The Impact Of Macroeconomic Variables On Sp 500 Stock Return

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Do MacRoeconomic Variables Have an Effect on the Us Stock Market?

Author : Dennis Sauert
Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3640720652
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Do MacRoeconomic Variables Have an Effect on the Us Stock Market? by : Dennis Sauert

Download or read book Do MacRoeconomic Variables Have an Effect on the Us Stock Market? written by Dennis Sauert and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2010-10 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2010 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 1.0, Berlin School of Economics, language: English, abstract: The objective of this paper is to examine whether the unanticipated change of specific macroeconomic variables influences the US stock market represented by the S&P 500 using monthly data from 1986 to 2007. Thereby, the performance of the arbitrage pricing theory of Ross (cp. Ross, S., 1976) shall be studied. To explain the behavior of the US stock market return the paper contains the five predefined variables consumer price index (CPI), industrial production index (IPT), money stock M1 (M1), total consumer credit outstanding (TCC) and the term structure of interest rates (Term) which are approximately similar to those variables used by Ross (cp. Chen N. F. et al., 1986, pp. 383-403). Applying the OLS method, it was found that CPI, IPT and Term are negatively related to the US stock return. It was also detected that M1 affects the stock market lagging 8 months and 12 months. However, the test statistics showed that TCC has rather no impact on the US stock market return. To ensure that the ultimate results are not spurious, care will be taken in regards to autocorrelation, multicollinearity, serial correlation as well as heteroskedasticity.

Essentials of Investments

Author : Zvi Bodie
Publisher : Irwin/McGraw-Hill
ISBN 13 : 9780072318692
Total Pages : 148 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (186 download)

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Book Synopsis Essentials of Investments by : Zvi Bodie

Download or read book Essentials of Investments written by Zvi Bodie and published by Irwin/McGraw-Hill. This book was released on 2000-08 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

World Economic Outlook, October 2018

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148437679X
Total Pages : 215 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, October 2018 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, October 2018 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-10-09 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global growth for 2018–19 is projected to remain steady at its 2017 level, but its pace is less vigorous than projected in April and it has become less balanced. Downside risks to global growth have risen in the past six months and the potential for upside surprises has receded. Global growth is projected at 3.7 percent for 2018–19—0.2 percentage point lower for both years than forecast in April. The downward revision reflects surprises that suppressed activity in early 2018 in some major advanced economies, the negative effects of the trade measures implemented or approved between April and mid-September, as well as a weaker outlook for some key emerging market and developing economies arising from country-specific factors, tighter financial conditions, geopolitical tensions, and higher oil import bills. The balance of risks to the global growth forecast has shifted to the downside in a context of elevated policy uncertainty. Several of the downside risks highlighted in the April 2018 World Economic Outlook (WEO)—such as rising trade barriers and a reversal of capital flows to emerging market economies with weaker fundamentals and higher political risk—have become more pronounced or have partially materialized. Meanwhile, the potential for upside surprises has receded, given the tightening of financial conditions in some parts of the world, higher trade costs, slow implementation of reforms recommended in the past, and waning growth momentum.

Forecasting Expected Returns in the Financial Markets

Author : Stephen Satchell
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080550673
Total Pages : 299 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Expected Returns in the Financial Markets by : Stephen Satchell

Download or read book Forecasting Expected Returns in the Financial Markets written by Stephen Satchell and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2011-04-08 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting returns is as important as forecasting volatility in multiple areas of finance. This topic, essential to practitioners, is also studied by academics. In this new book, Dr Stephen Satchell brings together a collection of leading thinkers and practitioners from around the world who address this complex problem using the latest quantitative techniques.*Forecasting expected returns is an essential aspect of finance and highly technical *The first collection of papers to present new and developing techniques *International authors present both academic and practitioner perspectives

Uncertainty and Unemployment

Author : Sangyup Choi
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498356303
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty and Unemployment by : Sangyup Choi

Download or read book Uncertainty and Unemployment written by Sangyup Choi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-02-23 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the role of uncertainty shocks in explaining unemployment dynamics, separating out the role of aggregate and sectoral channels. Using S&P500 data from the first quarter of 1957 to third quarter of 2014, we construct separate indices to measure aggregate and sectoral uncertainty and compare their effects on the unemployment rate in a standard macroeconomic vector autoregressive (VAR) model. We find that aggregate uncertainty leads to an immediate increase in unemployment, with the impact dissipating within a year. In contrast, sectoral uncertainty has a long-lived impact on unemployment, with the peak impact occurring after two years. The results are consistent with a view that the impact of aggregate uncertainty occurs through a “wait-and-see” mechanism while increased sectoral uncertainty raises unemployment by requiring greater reallocation across sectors.

Efficiency and Volatility Dynamics of Bangladesh's Stock Market

Author : Md Abu Hasan
Publisher : Cambridge Scholars Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1527569780
Total Pages : 223 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (275 download)

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Book Synopsis Efficiency and Volatility Dynamics of Bangladesh's Stock Market by : Md Abu Hasan

Download or read book Efficiency and Volatility Dynamics of Bangladesh's Stock Market written by Md Abu Hasan and published by Cambridge Scholars Publishing. This book was released on 2024-02-06 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contributes to empirical finance by comprehensively analysing an emerging stock market, employing modern econometric techniques. The most central and fascinating area of financial economics is probably the efficiency and volatility of the stock market – however, studies of emerging economies are relatively limited in this area. The rising importance of stock market globalisation has increased interest in emerging markets. This book leads the way for an emerging market perspective, as it explores the issue of efficiency and volatility of the stock market in Bangladesh by employing both univariate and multivariate models, using daily data of past share prices and monthly data of macroeconomic variables and the stock index, respectively. This book offers an understanding of the crucial issues facing developing economies, particularly emerging stock markets with similar characteristics to those of Bangladesh. This book undoubtedly provides valuable information for investors in the stock market, graduate, post-graduate, and PhD students in quantitative financial economics, academics in economics and finance, and policymakers in developing economies.

The Economics of Adjustment and Growth

Author : Pierre-Richard Agénor
Publisher : La Editorial, UPR
ISBN 13 : 9780674015784
Total Pages : 794 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (157 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economics of Adjustment and Growth by : Pierre-Richard Agénor

Download or read book The Economics of Adjustment and Growth written by Pierre-Richard Agénor and published by La Editorial, UPR. This book was released on 2004-09-30 with total page 794 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a systematic and coherent framework for understanding the interactions between the micro and macro dimensions of economic adjustment policies; that is, it explores short-run macroeconomic management and structural adjustment policies aimed at promoting economic growth. It emphasizes the importance of structural microeconomic characteristics in the transmission of policy shocks and the response of the economy to adjustment policies. It has particular relevance to the economics of developing countries. The book is directed to economists interested in an overview of the economics of reform; economists in international organizations, such as the UN, the IMF, and the World Bank, dealing with development; and economists in developing countries. It is also a text for advanced undergraduate students pursuing a degree in economic policy and management and students in political science and public policy.

Changes in Macroeconomic Variables and Their Impact on Stock Price Indices. A Case Study of the Financial Times Stock Exchange (FTSE) and Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) Indices

Download Changes in Macroeconomic Variables and Their Impact on Stock Price Indices. A Case Study of the Financial Times Stock Exchange (FTSE) and Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) Indices PDF Online Free

Author : Kudzanai Chakona
Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3346756874
Total Pages : 124 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (467 download)

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Book Synopsis Changes in Macroeconomic Variables and Their Impact on Stock Price Indices. A Case Study of the Financial Times Stock Exchange (FTSE) and Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) Indices by : Kudzanai Chakona

Download or read book Changes in Macroeconomic Variables and Their Impact on Stock Price Indices. A Case Study of the Financial Times Stock Exchange (FTSE) and Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) Indices written by Kudzanai Chakona and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2022-11-07 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research Paper (undergraduate) from the year 2017 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, Birmingham City University, course: MSc Accountancy and Finance (ACCA), language: English, abstract: The purpose of this study is to analyse the changes in macroeconomic variables and evaluate the impact on a company’s stock prices, by examining the impact of changes macroeconomic variables, determining which macro-economic variables that have the least and most impact on stock prices and also suggest ways in which the impact on the macroeconomic variables on stock prices can be hedged against using agricultural futures, metal futures or a risk-free asset. The study will use five econometric models to test this impact, these include the Granger Causality test, Johansen Co-Integration test, Vector Error Model, Walt Test statistic, Multiple Regression Model. A review of a number of academic literature by notable analysis for both developed and developing markets will be provided. The FTSE share price index will be used in the study to represent the developed markets and the JSE share price index will be used in the study to represent the developing markets.

The Fourth Industrial Revolution

Author : Klaus Schwab
Publisher : Crown Currency
ISBN 13 : 1524758876
Total Pages : 194 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (247 download)

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Book Synopsis The Fourth Industrial Revolution by : Klaus Schwab

Download or read book The Fourth Industrial Revolution written by Klaus Schwab and published by Crown Currency. This book was released on 2017-01-03 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: World-renowned economist Klaus Schwab, Founder and Executive Chairman of the World Economic Forum, explains that we have an opportunity to shape the fourth industrial revolution, which will fundamentally alter how we live and work. Schwab argues that this revolution is different in scale, scope and complexity from any that have come before. Characterized by a range of new technologies that are fusing the physical, digital and biological worlds, the developments are affecting all disciplines, economies, industries and governments, and even challenging ideas about what it means to be human. Artificial intelligence is already all around us, from supercomputers, drones and virtual assistants to 3D printing, DNA sequencing, smart thermostats, wearable sensors and microchips smaller than a grain of sand. But this is just the beginning: nanomaterials 200 times stronger than steel and a million times thinner than a strand of hair and the first transplant of a 3D printed liver are already in development. Imagine “smart factories” in which global systems of manufacturing are coordinated virtually, or implantable mobile phones made of biosynthetic materials. The fourth industrial revolution, says Schwab, is more significant, and its ramifications more profound, than in any prior period of human history. He outlines the key technologies driving this revolution and discusses the major impacts expected on government, business, civil society and individuals. Schwab also offers bold ideas on how to harness these changes and shape a better future—one in which technology empowers people rather than replaces them; progress serves society rather than disrupts it; and in which innovators respect moral and ethical boundaries rather than cross them. We all have the opportunity to contribute to developing new frameworks that advance progress.

Empirical Asset Pricing

Author : Wayne Ferson
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262039370
Total Pages : 497 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Wayne Ferson

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Economic Management and Green Development

Author : Xiaolong Li
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811978263
Total Pages : 1647 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (119 download)

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Book Synopsis Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Economic Management and Green Development by : Xiaolong Li

Download or read book Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Economic Management and Green Development written by Xiaolong Li and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-06-27 with total page 1647 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This proceedings book, together with the conference, looks forward to spark inspirations and promote collaborations. International Conference on Economic Management and Green Development (ICEMGD) is an annual conference aiming at bringing together researchers from the fields of economics, business management, public administration, and green development for the sharing of research methods and theoretical breakthroughs. The proceedings consist of papers accepted by the 6th ICEMGD, which are carefully selected and reviewed by professional reviewers from corresponding research fields and the editing committee of the conference. The papers have a diverse range of topics situated at the intersecting field of economic management, public administration, and green development. ICEMGD is working to provide a platform for international participants from fields like macro- and microeconomics, international economics, finance, agricultural economics, health economics, business management and marketing strategies, regional development studies, social governance, and sustainable development. The proceedings will be of interest to researchers, academics, professionals, and policy makers in the field of economic management, public administration, and development studies.

Handbook on Food

Author : Raghbendra Jha
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1781004293
Total Pages : 565 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook on Food by : Raghbendra Jha

Download or read book Handbook on Food written by Raghbendra Jha and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2014-01-01 with total page 565 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'This volume is a welcome and timely contribution to a topic of enduring importance. The global consequences of recent food price crises underscore the need to examine food security issues from diverse perspectives. This volume meets that need, featuring accessible yet cutting-edge analyses of food security by leading experts in fields as diverse as trade, nutrition, public health, production, political economy, and behavioral economics. It will be of interest to a wide range of scholars and practitioners.' --Steven Block, Tufts University, US. 'This excellent volume offers a compact but wide-ranging survey of recent research on important changes in global food markets. Its 20 chapters accurately capture important areas of scholarly agreement as well as on-going debates among economists studying agriculture and nutrition, with several provocative original contributions from other fields. The book draws particularly on the authors' long experience in Asia, offering widely-applicable insights for scholars and policy analysts seeking to understand the past, present and future of food around the world.' --William A. Masters, Tufts University, US. The global population is forecasted to reach 9.4 billion by 2050, with much of this increase concentrated in developing regions and cities. Ensuring adequate food and nourishment to this large population is a pressing economic, moral and even security challenge and requires research (and action) from a multi-disciplinary perspective. This book provides the first such integrated approach to tackling this problem by addressing the multiplicity of challenges posed by rising global population, diet diversification and urbanization in developing countries and climate change. It examines key topics such as: the impact of prosperity on food demand, the role of international trade in addressing food insecurity, the challenge posed by greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture and land degradation, the implication on labor markets of severe under-nutrition, viability of small scale farms, strategies to augment food availability. The Handbook on Food would be a welcome supplementary text for courses on development economics, particularly those concentrating on agricultural development, climate change and food availability, as well as nutrition.

Trade, Investment and Economic Growth

Author : Pooja Lakhanpal
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9813369736
Total Pages : 396 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (133 download)

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Book Synopsis Trade, Investment and Economic Growth by : Pooja Lakhanpal

Download or read book Trade, Investment and Economic Growth written by Pooja Lakhanpal and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-05-10 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book contributes to the growing literature pertaining to empirical and policy issues in international trade, foreign capital flows and issues in finance, implications for India and emerging economies related to trade and development interface, and analysis of sector level growth and development in India. Further, the focus is on the policy aspects of these themes and their role in fostering economic development in the context of India and other emerging market economies. The discourse focuses mainly on empirical work and econometric details. The relevant issues are investigated using state of the art techniques such as gravity models, panel co-integration, generalized hyperbolic distributions, SEM, FMOLS and Probit models. In addition, detailed literature survey, discussions on data availability, issues related to statistical estimation techniques and a theoretical background, ensure that each chapter significantly contributes to the ever-growing literature on international trade and capital flows. The readers shall find an engaging dialogue on the crucial role played by policy and the trade-capital flows-growth experience of emerging economies. The book is relevant for those who are interested in contemporary issues in trade, growth and finance as well as for students of advanced econometrics who may benefit from the analytical and econometric exposition. The empirical evidences provided here could serve as ready reference for academicians, researchers and policy makers, particularly in emerging economies facing similar challenges.

Insurance and Risk Management for Disruptions in Social, Economic and Environmental Systems

Author : Simon Grima
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1801171416
Total Pages : 235 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis Insurance and Risk Management for Disruptions in Social, Economic and Environmental Systems by : Simon Grima

Download or read book Insurance and Risk Management for Disruptions in Social, Economic and Environmental Systems written by Simon Grima and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2022-01-24 with total page 235 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Insurance and Risk Management for Disruptions in Social, Economic and Environmental Systems is a collection of 13 chapters and studies about Insurance and Risk management in response to disruptions caused by social, economic, and environmental challenges to try and stabilize the economy in an effort to ensure sustainability.

Proceedings of the 8th Global Conference on Business, Management, and Entrepreneurship (GCBME 2023)

Author : Ratih Hurriyati
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 946463443X
Total Pages : 1331 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (646 download)

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Book Synopsis Proceedings of the 8th Global Conference on Business, Management, and Entrepreneurship (GCBME 2023) by : Ratih Hurriyati

Download or read book Proceedings of the 8th Global Conference on Business, Management, and Entrepreneurship (GCBME 2023) written by Ratih Hurriyati and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2024 with total page 1331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Liquidity, Markets and Trading in Action

Author : Deniz Ozenbas
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030748170
Total Pages : 111 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis Liquidity, Markets and Trading in Action by : Deniz Ozenbas

Download or read book Liquidity, Markets and Trading in Action written by Deniz Ozenbas and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022 with total page 111 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book addresses four standard business school subjects: microeconomics, macroeconomics, finance and information systems as they relate to trading, liquidity, and market structure. It provides a detailed examination of the impact of trading costs and other impediments of trading that the authors call rictions It also presents an interactive simulation model of equity market trading, TraderEx, that enables students to implement trading decisions in different market scenarios and structures. Addressing these topics shines a bright light on how a real-world financial market operates, and the simulation provides students with an experiential learning opportunity that is informative and fun. Each of the chapters is designed so that it can be used as a stand-alone module in an existing economics, finance, or information science course. Instructor resources such as discussion questions, Powerpoint slides and TraderEx exercises are available online.

Bayesian Econometrics

Author : Mauro Bernardi
Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3039437852
Total Pages : 146 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Econometrics by : Mauro Bernardi

Download or read book Bayesian Econometrics written by Mauro Bernardi and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-12-28 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the advent of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods in the early 1990s, Bayesian methods have been proposed for a large and growing number of applications. One of the main advantages of Bayesian inference is the ability to deal with many different sources of uncertainty, including data, models, parameters and parameter restriction uncertainties, in a unified and coherent framework. This book contributes to this literature by collecting a set of carefully evaluated contributions that are grouped amongst two topics in financial economics. The first three papers refer to macro-finance issues for real economy, including the elasticity of factor substitution (ES) in the Cobb–Douglas production function, the effects of government public spending components, and quantitative easing, monetary policy and economics. The last three contributions focus on cryptocurrency and stock market predictability. All arguments are central ingredients in the current economic discussion and their importance has only been further emphasized by the COVID-19 crisis.