), gave the mathematical background. The second, the original of the present volume, was concerned with demography itself. The third in the sequence, Mathematics Through Problems (with John Beekman; Springer Verlag, 1982), supplemented the first two with an ordered sequence of problems and answers. Readers interested in the mathematics may consult the earlier book, republished with revisions by Addison-Wesley in 1977 and still in print. There is no overlap in subject matter between Applied Mathematical Demography and the Introduction to the Mathematics of Population. Three new chapters have been added, dealing with matters that have come recently into the demographic limelight: multi-state calculations, family demogra phy, and heterogeneity. vii PREFACE This book is concerned with commonsense questions about, for instance, the effect of a lowered death rate on the proportion of old people or the effect of abortions on the birth rate. The answers that it reaches are not always commonsense, and we will meet instances in which intuition has to be adjusted to accord with what the mathematics shows to be the case.
Author : Charles Camic
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226092100
Total Pages : 464 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)
Download or read book Social Knowledge in the Making written by Charles Camic and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2012-07-24 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past quarter century, researchers have successfully explored the inner workings of the physical and biological sciences using a variety of social and historical lenses. Inspired by these advances, the contributors to Social Knowledge in the Making turn their attention to the social sciences, broadly construed. The result is the first comprehensive effort to study and understand the day-to-day activities involved in the creation of social-scientific and related forms of knowledge about the social world. The essays collected here tackle a range of previously unexplored questions about the practices involved in the production, assessment, and use of diverse forms of social knowledge. A stellar cast of multidisciplinary scholars addresses topics such as the changing practices of historical research, anthropological data collection, library usage, peer review, and institutional review boards. Turning to the world beyond the academy, other essays focus on global banks, survey research organizations, and national security and economic policy makers. Social Knowledge in the Making is a landmark volume for a new field of inquiry, and the bold new research agenda it proposes will be welcomed in the social science, the humanities, and a broad range of nonacademic settings.
Author : Marjorie R. Hershey
Publisher : CQ Press
ISBN 13 : 1483364739
Total Pages : 456 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (833 download)
Download or read book Guide to U.S. Political Parties written by Marjorie R. Hershey and published by CQ Press. This book was released on 2014-04-01 with total page 456 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This one-volume reference presents the major conceptual approaches to the study of U.S. political parties and the national party system, describing the organization and behavior of U.S. political parties in thematic, narrative chapters that help undergraduate students better understand party origins, historical development, and current operations. Further, it provides researchers with in-depth analysis of important subtopics and connections to other aspects of politics. Key Features: Thematic, narrative chapters, organized into six major parts, provide the context, as well as in-depth analysis of the unique system of party politics in the United States. Top analysts of party politics provide insightful chapters that explore how and why the U.S. parties have changed over time, including major organizational transformations by the parties, behavioral changes among candidates and party activists, and attitudinal changes among their partisans in the electorate. The authors discuss the way the traditional concept of formal party organizations gave way over time to a candidate-centered model, fueled in part by changes in campaign finance, the rise of new communication technologies, and fragmentation of the electorate. This book is an ideal reference for students and researchers who want to develop a deeper understanding of the current challenges faced by citizens of republican government in the United States.
