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The Dynamics Of Real Interest Rates Real Exchange Rates And The Balance Of Payments In China
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Book Synopsis The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China by : Mr.Zhongxia Jin
Download or read book The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China written by Mr.Zhongxia Jin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-04-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on China's experience between 1980 and 2002, a cointegrated vector autoregression model was established to explore the relationships among real interest rates, real exchange rates and balance of payments in China. Taking into account institutional changes, the empirical study shows that significant and usually non-monotonic interactions exist between these three variables. The paper discusses theoretical and policy implications of the empirical result.
Book Synopsis Debating China's Exchange Rate Policy by : Morris Goldstein
Download or read book Debating China's Exchange Rate Policy written by Morris Goldstein and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 2008 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates, and Net Foreign Assets in the Adjustment Process by : Mr.Thomas Helbling
Download or read book Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates, and Net Foreign Assets in the Adjustment Process written by Mr.Thomas Helbling and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-12-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the recent behavior of real exchange rates, the trade balance and the net foreign asset position of the United States in an intertemporal optimizing model of the world economy that incorporates heterogeneity across countries and imperfect international capital and good markets. While the model successfully tracks the dynamics of trade balances and net foreign assets it generates too much consumption smoothing and excessively volatile relative prices. Resolving these inadequacies simultaneously is difficult as the elasticity of substitution between tradables and nontradables affects in opposite ways the degree of consumption smoothing and the volatility of relative prices.
Book Synopsis The Future of China's Exchange Rate Policy by : Morris Goldstein
Download or read book The Future of China's Exchange Rate Policy written by Morris Goldstein and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 2009 with total page 125 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Real Exchange Rate and Employment in China by : Ms.Ruo Chen
Download or read book The Real Exchange Rate and Employment in China written by Ms.Ruo Chen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-06-01 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the impact of real exchange rate fluctuations on sectoral and regional employment in China from 1980 to 2008. In contrast to theoretical predictions, employment in both the tradable and non-tradable sectors contracts following a real appreciation. Our results are robust across different sub-samples, levels of sectoral disaggregation, and are more pronounced for regions with higher export exposure. We attribute our findings to the importance of services as intermediate input in exportable production. We test this channel of exchange rate transmission using regional input-output tables linked with employment data at the region-sector level. The results of this paper have important implications for China's labor market adjustment should the Chinese RMB strengthen in the future. To mitigate the costs of short-run labor market adjustment, appropriate demand management and structural reforms in the non-traded sectors should play an important role.
Book Synopsis Current Account Rebalancing and Real Exchange Rate Adjustment Between the U.S. and Emerging Asia by : Ms.Isabelle Mejean
Download or read book Current Account Rebalancing and Real Exchange Rate Adjustment Between the U.S. and Emerging Asia written by Ms.Isabelle Mejean and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-03-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A reduction in the U.S. current account deficit vis-à-vis emerging Asia involves a shift in demand from U.S. to emerging Asia tradable goods and a change in international relative prices. This paper quantifies the required adjustment in the terms of trade and real exchange rates in a three-country open economy model of the U.S., China, and other emerging Asia. We compare scenarios where both Chinese and other emerging Asian export prices change by the same proportion to the case where export prices remain constant in one country and increase in the other. Our results are robust to different assumptions about elasticities of substitution and to introducing a high degree of vertical fragmentation in production in the model.
Book Synopsis China's Growing Role in World Trade by : Robert C. Feenstra
Download or read book China's Growing Role in World Trade written by Robert C. Feenstra and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2010-03-10 with total page 603 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In less than three decades, China has grown from playing a negligible role in international trade to being one of the world's largest exporters, a substantial importer of raw materials, intermediate outputs, and other goods, and both a recipient and source of foreign investment. Not surprisingly, China's economic dynamism has generated considerable attention and concern in the United States and beyond. While some analysts have warned of the potential pitfalls of China's rise—the loss of jobs, for example—others have highlighted the benefits of new market and investment opportunities for US firms. Bringing together an expert group of contributors, China's Growing Role in World Trade undertakes an empirical investigation of the effects of China's new status. The essays collected here provide detailed analyses of the microstructure of trade, the macroeconomic implications, sector-level issues, and foreign direct investment. This volume's careful examination of micro data in light of established economic theories clarifies a number of misconceptions, disproves some conventional wisdom, and documents data patterns that enhance our understanding of China's trade and what it may mean to the rest of the world.
Book Synopsis The China Development Model by : Dominique de Rambures
Download or read book The China Development Model written by Dominique de Rambures and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-12-03 with total page 149 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the last thirty years, China has been reforming its economy at breakneck speed. However a surge in nationalism is threatening China's relations with its neighbours and its rise to regional leadership. This book addresses a wide range of factors influencing the development of China's model and its influence on the rest of the world.
Book Synopsis The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China, 1980-2002 by : Zhongxia Jin
Download or read book The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China, 1980-2002 written by Zhongxia Jin and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis China’s Evolving Exchange Rate Regime by : Mr.Sonali Das
Download or read book China’s Evolving Exchange Rate Regime written by Mr.Sonali Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-03-07 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China’s exchange rate regime has undergone gradual reform since the move away from a fixed exchange rate in 2005. The renminbi has become more flexible over time but is still carefully managed, and depth and liquidity in the onshore FX market is relatively low compared to other countries with de jure floating currencies. Allowing a greater role for market forces within the existing regime, and greater two-way flexibility of the exchange rate, are important steps to build on the progress already made. This should be complemented by further steps to develop the FX market, improve FX risk management, and modernize the monetary policy framework.
Book Synopsis The Rise of the Chinese Consumer by : Jonathan Garner
Download or read book The Rise of the Chinese Consumer written by Jonathan Garner and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-11-01 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book Jonathan Garner and his colleagues at Credit Suisse First Boston, argue that by 2014 the Chinese consumer will likely have displaced the US consumer as the engine of growth in the global economy. Government policy is rebalancing demand within the Chinese economy from investment spending to consumption spending. Strong trend economic growth over the cycle, a rise in the consumption to GDP ratio and steady exchange rate appreciation will likely generate an 18% compound annual growth rate in the US dollar value of Chinese consumption spending over the next ten years and lead to a quadrupling in China's share of global consumption spending. In order to identify the companies and brands which are best placed to succeed in China's rapidly developing mass consumer market, Garner and his colleagues discuss the results of the first comprehensive survey of consumer attitudes and preferences to have been conducted in China, covering 2,700 persons in eight major Chinese cities. This survey provides valuable data for the business executive or academic seeking detailed local information on sectors including automobiles, beverages, electronic goods, financial services, food producers, food retail, food services, household & personal care, luxury goods, telecommunication equipment, tobacco, and transport and leisure travel. "China is likely to be the single most important influence on the fortunes of investors and corporates alike over the next five years, and yet little is known of what motivates and drives the Chinese consumer. By canvassing the people that matter and reflect the changing face of this massive country, Jonathan Garner has provided investors with a unique insight." Philip Ehrmann, Head of Pacific & Emerging Markets, Gartmore Investment Management Plc.
Book Synopsis Estimating China's "Equilibrium" Real Exchange Rate by : Steven Vincent Dunaway
Download or read book Estimating China's "Equilibrium" Real Exchange Rate written by Steven Vincent Dunaway and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2005-10-01 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The number of studies attempting to estimate the "equilibrium" real value of China's currency has proliferated in recent years as the country's presence in world markets has grown. These studies have sought to establish whether or not a significant part of China's competitive prowess can be attributed to the foreign exchange value of the renminbi. Unfortunately, no consensus has emerged because the studies yield a very wide range of estimates. The paper looks at a sample of these studies, with estimates of undervaluation ranging from zero to nearly 50 percent. It attributes the wide variation in these estimates to the influence of such factors as the different methodologies used, explanatory variables included, subjective judgments of the various researchers in deriving their results, and instability in underlying economic relationships, especially in a rapidly developing economy like China.
Book Synopsis How Robust are Estimates of Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates by : Mr.Steven Vincent Dunaway
Download or read book How Robust are Estimates of Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates written by Mr.Steven Vincent Dunaway and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2006-10-01 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Increased attention is being paid to assessments of the actual values of countries' real exchange rates relative to their "equilibrium" values as suggested by "fundamental" determining factors. This paper assesses the robustness of alternative approaches and models commonly used to derive equilibrium real exchange rate estimates. Using China's currency to illustrate this analysis, the variance in estimates raises serious questions regarding how robust the results are. The basic conclusion from the tests used here is that, at least for China, small changes in model specifications, explanatory variable definitions, and time periods used in estimation can lead to very substantial differences in equilibrium real exchange rate estimates. Thus, such estimates should be treated with great caution.
Book Synopsis Reconstructing China’s Participation in the Global Order by : SHAO Binhong
Download or read book Reconstructing China’s Participation in the Global Order written by SHAO Binhong and published by BRILL. This book was released on 2018-07-17 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chinese scholars offer perspectives on global governance, China's participation in the global order and China's new foreign economic relations
Book Synopsis Capital Inflows and the Real Exchange Rate by : Pierre-Richard Agénor
Download or read book Capital Inflows and the Real Exchange Rate written by Pierre-Richard Agénor and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-12 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the links between capital inflows and the real exchange rate under pegged exchange rates. The analytical framework is described, and a near-VAR model linking capital inflows, interest rate differentials, government spending, money base velocity, and the temporary component of the real exchange rate (TCRER) is estimated for Korea, Mexico, the Philippines, and Thailand. TCRER movements are associated only weakly with shocks to capital flows. Negative shocks to U.S. interest rates lead to capital inflows in Asia and a TCRER appreciation in the Philippines and Thailand. Positive shocks to government spending have a small but statistically significant effect on the TCRER for Korea.
Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries by : Mr. Marco Airaudo
Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries written by Mr. Marco Airaudo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-08 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.
Book Synopsis Chinese Macroeconomy by : Ninghua Sun
Download or read book Chinese Macroeconomy written by Ninghua Sun and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2022-10-17 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book deploys quantitative methods to focus on the operation of the Chinese economy as a whole since the reforms in 1978, by combining a range of mathematical, algorithmic and computational methods to analyze rich empirical data, seeking to demonstrate the long-term economic trends and dynamics of economic growth and fluctuations in China. To answer the core question of how the Chinese economy became what it is, the author draws on dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) modeling and calibration, while also exploring microfoundations to reveal optimization behavior within a context of economic change at the macrolevel. The book examines internal shocks in the Chinese economic system, including institutional changes, credit policy and monetary policy, which are all closely associated with issues of enhancing the coordination and sustainability of development and the effectiveness and efficiency of policy reforms. It also elaborates on China’s close interactions with the global economy, shedding light on the dynamic effects of energy prices, the Chinese Yuan exchange rate and foreign direct investment. This book is an essential reference for researchers and students interested in the Chinese economy, methods of microeconomic dynamics and macroeconomic theory and policy.
