The Impact of Future Strategic Defenses on Strategic Stability

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (227 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of Future Strategic Defenses on Strategic Stability by : Henry L Pugh (Jr)

Download or read book The Impact of Future Strategic Defenses on Strategic Stability written by Henry L Pugh (Jr) and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study provides an analysis of stability issues associated with developing and deploying strategic defenses. Strategic stability is defined in the context of current US and Soviet defense policy, and stability criteria are developed in terms of the abstract concepts of crisis and arms race instabilities and in terms of more pragmatic issues of system survivability and cost effectiveness. The study offers a stability assessment of some generic SDI options based on the criteria above. The study concludes that defensive system survivability is a key stabilizing factor regardless of the level of defensive capability which the SDI process may deliver, while defensive capability is more important in determining whether a nation can adopt a countervailing, war-fighting, or defense emphasis strategy.

Strategic Stability in the Post-Cold War World and the Future of Nuclear Disarmament

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 348 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Stability in the Post-Cold War World and the Future of Nuclear Disarmament by : Melvin L. Best (Jr.)

Download or read book Strategic Stability in the Post-Cold War World and the Future of Nuclear Disarmament written by Melvin L. Best (Jr.) and published by Springer. This book was released on 1995-10-31 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The contributors to Strategic Stability in the Post-Cold War World and the Future of Nuclear Disarmament recognize that the collapse of the former Soviet Union has left a conceptual vacuum in the definition of a new world order. Never before have the components of world order all changed so rapidly, so deeply, or so globally. As Henry Kissinger points out, the emergence of a new world order will have to confront three fundamental questions: What are the basic units of the international order? What are their means of interacting? and What are the goals on behalf of which they interact? The main question is whether the establishment and maintenance of an international system will turn out to be a conscious design, or the outgrowth of a trial of strength. The concept of a planning framework that could shape or govern these interactions is emerging and may now be at hand. Capturing this emerging framework is the thrust of the present book, which seeks to reach a consensus on defining a model (calculus) for strategic stability in a changing, multipolar world in the presence of weapons of mass destruction - the model being the core of a conscious design to shape or govern the interactions of nation states in a new world order. The following taxonomy of the dimensions of strategic stability was accepted by the contributors as the first step towards such a model: Stability in geopolitics and balance of power; Arms race stability; Deterrence stability, crisis stability, first strike stability; Stability in the presence of clandestine proliferation. After four gruelling days, this unprecedented gathering of top academic, scientific and military experts from the USA, Russia, the UK, France, China, India, and Israel reached a general agreement that is captured in the Consensus Report; each participant presented an individual contribution that further fleshes out the dimensions of strategic stability. This unprecedented work provides joint concepts for all leaders of the nuclear powers to shape their decisions for the coming decades. And for the first time they can base their decisions on agreed scientific facts, not just political judgments.

The End of Strategic Stability?

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Publisher : Georgetown University Press
ISBN 13 : 162616603X
Total Pages : 323 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (261 download)

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Book Synopsis The End of Strategic Stability? by : Lawrence Rubin

Download or read book The End of Strategic Stability? written by Lawrence Rubin and published by Georgetown University Press. This book was released on 2018-09-03 with total page 323 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the Cold War, many believed that the superpowers shared a conception of strategic stability, a coexistence where both sides would compete for global influence but would be deterred from using nuclear weapons. In actuality, both sides understood strategic stability and deterrence quite differently. Today’s international system is further complicated by more nuclear powers, regional rivalries, and nonstate actors who punch above their weight, but the United States and other nuclear powers still cling to old conceptions of strategic stability. The purpose of this book is to unpack and examine how different states in different regions view strategic stability, the use or non-use of nuclear weapons, and whether or not strategic stability is still a prevailing concept. The contributors to this volume explore policies of current and potential nuclear powers including the United States, Russia, China, India, Iran, Israel, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia. This volume makes an important contribution toward understanding how nuclear weapons will impact the international system in the twenty-first century and will be useful to students, scholars, and practitioners of nuclear weapons policy.

Artificial intelligence and the future of warfare

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Publisher : Manchester University Press
ISBN 13 : 1526145073
Total Pages : 186 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (261 download)

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Book Synopsis Artificial intelligence and the future of warfare by : James Johnson

Download or read book Artificial intelligence and the future of warfare written by James Johnson and published by Manchester University Press. This book was released on 2021-09-14 with total page 186 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume offers an innovative and counter-intuitive study of how and why artificial intelligence-infused weapon systems will affect the strategic stability between nuclear-armed states. Johnson demystifies the hype surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) in the context of nuclear weapons and, more broadly, future warfare. The book highlights the potential, multifaceted intersections of this and other disruptive technology – robotics and autonomy, cyber, drone swarming, big data analytics, and quantum communications – with nuclear stability. Anticipating and preparing for the consequences of the AI-empowered weapon systems are fast becoming a critical task for national security and statecraft. Johnson considers the impact of these trends on deterrence, military escalation, and strategic stability between nuclear-armed states – especially China and the United States. The book draws on a wealth of political and cognitive science, strategic studies, and technical analysis to shed light on the coalescence of developments in AI and other disruptive emerging technologies. Artificial intelligence and the future of warfare sketches a clear picture of the potential impact of AI on the digitized battlefield and broadens our understanding of critical questions for international affairs. AI will profoundly change how wars are fought, and how decision-makers think about nuclear deterrence, escalation management, and strategic stability – but not for the reasons you might think.

The Best Defense: Charting the Future of US Space Strategy and Policy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 112 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (15 download)

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Book Synopsis The Best Defense: Charting the Future of US Space Strategy and Policy by :

Download or read book The Best Defense: Charting the Future of US Space Strategy and Policy written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The United States is at a cross-roads with respect to space. The challenge that now presents itself is how to craft a strategy that maintains the United States' asymmetric advantage in space while moving from the current age of uncontested access to one where access must be assured by deliberate actions. All military strategies are key to the overall grand strategy of the state, but the U.S. military strategy for space holds a special degree of influence upon the overall success of U.S. grand strategy. What type of strategy would best achieve U.S. security objectives? Should the United States adopt a largely defensive strategy to protect its interests and preserve its advantages, or does the adage "the best defense is a strong offense" hold true for space? This thesis seeks to inform modern-day space strategy decisions through an examination of three historical case studies in which U.S. strategists and decision makers faced similar high stakes national security decisions with uncertain outcomes: the hydrogen bomb, MIRV missiles, and Star Wars. Analyses of these decision making processes and the resulting consequences give insight into these important questions and may inform us on the potential road ahead for space. These cases reveal how military superiority strategies; faith in, and reliance upon technology to solve complex national security problems; and a strong preference for offensive solutions to secure U.S. national security can produce the opposite of their intended effects. The potential exists for the United States to adopt a military strategy for space -- and acquire weapons to support its fulfillment -- that undermines U.S. grand strategy and delivers less security. The author concludes that given the current context, the nation is better off pushing the status quo in space without perturbing strategic stability, which will help retain the political, military, and economic advantages it has worked to hard to achieve.

The Best Defense

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Author :
Publisher : CreateSpace
ISBN 13 : 9781500174422
Total Pages : 106 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (744 download)

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Book Synopsis The Best Defense by : School of Advanced Air and Space Studies

Download or read book The Best Defense written by School of Advanced Air and Space Studies and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2014-06-14 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: THE US IS AT A CROSSROADS WITH RESPECT TO SPACE. THE CHALLENGE THAT NOW PRESENTS ITSELF IS HOW TO CRAFT A STRATEGY THAT MAINTAINS THE UNITED STATES' ASYMMETRIC ADVANTAGE IN SPACE WHILE MOVING FROM THE CURRENT AGE OF UNCONTESTED ACCESS TO ONE WHERE ACCESS MUST BE ASSURED BY DELIBERATE ACTIONS. ALL MILITARY STRATEGIES ARE KEY TO THE OVERALL GRAND STRATEGY OF THE STATE, BUT THE US MILITARY STRATEGY FOR SPACE HOLDS A SPECIAL DEGREE OF INFLUENCE UPON THE OVERALL SUCCESS OF US GRAND STRATEGY. THIS SPECIAL DEGREE OF INFLUENCE DERIVES FROM THE CHARACTERISTIC OFFENSIVE OMNIPRESENCE OF ORBITAL PLATFORMS; JUST AS THE ADVENT OF INTERCONTINENTAL MISSILE DELIVERY SYSTEMS ESTABLISHED THE OFFENSIVE OMNIPRESENT THREAT OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS. AS SUCH, STRATEGISTS MUST TAKE SPECIAL CARE TO WEIGH NOT ONLY THE NECESSITIES OF THE MILITARY STRATEGY FOR SPACE, BUT ALSO THE BROADER IMPACT ON THE NATION'S GRAND STRATEGY. WHAT TYPE OF STRATEGY WOULD BEST ACHIEVE US SECURITY OBJECTIVES? SHOULD THE US ADOPT A LARGELY DEFENSIVE STRATEGY TO PROTECT ITS INTERESTS AND PRESERVE ITS ADVANTAGES OR DOES THE ADAGE “THE BEST DEFENSE IS A STRONG OFFENSE” HOLD TRUE FOR SPACE? THIS THESIS SEEKS TO INFORM MODERN-DAY SPACE STRATEGY DECISIONS THROUGH EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL CASE STUDIES WHERE US STRATEGISTS AND DECISION MAKERS FACED SIMILAR HIGH STAKES NATIONAL SECURITY DECISIONS WITH UNCERTAIN OUTCOMES. ANALYSES OF THE DECISION MAKING PROCESSES AND THE RESULTING CONSEQUENCES GIVE INSIGHT INTO THESE IMPORTANT QUESTIONS AND MAY INFORMUS ON THE POTENTIAL ROAD AHEAD FOR SPACE. THREE HISTORICAL CASES ILLUSTRATE THE DYNAMICS OF THE DECISION MAKING PROCESSES AS WELL AS THE ULTIMATE STRATEGIC CHOICES AND CONSEQUENCES. THESE CASES REVEAL HOW MILITARY SUPERIORITY STRATEGIES, FAITH IN, AND RELIANCE UPON TECHNOLOGY TO SOLVE COMPLEX NATIONAL SECURITY PROBLEMS, AND A STRONG PREFERENCE FOR OFFENSIVE SOLUTIONS AND POSITIVE ACTION TO SECURE US NATIONAL SECURITY CAN DRAMATICALLY PRODUCE THE OPPOSITE OF THEIR INTENDED EFFECT. THE EVIDENCE INFERS THAT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR THE US TO ADOPT A MILITARY STRATEGY FOR SPACE (AND ACQUIRE WEAPONS TO SUPPORT ITS FULFILLMENT) THAT UNDERMINES US GRAND STRATEGY AND DELIVERS LESS SECURITY. THE THESIS CONCLUDES THAT GIVEN THE CURRENT CONTEXT, THE US IS BETTER OFF PUSHING THE STATUS QUO IN SPACE WITHOUT PERTURBING STRATEGIC STABILITY, WHICH WILL HELP RETAIN THE POLITICAL, MILITARY, AND ECONOMIC ADVANTAGES IT HAS WORKED SO HARD TO ACHIEVE.

Strategic Stability Through the Strategic Defense Initiative

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 63 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Stability Through the Strategic Defense Initiative by : James T. Reeves

Download or read book Strategic Stability Through the Strategic Defense Initiative written by James T. Reeves and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the 1950s the U.S. policy on nuclear strategic forces has been that of massive retaliation and mutual assured destruction. Those policies are being reexamined by the leading edge of technology in spite of political direction. The advances in scientific and industrial research have caused a real and critical examination of the strategic stability issues surrounding the U.S. nuclear forces and military strategy. This paper focuses on what the role of the Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI) research program will play in current and future nuclear stability issues. It addresses the historical policies that lead to the current rationale for nuclear stability between the two superpowers and where they each stand on their strategic defense programs. The study then looks at what the SDI was envisioned to be and what arms control pacts with the Soviets have done to influence our decisions to pursue this radically different deterrent strategy.

Strategic Defenses and First-strike Stability

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Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 9780833007766
Total Pages : 65 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (77 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Defenses and First-strike Stability by : Dean Wilkening

Download or read book Strategic Defenses and First-strike Stability written by Dean Wilkening and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 1986 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The impact of strategic defenses on stability is a central theme in the Strategic Defense Initiative debate. This report examines the effects of defenses on first-strike stability. It is principally concerned with assessing first-strike stability during the transition from an offense-dominated strategic balance to a defense-dominated balance. It also examines the implications of various offensive and defensive force structures. The findings suggest that (1) first-strike instability during the defense transition can be minimized by careful force planning; (2) the most stable defense transition occurs when the ballistic missile defense transition is completed before significant levels of air defense are deployed; (3) arms control efforts will not necessarily reduce potential first-strike instabilities unless each side's counterforce capability is reduced; (4) asymmetries in each side's ability to suppress the opponent's defenses can lead to instabilities during, and after, the defense transition; and (5) biased perceptions make the defense transition either more or less stable, depending on the nature of the bias.

Strategic Stability in the Second Nuclear Age

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Publisher : Council on Foreign Relations
ISBN 13 : 0876096119
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (76 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Stability in the Second Nuclear Age by : Gregory D. Koblentz

Download or read book Strategic Stability in the Second Nuclear Age written by Gregory D. Koblentz and published by Council on Foreign Relations. This book was released on 2014-11-01 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The world has entered a second nuclear age shaped by rising nuclear states and military technologies. Gregory Koblentz argues that the United States should work with the other nuclear-armed states to manage threats to nuclear stability in the near term and establish processes for multilateral arms control efforts over the longer term.

Arms and Influence

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Publisher : Yale University Press
ISBN 13 : 0300253486
Total Pages : 337 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Arms and Influence by : Thomas C. Schelling

Download or read book Arms and Influence written by Thomas C. Schelling and published by Yale University Press. This book was released on 2020-03-17 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “This is a brilliant and hardheaded book. It will frighten those who prefer not to dwell on the unthinkable and infuriate those who have taken refuge in stereotypes and moral attitudinizing.”—Gordon A. Craig, New York Times Book Review Originally published more than fifty years ago, this landmark book explores the ways in which military capabilities—real or imagined—are used, skillfully or clumsily, as bargaining power. Anne-Marie Slaughter’s new introduction to the work shows how Schelling’s framework—conceived of in a time of superpowers and mutually assured destruction—still applies to our multipolar world, where wars are fought as much online as on the ground.

Arms Control and Strategic Stability

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780819154750
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (547 download)

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Book Synopsis Arms Control and Strategic Stability by : University of Virginia. Center for Law and National Security. Seminar

Download or read book Arms Control and Strategic Stability written by University of Virginia. Center for Law and National Security. Seminar and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this collection, leading arms control experts focus on the impact of new weapons technology, the START and INF negotiations, treaty verification and compliance, and confidence-building and risk reduction measures. Co-published with the Center for Law and National Security, University of Virginia.

The Future of Strategic Arms Control

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780876093856
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (938 download)

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Book Synopsis The Future of Strategic Arms Control by : Rebecca Lissner

Download or read book The Future of Strategic Arms Control written by Rebecca Lissner and published by . This book was released on 2021-04-30 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Impact on Strategic Stability of Ballistic Missile Defense in Eastern Europe

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (465 download)

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Book Synopsis Impact on Strategic Stability of Ballistic Missile Defense in Eastern Europe by : Derek F. Schin

Download or read book Impact on Strategic Stability of Ballistic Missile Defense in Eastern Europe written by Derek F. Schin and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While the United States and Russia have many disagreements, very few of these affect nuclear weapon policy. One that has recently done so, however, is the argument over ballistic missile defense systems in Europe. The United States has signed bilateral missile defense agreements with both Poland and the Czech Republic but none of the countries have yet ratified these arrangements. The uncertainty of the future of these systems, Russia's opposition to them, and 'most importantly' the complex interaction of how these agreements affect strategic stability will all be examined in this paper. A second aspect of this paper is an examination of the evolution and current definition of strategic stability itself. By providing historical context, it will be shown that the concept of strategic stability is still relevant today. Ultimately, this paper finds that despite the fact that the limited capabilities of the proposed Eastern European missile defense system itself do not pose a threat to Russia's intercontinental ballistic missile force, the decisions made by Moscow in response to the system may in fact negatively affect strategic stability.

The Future of the International Strategic System

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (49 download)

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Book Synopsis The Future of the International Strategic System by : Richard N. Rosecrance

Download or read book The Future of the International Strategic System written by Richard N. Rosecrance and published by . This book was released on 1972 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Strategic Stability: Contending Interpretations (Enlarged Edition)

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Publisher : Lulu.com
ISBN 13 : 1304049523
Total Pages : 452 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Stability: Contending Interpretations (Enlarged Edition) by : Elbridge A. Colby

Download or read book Strategic Stability: Contending Interpretations (Enlarged Edition) written by Elbridge A. Colby and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Strategic Culture and Ballistic Missile Defense

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 99 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (423 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Culture and Ballistic Missile Defense by : Miriam D. Becker

Download or read book Strategic Culture and Ballistic Missile Defense written by Miriam D. Becker and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 99 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis examines U.S. and Russian history and current policy debates to advance understanding of: (1) the strategic cultures of these nations, particularly with respect to BMD policies in the recent past; and (2) whether and how their strategic cultures and approaches to BMD are changing and how that may affect future strategic BMD developments and the status of the ABM Treaty. The development of BMD strategies, including policies concerning the ABM Treaty, within the framework of the established American and Russian strategic cultures is studied, with due attention to the Soviet experience and legacy in the Russian case. U.S. strategic culture does not seem to have changed significantly with the end of the Cold War, but U.S. BMD priorities have been redefined to reflect a higher priority attached to regional and theater-level defenses. It is apparent that the Soviet experience did have a significant impact on Russian strategic culture. Faced with major changes in its international status, domestic political-military arrangements, and scope of national security concerns, Russian strategic culture is nonetheless moving beyond the old Soviet culture. Future Russian policies regarding the transfer of BMD technology, sharing early warning data, and participating in a global protective system are heavily dependent on domestic political developments.

The Paradox of Power

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Publisher : Government Printing Office
ISBN 13 : 9780160915734
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (157 download)

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Book Synopsis The Paradox of Power by : David C. Gompert

Download or read book The Paradox of Power written by David C. Gompert and published by Government Printing Office. This book was released on 2020 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The second half of the 20th century featured a strategic competition between the United States and the Soviet Union. That competition avoided World War III in part because during the 1950s, scholars like Henry Kissinger, Thomas Schelling, Herman Kahn, and Albert Wohlstetter analyzed the fundamental nature of nuclear deterrence. Decades of arms control negotiations reinforced these early notions of stability and created a mutual understanding that allowed U.S.-Soviet competition to proceed without armed conflict. The first half of the 21st century will be dominated by the relationship between the United States and China. That relationship is likely to contain elements of both cooperation and competition. Territorial disputes such as those over Taiwan and the South China Sea will be an important feature of this competition, but both are traditional disputes, and traditional solutions suggest themselves. A more difficult set of issues relates to U.S.-Chinese competition and cooperation in three domains in which real strategic harm can be inflicted in the current era: nuclear, space, and cyber. Just as a clearer understanding of the fundamental principles of nuclear deterrence maintained adequate stability during the Cold War, a clearer understanding of the characteristics of these three domains can provide the underpinnings of strategic stability between the United States and China in the decades ahead. That is what this book is about.