Tests For Random Walk Coefficients In State Space Models

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Testing for Random Walk Coefficients in Regression and State Space Models

Author : Martin Moryson
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642997996
Total Pages : 326 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (429 download)

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Book Synopsis Testing for Random Walk Coefficients in Regression and State Space Models by : Martin Moryson

Download or read book Testing for Random Walk Coefficients in Regression and State Space Models written by Martin Moryson and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Regression and state space models with time varying coefficients are treated in a thorough manner. State space models are introduced as a means to model time varying regression coefficients. The Kalman filter and smoother recursions are explained in an easy to understand fashion. The main part of the book deals with testing the null hypothesis of constant regression coefficients against the alternative that they follow a random walk. Different exact and large sample tests are presented and extensively compared based on Monte Carlo studies, so that the reader is guided in the question which test to choose in a particular situation. Moreover, different new tests are proposed which are suitable in situations with autocorrelated or heteroskedastic errors. Additionally, methods are developed to test for the constancy of regression coefficients in situations where one knows already that some coefficients follow a random walk, thereby one is enabled to find out which of the coefficients varies over time.

Tests for Random Walk Coefficients in State Space Models

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Tests for Random Walk Coefficients in State Space Models by :

Download or read book Tests for Random Walk Coefficients in State Space Models written by and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Testing for Random Walk Coefficients in a Simple State Space Model

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Testing for Random Walk Coefficients in a Simple State Space Model by :

Download or read book Testing for Random Walk Coefficients in a Simple State Space Model written by and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

State-Space Models with Regime Switching

Author : Chang-Jin Kim
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262535505
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis State-Space Models with Regime Switching by : Chang-Jin Kim

Download or read book State-Space Models with Regime Switching written by Chang-Jin Kim and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2017-11-03 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both state-space models and Markov switching models have been highly productive paths for empirical research in macroeconomics and finance. This book presents recent advances in econometric methods that make feasible the estimation of models that have both features. One approach, in the classical framework, approximates the likelihood function; the other, in the Bayesian framework, uses Gibbs-sampling to simulate posterior distributions from data. The authors present numerous applications of these approaches in detail: decomposition of time series into trend and cycle, a new index of coincident economic indicators, approaches to modeling monetary policy uncertainty, Friedman's "plucking" model of recessions, the detection of turning points in the business cycle and the question of whether booms and recessions are duration-dependent, state-space models with heteroskedastic disturbances, fads and crashes in financial markets, long-run real exchange rates, and mean reversion in asset returns.

Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter

Author : Andrew C. Harvey
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107717140
Total Pages : 578 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (77 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter by : Andrew C. Harvey

Download or read book Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter written by Andrew C. Harvey and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990-02-22 with total page 578 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book, Andrew Harvey sets out to provide a unified and comprehensive theory of structural time series models. Unlike the traditional ARIMA models, structural time series models consist explicitly of unobserved components, such as trends and seasonals, which have a direct interpretation. As a result the model selection methodology associated with structural models is much closer to econometric methodology. The link with econometrics is made even closer by the natural way in which the models can be extended to include explanatory variables and to cope with multivariate time series. From the technical point of view, state space models and the Kalman filter play a key role in the statistical treatment of structural time series models. The book includes a detailed treatment of the Kalman filter. This technique was originally developed in control engineering, but is becoming increasingly important in fields such as economics and operations research. This book is concerned primarily with modelling economic and social time series, and with addressing the special problems which the treatment of such series poses. The properties of the models and the methodological techniques used to select them are illustrated with various applications. These range from the modellling of trends and cycles in US macroeconomic time series to to an evaluation of the effects of seat belt legislation in the UK.

Economic Structural Change

Author : Peter Hackl
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3662068249
Total Pages : 377 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Structural Change by : Peter Hackl

Download or read book Economic Structural Change written by Peter Hackl and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 377 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Structural change is a fundamental concept in economic model building. Statistics and econometrics provide the tools for identification of change, for estimating the onset of a change, for assessing its extent and relevance. Statistics and econometrics also have de veloped models that are suitable for picturing the data-generating process in the presence of structural change by assimilating the changes or due to the robustness to its presence. Important subjects in this context are forecasting methods. The need for such methods became obvious when, as a consequence of the oil price shock, the results of empirical analyses suddenly seemed to be much less reliable than before. Nowadays, economists agree that models with fixed structure that picture reality over longer periods are illusions. An example for less dramatic causes than the oil price shock with similarly profound effects is economic growth and its impacts on the economic system. Indeed, economic growth was a motivating concept for this volume. In 1983, the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Laxen burg/ Austria initiated an ambitious project on "Economic Growth and Structural Change".

Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data

Author : Gilles Dufrénot
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030542521
Total Pages : 387 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data by : Gilles Dufrénot

Download or read book Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data written by Gilles Dufrénot and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-11-21 with total page 387 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book provides a comprehensive overview of the latest econometric methods for studying the dynamics of macroeconomic and financial time series. It examines alternative methodological approaches and concepts, including quantile spectra and co-spectra, and explores topics such as non-linear and non-stationary behavior, stochastic volatility models, and the econometrics of commodity markets and globalization. Furthermore, it demonstrates the application of recent techniques in various fields: in the frequency domain, in the analysis of persistent dynamics, in the estimation of state space models and new classes of volatility models. The book is divided into two parts: The first part applies econometrics to the field of macroeconomics, discussing trend/cycle decomposition, growth analysis, monetary policy and international trade. The second part applies econometrics to a wide range of topics in financial economics, including price dynamics in equity, commodity and foreign exchange markets and portfolio analysis. The book is essential reading for scholars, students, and practitioners in government and financial institutions interested in applying recent econometric time series methods to financial and economic data.

Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management

Author : Jiuping Xu
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 144714600X
Total Pages : 1030 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (471 download)

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Book Synopsis Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management by : Jiuping Xu

Download or read book Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management written by Jiuping Xu and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-09-25 with total page 1030 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Welcome to the proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management (ICMSEM2012) held from November 11 to 14, 2012 at Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan and supported by Sichuan University (Chengdu, China), Quaid-i-Azam University (Islamabad, Pakistan) and The National Natural Science Foundation of China. The International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management is the annual conference organized by the International Society of Management Science and Engineering Management. The goals of the Conference are to foster international research collaborations in Management Science and Engineering Management as well as to provide a forum to present current research results. The papers are classified into 8 sections: Computer and Networks, Information Technology, Decision Support System, Industrial Engineering, Supply Chain Management, Project Management, Manufacturing and Ecological Engineering. The key issues of the sixth ICMSEM cover various areas in MSEM, such as Decision Support System, Computational Mathematics, Information Systems, Logistics and Supply Chain Management, Relationship Management, Scheduling and Control, Data Warehousing and Data Mining, Electronic Commerce, Neural Networks, Stochastic models and Simulation, Heuristics Algorithms, Risk Control, and Carbon Credits.

Applied Time Series Econometrics

Author : Helmut Lütkepohl
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139454730
Total Pages : 351 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Time Series Econometrics by : Helmut Lütkepohl

Download or read book Applied Time Series Econometrics written by Helmut Lütkepohl and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004-08-02 with total page 351 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Time series econometrics is a rapidly evolving field. Particularly, the cointegration revolution has had a substantial impact on applied analysis. Hence, no textbook has managed to cover the full range of methods in current use and explain how to proceed in applied domains. This gap in the literature motivates the present volume. The methods are sketched out, reminding the reader of the ideas underlying them and giving sufficient background for empirical work. The treatment can also be used as a textbook for a course on applied time series econometrics. Topics include: unit root and cointegration analysis, structural vector autoregressions, conditional heteroskedasticity and nonlinear and nonparametric time series models. Crucial to empirical work is the software that is available for analysis. New methodology is typically only gradually incorporated into existing software packages. Therefore a flexible Java interface has been created, allowing readers to replicate the applications and conduct their own analyses.

Applications of State Space Models in Finance

Author : Sascha Mergner
Publisher : Universitätsverlag Göttingen
ISBN 13 : 3941875221
Total Pages : 235 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (418 download)

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Book Synopsis Applications of State Space Models in Finance by : Sascha Mergner

Download or read book Applications of State Space Models in Finance written by Sascha Mergner and published by Universitätsverlag Göttingen. This book was released on 2009 with total page 235 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: State space models play a key role in the estimation of time-varying sensitivities in financial markets. The objective of this book is to analyze the relative merits of modern time series techniques, such as Markov regime switching and the Kalman filter, to model structural changes in the context of widely used concepts in finance. The presented material will be useful for financial economists and practitioners who are interested in taking time-variation in the relationship between financial assets and key economic factors explicitly into account. The empirical part illustrates the application of the various methods under consideration. As a distinctive feature, it includes a comprehensive analysis of the ability of time-varying coefficient models to estimate and predict the conditional nature of systematic risks for European industry portfolios.

mODa 8 - Advances in Model-Oriented Design and Analysis

Author : Jesus Lopez-Fidalgo
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3790819522
Total Pages : 241 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis mODa 8 - Advances in Model-Oriented Design and Analysis by : Jesus Lopez-Fidalgo

Download or read book mODa 8 - Advances in Model-Oriented Design and Analysis written by Jesus Lopez-Fidalgo and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-05-14 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contains the proceedings of the 8th Workshop on Model-Oriented Design and Analysis. It offers leading and pioneering work on optimal experimental designs, both from a mathematical/statistical point of view and with regard to real applications. Scientists from all over the world have contributed to this volume. Primary topics are designs for nonlinear models and applications to experimental medicine.

MODA 7 - Advances in Model-Oriented Design and Analysis

Author : Alessandro Di Bucchianico
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3790826936
Total Pages : 239 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis MODA 7 - Advances in Model-Oriented Design and Analysis by : Alessandro Di Bucchianico

Download or read book MODA 7 - Advances in Model-Oriented Design and Analysis written by Alessandro Di Bucchianico and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 239 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The volume contains the proceedings of the 7th Workshop on Model-Oriented Design and Analysis which has had the purpose of bringing together leading researchers in Eastern and Western Europe for an in-depth discussion of the optimal design of experiments. The papers are representative of the latest developments concerning non-linear models, computational algorithms and important applications, especially to medical statistics.

MODA 6 - Advances in Model-Oriented Design and Analysis

Author : Anthony C. Atkinson
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642575765
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis MODA 6 - Advances in Model-Oriented Design and Analysis by : Anthony C. Atkinson

Download or read book MODA 6 - Advances in Model-Oriented Design and Analysis written by Anthony C. Atkinson and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book includes many of the papers presented at the 6th International workshop on Model Oriented Data Analysis held in June 2001. This series began in March 1987 with a meeting on the Wartburg near Eisenach (at that time in the GDR). The next four meetings were in 1990 (St Kyrik monastery, Bulgaria), 1992 (Petrodvorets, St Petersburg, Russia), 1995 (Spetses, Greece) and 1998 (Marseilles, France). Initially the main purpose of these workshops was to bring together leading scientists from 'Eastern' and 'Western' Europe for the exchange of ideas in theoretical and applied statistics, with special emphasis on experimental design. Now that the sep aration between East and West is much less rigid, this exchange has, in principle, become much easier. However, it is still important to provide opportunities for this interaction. MODA meetings are celebrated for their friendly atmosphere. Indeed, dis cussions between young and senior scientists at these meetings have resulted in several fruitful long-term collaborations. This intellectually stimulating atmosphere is achieved by limiting the number of participants to around eighty, by the choice of a location in which communal living is encour aged and, of course, through the careful scientific direction provided by the Programme Committee. It is a tradition of these meetings to provide low cost accommodation, low fees and financial support for the travel of young and Eastern participants. This is only possible through the help of sponsors and outside financial support was again important for the success of the meeting.

Partially Linear Models

Author : Wolfgang Härdle
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642577008
Total Pages : 210 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis Partially Linear Models by : Wolfgang Härdle

Download or read book Partially Linear Models written by Wolfgang Härdle and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last ten years, there has been increasing interest and activity in the general area of partially linear regression smoothing in statistics. Many methods and techniques have been proposed and studied. This monograph hopes to bring an up-to-date presentation of the state of the art of partially linear regression techniques. The emphasis is on methodologies rather than on the theory, with a particular focus on applications of partially linear regression techniques to various statistical problems. These problems include least squares regression, asymptotically efficient estimation, bootstrap resampling, censored data analysis, linear measurement error models, nonlinear measurement models, nonlinear and nonparametric time series models.

Implementing Models in Quantitative Finance: Methods and Cases

Author : Gianluca Fusai
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540499598
Total Pages : 606 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (44 download)

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Book Synopsis Implementing Models in Quantitative Finance: Methods and Cases by : Gianluca Fusai

Download or read book Implementing Models in Quantitative Finance: Methods and Cases written by Gianluca Fusai and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-12-20 with total page 606 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book puts numerical methods in action for the purpose of solving practical problems in quantitative finance. The first part develops a toolkit in numerical methods for finance. The second part proposes twenty self-contained cases covering model simulation, asset pricing and hedging, risk management, statistical estimation and model calibration. Each case develops a detailed solution to a concrete problem arising in applied financial management and guides the user towards a computer implementation. The appendices contain "crash courses" in VBA and Matlab programming languages.

Journal of Economic Literature

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 516 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Journal of Economic Literature by :

Download or read book Journal of Economic Literature written by and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 516 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The 2013 International Conference on Management and Information Technology

Author : Alice Peng
Publisher : DEStech Publications, Inc
ISBN 13 : 1605951412
Total Pages : 916 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (59 download)

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Book Synopsis The 2013 International Conference on Management and Information Technology by : Alice Peng

Download or read book The 2013 International Conference on Management and Information Technology written by Alice Peng and published by DEStech Publications, Inc. This book was released on 2013-11-20 with total page 916 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The aims of CMIT2013 are to provide a platform for researchers, educators, engineers, and government officials involved in the general areas of management and Information Technology to disseminate their latest research results and exchange views on the fu ture research directions of these fields, to exchange management and information technology and integrate of their practice, application of the academic ideas, improve the academic depth of information technology and its application, provide an internation al communication platform for educational technology and scientific research for the world's universities, business intelligence engineering field experts, professionals, and business executives. The CMIT 2013 tends to collect the latest research results an d applications on management and information technology . It includes a selection of 125 papers from 781 papers submitted to the conference from universities and industries all over the world. All of accepted papers were subjected to strict peerreviewing b y two to four expert referees. The papers have been selected for this volume because of quality and the relevance to the conference. The conference is designed to stimulate the young minds including Research Scholars, Academicians, and Practitioners to co ntribute their ideas, thoughts and nobility in these two disciplines.