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The Incremental Information Content Of Cash Flows And The Ability Of Accrual Versus Cash Flows To Predict Future Cash Flows
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Book Synopsis The Incremental Information Content of Cash Flows and the Ability of Accrual Versus Cash Flows to Predict Future Cash Flows by : Dyna Seng
Download or read book The Incremental Information Content of Cash Flows and the Ability of Accrual Versus Cash Flows to Predict Future Cash Flows written by Dyna Seng and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 162 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Incremental Predictive Ability of Accrual Models With Respect to Future Cash Flows by : Timothy R. Yoder
Download or read book The Incremental Predictive Ability of Accrual Models With Respect to Future Cash Flows written by Timothy R. Yoder and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prior studies on the incremental predictive ability of accrual models over cash flow models with respect to future cash flows have led to conflicting results. This paper presents an accrual-based cash flow prediction model based on a random walk in cash flows adjusted for the reversal of current payables and receivables. Results indicate that this simple accrual model predicts future cash flows (out-of-sample) better than models based on current cash flows alone. This paper also provides a more sophisticated accrual model by extending the model of the accrual process developed by Barth, Cram, and Nelson (2001) to include cash flow implications of growth in future sales. This more sophisticated accrual-based prediction model estimated via WLS (while pooling the prior three years of observations) predicts future cash flows better than both the simple accrual reversal model and the cash flow-based models, indicating that the accrual model contains information about future cash flow beyond the simple mechanical reversal of accruals. One explanation is that accruals may contain information regarding future sales. Consistent with this explanation, the paper finds that the accrual-based WLS model is superior to the cash flow-based model in capturing the effect of future sales on future cash flows. To determine whether the improved forecast accuracy is large enough to affect decision-making by financial statement users, the deciles of firms ranked on forecasted cash flow are compared to the deciles of firms ranked on actual future cash flow. The accrual-based model is superior to the cash flow-based model in placing firms into the correct deciles of actual future cash flow.
Book Synopsis The usefulness of accounting measures in predicting future cash flow by : Nikolay Draganov
Download or read book The usefulness of accounting measures in predicting future cash flow written by Nikolay Draganov and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2021-08-10 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2021 in the subject Business economics - Accounting and Taxes, grade: 1,0, University of Cologne, language: English, abstract: The primary aim of this study is to empirically examine the relative ability of accounting earnings and cash flow to predict future cash flow. Moreover, the role of accruals in cash flow predictions is called into question. One of the major purposes of financial reporting consists in ensuring an informational basis that helps investors, creditors and other users of accounting data to overcome the uncertainty associated with the future cash flows of enterprises their financial activity relates to. At the same time, the accrual concept prevails in modern accounting, since it is theorized to mitigate the mismatching and timing problems of the unrefined cash ba-sis accounting. Hence, recognizing revenues and expenses in the period when they have occurred, and not when cash was received or paid out, should create a more relevant framework for decision making. The use of accrual accounting earnings as a summary measure of financial performance instead of the more primitive cash flows is therefore advocated by accounting standard setters. For instance, the Financial Accounting Stand-ard Board claims that: “Information about enterprise earnings and its components measured by accrual accounting generally provides a better indica-tion of enterprise performance than information about current cash receipts and pay-ments”. The FASB’s statement led to a rising discussion in the financial research on whether accounting earnings provide a more reliable picture of a company’s future operating cash flows than current operating cash flows themselves do. Hence, a major implication of the above quotation refers to the incremental power of accruals and its components in predicting future cash flows beyond the one contained into current operating cash flows. This debate represents a cornerstone in evaluating the information quality offered by the accrual accounting concept.
Book Synopsis Informativeness and Predictability of Earnings and Cash Flows by : Zhemin Wang
Download or read book Informativeness and Predictability of Earnings and Cash Flows written by Zhemin Wang and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Incremental Information Content of Accrual Versus Cash Flows in New Zealand by : Alister Lyall Hunt
Download or read book The Incremental Information Content of Accrual Versus Cash Flows in New Zealand written by Alister Lyall Hunt and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Incremental Information Content of Accruals and Cash Flows After Controlling for Earnings by : Gordon Peter Wilson
Download or read book The Incremental Information Content of Accruals and Cash Flows After Controlling for Earnings written by Gordon Peter Wilson and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 114 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Information Content of Cash Flows Versus Accrual-based Income Numbers by : John Carolin
Download or read book The Information Content of Cash Flows Versus Accrual-based Income Numbers written by John Carolin and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Accrual Accounting, Cash Accounting and the Estimation of Future Cash Flows by : Aliasghar Mottaghi
Download or read book Accrual Accounting, Cash Accounting and the Estimation of Future Cash Flows written by Aliasghar Mottaghi and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the predictive ability of current and past cash flows with respect to the estimation of future cash flow, and compares this predictive ability with that of current and past earnings. Future cash flow is estimated in this study on the basis of a model hierarchy that initially incorporates aggregated predictors and then their disaggregated components, with the objective of improving on conventional research design with respect to the problematic issues surrounding missing values in source databases, extreme values in the sampled data and variability in fiscal year length. In determining whether the disaggregation of earnings into cash flow, accruals and their components adds to the predictive ability of cash flow, the present thesis also documents out-of-sample accuracy tests for the UK based on initial in-sample estimations, with accruals being computed using both the information in the Statement of Cash Flows and the information that may be derived from Balance Sheet changes. Using the information in the Statement of Cash Flows, the results of the in-sample estimation indicate that, whilst there is no notable difference between the ability of cash flow and aggregate earnings to predict future cash flow, the disaggregation of earnings into cash flow and accruals improves the prediction. The out-of-sample accuracy tests confirm the standard result that this disaggregated earnings model is a better predictor of future cash flow. In contrast, this thesis shows that, when using information in the Balance Sheet, by way of changes from one period to the next, the results of both the in-sample estimation and the out-of-sample accuracy tests show that disaggregated earnings is unable to outperform aggregate earnings in predicting future cash flow. Nevertheless, when the total accrual is further disaggregated into its deferral and accrual components, in-sample estimation reveals additional improvement in predictive ability, using each of the two sources of information to compute total accruals (the Statement of Cash Flows and Balance Sheet changes), although this is less evident with the out-of-sample tests. Whilst further analysis indicates that disaggregation is more informative when the firm size is large, the magnitude of accruals is low and the firm reports a positive CFO and EBIT, the thesis shows that the ability of the estimation models to predict future cash flow differs across industries in the UK, and that the findings are generally sensitive to the effect of database choice, the fiscal year length, and the identification and treatment of unrecorded data.
Book Synopsis Accruals and the Prediction of Future Cash Flows by : Mary E. Barth
Download or read book Accruals and the Prediction of Future Cash Flows written by Mary E. Barth and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Building on the Dechow, Kothari, and Watts (1998) model of the accrual process, this study investigates the role of accruals in predicting future cash flows. The model shows that each accrual component reflects different information relating to future cash flows; aggregate earnings masks this information. As predicted, disaggregating accruals into major components - change in accounts receivable, change in accounts payable, change in inventory, depreciation, amortization, and other accruals - significantly enhances predictive ability. Each accrual component, including depreciation and amortization, is significant with the predicted sign in predicting future cash flows, incremental to current cash flow. The cash flow and accrual components of current earnings have substantially more predictive ability for future cash flows than several lags of aggregate earnings. The inferences are robust to alternative specifications, including controlling for operating cash cycle and industry membership.Key Words: Accruals, Cash flow, Earnings, Cash flow prediction.
Book Synopsis The Incremental Information Content of Accrual Versus Cash Flow by : Dyna Seng
Download or read book The Incremental Information Content of Accrual Versus Cash Flow written by Dyna Seng and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Additional Evidence on the Incremental Information Content of Cash Flows and Accruals by : Ray J. Pfeiffer
Download or read book Additional Evidence on the Incremental Information Content of Cash Flows and Accruals written by Ray J. Pfeiffer and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study evaluates the relation between security returns and funds-based earnings components. We document that proxies for market expectations of the components that are based on measures of historical serial- and cross-dependencies are substantially more accurate than random-walk proxies. Moreover, we detect significantly higher valuations of the operating cash flow component of earnings, relative to current accruals when market expectations are represented using the dependency-based predictions. Such differential valuation is not detectable for random-walk representations. Contrary to results in Ali (1994), we find incremental information in unexpected cash flows over the whole spectrum (moderate and extreme) of unexpected cash flow realizations.
Book Synopsis Changes in Accrual Properties and Operating Environment by : Suresh Nallareddy
Download or read book Changes in Accrual Properties and Operating Environment written by Suresh Nallareddy and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reconciles conflicting evidence in prior literature on the relative ability of earnings and cash flows in predicting future cash flows. Further, we investigate the implications of temporal shifts in accrual properties and operating environment for cash flow predictability. Three key insights emerge. First, cash flows consistently outperform earnings in predicting future cash flows. Second, accruals and its components, including those capturing non-articulating events, have incremental (albeit small) predictive ability over cash flows. Third, earnings' ability to predict future cash flows has increased over the period 1989-2015, due to changes in operating environment rather than accrual properties.
Book Synopsis Accruals, Cash Flow and Equity Values by : Mary E. Barth
Download or read book Accruals, Cash Flow and Equity Values written by Mary E. Barth and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We find, as predicted, that the differential ability of accrual and cash flow components of earnings to help forecast future abnormal earnings and the persistence of the components results in the components having different valuation implications. We base our tests on Ohlson (1999) applied to fourteen industries. We find: (1) Accruals and cash flows aid in forecasting future abnormal earnings incremental to abnormal earnings and equity book value. (2) Accruals and cash flows provide explanatory power for equity market value incremental to equity book value and abnormal earnings. (3) There is evidence that accruals and cash flows valuation coefficients are consistent with the Ohlson model.
Book Synopsis The Ability of Cash Flows Versus Accruals to Predict Corporate Failure by : Jason Hockaday
Download or read book The Ability of Cash Flows Versus Accruals to Predict Corporate Failure written by Jason Hockaday and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Role of Accruals in Predicting Future Cash Flows and Stock Returns by : Francois Brochet
Download or read book The Role of Accruals in Predicting Future Cash Flows and Stock Returns written by Francois Brochet and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We revisit the role of the cash and accrual components of accounting earnings in predicting future cash flows using out-of-sample predictions, firm-specific regression estimates, and different levels of aggregation of the dependent variable, with market value of equity as a proxy for all future cash flows. We find that, on average, accruals improve upon current cash flow from operations in predicting future cash flows. As accruals' contribution to the prediction of future cash flows varies significantly across firm-quarters, we proceed to investigating determinants of accruals' predictive ability for future cash flows. We find that positive accruals are more likely to improve upon current cash flow in predicting future cash flows. Accruals' contribution is also increasing in cash flow volatility and decreasing in the magnitude of discretionary accruals and of special items. Finally, portfolios formed on stock return predictions using information from current CFO and accruals yield significantly positive returns on average, as opposed to CFO alone. Hence, investors using predictions based on current accounting data to pick stocks are better off taking accruals into account. We also find that Sloan's (1996) accrual anomaly is related to our accrual contribution anomaly. Indeed, when accruals' contribution to future cash flow prediction is the highest, the accrual anomaly vanishes.
Book Synopsis Statement of Cash Flows by : Dirk Maßing
Download or read book Statement of Cash Flows written by Dirk Maßing and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2003-01-31 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2002 in the subject Business economics - Accounting and Taxes, grade: 2.0 (B), Technical University of Braunschweig (Institute for Economics), course: International Accounting, language: English, abstract: This seminar paper will give an introduction to the statement of cash flows which is required as part of the financial statements of the US-GAAP. The statement facilitates the analysis of the liquidity, solvency, and financial flexibility of the firm. In german law a statement of cash flows was first introduced in 1998 by the KonTraG 1.2 In accordance with this law (resp. additions to existent law) german companies must publish such a statement when they are listed at the stock market.3 The mission and content of the statement in german law is not defined in German Commercial Code (HGB) but provided by the German Accounting Standards Committee (GASC) with German Accounting Standards No. 2 (GAS 2). It is drawn near IAS 7 of the International Accounting Standards and Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 95 of US-GAAP. The Security and Exchange Commission (SEC) sees cash flow statements of IAS 7 and SFAS No. 95 equally and excepts both.4 Because there are not many dierences between SFAS No. 95 and IAS 7 this paper just focuses on the US-GAAP.5 The statement of cash flows is structured in three sections. To set up the first section – called operating activities – you can choose either a direct or and indirect method. Both methods show the same investing and financing cash flows, and both show the reconciliation of net income and net operating cash flows. The main difference is that only the direct method shows the actual operating cash flows such as collections from customers and payments to suppliers. The indirect method uses the reconciliation as its operating activities section, that is why it is also called reconciliation method. When describing the content or giving examples of the statement the indirect method is used always in this paper. In spite of the fact that after SFAS No. 95 the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) is preferring the direct method most companies are using the indirect method. This is because in most cases companies do not store all relevant data in their information system to use the direct method. In the other two sections – investing and financing activities – the direct method must be used.6 In the second part this work will give an overview and is showing details of form and content of the statement of cash flows according to the SFAS No 95, as well as it is presenting information about how to prepare the statement [...]
Book Synopsis the nature and amount of information reflected in cash flows and accruals by : victor l. bernard and thomas l. stober
Download or read book the nature and amount of information reflected in cash flows and accruals written by victor l. bernard and thomas l. stober and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
