The 'Fiscal Presource Curse': Giant Discoveries and Debt Sustainability

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1616358998
Total Pages : 77 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (163 download)

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Book Synopsis The 'Fiscal Presource Curse': Giant Discoveries and Debt Sustainability by : Matteo Ruzzante

Download or read book The 'Fiscal Presource Curse': Giant Discoveries and Debt Sustainability written by Matteo Ruzzante and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-01-21 with total page 77 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the dynamic impact of natural resource discoveries on government debt sustainability. We use a 'natural experiment' framework in which the timing of discoveries is treated as an exogenous source of within-country variation. We combine data on government debt, fiscal stress and debt distress episodes on a large panel of countries over 1970-2012, with a global repository of giant oil, gas, and mineral discoveries. We find strong and robust evidence of a 'fiscal presource curse', i.e., natural resources can jeopardize fiscal sustainability even before 'the first drop of oil is pumped'. Specifically, we find that giant discoveries, mostly of oil and gas, lead to permanently higher government debt and, eventually, debt distress episodes, specially in countries with weaker political institutions and governance. This evidence suggest that the curse can be mitigated and even prevented by pursuing prudent fiscal policies and borrowing strategies, strengthening fiscal governance, and implementing transparent and robust fiscal frameworks for resource management.

Africa's Resource Future

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Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464817448
Total Pages : 257 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Africa's Resource Future by : James Cust

Download or read book Africa's Resource Future written by James Cust and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2023-04-20 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines the role for natural resource wealth in driving Africa’s economic transformation and the implications of the low-carbon transition for resource-rich economies. Resource wealth remains central to most Sub-Saharan African economies, and significant untapped potential is in the ground. Subsoil assets—such as metals, minerals, oil, and gas—are key sources of government revenues, export earnings, and development potential in most countries in the Africa region. Despite large reserves, success in converting subsoil wealth into aboveground sustainable prosperity has been limited. Since the decline in commodity prices in 2014, resource-rich Africa has grown more slowly than the region’s average growth rate. Finding ways to more effectively harness natural resource wealth to drive economic transformation will be central to Africa’s economic future. As the world moves away from fossil fuels in alignment with commitments under the Paris Agreement, Africa’s resource-rich countries face new risks and opportunities. Recent estimates suggest that 80 percent of the world’s proven fossil fuel reserves must remain underground to meet the Paris targets, and much of these stranded reserves may be in Africa. This issue of stranded assets and, relatedly, “stranded nations,†? has major implications for the many African economies that are dependent on petroleum extraction and export. On the other hand, the energy transition will increase demand for raw material inputs involved in clean energy technologies. The transition from fossil fuels to clean energy may create demand by 2050 for 3 billion tons of minerals and metals that are needed to deploy solar, wind, and geothermal energy. How can African economies tap into these opportunities while managing the downside risk to their fossil fuel wealth? Africa’s Resource Future explores these themes and offers policy makers insights to help them navigate the coming years of uncertainty.

Les ressources naturelles, un enjeu clé pour l'avenir de I'Afrique

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Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464820309
Total Pages : 292 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Les ressources naturelles, un enjeu clé pour l'avenir de I'Afrique by : James Cust

Download or read book Les ressources naturelles, un enjeu clé pour l'avenir de I'Afrique written by James Cust and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2023-12-06 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ce livre se penche sur le rôle des richesses en ressources naturelles dans la transformation économique de l’Afrique et évoque les enjeux de la transition sobre en carbone pour les économies riches en ressources. La richesse en ressources constitue en effet un facteur clé dans la majeure partie des économies subsahariennes, dont le sol recèle un important potentiel inexploité. Les gisements souterrains de métaux, minerais, pétrole et gaz représentent des sources prépondérantes de recettes publiques et de revenus d’exportation, tout en offrant des possibilités de développement dans la plupart des pays du continent. En dépit de réserves conséquentes, la conversion de la richesse du sous-sol en prospérité durable n’a pas été pas couronnée de succès. Depuis la baisse du prix des matières premières constaté en 2014, la croissance des pays d’Afrique riches en ressources est plus lente que le taux de croissance moyen observé dans la région. Il est donc vital pour son avenir économique que le continent africain puisse tirer profit de ses richesses en ressources naturelles et ainsi favoriser sa transformation économique. Alors que le monde s’éloigne des combustibles fossiles conformément aux engagements pris dans le cadre de l’Accord de Paris, les pays africains riches en ressources voient surgir de nouveaux risques et de nouvelles opportunités. Des estimations récentes suggèrent que 80 % des réserves de combustibles fossiles attestées dans le monde doivent rester enfouies pour atteindre les objectifs de Paris; or, une grande partie de ces réserves «échouées» se situent en Afrique. Pour les nombreuses économies africaines qui dépendent de l’extraction et de l’exportation du pétrole, cette problématique des actifs «échoués», et par là -même, de «nations échouées», a des implications considérables. Mais cette transition énergétique va également avoir pour effet d’augmenter la demande en intrants de matières premières indispensables aux technologies des énergies vertes. La transition entre combustibles fossiles et énergies vertes devrait ainsi générer une demande de 3milliards de tonnes de minerais et de métaux nécessaires au déploiement des technologies à énergie solaire, éolienne et géothermique. Une question se pose alors: comment les économies africaines peuvent-elles pleinement saisir ces opportunités tout en gérant les risques inhérents aux combustibles fossiles, dans un contexte où leur demande est vouée à décroître? Les ressources naturelles, un enjeu clé pour l’avenir de l’Afrique aborde ces thèmes et offre aux décideurs politiques des pistes pour gérer les écueils de l’incertitude au cours des années à venir.

Routledge Handbook of Natural Resource Governance in Africa

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Author :
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1003845339
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Routledge Handbook of Natural Resource Governance in Africa by : Hany Besada

Download or read book Routledge Handbook of Natural Resource Governance in Africa written by Hany Besada and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2024-03-13 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Routledge Handbook of Natural Resource Governance in Africa provides a comprehensive analysis of African natural resource governance, stretching across the continent, and encompassing water, land, extractive resources, and mining. Africa’s natural resources are not only crucial for the continent from an economic, environmental, and political perspective, but they are also of significant geopolitical importance, with direct implication for meeting the global challenges outlined in the Sustainable Development Goals. Whether an abundance of natural resources proves to be a curse or a blessing depends on the nature, extent, and outcome of the effort and experience of an individual country in governing and managing such assets. It is with this in mind that this ground-breaking handbook brings together experts from across the field of natural resource development to reflect on the varied regime types and paradigms within the continent’s natural resource sectors, the specific challenges they face, and their role within global value chains. The book first considers governance for sustainable development and discourses of land and development financing, before going on to investigate the regulatory and policy impacts, and socioeconomic implications of natural resource management. Finally, the Handbook situates the African continent within the emerging global energy transition; examining trends in South-South cooperation, and new frontiers for the harnessing of critical tools in a sustainable future for natural resource governance and management. Overall, the Handbook’s in-depth analysis provides a unique blend of realism and optimism, highlighting the importance of building a new sustainable African resource narrative for shared prosperity. The handbook will be an essential read for researchers and policy makers with an interest in sustainable development and natural resource governance in Africa.

Is Education Neglected in Natural Resources-Rich Countries? An Intergenerational Approach in Africa

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 75 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Is Education Neglected in Natural Resources-Rich Countries? An Intergenerational Approach in Africa by : Jean-Marc B. Atsebi

Download or read book Is Education Neglected in Natural Resources-Rich Countries? An Intergenerational Approach in Africa written by Jean-Marc B. Atsebi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-07-29 with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The literature on the effects of natural resources on education is mixed and inconclusive. In this paper, we adopt an innovative approach by exploring the effects of mineral discoveries and productions on intergenerational educational mobility (IM), linking parents to the children education levels for more than 14 million individuals across 28 African countries and 2,890 districts. We find that mineral discoveries and productions positively affect educational IM for primary education in Africa for individuals exposed to the mineral sites and living in districts with discoveries. Specifically, the probability of upward primary IM increases by 2.7 percentage points (pp.) following mineral discoveries and 6.7 pp. following mineral productions. Downward primary IM decreases by 1.2 pp. following both mineral discoveries and productions. These positive effects are increasing for individuals born later after discoveries and productions, for males, and individuals living in the urban area. However, no significant effects are found for secondary and tertiary educational IM. Finally, we explore the income and returns to education channels through which mineral discoveries and productions affect educational IM.

Government Financial Assets and Debt Sustainability

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484311051
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Government Financial Assets and Debt Sustainability by : Ms.Camila Henao Arbelaez

Download or read book Government Financial Assets and Debt Sustainability written by Ms.Camila Henao Arbelaez and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-07-25 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Do government financial assets help improve public debt sustainability? To answer this question, we assemble a comprehensive dataset on government assets using multiple sources and covering 110 advanced and emerging market economies since the late 1980s. We then use this rich database to estimate the impact of assets on two key dimensions of debt sustainability: borrowing costs and the probability of debt distress. Government financial assets significantly reduce sovereign spreads and the probability of debt crises in emerging economies but not in advanced economies, and the effect varies with asset characteristics, notably liquidity. Government finacial assets also help discriminate countries across the distribution of sovereign spreads, thus signaling information about emerging economies’ creditworthiness.

Senegal

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484396294
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Senegal by : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Download or read book Senegal written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-01-28 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper estimates the macroeconomic impact of these discoveries and discusses potential fiscal frameworks for managing related revenues. Pre-production investment (2019–2021) will lead to an increase in the current account deficit; however, this will be followed by a boost to exports as hydrocarbon production comes online (2022 onward). Discoveries are important but will not lead to a major transformation of the economy, with hydrocarbons expected to make up not more than 5 percent of GDP. Fiscal revenues would average about 1.5 percent of GDP over a 25-year period and about 3 percent of GDP when production peaks. Given the relatively small gains in revenue, IMF staff recommends a fiscal framework that allows for an initial drawdown of government resources to finance large up-front investment needs, followed by an appropriate target level of the non-resource primary balance which is to serve as a medium-term fiscal anchor. Issues related to managing the volatility of resource revenues are also discussed.

Finance and Development, March 2014

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475533756
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Finance and Development, March 2014 by : International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Download or read book Finance and Development, March 2014 written by International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-02-28 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finance and Development, March 2014

Natural Resources, Neither Curse nor Destiny

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Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 0821365460
Total Pages : 396 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (213 download)

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Book Synopsis Natural Resources, Neither Curse nor Destiny by : Daniel Lederman

Download or read book Natural Resources, Neither Curse nor Destiny written by Daniel Lederman and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2006-10-23 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Natural Resources: Neither Course nor Destiny' brings together a variety of analytical perspectives, ranging from econometric analyses of economic growth to historical studies of successful development experiences in countries with abundant natural resources. The evidence suggests that natural resources are neither a curse nor destiny. Natural resources can actually spur economic development when combined with the accumulation of knowledge for economic innovation. Furthermore, natural resource abundance need not be the only determinant of the structure of trade in developing countries. In fact, the accumulation of knowledge, infrastructure, and the quality of governance all seem to determine not only what countries produce and export, but also how firms and workers produce any good.

Natural Resources and Violent Conflict

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Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 9780821355039
Total Pages : 432 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (55 download)

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Book Synopsis Natural Resources and Violent Conflict by : Ian Bannon

Download or read book Natural Resources and Violent Conflict written by Ian Bannon and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2003-01-01 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research carried out by the World Bank on the root causes of conflict and civil war finds that a developing country's economic dependence on natural resources or other primary commodities is strongly associated with the risk level for violent conflict. This book brings together a collection of reports and case studies that explore what the international community in particular can do to reduce this risk.; The text explains the links between natural resources and conflict and examines the impact of resource dependence on economic performance, governance, secessionist movements and revel financing. It then explores avenues for international action - from financial and resource reporting procedures and policy recommendations to commodity tracking systems and enforcement instruments, including sanctions, certification requirements, aid conditionality, legislative and judicial instruments.

Does What You Export Matter?

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Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 0821384910
Total Pages : 153 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (213 download)

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Book Synopsis Does What You Export Matter? by : Daniel Lederman

Download or read book Does What You Export Matter? written by Daniel Lederman and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2012-06-18 with total page 153 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Does what economies export matter for development? If so, can industrial policies improve on the export basket generated by the market? This book approaches these questions from a variety of conceptual and policy viewpoints. Reviewing the theoretical arguments in favor of industrial policies, the authors first ask whether existing indicators allow policy makers to identify growth-promoting sectors with confidence. To this end, they assess, and ultimately cast doubt upon, the reliability of many popular indicators advocated by proponents of industrial policy. Second, and central to their critique, the authors document extraordinary differences in the performance of countries exporting seemingly identical products, be they natural resources or 'high-tech' goods. Further, they argue that globalization has so fragmented the production process that even talking about exported goods as opposed to tasks may be misleading. Reviewing evidence from history and from around the world, the authors conclude that policy makers should focus less on what is produced, and more on how it is produced. They analyze alternative approaches to picking winners but conclude by favoring 'horizontal-ish' policies--for instance, those that build human capital or foment innovation in existing and future products—that only incidentally favor some sectors over others.

Transnational Law and State Transformation

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0429664133
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (296 download)

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Book Synopsis Transnational Law and State Transformation by : Jennifer Lander

Download or read book Transnational Law and State Transformation written by Jennifer Lander and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-11-07 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contributes new theoretical insight and in-depth empirical analysis about the relationship between transnational legality, state change and the globalisation of markets. The role of transnational economic law in influencing and reorganising national systems of governance evidences the constitutional dimensions of global capitalism: the power to institute new rules and limits for national states. This form of new constitutionalism does not undermine the state but transforms it by eroding national capacities and implanting global alternatives. While leading scholars in the field have emphasised the much-needed value of case studies, there are no studies available which consider the cumulative impact of multiple axes of transnational legal ordering on the national state or its constitution. This monograph addresses this empirical gap, whilst expanding the theoretical scope of the field. Mongolia’s recent transformation as a mineral-exporting country provides a rare opportunity to witness economic and legal globalisation in process. Based on careful empirical analysis of national law and policy-making, the book traces the way distinctive processes of transnational legal ordering have reorganised and reframed the governance of Mongolia’s mining sector, specifically by redistributing state power in relation to the market, sub-national administrations and civil society. The book investigates the role of international financial institutions, multinational corporations and non-governmental organisations in normative transmission, as well as the critical role of national actors in embedding transnational investment norms within the domestic legal and policy environment. As the book demonstrates, however, the constitutional ramifications of transnational legal ordering extend beyond the mining regime itself into more fundamental questions of the trajectory of state transformation, institutionally and ideologically. The book will be of interest to scholars of international law, global governance and the political economy of development.

World Development Report 2009

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 082137608X
Total Pages : 410 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (213 download)

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Book Synopsis World Development Report 2009 by : World Bank

Download or read book World Development Report 2009 written by World Bank and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2008-11-04 with total page 410 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rising densities of human settlements, migration and transport to reduce distances to market, and specialization and trade facilitated by fewer international divisions are central to economic development. The transformations along these three dimensions density, distance, and division are most noticeable in North America, Western Europe, and Japan, but countries in Asia and Eastern Europe are changing in ways similar in scope and speed. 'World Development Report 2009: Reshaping Economic Geography' concludes that these spatial transformations are essential, and should be encouraged. The conclusion is not without controversy. Slum-dwellers now number a billion, but the rush to cities continues. Globalization is believed to benefit many, but not the billion people living in lagging areas of developing nations. High poverty and mortality persist among the world's 'bottom billion', while others grow wealthier and live longer lives. Concern for these three billion often comes with the prescription that growth must be made spatially balanced. The WDR has a different message: economic growth is seldom balanced, and efforts to spread it out prematurely will jeopardize progress. The Report: documents how production becomes more concentrated spatially as economies grow. proposes economic integration as the principle for promoting successful spatial transformations. revisits the debates on urbanization, territorial development, and regional integration and shows how today's developers can reshape economic geography.

Covering Oil

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Author :
Publisher : Lifting the Resource Curse
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Covering Oil by : Svetlana Tsalik

Download or read book Covering Oil written by Svetlana Tsalik and published by Lifting the Resource Curse. This book was released on 2005 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Revenue Watch program and the Initiative for Policy Dialogue promote transparency and civic participation in natural resource policymaking. Journalists know how hard it is to report on government management of oil, gas, and other natural resource revenues. Governments and industry are seldom forthcoming. And reporters themselves usually lack the background in economics, engineering, geology, and corporate finance helpful to understanding the energy industry and the effects of resource wealth. This book attempts to redress the balance with practical information in easy to understand language. Chapters include Understanding the Resource Curse, A Primer on Oil, Oil Companies and the International Oil Market, the ABCs of Petroleum Contracts, and the Environmental, Social, and Human Rights Impacts of Oil Development. Tip sheets inform reporters about stories to pursue and questions to ask.

Los Angeles Magazine

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Los Angeles Magazine by :

Download or read book Los Angeles Magazine written by and published by . This book was released on 2003-11 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Los Angeles magazine is a regional magazine of national stature. Our combination of award-winning feature writing, investigative reporting, service journalism, and design covers the people, lifestyle, culture, entertainment, fashion, art and architecture, and news that define Southern California. Started in the spring of 1961, Los Angeles magazine has been addressing the needs and interests of our region for 48 years. The magazine continues to be the definitive resource for an affluent population that is intensely interested in a lifestyle that is uniquely Southern Californian.

The Oxford Handbook of Nigerian History

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Author :
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190050098
Total Pages : 793 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Nigerian History by : Toyin Falola

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Nigerian History written by Toyin Falola and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2022 with total page 793 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book reads the narrative of the national politics alongside deeper histories of political and social organization, as well as in relation to competing influences on modern identity formation and inter-group relationships, such as ethnic and religious communities, economic partnerships, and immigrant and diasporic cultures

F & S Index United States Annual

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 984 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis F & S Index United States Annual by :

Download or read book F & S Index United States Annual written by and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 984 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: