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The Knowledge Ahead Approach To Risk
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Book Synopsis The Knowledge Ahead Approach to Risk by : Robin Pope
Download or read book The Knowledge Ahead Approach to Risk written by Robin Pope and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-11-23 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is written for those seeking a decision theory appropriate for use in serious choices such as insurance. It employs stages of knowledge ahead to track satisfactions and dissatisfactions. From experimental and questionnaire data, people take into account such stages of knowledge ahead satisfactions and dissatisfactions. This means we must go beyond standard decision theories like expected utility or cumulative prospect theory.
Book Synopsis Fuzzy Portfolio Optimization by : Yong Fang
Download or read book Fuzzy Portfolio Optimization written by Yong Fang and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-09-20 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most of the existing portfolio selection models are based on the probability theory. Though they often deal with the uncertainty via probabilistic - proaches, we have to mention that the probabilistic approaches only partly capture the reality. Some other techniques have also been applied to handle the uncertainty of the ?nancial markets, for instance, the fuzzy set theory [Zadeh (1965)]. In reality, many events with fuzziness are characterized by probabilistic approaches, although they are not random events. The fuzzy set theory has been widely used to solve many practical problems, including ?nancial risk management. By using fuzzy mathematical approaches, quan- tative analysis, qualitative analysis, the experts’ knowledge and the investors’ subjective opinions can be better integrated into a portfolio selection model. The contents of this book mainly comprise of the authors’ research results for fuzzy portfolio selection problems in recent years. In addition, in the book, the authors will also introduce some other important progress in the ?eld of fuzzy portfolio optimization. Some fundamental issues and problems of po- folioselectionhavebeenstudiedsystematicallyandextensivelybytheauthors to apply fuzzy systems theory and optimization methods. A new framework for investment analysis is presented in this book. A series of portfolio sel- tion models are given and some of them might be more e?cient for practical applications. Some application examples are given to illustrate these models by using real data from the Chinese securities markets.
Book Synopsis Financial Risk Management with Bayesian Estimation of GARCH Models by : David Ardia
Download or read book Financial Risk Management with Bayesian Estimation of GARCH Models written by David Ardia and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-05-08 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents in detail methodologies for the Bayesian estimation of sing- regime and regime-switching GARCH models. These models are widespread and essential tools in n ancial econometrics and have, until recently, mainly been estimated using the classical Maximum Likelihood technique. As this study aims to demonstrate, the Bayesian approach o ers an attractive alternative which enables small sample results, robust estimation, model discrimination and probabilistic statements on nonlinear functions of the model parameters. The author is indebted to numerous individuals for help in the preparation of this study. Primarily, I owe a great debt to Prof. Dr. Philippe J. Deschamps who inspired me to study Bayesian econometrics, suggested the subject, guided me under his supervision and encouraged my research. I would also like to thank Prof. Dr. Martin Wallmeier and my colleagues of the Department of Quantitative Economics, in particular Michael Beer, Roberto Cerratti and Gilles Kaltenrieder, for their useful comments and discussions. I am very indebted to my friends Carlos Ord as Criado, Julien A. Straubhaar, J er ^ ome Ph. A. Taillard and Mathieu Vuilleumier, for their support in the elds of economics, mathematics and statistics. Thanks also to my friend Kevin Barnes who helped with my English in this work. Finally, I am greatly indebted to my parents and grandparents for their support and encouragement while I was struggling with the writing of this thesis.
Book Synopsis Computational Aspects of General Equilibrium Theory by : Donald Brown
Download or read book Computational Aspects of General Equilibrium Theory written by Donald Brown and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-01-08 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph presents a general equilibrium methodology for microeconomic policy analysis. It is intended to serve as an alternative to the now classical, axiomatic general equilibrium theory as exposited in Debreu`s Theory of Value (1959) or Arrow and Hahn`s General Competitive Analysis (1971). The monograph consists of several essays written over the last decade. It also contains an appendix by Charles Steinhorn on the elements of O-minimal structures.
Book Synopsis Preferences in Negotiations by : Henner Gimpel
Download or read book Preferences in Negotiations written by Henner Gimpel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-06-13 with total page 279 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The attachment effect can hinder effective negotiation. Parties are influenced by their subjective expectations formed on account of the exchange of offers, they form reference points, and loss aversion potentially leads to a change of preferences when expectations change. This book presents a motivation, formalization, and substantiation of the attachment effect. The results can be used for prescriptive advice to negotiators.
Book Synopsis Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis by : National Research Council
Download or read book Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2010-09-10 with total page 161 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The events of September 11, 2001 changed perceptions, rearranged national priorities, and produced significant new government entities, including the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) created in 2003. While the principal mission of DHS is to lead efforts to secure the nation against those forces that wish to do harm, the department also has responsibilities in regard to preparation for and response to other hazards and disasters, such as floods, earthquakes, and other "natural" disasters. Whether in the context of preparedness, response or recovery from terrorism, illegal entry to the country, or natural disasters, DHS is committed to processes and methods that feature risk assessment as a critical component for making better-informed decisions. Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis explores how DHS is building its capabilities in risk analysis to inform decision making. The department uses risk analysis to inform decisions ranging from high-level policy choices to fine-scale protocols that guide the minute-by-minute actions of DHS employees. Although DHS is responsible for mitigating a range of threats, natural disasters, and pandemics, its risk analysis efforts are weighted heavily toward terrorism. In addition to assessing the capability of DHS risk analysis methods to support decision-making, the book evaluates the quality of the current approach to estimating risk and discusses how to improve current risk analysis procedures. Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis recommends that DHS continue to build its integrated risk management framework. It also suggests that the department improve the way models are developed and used and follow time-tested scientific practices, among other recommendations.
Book Synopsis Risk Quantification by : Laurent Condamin
Download or read book Risk Quantification written by Laurent Condamin and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-01-30 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a practical answer for the non-mathematician to all the questions any businessman always wanted to ask about risk quantification, and never dare to ask. Enterprise-wide risk management (ERM) is a key issue for board of directors worldwide. Its proper implementation ensures transparent governance with all stakeholders’ interests integrated into the strategic equation. Furthermore, Risk quantification is the cornerstone of effective risk management,at the strategic and tactical level, covering finance as well as ethics considerations. Both downside and upside risks (threats & opportunities) must be assessed to select the most efficient risk control measures and to set up efficient risk financing mechanisms. Only thus will an optimum return on capital and a reliable protection against bankruptcy be ensured, i.e. long term sustainable development. Within the ERM framework, each individual operational entity is called upon to control its own risks, within the guidelines set up by the board of directors, whereas the risk financing strategy is developed and implemented at the corporate level to optimise the balance between threats and opportunities, systematic and non systematic risks. This book is designed to equip each board member, each executives and each field manager, with the tool box enabling them to quantify the risks within his/her jurisdiction to all the extend possible and thus make sound, rational and justifiable decisions, while recognising the limits of the exercise. Beyond traditional probability analysis, used since the 18th Century by the insurance community, it offers insight into new developments like Bayesian expert networks, Monte-Carlo simulation, etc. with practical illustrations on how to implement them within the three steps of risk management, diagnostic, treatment and audit. With a foreword by Catherine Veret and an introduction by Kevin Knight.
Book Synopsis Risk, Uncertainty and Profit by : Frank H. Knight
Download or read book Risk, Uncertainty and Profit written by Frank H. Knight and published by Cosimo, Inc.. This book was released on 2006-11-01 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A timeless classic of economic theory that remains fascinating and pertinent today, this is Frank Knight's famous explanation of why perfect competition cannot eliminate profits, the important differences between "risk" and "uncertainty," and the vital role of the entrepreneur in profitmaking. Based on Knight's PhD dissertation, this 1921 work, balancing theory with fact to come to stunning insights, is a distinct pleasure to read. FRANK H. KNIGHT (1885-1972) is considered by some the greatest American scholar of economics of the 20th century. An economics professor at the University of Chicago from 1927 until 1955, he was one of the founders of the Chicago school of economics, which influenced Milton Friedman and George Stigler.
Book Synopsis American Book Publishing Record by :
Download or read book American Book Publishing Record written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 838 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Strategic Supply Chain Management in Process Industries by : Reinhard Hübner
Download or read book Strategic Supply Chain Management in Process Industries written by Reinhard Hübner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-06-13 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Practitioners in process industry have to increasingly adapt their global production networks to changes in the competitive environment. A majority of the supply network design models proposed by academia do not sufficiently capture the questions that have to be resolved. This book provides the necessary operations research decision support tools. It builds on an example of the specialty chemicals industry.
Book Synopsis Reverse Engineering of Algebraic Inequalities by : Michael T. Todinov
Download or read book Reverse Engineering of Algebraic Inequalities written by Michael T. Todinov and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2024-12-30 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The second edition of Reverse Engineering of Algebraic Inequalities is a comprehensively updated new edition demonstrating the exploration of new physical realities in various unrelated domains of human activity through reverse engineering of algebraic inequalities. This book introduces a groundbreaking method for generating new knowledge in science and technology that relies on reverse engineering of algebraic inequalities. By using this knowledge, the purpose is to optimize systems and processes in diverse fields such as mechanical engineering, structural engineering, physics, electrical engineering, reliability engineering, risk management and economics. This book will provide the reader with methods to enhance the reliability of systems in total absence of knowledge about the reliabilities of the components building the systems; to develop light-weight structures with very big materials savings; to develop structures with very big load-bearing capacity; to enhance process performance and decision-making; to obtain new useful physical properties; and to correct serious flaws in the current practice for predicting system reliability. This book will greatly benefit professionals and mathematical modelling researchers working on optimising processes and systems in diverse disciplines. It will also benefit undergraduate students introduced to mathematical modelling, post-graduate students and post-doctoral researchers working in the area of mathematical modelling, mechanical engineering, reliability engineering, structural engineering, risk management, and engineering design. .
Book Synopsis Going Forward by Looking Back by : Felix Riede
Download or read book Going Forward by Looking Back written by Felix Riede and published by Berghahn Books. This book was released on 2020-09-11 with total page 458 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Catastrophes are on the rise due to climate change, as is their toll in terms of lives and livelihoods as world populations rise and people settle into hazardous places. While disaster response and management are traditionally seen as the domain of the natural and technical sciences, awareness of the importance and role of cultural adaptation is essential. This book catalogues a wide and diverse range of case studies of such disasters and human responses. This serves as inspiration for building culturally sensitive adaptations to present and future calamities, to mitigate their impact, and facilitate recoveries.
Book Synopsis California. Court of Appeal (3rd Appellate District). Records and Briefs by : California (State).
Download or read book California. Court of Appeal (3rd Appellate District). Records and Briefs written by California (State). and published by . This book was released on with total page 582 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Number of Exhibits: 3
Book Synopsis People Risk Management by : Keith Blacker
Download or read book People Risk Management written by Keith Blacker and published by Kogan Page Publishers. This book was released on 2015-04-03 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: People Risk Management provides unique depth to a topic that has garnered intense interest in recent years. Based on the latest thinking in corporate governance, behavioural economics, human resources and operational risk, people risk can be defined as the risk that people do not follow the organization's procedures, practices and/or rules, thus deviating from expected behaviour in a way that could damage the business's performance and reputation. From fraud to bad business decisions, illegal activity to lax corporate governance, people risk - often called conduct risk - presents a growing challenge in today's complex, dispersed business organizations. Framed by corporate events and challenges and including case studies from the LIBOR rate scandal, the BP oil spill, Lehman Brothers, Royal Bank of Scotland and Enron, People Risk Management provides best-practice guidance to managing risks associated with the behaviour of both employees and those outside a company. It offers practical tools, real-world examples, solutions and insights into how to implement an effective people risk management framework within an organization.
Book Synopsis Recasting Transboundary Fisheries Management Arrangements in Light of Sustainability Principles by : Dawn A. Russell
Download or read book Recasting Transboundary Fisheries Management Arrangements in Light of Sustainability Principles written by Dawn A. Russell and published by BRILL. This book was released on 2010-10-25 with total page 573 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The management of transboundary fish stocks might be described as a complex mosaic. Multiple fora are trying to incrementally shift the fisheries management course towards a sustainable future. Recasting Transboundary Fisheries Management Arrangements in Light of Sustainability Principles reviews and critiques key recasting efforts with a primary focus on Canada’s transboundary fisheries management arrangements for the Pacific and Atlantic oceans. It provides a primer on the international law and policy framework governing transboundary fisheries and offers bilateral and regional case studies in the search for more principled fisheries governance approaches based on the new sustainability imperatives. This book offers current Canadian and international perspectives on the challenges facing regional fisheries management organizations, as well as bilateral and national arrangements, as they face the tides of sustainability reform. Struggles to implement precautionary and ecosystem approaches are especially highlighted.
Book Synopsis Success is Assured by : Penny W. Cloft
Download or read book Success is Assured written by Penny W. Cloft and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-09-03 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Success is Assured" was born from a pair using those design practices over a century ago: The Wright Brothers. They set about methodically learning the causal relationships between the different design decisions they needed to make and the performance of the airplane. The Wright Brothers fundamentally transformed the front end of development into a sharply focused learning and decision-making process, and thereby eliminated the late - process rework in which their competition was stuck. Similarly, Toyota built an amazing manual product development system that consistently created a cadence of high quality products that customers want. Myriads of Lean principles, jargon, and tools have been introduced and applied with minimal impact on design loopbacks, engineering productivity, and knowledge reuse within small to midsize engineering companies – and almost no penetration within highly complex engineering companies. This book teaches methodologies to relentlessly expose knowledge gaps and trade-offs early and optimize results before detailed design begins, thereby avoiding the expensive firefighting and engineering rework that consume most of our engineering capacity today. This book teaches new thinking and methodologies to convert the chaotic front end of product development into a convergent process of set-based learning and continuous innovation – a game changer for companies that depend upon a steady flow of innovative products. Watch this video and understand how to consistently satisfy your customers on-time and on-budget! Visit www.SuccessIsAssured.com
Book Synopsis Handbook of Research on Recent Perspectives on Management, International Trade, and Logistics by : Aytekin, Güner Koç
Download or read book Handbook of Research on Recent Perspectives on Management, International Trade, and Logistics written by Aytekin, Güner Koç and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2021-01-29 with total page 490 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this era of globalization, entrepreneurship and its implications on international trade and supply chain management are becoming more critical. In today’s change-oriented and complex business environment, both entrepreneurs and managers need to keep up with the latest developments around them. With the help of globalization, it is getting more attractive for entrepreneurs to generate innovative ideas to run business both nationally and internationally. Competitive advantages and the key for sustainable growth for globally founded institutions lies behind effective supply chain management originating from a single idea about establishing a company and the process to the end goal of reaching consumers. This focus on entrepreneurship, business, and supply chain comes at a time when rapid technological advances are continually being made. The Handbook of Research on Recent Perspectives on Management, International Trade, and Logistics reveals the latest data based on research on the issues of entrepreneurship, innovation, contemporary management techniques, and global supply chain management. Chapters include topics such as the effective management of the supply chain, supply chain modeling, e-business solutions, digitalizing the supply chain process, e-business applications, and more. This book is ideal for managers, executives, supply chain specialists, entrepreneurs, business professionals, researchers, academicians, and students interested in the latest findings in international trade, management, logistics, and business.
