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The Political Economy Of Revenue Forecasting Experience From Low Income Countries
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Book Synopsis The Political Economy of Revenue-Forecasting Experience from Low-Income Countries by : Stephan Danninger
Download or read book The Political Economy of Revenue-Forecasting Experience from Low-Income Countries written by Stephan Danninger and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes interference and timeliness in the revenue-forecasting process, using new data on revenue-forecasting practices in low-income countries. Interference is defined as the occurrence of a significant deviation from purely technical forecasts. A theoretical model explains forecasting interference through government corruption. The data broadly supports the model, and the results are robust to alternative explanations. The paper also constructs three indices-transparency, formality, and organizational simplicity-that characterize revenue-forecasting practices, and assesses their effectiveness in producing an upfront-that is, timely-budget envelope. More transparent and simple forecasting processes lead to early budget constraints, while formality has no measurable effect.
Book Synopsis The Palgrave Handbook of Government Budget Forecasting by : Daniel Williams
Download or read book The Palgrave Handbook of Government Budget Forecasting written by Daniel Williams and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-10-14 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Handbook is a comprehensive anthology of up-to-date chapters contributed by current researchers in budget forecasting. Editors Daniel Williams and Thad Calabrese had previously found substantial deficiencies in public budgeting forecast literature with current research failing to address such matters as practices related to forecasting expenditure factors, the consequences of forecast bias, or empirical examination of the effectiveness of many deterministic methods actually used by many governments. This volume comprehensively addresses the state of knowledge about budget forecasting for practitioners, academics, and students and serves as a comprehensive resource for instruction alongside serving as a reference book for those engaged in budget forecasting practice.
Book Synopsis The Political Economy of Publicly-provided Goods by : Katrina Lauren Kosec
Download or read book The Political Economy of Publicly-provided Goods written by Katrina Lauren Kosec and published by Stanford University. This book was released on 2011 with total page 202 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation consists of three chapters which explore various aspects of the political economy of publicly-provided goods. I shed light on why governments do or do not invest in goods of different types, and also how government versus private provision affects consumers. What follows are three empirical analyses testing the implications of competing theoretical models. My first chapter addresses the question, what drives governments with similar revenues to publicly provide very different amounts of goods for which private substitutes are available? Key examples are education and health care. I compare spending by Brazilian municipalities on pre-primary education--a good that is also provided privately--with spending on public infrastructure like parks and roads, which lacks private substitutes. I find that municipalities with higher median income and more inequality are less likely to allocate revenue to education or to expand pre-primary enrollment. They are more likely to allocate revenue to public infrastructure. This seems to occur for two reasons. In rich and unequal municipalities, fewer total people support public education spending (the collective choice channel), and also, any given poor person wanting public education has less influence over policymakers there (the political power channel). My second chapter addresses the question, can private sector participation (PSP) in the urban piped water sector improve child health? A fixed effects analysis suggests that the introduction of PSP decreases diarrhea among under-five children by between 2.2 and 2.6 percentage points, or 14-16%. An instrumental variables analysis that uses variation in the share of the world water market controlled by former colonizing countries suggests that the effects are twice as large. The difference between the OLS and the IV results can be explained by the fact that PSP is more likely when the water sector is distressed and causing health problems. Importantly, PSP appears to benefit the health of children from the poorest households the most. It also leads to higher rates of reliance on piped water as the primary water source, which is a likely channel explaining child health improvements. My third chapter, joint with John Hatfield, examines how competition between governments affects economic growth. We find that doubling the number of local governments in a metropolitan area increases the income growth rate over 1969-2006 by 18%, which implies an approximate $3900 difference in 2006 income. Decomposing this effect, we find that 60% stems from inter-jurisdictional competition changing the composition of the workforce, while 40% comes from making existing workers more productive. The results support a formal model showing that competition for capital drives local governments to provide productive public goods at levels which maximize economic growth (Hatfield 2010).
Book Synopsis Taxation in a Low-Income Economy by : Channing Arndt
Download or read book Taxation in a Low-Income Economy written by Channing Arndt and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-03-04 with total page 516 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contains a stimulating collection of analytical studies focusing on taxation in Mozambique. It tells a compelling story about tax systems in a low income economy increasingly integrated into the world trading system, but very much dependent on foreign trade taxes and international development assistance. Key issues covered include: A better understanding of the historical background of tax reforms in a representative African economy (Mozambique) along with an assessment of taxation performance in a comparative perspective. Insights into the practice and implications of tax policy, both from the perspective of the consumer and the firm level. Discussion of the existing institutional set up in which tax policy and its enforcement operate and analyses of current tax practices. Taxation themes at the border and at domestic level, which are typical for low-income economies, characterized by a high degree of reliance on foreign trade taxes. This volume is meant as a guide for developing country government officials and professional aid practitioners as well as academics, researchers and tax policy analysts working in the development field. It will also be of interest to students of development with a special interest in public finance issues in poor countries and how to improve policy-effectiveness, including tax policy, in a developing country setting.
Book Synopsis The Politics of Bureaucracy by : B.Guy Peters
Download or read book The Politics of Bureaucracy written by B.Guy Peters and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-05-30 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This exploration of the political and policy-making roles of public bureaucracies offers comparative analysis of the effects of politics on bureaucracy including international case studies on North America, Western and Eastern European and Asian countries; discussion of how governments have been developing strategies to enhance co-ordination and coherence across their programmes; analysis of the use of performance management in public administration; and revision and updating to take into account new literature that has emerged in recent years, including a discussion of E-Governance and analysis of 'new public management'.
Download or read book The Politics of Bureaucracy written by and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-04-19 with total page 397 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by B. Guy Peters, a leading authority in the field, this comprehensive exploration of the political and policy making roles of public bureaucracies is now available in a fully revised seventh edition, offering extensive, well-documented comparative analysis of the effects of politics on bureaucracy. Updates to this edition include: All new coverage of public administration in Latin America and Africa, with special attention paid to the impact of New Public Management and other ideas for reform; An examination of the European Union and its effects on public policy and public administration in member countries, as well as an exploration of the EU as a particular type of bureaucracy; A renewed emphasis on coordination and the role of central agencies; A thorough assessment of 'internationalization' of bureaucracies and concerns with the role of international pressures on domestic governments and organizations in the public sector; Coverage of the wide-ranging impacts of the 2008 economic slowdown on public bureaucracies and public policies, and the varied success of governmental responses to the crisis. Drawing on evidence from a wide variety of political systems, The Politics of Bureaucracy, Seventh Edition, continues to be essential reading for all students of government, policy analysis, politics, and international relations.
Book Synopsis Government Budget Forecasting by : Jinping Sun
Download or read book Government Budget Forecasting written by Jinping Sun and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-09-25 with total page 637 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Revenue and expenditure forecasting plays an important role in public budgeting and financial management, particularly during times of financial constraint, when citizens impose greater accountability upon government to use taxpayer dollars more efficiently. Despite its significance, revenue and expenditure forecasting is often overlooked in the budget process, and there is an imbalance between practice and research in this area. Based on the collaboration of budget scholars and practitioners, Government Budget Forecasting fulfills two purposes: Enhances the understanding of revenue and expenditure estimation both theoretically and practically Stimulates dialogue and debate among practitioners and academicians to identify good forecast practices as well as areas for improvement Divided into four parts, this comprehensive reference first examines forecast practices at the federal, state, and local levels, drawing on case studies that include California, Texas, and Louisiana. It then explores consensus systems and risk assessment, considering political factors and the costs of forecast errors. The text concludes with a call to transparency and guidance from a code of ethics, and a look at forecasting practices in emerging countries.
Book Synopsis Revenue Forecasting - how is it Done? by :
Download or read book Revenue Forecasting - how is it Done? written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Revenue Mobilization in Developing Countries by : International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
Download or read book Revenue Mobilization in Developing Countries written by International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-08-03 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Fund has long played a lead role in supporting developing countries’ efforts to improve their revenue mobilization. This paper draws on that experience to review issues and good practice, and to assess prospects in this key area.
Book Synopsis Promoting Fiscal Discipline by : Mr.Manmohan S. Kumar
Download or read book Promoting Fiscal Discipline written by Mr.Manmohan S. Kumar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-10-18 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fiscal discipline is essential to improve and sustain economic performance, maintain macroeconomic stability, and reduce vulnerabilities. Discipline is especially important if countries, industrial as well as developing, are to successfully meet the challenges, and reap the benefits, of economic and financial globalization. Lack of fiscal discipline generally stems from the injudicious use of policy discretion. The benefits of discretion are seen in terms of the ability of policymakers to respond to unexpected shocks and in allowing elected political representatives to fulfill their mandates. But discretion can be misused, resulting in persistent deficits and procyclical policies, rising debt levels, and, over time, a loss in policy credibility. The authors first explore the role of discretion in fiscal policy, and the extent, consequences, and causes of procyclicality, particularly in good times. They then examine how a variety of institutional approaches—fiscal rules, fiscal responsibility laws, and fiscal agencies—can help improve fiscal discipline. While each of these approaches can play a useful role, the authors suggest that a strategy combining them is likely to be particularly beneficial. Although such a strategy requires political commitment and effective fiscal management, at the same time, the strategy itself can bolster political commitment by highlighting the restraints on government and raising the costs of failing to respect them.
Book Synopsis Global Trends 2040 by : National Intelligence Council
Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.
Book Synopsis Links Between Growth, Inequality, and Poverty: A Survey by : Ms. Valerie Cerra
Download or read book Links Between Growth, Inequality, and Poverty: A Survey written by Ms. Valerie Cerra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-12 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is there a tradeoff between raising growth and reducing inequality and poverty? This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on the complex links between growth, inequality, and poverty, with causation going in both directions. The evidence suggests that growth can be effective in reducing poverty, but its impact on inequality is ambiguous and depends on the underlying sources of growth. The impact of poverty and inequality on growth is likewise ambiguous, as several channels mediate the relationship. But most plausible mechanisms suggest that poverty and inequality reduce growth, at least in the long run. Policies play a role in shaping these relationships and those designed to improve equality of opportunity can simultaneously improve inclusiveness and growth.
Download or read book IMF Research Bulletin written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Of Rule and Revenue by : Margaret Levi
Download or read book Of Rule and Revenue written by Margaret Levi and published by . This book was released on 1988-01-01 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Margaret Levi's wide-ranging theoretical and historical study demonstrates the importance of political relative to economic factors in accounting for revenue production policies.
Book Synopsis Problem-Driven Political Economy Analysis by : Verena Fritz
Download or read book Problem-Driven Political Economy Analysis written by Verena Fritz and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2014-01-13 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents eight good practice examples of problem-driven political economy analysis conducted at the World Bank, and reflect what the Bank has so far been able to achieve in mainstreaming this approach into its operations and policy dialogue.
Book Synopsis Globalization and Poverty by : Ann Harrison
Download or read book Globalization and Poverty written by Ann Harrison and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 674 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past two decades, the percentage of the world’s population living on less than a dollar a day has been cut in half. How much of that improvement is because of—or in spite of—globalization? While anti-globalization activists mount loud critiques and the media report breathlessly on globalization’s perils and promises, economists have largely remained silent, in part because of an entrenched institutional divide between those who study poverty and those who study trade and finance. Globalization and Poverty bridges that gap, bringing together experts on both international trade and poverty to provide a detailed view of the effects of globalization on the poor in developing nations, answering such questions as: Do lower import tariffs improve the lives of the poor? Has increased financial integration led to more or less poverty? How have the poor fared during various currency crises? Does food aid hurt or help the poor? Poverty, the contributors show here, has been used as a popular and convenient catchphrase by parties on both sides of the globalization debate to further their respective arguments. Globalization and Poverty provides the more nuanced understanding necessary to move that debate beyond the slogans.
Book Synopsis Handbook on the Political Economy of Social Policy by : Bent Greve
Download or read book Handbook on the Political Economy of Social Policy written by Bent Greve and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2024-05-02 with total page 343 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research in social policy has been greatly influenced by the emergence of modern political economy in the late 1970s. The Handbook on the Political Economy of Social Policy offers a systematic, yet comprehensive, framework for understanding how concepts, theoretical standpoints and methodological approaches stemming from political economy have been applied to the study of social policies, and models of welfare provision. The authors also signpost current developments and discuss their likely impact on future research.
