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Author : Ching Wang
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 103 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (845 download)
Download or read book Tests of Conditional Asset Pricing Models written by Ching Wang and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 103 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Jing Wang
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 206 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (45 download)
Download or read book Tests of Conditional Asset Pricing Models written by Jing Wang and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Stuart Hyde
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Tests of the Conditional Asset Pricing Model written by Stuart Hyde and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the relationship between consumption and the term structure using U.K. interest rate data. We demonstrate that the term structure contains information about future economic activity as implied by the benchmark time separable power utility consumption based capital asset pricing model (C-CAPM) since the yield spread has forecasting power for future consumption growth. Further, we analyze the ability of this benchmark and two alternative models which adopt utility functions characterized by non-separability, namely, the extension to the habit formation model of Campbell and Cochrane (1999) proposed by Wachter (2006) and the housing C-CAPM proposed by Piazzesi et al. (2007). Our findings are supportive of the habit formation specification of Wachter (2006), other models fail to yield economically plausible parameter values.
Author : Daniele Bianchi
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book A Dynamic Test of Conditional Asset Pricing Models written by Daniele Bianchi and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I use Bayesian tools to develop a dynamic testing methodology for conditional factor pricing models, in which time-varying betas, idiosyncratic risks, and factors risk premia are jointly estimated in a single step. Based on this framework, I test over fifty years of post-war monthly data some of the most common factor pricing models on size, book-to-market, and momentum deciles portfolios, both in the time series and in the cross section. The empirical results show that, a conditional specification of the recent five-factor model of Fama and French (2015) outperforms a set of theory-based competing linear pricing models along several dimensions.
Author : Manuel Ammann
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Testing Conditional Asset Pricing Models Using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approach written by Manuel Ammann and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a new approach for the estimation of conditional asset pricing models based on a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach. In contrast to existing approaches, it is truly conditional because the assumption that time variation in betas is driven by a set of conditioning variables is not necessary. Moreover, the approach has exact finite sample properties and accounts for errors-in-variables in a one-step estimation procedure. Using Samp;P 500 panel data, we analyze the empirical performance of the CAPM and the Fama and French (1993) three-factor model. We find that time-variation of betas in the CAPM and the time variation of the coefficients for the size factor (SMB) and the distress factor (HML) in the three-factor model improve the empirical performance by a similar amount. Therefore, our findings are consistent with time variation of firm-specific exposure to market risk, systematic credit risk and systematic size effects. However, a Bayesian model comparison trading off goodness of fit and model complexity indicates that the conditional CAPM performs best, followed by the conditional three-factor model, the unconditional CAPM, and the unconditional three-factor model.
Author : Mats Hansson
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789515554925
Total Pages : 15 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (549 download)
Download or read book Tests of Conditional Asset Pricing Models on Finnish Stock Return Data Using Latent Variables written by Mats Hansson and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Campbell R. Harvey
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Time-Varying Conditional Covariances in Tests of Asset Pricing Models written by Campbell R. Harvey and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes tests of asset pricing models that allow for time variation in conditional covariances. The evidence indicates that the conditional covariances do change through time. Estimates of the expected excess return on the market divided by the variance of the market (reward-to-risk ratio) are presented for the Sharpe-Lintner CAPM, as well as a number of tests of the model specification. The patterns of the pricing errors through time suggest the model's inability to capture the dynamic behavior of asset returns. This is the working paper version of my 1989 Journal of Financial Economics article.
Author : Stephanie Yuen Heng Poon
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 98 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (243 download)
Download or read book Testing of the Unconditional and Conditional CAPM and Three-factor Asset Pricing Model written by Stephanie Yuen Heng Poon and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 98 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Andreas Schrimpf
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Evaluating Conditional Asset Pricing Models for the German Stock Market written by Andreas Schrimpf and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the performance of conditional asset pricing models in explaining the German cross-section of stock returns. Our test assets are portfolios sorted by size and book-to-market as in the paper by Fama and French (1993). Our results show that the empirical performance of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) can be improved substantially when allowing for time-varying parameters of the stochastic discount factor. A conditional CAPM with the term spread as a conditioning variable is able to explain the cross-section of German stock returns about as well as the Fama-French model. Structural break tests do not indicate parameter instability of the model - whereas the reverse is found for the Fama-French model. Unconditional model specifications however do a better job than conditional ones at capturing time-series predictability of the test portfolio returns.
Author : Wayne Ferson
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262039370
Total Pages : 497 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)
Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.
Author : Devraj Basu
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Asset Pricing Anomalies and Time-Varying Betas written by Devraj Basu and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we develop a new measure of specification error, and thus derive new statistical tests, for conditional factor models, i.e. models in which the factor loadings (and hence risk premia) are allowed to be time-varying. Our test exploits the close links between the stochastic discount factor framework and mean-variance efficiency. We show that a given set of factors is a true conditional asset pricing model if and only if the efficient frontiers spanned by the traded assets and the factor-mimicking portfolios, respectively, intersect. In fact, we show that our test is proportional to the difference in squared Sharpe ratios of these two frontiers.We draw three main conclusions from our empirical findings. First, optimal scaling clearly improves the performance of asset pricing models, to the point where several of the scaled models are capable of explaining asset pricing anomalies. However, even the optimally scaled models fall short of being true conditional asset pricing models in that they fail to price actively managed portfolios correctly. Second, there is significant time-variation in factor loadings and hence risk premia, which plays a significant role in asset pricing. Moreover, the optimal factor loadings display a high degree of non-linearity in the conditioning variables, suggesting that the linear scaling prevalent in the literature is sub-optimal and does not capture the inter-temporal pattern of risk premia. Third, skewness and kurtosis do matter in the conditional setting, while adding little to unconditional performance.
Author : John H. Cochrane
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book A Cross-Sectional Test of a Production-Based Asset Pricing Model written by John H. Cochrane and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper tests a factor pricing model for stock returns. The factors are returns on physical investment, inferred from investment data via a production function. The tests examine the model's ability to explain the variation in expected returns across assets and over time. The model is not rejected. It performs about as well as the CAPM and the Chen, Roll and Ross factor model, and it performs substantially better than a simple consumption-based model. In comparison tests, the investment return factors drive out all the other models. The paper also provides an easy technique for estimating and testing dynamic, conditional asset pricing models. All one has to do is include factors and returns scaled by instruments in an unconditional estimate. This procedure imposes none of the usual restrictions on conditional moments, and does not require prewhitened or orthogonalized factors.
Author : Emanuel Moench
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Conditional Asset Pricing with a Large Information Set written by Emanuel Moench and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dynamic factors summarize the information in a large number of variables and are therefore intuitively appealing proxies for the information set available to investors. This paper demonstrates that conditioning on dynamic factors instead of commonly used instruments substantially reduces the pricing errors implied by conditional models. Dynamic factors are further shown to exhibit incremental explanatory power over benchmark conditioning variables. The results withstand a number of robustness tests and carry important implications for the specification of conditional asset pricing models in applied research and practice.
Author : Niels Veldhuis
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (243 download)
Download or read book Testing Asset Pricing Models with Unconditional and Conditional Alphas and Betas written by Niels Veldhuis and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Doron Avramov
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book An Exact Bayes Test of Asset Pricing Models with Application to International Markets written by Doron Avramov and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops and implements an exact finite-sample test of asset pricing models with time varying risk premia using posterior probabilities. The strength of our approach is that it allows multiple conditional asset pricing speci fications, both nested and non-nested, to be tested and compared simultaneously. We apply our procedure to international equity markets by testing and comparing the international CAPM and conditional ICAPM versions of Fama and French (1998). The empirical evidence suggests that the best performing model is the ICAPM with the value premium constructed based on global earnings-to-price ratio.
Author : John H. Cochrane
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (873 download)
Download or read book A Cross-Sectional Test of a Production-Based Asset Pricing Model written by John H. Cochrane and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper tests a factor pricing model for stock returns. The factors are returns on physical investment, inferred from investment data via a production function. The tests examine the model's ability to explain the variation in expected returns across assets and over time. The model is not rejected. It performs about as well as the CAPM and the Chen, Roll and Ross factor model, and it performs substantially better than a simple consumption-based model. In comparison tests, the investment return factors drive out all the other models. The paper also provides an easy technique for estimating and testing dynamic, conditional asset pricing models. All one has to do is include factors and returns scaled by instruments in an unconditional estimate. This procedure imposes none of the usual restrictions on conditional moments, and does not require prewhitened or orthogonalized factors.
Author : Michael W. Brandt
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 57 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Linear Approximations and Tests of Conditional Pricing Models written by Michael W. Brandt and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: If a nonlinear risk premium in a conditional asset pricing model is approximated with a linear function, as is commonly done in empirical research, the fitted model is misspecified. We use a generic reduced-form model economy with moderate risk premium nonlinearity to examine the size of the resulting misspecification-induced pricing errors. Pricing errors from moderate nonlinearity can be large, and a version of a test for nonlinearity based on risk premiums rather than pricing errors has reasonable power properties after properly controlling for the size of the test. We conclude by examining the importance of moderate nonlinearity in the context of the investment-specific technology shock models of Papanikolaou (2011) and Kogan and Papanikolaou (2014).
