The Dollar As A Speculative Bubble

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Early Speculative Bubbles and Increases in the Supply of Money

Author :
Publisher : Ludwig von Mises Institute
ISBN 13 : 1610164555
Total Pages : 147 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis Early Speculative Bubbles and Increases in the Supply of Money by :

Download or read book Early Speculative Bubbles and Increases in the Supply of Money written by and published by Ludwig von Mises Institute. This book was released on 2009-03-16 with total page 147 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Housing Bubble was hardly the first in human history. What's eluded historians is the same issue that eludes commentators today: the underlying cause of bubbles. This book is the first (and only) book to solve the mystery of the most famous bubble in world history: Tulipmania in 17th century Netherlands. It Is a legendary event but explanations have been lacking. People blame irrational exuberance, free markets, and an unleashed aristocracy. Douglas French takes a different route: he follows the money to prove that the bubble resulted from a government intervention that dramatically exploded the money supply and fueled the tulip-price bubble – not altogether different from modern bubbles. This book was French’s Master’s thesis written under the direction of Murray Rothbard and examining three of the most famous speculative bubble episodes in history through the lens of Austrian Business Cycle Theory. Although each of these episodes is well documented, this book examines the monetary interventions that engendered each of these events showing that not only the Mississippi Bubble and the South Sea Bubble were caused by government meddling, but Tulipmania was as well. Tulipmania was unique in that it was the sound money policy of the Dutch combined with free coinage laws that led to an acute increase in the supply of money and fostered an atmosphere that was ripe for speculation and malinvestment, manifesting itself in the intense trading of tulip bulbs. The author examines not only the Mississippi Bubble but also the life and monetary theories of its architect, John Law. Professor Joe Salerno calls Law the world’s first macroeconomist who implemented a Keynesian monetary system in France nearly two hundred years before Keynes was born. At the same time across the English Channel, a nearly bankrupt British government looked on with envy at Law’s system, believing that he was working a financial miracle. It was anything but this and investors in both countries were devastated. Although these episodes occurred centuries ago, readers will find the events eerily similar to today’s bubbles and busts: low interest rates, easy credit terms, widespread public participation, bankrupt governments, price inflation, frantic attempts by government to keep the booms going, and government bailouts of companies after the crash. When will we learn? We first have to get cause and effect in history straight. This book is an excellent contribution to that effort.

The Dot-com Bubble, the Bush Deficits, and the U.S. Current Account

Author : Aart Kraay
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Dot-com Bubble, the Bush Deficits, and the U.S. Current Account by : Aart Kraay

Download or read book The Dot-com Bubble, the Bush Deficits, and the U.S. Current Account written by Aart Kraay and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2005 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors challenge this view here and develop two alternative interpretations. Both are based on the notion that a bubble (the "dot-com" bubble) has been driving the stock market, but differ in their assumptions about the interactions between this bubble and fiscal policy (the "Bush" deficits). The "benevolent" view holds that a change in investor sentiment led to the collapse of the dot-com bubble and the Bush deficits were a welfare-improving policy response to this event. The "cynical" view holds instead that the Bush deficits led to the collapse of the dot-com bubble as the new administration tried to appropriate rents from foreign investors. The authors discuss the implications of each of these views for the future evolution of the U.S. economy and, in particular, its net foreign asset position."

America's Bubble Economy

Author : David Wiedemer
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118018117
Total Pages : 257 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis America's Bubble Economy by : David Wiedemer

Download or read book America's Bubble Economy written by David Wiedemer and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-11-04 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: America’s Bubble Economy is the first book to focus on several simultaneous financial bubbles that are interacting to temporarily boost—and ultimately threaten—the United States and world economies. Filled with expert analysis and straight talk, this book will show you how to turn the coming economic transformation into a once-in-a-lifetime wealth-building opportunity.

China

Author : Thomas Orlik
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0190877405
Total Pages : 241 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis China by : Thomas Orlik

Download or read book China written by Thomas Orlik and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2020 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A provocative perspective on the fragile fundamentals, and forces for resilience, in the Chinese economy, and a forecast for the future on alternate scenarios of collapse and ascendance.

The Money Bubble

Author : James Turk
Publisher : Wavecloud Corporation
ISBN 13 : 9781622170340
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (73 download)

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Book Synopsis The Money Bubble by : James Turk

Download or read book The Money Bubble written by James Turk and published by Wavecloud Corporation. This book was released on 2013-12 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A caution by the authors of The coming collapse of the dollar. They contend that world governments have continued to accumlate even more debt, inflating even bigger financial bubbles, and that the next financial crisis will be even stronger than the previous one. They offer advice to readers to protect their savings and make money during this transition time.

Speculative Bubbles, Speculative Attacks, and Policy Switching

Author : Robert P. Flood
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262061698
Total Pages : 528 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (616 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Bubbles, Speculative Attacks, and Policy Switching by : Robert P. Flood

Download or read book Speculative Bubbles, Speculative Attacks, and Policy Switching written by Robert P. Flood and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1994 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The papers in this book are grouped into three sections: the first on price bubbles is primarily financial; the second on speculative attacks (on exchange rate regimes) is international in scope; and the third, on policy switching, is concerned with monetary policy.

False Profits

Author : Dean Baker
Publisher : Berrett-Koehler Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1609944771
Total Pages : 185 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (99 download)

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Book Synopsis False Profits by : Dean Baker

Download or read book False Profits written by Dean Baker and published by Berrett-Koehler Publishers. This book was released on 2011-01-15 with total page 185 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dean Baker, codirector of the Center for Economic and Policy Research recounts the strategies used by the country’s top economic policymakers to conceal their failure to recognize the housing bubble or take steps to rein it in before it grew to unprecedented levels, resulting in the loss of millions of jobs, homes, and the life savings of tens of millions of people. He quashes dire warnings of looming rampant inflation and spiraling debt with solid historic evidence to the contrary—evidence that supports more stimulus, not less. With a dose of optimism, Baker outlines a thoughtful progressive program for rebuilding the economy and reshaping the financial system, including new financial transaction taxes that will reduce or eliminate economic waste while providing stimulus and incentives where and when they are most needed.

The Dollar Crisis

Author : Richard Duncan
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 111817707X
Total Pages : 338 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (181 download)

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Book Synopsis The Dollar Crisis by : Richard Duncan

Download or read book The Dollar Crisis written by Richard Duncan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-10-31 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this updated, second edition of the highly acclaimed international best seller, The Dollar Crisis: Causes, Consequences, Cures, Richard Duncan describes the flaws in the international monetary system that have destabilized the global economy and that may soon culminate in a deflation-induced worldwide economic slump. The Dollar Crisis is divided into five parts: Part One describes how the US trade deficits, which now exceed US$1 million a minute, have destabilized the global economy by creating a worldwide credit bubble. Part Two explains why these giant deficits cannot persist and why a US recession and a collapse in the value of the Dollar are unavoidable. Part Three analyzes the extraordinarily harmful impact that the US recession and the collapse of the Dollar will have on the rest of the world. Part Four offers original recommendations that, if implemented, would help mitigate the damage of the coming worldwide downturn and put in place the foundations for balanced and sustainable economic growth in the decades ahead. Part Five, which has been newly added to the second edition, describes the extraordinary evolution of this crisis since the first edition was completed in September 2002. It also considers how the Dollar Crisis is likely to unfold over the years immediately ahead, the likely policy response to the crisis, and why that response cannot succeed. The Dollar Standard is inherently flawed and increasingly unstable. Its collapse will be the most important economic event of the 21st Century.

Crash Proof 2.0

Author : Peter D. Schiff
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118281683
Total Pages : 386 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (182 download)

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Book Synopsis Crash Proof 2.0 by : Peter D. Schiff

Download or read book Crash Proof 2.0 written by Peter D. Schiff and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-11-08 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A fully updated follow-up to Peter Schiff's bestselling financial survival guide-Crash Proof, which described the economy as a house of cards on the verge of collapse, with over 80 pages of new material The economic and monetary disaster which seasoned prognosticator Peter Schiff predicted is no longer hypothetical-it is here today. And nobody understands what to do in this situation better than the man who saw it coming. For more than a decade, Schiff has not only observed the economy, but also helped his clients restructure their portfolios to reflect his outlook. What he sees today is a nation facing an economic storm brought on by growing federal, personal, and corporate debt; too little savings; and a declining dollar. Crash Proof 2.0 picks up right where the first edition-a bestselling book that predicted the current market mayhem-left off. This timely guide takes into account the dramatic economic shifts that are reshaping the world and provides you with the insights and information to navigate the dangerous terrain. Throughout the book, Schiff explains the factors that will affect your future financial stability and offers a specific three step plan to battle the current economic downturn. Discusses the measures you can take to protect yourself-as well as profit-during these difficult times Offers an insightful examination of the structural weaknesses underlying the economic meltdown Outlines a plan that will allow you to preserve wealth and protect the purchasing power of your savings Filled with in-depth insights and expert advice, Crash Proof 2.0 will help you survive and thrive during the coming years of economic uncertainty.

Plunder and Blunder

Author : Dean Baker
Publisher : Berrett-Koehler Publishers
ISBN 13 : 160994478X
Total Pages : 183 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (99 download)

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Book Synopsis Plunder and Blunder by : Dean Baker

Download or read book Plunder and Blunder written by Dean Baker and published by Berrett-Koehler Publishers. This book was released on 2009-01-20 with total page 183 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For the second time this decade, the U.S. economy id sinking into a recession due to the collapse of a financial bubble. The most recent calamity will lead to a downturn deeper and longer than the stock market crash of 2001. Dean Baker's Plunder and Blunder chronicles the growth and collapse of the stock and housing bubbles and explains how policy blunders and greed led to the catastrophic --but completely predictable --market meltdowns. An expert guide to recent economic history, Baker offers policy prescriptions to help prevent similar financial disasters.

Principles

Author : Ray Dalio
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1982112387
Total Pages : 560 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (821 download)

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Book Synopsis Principles by : Ray Dalio

Download or read book Principles written by Ray Dalio and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2018-08-07 with total page 560 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: #1 New York Times Bestseller “Significant...The book is both instructive and surprisingly moving.” —The New York Times Ray Dalio, one of the world’s most successful investors and entrepreneurs, shares the unconventional principles that he’s developed, refined, and used over the past forty years to create unique results in both life and business—and which any person or organization can adopt to help achieve their goals. In 1975, Ray Dalio founded an investment firm, Bridgewater Associates, out of his two-bedroom apartment in New York City. Forty years later, Bridgewater has made more money for its clients than any other hedge fund in history and grown into the fifth most important private company in the United States, according to Fortune magazine. Dalio himself has been named to Time magazine’s list of the 100 most influential people in the world. Along the way, Dalio discovered a set of unique principles that have led to Bridgewater’s exceptionally effective culture, which he describes as “an idea meritocracy that strives to achieve meaningful work and meaningful relationships through radical transparency.” It is these principles, and not anything special about Dalio—who grew up an ordinary kid in a middle-class Long Island neighborhood—that he believes are the reason behind his success. In Principles, Dalio shares what he’s learned over the course of his remarkable career. He argues that life, management, economics, and investing can all be systemized into rules and understood like machines. The book’s hundreds of practical lessons, which are built around his cornerstones of “radical truth” and “radical transparency,” include Dalio laying out the most effective ways for individuals and organizations to make decisions, approach challenges, and build strong teams. He also describes the innovative tools the firm uses to bring an idea meritocracy to life, such as creating “baseball cards” for all employees that distill their strengths and weaknesses, and employing computerized decision-making systems to make believability-weighted decisions. While the book brims with novel ideas for organizations and institutions, Principles also offers a clear, straightforward approach to decision-making that Dalio believes anyone can apply, no matter what they’re seeking to achieve. Here, from a man who has been called both “the Steve Jobs of investing” and “the philosopher king of the financial universe” (CIO magazine), is a rare opportunity to gain proven advice unlike anything you’ll find in the conventional business press.

The Future of the Dollar

Author : Eric Helleiner
Publisher : Cornell University Press
ISBN 13 : 0801457491
Total Pages : 267 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (14 download)

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Book Synopsis The Future of the Dollar by : Eric Helleiner

Download or read book The Future of the Dollar written by Eric Helleiner and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2012-09-15 with total page 267 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For half a century, the United States has garnered substantial political and economic benefits as a result of the dollar's de facto role as a global currency. In recent years, however, the dollar's preponderant position in world markets has come under challenge. The dollar has been more volatile than ever against foreign currencies, and various nations have switched to non-dollar instruments in their transactions. China and the Arab Gulf states continue to hold massive amounts of U.S. government obligations, in effect subsidizing U.S. current account deficits, and those holdings are a point of potential vulnerability for American policy. What is the future of the U.S. dollar as an international currency? Will predictions of its demise end up just as inaccurate as those that have accompanied major international financial crises since the early 1970s? Analysts disagree, often profoundly, in their answers to these questions. In The Future of the Dollar, leading scholars of dollar's international role bring multidisciplinary perspectives and a range of contrasting predictions to the question of the dollar's future. This timely book provides readers with a clear sense of why such disagreements exist and it outlines a variety of future scenarios and the possible political implications for the United States and the world.

Famous First Bubbles

Author : Peter M. Garber
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262571531
Total Pages : 180 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (715 download)

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Book Synopsis Famous First Bubbles by : Peter M. Garber

Download or read book Famous First Bubbles written by Peter M. Garber and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2001-08-24 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The jargon of economics and finance contains numerous colorful terms for market-asset prices at odds with any reasonable economic explanation. Examples include "bubble," "tulipmania," "chain letter," "Ponzi scheme," "panic," "crash," "herding," and "irrational exuberance." Although such a term suggests that an event is inexplicably crowd-driven, what it really means, claims Peter Garber, is that we have grasped a near-empty explanation rather than expend the effort to understand the event. In this book Garber offers market-fundamental explanations for the three most famous bubbles: the Dutch Tulipmania (1634-1637), the Mississippi Bubble (1719-1720), and the closely connected South Sea Bubble (1720). He focuses most closely on the Tulipmania because it is the event that most modern observers view as clearly crazy. Comparing the pattern of price declines for initially rare eighteenth-century bulbs to that of seventeenth-century bulbs, he concludes that the extremely high prices for rare bulbs and their rapid decline reflects normal pricing behavior. In the cases of the Mississippi and South Sea Bubbles, he describes the asset markets and financial manipulations involved in these episodes and casts them as market fundamentals.

Bubbles and Crashes

Author : Brent Goldfarb
Publisher : Stanford University Press
ISBN 13 : 1503607933
Total Pages : 284 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (36 download)

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Book Synopsis Bubbles and Crashes by : Brent Goldfarb

Download or read book Bubbles and Crashes written by Brent Goldfarb and published by Stanford University Press. This book was released on 2019-02-19 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “An interesting take on some factors that facilitate the development and bursting of bubbles in technology industries. . . . Highly recommended.” —Choice Financial market bubbles are recurring, often painful, reminders of the costs and benefits of capitalism. While many books have studied financial manias and crises, most fail to compare times of turmoil with times of stability. In Bubbles and Crashes, Brent Goldfarb and David A. Kirsch give us new insights into the causes of speculative booms and busts. They identify a class of assets—major technological innovations—that can, but does not necessarily, produce bubbles. This methodological twist is essential: Only by comparing similar events that sometimes lead to booms and busts can we ascertain the root causes of bubbles. Using a sample of eighty-eight technologies spanning 150 years, Goldfarb and Kirsch find that four factors play a key role in these episodes: the degree of uncertainty surrounding a particular innovation; the attentive presence of novice investors; the opportunity to directly invest in companies that specialize in the technology; and whether or not a technology is a good protagonist in a narrative. Goldfarb and Kirsch consider the implications of their analysis for technology bubbles that may be in the works today, offer tools for investors to identify whether a bubble is happening, and propose policy measures that may mitigate the risks associated with future speculative episodes.

Doing Capitalism in the Innovation Economy

Author : William H. Janeway
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107031257
Total Pages : 345 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Doing Capitalism in the Innovation Economy by : William H. Janeway

Download or read book Doing Capitalism in the Innovation Economy written by William H. Janeway and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-10-08 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A unique insight into the interaction between the state, financiers and entrepreneurs in the modern innovation economy.

The Bubble and Beyond

Author : Michael Hudson
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783981484205
Total Pages : 481 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (842 download)

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Book Synopsis The Bubble and Beyond by : Michael Hudson

Download or read book The Bubble and Beyond written by Michael Hudson and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 481 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Bubble and Beyond, describes how the fabulous expansive forces of industrial capitalism have been subverted by a predatory finance capitalism. What the FED hailed as The Great Moderation has left the middle class to take on a lifetime of bank debt to obtain access to housing, education to get a job, an auto to drive to it, and simply to maintain living standards that wages and salaries no longer support. What has derailed the economy is the take-over of academic economics and politics by the financial sector in order to censor criticism and misrepresent statistics so as to give the impression that the economy can borrow its way out of debt. The reality is that income used to pay down today s debt overhead is not available to be spent on goods and services. The result is debt deflation, followed by austerity and the the "fire sale" or decay of infrastructure at the national and local levels. The most controversial claim by Prof. Hudson is that Debts that can t be paid, won t be. The question he poses is whether their non-payment will lead to worldwide foreclosures including sell-offs of the public domain by debt-strapped local and national governments or whether they will be written down in line with the ability to pay. This is the economic issue that will dominate politics over the next generation. Illustrated with charts and exhibits that make it plain where money goes versus where it should go.

Boombustology

Author : Vikram Mansharamani
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118028570
Total Pages : 287 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Boombustology by : Vikram Mansharamani

Download or read book Boombustology written by Vikram Mansharamani and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-02-08 with total page 287 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A multi-disciplinary framework through which to spot financial bubbles before they burst. Based on a popular undergraduate seminar, entitled Financial Booms & Busts, taught by the author at Yale University, Boombustology presents a multi-disciplinary framework for identifying unsustainable booms and forthcoming busts. The magnitude of our recent financial crisis mandates a firm understanding of this phenomenon before the next crisis occurs. Boombustology provides an in-depth look at several major booms and busts and offers a solid framework for thinking about future occurrences. Examines why booms and busts are not random and can therefore be identified Focuses upon various theoretical and disciplinary lenses useful in the study of booms and busts Contains a framework for thinking about and identifying forthcoming financial bubbles including several tell-tale indicators of a forthcoming bust. Illustrates the framework in action by evaluating China as a potential bubble in the making. If you want to make better decisions in today’s turbulent investment environment, understanding the dynamics of booms and busts is the best place the start. Boombustology can help you achieve this elusive goal. Vikram Mansharamani is a Lecturer at Yale University and a global equity investor.