The IMF-FSB Early Warning Exercise - Design and Methodological Toolkit

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498336949
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis The IMF-FSB Early Warning Exercise - Design and Methodological Toolkit by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book The IMF-FSB Early Warning Exercise - Design and Methodological Toolkit written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-08-26 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Early Warning Exercise (EWE) draws together a combination of analytical techniques, practical experience, seasoned judgment and unique databases in order to assess the potential consequences associated with economic and financial tail risks. There are several key features of the exercise. First, the exercise aims to help prevent the occurrence of financial crises and to limit their potential damage, not to predict the timing of crises. Second, coverage is fairly comprehensive, including both advanced and emerging economies. Third, the EWE is based on rigorous analysis and cutting-edge techniques, but it uses a holistic approach, drawing also various other tools rather than relying on a single crisis model. Fourth, it combines empirical analysis with forward-looking thinking, based on inputs from key policymakers and academics, in-depth real-world knowledge from practitioners, and seasoned judgment from IMF experts. The primary purpose of the EWE is to identify as early as possible the buildup of underlying vulnerabilities that predispose a system to a crisis, so that corrective policies can be implemented and contingency plans put in place.

Assessing Country Risk

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484302567
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing Country Risk by : Mr.Ashvin Ahuja

Download or read book Assessing Country Risk written by Mr.Ashvin Ahuja and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-06-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Assessing country risk is a core component of surveillance at the IMF. It is conducted through a comprehensive architecture, covering both bilateral and multilateral dimensions. This note describes some of the approaches used internally by Fund staff to examine a wide array of systemic risks across advanced, emerging, and low-income economies. It provides a high-level view of the theory and methodologies employed, with an on-line companion guide providing more technical details of implementation. The guide will be updated as Fund staff’s methodologies for assessing country risk continue to evolve with experience and feedback. While the results of these approaches are not published by the IMF for market sensitivity reasons, they inform risk assessments featured in bilateral surveillance as well as in the IMF’s flagship publications on global surveillance.

Macroprudential Policy - An Organizing Framework - Background Paper

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498339174
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroprudential Policy - An Organizing Framework - Background Paper by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Download or read book Macroprudential Policy - An Organizing Framework - Background Paper written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-03-14 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: MCM conducted a survey in December 2010 to take stock of international experiences with financial stability and the evolving macroprudential policy framework. The survey was designed to seek information in three broad areas: the institutional setup for macroprudential policy, the analytical approach to systemic risk monitoring, and the macroprudential policy toolkit. The survey was sent to 63 countries and the European Central Bank (ECB), including all countries in the G-20 and those subject to mandatory Financial Sector Assessment Programs (FSAPs). The target list is designed to cover a broad range of jurisdictions in all regions, but more weight is given to economies that are systemically important (see Annex for details). The response rate is 80 percent. This note provides a summary of the survey’s main findings.

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475561008
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications by : Mr.Stijn Claessens

Download or read book Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-30 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

Staff Guidance Note on Macroprudential Policy

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498342620
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Staff Guidance Note on Macroprudential Policy by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Staff Guidance Note on Macroprudential Policy written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-06-11 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This note provides guidance to facilitate the staff’s advice on macroprudential policy in Fund surveillance. It elaborates on the principles set out in the “Key Aspects of Macroprudential Policy,” taking into account the work of international standard setters as well as the evolving country experience with macroprudential policy. The main note is accompanied by supplements offering Detailed Guidance on Instruments and Considerations for Low Income Countries

Stress Testing at the IMF

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513520741
Total Pages : 73 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Stress Testing at the IMF by : Mr.Tobias Adrian

Download or read book Stress Testing at the IMF written by Mr.Tobias Adrian and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-02-05 with total page 73 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explains specifics of stress testing at the IMF. After a brief section on the evolution of stress tests at the IMF, the paper presents the key steps of an IMF staff stress test. They are followed by a discussion on how IMF staff uses stress tests results for policy advice. The paper concludes by identifying remaining challenges to make stress tests more useful for the monitoring of financial stability and an overview of IMF staff work program in that direction. Stress tests help assess the resilience of financial systems in IMF member countries and underpin policy advice to preserve or restore financial stability. This assessment and advice are mainly provided through the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). IMF staff also provide technical assistance in stress testing to many its member countries. An IMF macroprudential stress test is a methodology to assess financial vulnerabilities that can trigger systemic risk and the need of systemwide mitigating measures. The definition of systemic risk as used by the IMF is relevant to understanding the role of its stress tests as tools for financial surveillance and the IMF’s current work program. IMF stress tests primarily apply to depository intermediaries, and, systemically important banks.

This Time Is Different

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400831725
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis This Time Is Different by : Carmen M. Reinhart

Download or read book This Time Is Different written by Carmen M. Reinhart and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-09-11 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The acclaimed New York Times bestselling history of financial crises Throughout history, rich and poor countries alike have been lending, borrowing, crashing, and recovering their way through an extraordinary range of financial crises. Each time, the experts have chimed, “this time is different”—claiming that the old rules of valuation no longer apply and that the new situation bears little similarity to past disasters. With this breakthrough study, leading economists Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff definitively prove them wrong. Covering sixty-six countries across five continents and eight centuries, This Time Is Different presents a comprehensive look at the varieties of financial crises—including government defaults, banking panics, and inflationary spikes—from medieval currency debasements to the subprime mortgage catastrophe. Reinhart and Rogoff provocatively argue that financial combustions are universal rites of passage for emerging and established market nations. A remarkable history of financial folly, This Time Is Different will influence financial and economic thinking and policy for decades to come.

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 147557908X
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications by : Mr.Stijn Claessens

Download or read book Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-30 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

Financial Crises

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475543409
Total Pages : 670 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises by : Mr.Stijn Claessens

Download or read book Financial Crises written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-02-19 with total page 670 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The lingering effects of the economic crisis are still visible—this shows a clear need to improve our understanding of financial crises. This book surveys a wide range of crises, including banking, balance of payments, and sovereign debt crises. It begins with an overview of the various types of crises and introduces a comprehensive database of crises. Broad lessons on crisis prevention and management, as well as the short-term economic effects of crises, recessions, and recoveries, are discussed.

OECD Economic Surveys: Ireland 2011

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Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9264093540
Total Pages : 135 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (64 download)

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Book Synopsis OECD Economic Surveys: Ireland 2011 by : OECD

Download or read book OECD Economic Surveys: Ireland 2011 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2011-10-14 with total page 135 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: OECD's 2011 Economic Survey of Ireland examiens restoring fiscal sustainability, overcoming the banking crises and structural reforms to reduce unemployment and restore competitiveness.

Central Bank Policy

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Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1789737516
Total Pages : 592 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (897 download)

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Book Synopsis Central Bank Policy by : Perry Warjiyo

Download or read book Central Bank Policy written by Perry Warjiyo and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2019-07-25 with total page 592 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Central Bank Policy: Theory and Practice analyses various policies, theories and practices adopted by central banks, as well as the institutional arrangements underlying the principles of good governance in policy-making. It is the first book to comprehensively discuss the latest theories and practices of central bank policy.

Risk Topography

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022609264X
Total Pages : 286 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Topography by : Markus Brunnermeier

Download or read book Risk Topography written by Markus Brunnermeier and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2014-10-17 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent financial crisis and the difficulty of using mainstream macroeconomic models to accurately monitor and assess systemic risk have stimulated new analyses of how we measure economic activity and the development of more sophisticated models in which the financial sector plays a greater role. Markus Brunnermeier and Arvind Krishnamurthy have assembled contributions from leading academic researchers, central bankers, and other financial-market experts to explore the possibilities for advancing macroeconomic modeling in order to achieve more accurate economic measurement. Essays in this volume focus on the development of models capable of highlighting the vulnerabilities that leave the economy susceptible to adverse feedback loops and liquidity spirals. While these types of vulnerabilities have often been identified, they have not been consistently measured. In a financial world of increasing complexity and uncertainty, this volume is an invaluable resource for policymakers working to improve current measurement systems and for academics concerned with conceptualizing effective measurement.

Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475548834
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries by : Ms.Era Dabla-Norris

Download or read book Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries written by Ms.Era Dabla-Norris and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-11-02 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a new index which provides early warning signals of a growth crisis in the event of large external shocks in low-income countries. Multivariate regression analysis and a univariate signaling approach are used to map information from a parsimonious set of underlying policy, structural, and institutional indicators into a composite vulnerability index. The results show that vulnerabilities to a growth crisis in low-income countries declined significantly from their peaks in the early 1990s, but have risen in recent years as fiscal policy buffers were expended in the wake of the global financial crisis.

A Contemporary Concept of Monetary Sovereignty

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Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0199680744
Total Pages : 291 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (996 download)

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Book Synopsis A Contemporary Concept of Monetary Sovereignty by : Claus D. Zimmermann

Download or read book A Contemporary Concept of Monetary Sovereignty written by Claus D. Zimmermann and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2013-11 with total page 291 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International law dictates that states have sovereignty over their own monetary and fiscal affairs. In practice, however globalisation and the powers of organisations like the IMF and EU are thought to have significantly eroded this idea. This book offers a legal analysis of the development of monetary sovereignty and its meaning in today's world.

Handbook of Global Economic Governance

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136582886
Total Pages : 412 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (365 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Global Economic Governance by : Manuela Moschella

Download or read book Handbook of Global Economic Governance written by Manuela Moschella and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-12-17 with total page 412 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the summer of 2007, the world scenario has been dominated by the US sub-prime mortgage crisis and its repercussions on global financial markets and economic growth. As banks around the world wrote down their losses and governments intervened to rescue domestic financial institutions, financial distress severely hit the real economy leading to what has been widely defined as the worst recession since the 1930s. Under these conditions, along with the immediate concern for stemming the effects of the crisis, policy-makers around the world have been debating the long-term measures that have to be adopted in order to reduce the likelihood of future crises and to ensure stable economic growth. Although this debate has not yet produced significant transformations, it indicates a renewed concern about the institutional architecture that is meant to govern the global economic and financial system. This book tackles the issue of what the governance of the global economic and financial system looks like and what the prospects for its reform are. Specifically, the book will address the following three main themes: Governance: What is governance in the international economic system? What forms does it take? How did it come about? How can we study it?; Functions of governance: What are the functions of global economic governance? Who performs them? What are the rules and mechanisms that make global governance possible? Problems and prospects of governance: What are the problems in global economic governance? Is there a trade-off between legitimacy and efficiency? What are the prospects for reform of global economic governance in the aftermath of the global financial crisis? This book will: _ Provide a thorough analysis of the issues at stake in designing international rules and institutions able to govern the global economy; _ Illustrate and analyze virtually all the main institutions, rules, and arrangements that make up global economic governance, inscribing them within the function these institutions, rules, and arrangements are meant to perform; _ Discuss the problems that affect today’s global economic governance and assess alternative proposals to reform the international financial architecture.

Macroprudential Banking Supervision & Monetary Policy

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319941569
Total Pages : 413 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroprudential Banking Supervision & Monetary Policy by : Luca Amorello

Download or read book Macroprudential Banking Supervision & Monetary Policy written by Luca Amorello and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-08-27 with total page 413 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The European experience suggests that the efforts made to achieve an efficient trade-off between monetary policy and prudential supervision ultimately failed. The severity of the global crisis have pushed central banks to explore innovative tools—within or beyond their statutory constraints—capable of restoring the smooth functioning of the financial cycle, including setting macroprudential policy instruments in the regulatory toolkit. But macroprudential and monetary policies, by sharing multiple transmission channels, may interact—and conflict—with each other. Such conflicts may represent not only an economic challenge in the pursuit of price and financial stability, but also a legal uncertainty characterizing the regulatory developments of the EU macroprudential and monetary frameworks. In analyzing the “legal interaction” between the two frameworks in the EU, this book seeks to provide evidence of the inconsistencies associated with the structural separation of macroprudential and monetary frameworks, shedding light upon the legal instruments that could reconcile any potential policy inconsistency.

Machine Learning and Causality: The Impact of Financial Crises on Growth

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513519514
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Machine Learning and Causality: The Impact of Financial Crises on Growth by : Mr.Andrew J Tiffin

Download or read book Machine Learning and Causality: The Impact of Financial Crises on Growth written by Mr.Andrew J Tiffin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-11-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Machine learning tools are well known for their success in prediction. But prediction is not causation, and causal discovery is at the core of most questions concerning economic policy. Recently, however, the literature has focused more on issues of causality. This paper gently introduces some leading work in this area, using a concrete example—assessing the impact of a hypothetical banking crisis on a country’s growth. By enabling consideration of a rich set of potential nonlinearities, and by allowing individually-tailored policy assessments, machine learning can provide an invaluable complement to the skill set of economists within the Fund and beyond.