Testing The Predictive Ability Of Technical Analysis Using A New Stepwise Test Without Data Snooping Bias

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Testing the Predictive Ability of Technical Analysis Using a New Stepwise Test Without Data Snooping Bias

Author : Po-Hsuan Hsu
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Testing the Predictive Ability of Technical Analysis Using a New Stepwise Test Without Data Snooping Bias by : Po-Hsuan Hsu

Download or read book Testing the Predictive Ability of Technical Analysis Using a New Stepwise Test Without Data Snooping Bias written by Po-Hsuan Hsu and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the finance literature, statistical inferences for large-scale testing problems usually suffer from data snooping bias. In this paper we extend the quot;superior predictive abilityquot; (SPA) test of Hansen (2005, JBES) to a stepwise SPA test that can identify predictive models without potential data snooping bias. It is shown analytically and by simulations that the stepwise SPA test is more powerful than the stepwise Reality Check test of Romano and Wolf (2005, Econometrica). We then apply the proposed test to examine the predictive ability of technical trading rules based on the data of growth and emerging market indices and their exchange traded funds (ETFs). It is found that technical trading rules have significant predictive power for these markets, yet such evidence weakens after the ETFs are introduced.

Technical Analysis

Author : Charles D. Kirkpatrick II
Publisher : FT Press
ISBN 13 : 0132599627
Total Pages : 700 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (325 download)

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Book Synopsis Technical Analysis by : Charles D. Kirkpatrick II

Download or read book Technical Analysis written by Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2010-11-08 with total page 700 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Already the field's most comprehensive, reliable, and objective guidebook, Technical Analysis: The Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, Second Edition has been thoroughly updated to reflect the field's latest advances. Selected by the Market Technicians Association as the official companion to its prestigious Chartered Market Technician (CMT) program, this book systematically explains the theory of technical analysis, presenting academic evidence both for and against it. Using hundreds of fully updated illustrations, the authors explain the analysis of both markets and individual issues, and present complete investment systems and portfolio management plans. They present authoritative, up-to-date coverage of tested sentiment, momentum indicators, seasonal affects, flow of funds, testing systems, risk mitigation strategies, and many other topics. This edition thoroughly covers the latest advances in pattern recognition, market analysis, and systems management. The authors introduce new confidence tests; cover increasingly popular methods such as Kagi, Renko, Kase, Ichimoku, Clouds, and DeMark indicators; present innovations in exit stops, portfolio selection, and testing; and discuss the implications of behavioral bias for technical analysis. They also reassess old formulas and methods, such as intermarket relationships, identifying pitfalls that emerged during the recent market decline. For traders, researchers, and serious investors alike, this is the definitive book on technical analysis.

Reconsidering Funds of Hedge Funds

Author : Greg N. Gregoriou
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0124045944
Total Pages : 589 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (24 download)

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Book Synopsis Reconsidering Funds of Hedge Funds by : Greg N. Gregoriou

Download or read book Reconsidering Funds of Hedge Funds written by Greg N. Gregoriou and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2012-12-31 with total page 589 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How will the funds of hedge funds (FoHF) business have to change to survive in the wake of the 2008-2012 financial crisis? This new research provides valuable insight. Reconsidering Funds of Hedge Funds presents the first comprehensive views of UCITS as well as recent trends in due diligence, risk management, and hedge fund deaths and survivors. The book contains original chapters by 22 academics and 16 hedge fund professionals, and includes two sections on performance: one that looks at UCITS FoHF and one that deals with traditional FoHF performance. Most chapters examine aspects of the 2008-2012 financial crisis, and almost every chapter addresses fund of hedge funds' management process before, during, and after the crisis. - Covers recent advances in risk management, due diligence, tail risk, and allocation - Presents an in-depth analysis of UCITs - Balances academic and professional viewpoints

Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes)

Author : Cheng Few Lee
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9811202400
Total Pages : 5053 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) by : Cheng Few Lee

Download or read book Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) written by Cheng Few Lee and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2020-07-30 with total page 5053 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This four-volume handbook covers important concepts and tools used in the fields of financial econometrics, mathematics, statistics, and machine learning. Econometric methods have been applied in asset pricing, corporate finance, international finance, options and futures, risk management, and in stress testing for financial institutions. This handbook discusses a variety of econometric methods, including single equation multiple regression, simultaneous equation regression, and panel data analysis, among others. It also covers statistical distributions, such as the binomial and log normal distributions, in light of their applications to portfolio theory and asset management in addition to their use in research regarding options and futures contracts.In both theory and methodology, we need to rely upon mathematics, which includes linear algebra, geometry, differential equations, Stochastic differential equation (Ito calculus), optimization, constrained optimization, and others. These forms of mathematics have been used to derive capital market line, security market line (capital asset pricing model), option pricing model, portfolio analysis, and others.In recent times, an increased importance has been given to computer technology in financial research. Different computer languages and programming techniques are important tools for empirical research in finance. Hence, simulation, machine learning, big data, and financial payments are explored in this handbook.Led by Distinguished Professor Cheng Few Lee from Rutgers University, this multi-volume work integrates theoretical, methodological, and practical issues based on his years of academic and industry experience.

Algorithmic Trading and Quantitative Strategies

Author : Raja Velu
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1498737218
Total Pages : 378 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Algorithmic Trading and Quantitative Strategies by : Raja Velu

Download or read book Algorithmic Trading and Quantitative Strategies written by Raja Velu and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2020-08-12 with total page 378 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Algorithmic Trading and Quantitative Strategies provides an in-depth overview of this growing field with a unique mix of quantitative rigor and practitioner’s hands-on experience. The focus on empirical modeling and practical know-how makes this book a valuable resource for students and professionals. The book starts with the often overlooked context of why and how we trade via a detailed introduction to market structure and quantitative microstructure models. The authors then present the necessary quantitative toolbox including more advanced machine learning models needed to successfully operate in the field. They next discuss the subject of quantitative trading, alpha generation, active portfolio management and more recent topics like news and sentiment analytics. The last main topic of execution algorithms is covered in detail with emphasis on the state of the field and critical topics including the elusive concept of market impact. The book concludes with a discussion on the technology infrastructure necessary to implement algorithmic strategies in large-scale production settings. A git-hub repository includes data-sets and explanatory/exercise Jupyter notebooks. The exercises involve adding the correct code to solve the particular analysis/problem.

Financial Markets and Trading

Author : Anatoly B. Schmidt
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118093658
Total Pages : 195 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Markets and Trading by : Anatoly B. Schmidt

Download or read book Financial Markets and Trading written by Anatoly B. Schmidt and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-07-05 with total page 195 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An informative guide to market microstructure and trading strategies Over the last decade, the financial landscape has undergone a significant transformation, shaped by the forces of technology, globalization, and market innovations to name a few. In order to operate effectively in today's markets, you need more than just the motivation to succeed, you need a firm understanding of how modern financial markets work and what professional trading is really about. Dr. Anatoly Schmidt, who has worked in the financial industry since 1997, and teaches in the Financial Engineering program of Stevens Institute of Technology, puts these topics in perspective with his new book. Divided into three comprehensive parts, this reliable resource offers a balance between the theoretical aspects of market microstructure and trading strategies that may be more relevant for practitioners. Along the way, it skillfully provides an informative overview of modern financial markets as well as an engaging assessment of the methods used in deriving and back-testing trading strategies. Details the modern financial markets for equities, foreign exchange, and fixed income Addresses the basics of market dynamics, including statistical distributions and volatility of returns Offers a summary of approaches used in technical analysis and statistical arbitrage as well as a more detailed description of trading performance criteria and back-testing strategies Includes two appendices that support the main material in the book If you're unprepared to enter today's markets you will underperform. But with Financial Markets and Trading as your guide, you'll quickly discover what it takes to make it in this competitive field.

Select Topics of Econophysics

Author : Amit Sinha
Publisher : Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN 13 : 3110987651
Total Pages : 589 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Select Topics of Econophysics by : Amit Sinha

Download or read book Select Topics of Econophysics written by Amit Sinha and published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2024-11-04 with total page 589 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economics requires understanding and analyzing forces that bring buyers and sellers to a market place who then negotiate exchanges of goods and services based on a mutually agreeable price. Economists have their own method of modeling whereby models are first conceived of some notion of economic and financial thinking, before being empirically tested, and anomalies are then recognized if the observed data is inconsistent with the hypothetical underpinning. This is in inherent contradiction with the modeling approaches of physicists who develop their theories, principle and laws after observing empirical data. The awareness that physics can enlighten the understanding of human behavior (and thus economics), and the interest of physicists in applying their training and models to understanding the complexities of finance and economics, led to the creation of a new field of study appropriately termed as Econophysics. Selected Topics on Econophysics is a collection of essays on topics that enhance and enrich our understanding of economic modeling when the same rigor of modelling used by physicists is brought to developing financial and economic theories. These articles include discussions on modeling bitcoins, stock index modeling using geometric Brownian motion, agent-based modeling, wealth distribution modeling, as well as modeling related to fractal regression, and chaotic processes. This interdisciplinary book will interest researchers, graduate students and professionals in the fields of economics, finance as well as physics.

Evidence-Based Technical Analysis

Author : David Aronson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118160584
Total Pages : 572 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (181 download)

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Book Synopsis Evidence-Based Technical Analysis by : David Aronson

Download or read book Evidence-Based Technical Analysis written by David Aronson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-07-11 with total page 572 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Evidence-Based Technical Analysis examines how you can apply the scientific method, and recently developed statistical tests, to determine the true effectiveness of technical trading signals. Throughout the book, expert David Aronson provides you with comprehensive coverage of this new methodology, which is specifically designed for evaluating the performance of rules/signals that are discovered by data mining.

Emerging Issues in Finance

Author : Dr Saif Siddiqui
Publisher : Dr Saif Siddiqui
ISBN 13 : 8192233146
Total Pages : 845 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (922 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Issues in Finance by : Dr Saif Siddiqui

Download or read book Emerging Issues in Finance written by Dr Saif Siddiqui and published by Dr Saif Siddiqui. This book was released on 2017-10-11 with total page 845 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Edited Conference Proceedings Volume I

New Principles of Equity Investment

Author : Les Coleman
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1789730635
Total Pages : 275 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (897 download)

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Book Synopsis New Principles of Equity Investment by : Les Coleman

Download or read book New Principles of Equity Investment written by Les Coleman and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2019-03-14 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book aligns the best of established theory, empirical evidence and industry practice to operationalise equity investment and match it to practices in the real world. It does not merely repackage the contemporary investment paradigm, but develops a new perspective that follows a rigorous research philosophy and is based on field evidence.

Reexamining the Profitability of Technical Analysis with Data Snooping Checks

Author : Po-Hsuan Hsu
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Reexamining the Profitability of Technical Analysis with Data Snooping Checks by : Po-Hsuan Hsu

Download or read book Reexamining the Profitability of Technical Analysis with Data Snooping Checks written by Po-Hsuan Hsu and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this article we reexamine the profitability of technical analysis using White`s reality check and Hansen`s SPA test that correct the data snooping bias. Compared to previous studies, we study a more complete quot;universequot; of trading techniques, including not only simple rules but also complex trading strategies, and we test the profitability of these rules and strategies with four main indices. It is found that significantly profitable simple rules and complex trading strategies do exist in the data from relatively quot;youngquot; markets (NASDAQ Composite and Russell 2000) but not in the data from relatively quot;maturequot; markets [Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and Samp;P 500]. Moreover, after taking transaction costs into account, we find that the best rules for NASDAQ Composite and Russell 2000 outperform the buy-and-hold strategy in most in- and out-of-sample periods. It is also found that complex trading strategies are able to improve on the profits of simple rules and may even generate significant profits from unprofitable simple rules.

Handbook of Exchange Rates

Author : Jessica James
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118445775
Total Pages : 674 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (184 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Exchange Rates by : Jessica James

Download or read book Handbook of Exchange Rates written by Jessica James and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-05-29 with total page 674 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for Handbook of Exchange Rates “This book is remarkable. I expect it to become the anchor reference for people working in the foreign exchange field.” —Richard K. Lyons, Dean and Professor of Finance, Haas School of Business, University of California Berkeley “It is quite easily the most wide ranging treaty of expertise on the forex market I have ever come across. I will be keeping a copy close to my fingertips.” —Jim O’Neill, Chairman, Goldman Sachs Asset Management How should we evaluate the forecasting power of models? What are appropriate loss functions for major market participants? Is the exchange rate the only means of adjustment? Handbook of Exchange Rates answers these questions and many more, equipping readers with the relevant concepts and policies for working in today’s international economic climate. Featuring contributions written by leading specialists from the global financial arena, this handbook provides a collection of original ideas on foreign exchange (FX) rates in four succinct sections: • Overview introduces the history of the FX market and exchange rate regimes, discussing key instruments in the trading environment as well as macro and micro approaches to FX determination. • Exchange Rate Models and Methods focuses on forecasting exchange rates, featuring methodological contributions on the statistical methods for evaluating forecast performance, parity relationships, fair value models, and flow–based models. • FX Markets and Products outlines active currency management, currency hedging, hedge accounting; high frequency and algorithmic trading in FX; and FX strategy-based products. • FX Markets and Policy explores the current policies in place in global markets and presents a framework for analyzing financial crises. Throughout the book, topics are explored in-depth alongside their founding principles. Each chapter uses real-world examples from the financial industry and concludes with a summary that outlines key points and concepts. Handbook of Exchange Rates is an essential reference for fund managers and investors as well as practitioners and researchers working in finance, banking, business, and econometrics. The book also serves as a valuable supplement for courses on economics, business, and international finance at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.

Re-Examining the Profitability of Technical Analysis with White's Reality Check and Hansen's Spa Test

Author : Po-Hsuan Hsu
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Re-Examining the Profitability of Technical Analysis with White's Reality Check and Hansen's Spa Test by : Po-Hsuan Hsu

Download or read book Re-Examining the Profitability of Technical Analysis with White's Reality Check and Hansen's Spa Test written by Po-Hsuan Hsu and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we re-examine the profitability of technical analysis using White's Reality Check and Hansen's SPA test that correct the data snooping bias. Comparing to previous studies, we study a more complete universe of trading techniques, including not only simple rules but also investor's strategies, and we test the profitability of these rules and strategies with four main indices. It is found that significantly profitable simple rules and investor's strategies do exist in the data from relatively young markets (NASDAQ Composite and Russell 2000) but not in the data from relatively mature markets (DJIA and S&P 500). Moreover, after taking transaction costs into account, we find that the best rules for NASDAQ Composite and Russell 2000 outperform the buy-and-hold strategy in most in- and out-of-sample periods. Our results thus suggest that the degree of market efficiency may be related to market maturity. It is also found that investor's strategies are able to improve on the profits of simple rules and may even generate significant profits from unprofitable simple rules.

Technical Analysis is Mostly Bullshit

Author : Tim Morris
Publisher : ZML Corp LLC
ISBN 13 : 1393780164
Total Pages : 79 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (937 download)

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Book Synopsis Technical Analysis is Mostly Bullshit by : Tim Morris

Download or read book Technical Analysis is Mostly Bullshit written by Tim Morris and published by ZML Corp LLC. This book was released on with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ What If Technical Analysis Is a Lie? ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Something That Doesn't Work and Never Has... Look at all the courses on the internet claiming you will be a millionaire from using Technical Analysis! How someone with just $500 in their bank account made a $100,000 in 3 days. And all you have to do is look for a pattern on a chart and follow their advice. Seem too good to be true... that's because it is! Hi, my name is Tim Morris. I've been trading stocks for many years, and have a great bit of experience in the markets. I'm here today to cut through the lies, and give you the cold hard truth about technical analysis. The truth other "educators" won't tell you. The truth you deserve to know. That technical analysis is complete bullshit! Here's What You'll Learn In This Book: ► Introduction: My Story - Before the book begins, I share with you my own roller coaster experience with technical analysis, and how I stumbled upon the information that I reveal in this book. The information that confirmed my suspicions that technical analysis is, and always has been, bullshit. ► Chapter 1: Analyzing the Markets - First we go over the main ways traders are taught how to analyze the markets and make money in stocks. This would include both fundamental and technical analysis, as well as a few other hypotheses that have been proposed about how the stock market operates. ► Chapter 2: Classic Technical Analysis - In this chapter, I explain the way classic technical analyze is taught to traders in books, video courses, and subscription services across the web. This includes: ▷ Patterns - Cup and Handle, Head and Shoulders, Flags, Triangles, Double Tops, and Many More ▷ Indicators - RSI, MACD, Stochastics, Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, Divergence, Volume ▷ Tools - Fibonacci Retracement, Fibonacci Projection, and Elliott Wave Theory ► Chapter 3: The Issues - This is the heart of the book and where I really lay down the hammer. I go over the many flaws that are brazenly apparent in the technical analysis theory, that you've likely never heard of. ▷ Can TA really be used in all time frames? ▷ Does TA really work in all financial markets? ▷ Has anyone actually made their money with TA? ▷ Have the inventors of TA indicators actually made money with their own indicators? ▷ I reference charts, statistics, and studies, as well as expert testimonial from PhD economists and other traders in the field. *Warning* You will be shocked and stunned by what is revealed in this chapter. ► Chapter 4: The Verdicts - In the last chapter, we go over the final verdicts of each technical analysis tool brought up previously in the book. I explain which tools are worthless, which are plausible, and which actually work. Notice I said mostly bullshit. There are a couple useful tools! ► Bonus Chapter: Japanese Candlesticks ━═━═━═━═━═━═━ As a complimentary bonus, only for book buyers, you'll receive my special report titled Crush the Market! This report goes over 18 beneficial tips I have learned throughout my trading career that will help keep your account profitable in the stock market. This report is not sold to the general public, and only available to buyers of this book ━═━═━═━═━═━═━ I wish I knew all this information years ago. No where else on the web will you find what I reveal in this book Experienced chartist or brand new trader, everyone will learn new information in this book. Click the "Buy Now" button at the top of the page and get your copy right now!

Evidence-Based Technical Analysis

Author : David Aronson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 550 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Evidence-Based Technical Analysis by : David Aronson

Download or read book Evidence-Based Technical Analysis written by David Aronson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007 with total page 550 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Evidence-Based Technical Analysis examines how you can apply the scientific method, and recently developed statistical tests, to determine the true effectiveness of technical trading signals. Throughout these pages, expert David Aronson details this new type of technical analysis that - unlike traditional technical analysis - is restricted to objective rules, whose historical profitability can be quantified and scrutinized. Evidence-Based Technical Analysis provides you with comprehensive coverage of this new methodology, which is specifically designed for evaluating the performance of rules/signals that are discovered by data mining. Experimental results presented in the book will show you that data mining - a process in which many rules are back-tested and the best performing rules are selected - is an effective procedure for discovering rules/signals"--Jacket.

The Handbook of Technical Analysis + Test Bank

Author : Mark Andrew Lim
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118498925
Total Pages : 997 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (184 download)

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Book Synopsis The Handbook of Technical Analysis + Test Bank by : Mark Andrew Lim

Download or read book The Handbook of Technical Analysis + Test Bank written by Mark Andrew Lim and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-09-22 with total page 997 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A self study exam preparatory guide for financial technical analysis certifications Written by the course director and owner of www.tradermasterclass.com, a leading source of live and online courses in trading, technical analysis, and money management, A Handbook of Technical Analysis: The Practitioner's Comprehensive Guide to Technical Analysis is the first financial technical analysis examination preparatory book in the market. It is appropriate for students taking IFTA CFTe Level I and II (US), STA Diploma (UK), Dip TA (Aus), and MTA CMT Level I, II, and III exams in financial technical analysis, as well as for students in undergraduate, graduate, or MBA courses. The book is also an excellent resource for serious traders and technical analysts, and includes a chapter dedicated to advanced money management techniques. This chapter helps complete a student's education and also provides indispensable knowledge for FOREX, bond, stock, futures, CFD, and option traders. Learn the definitions, concepts, application, integration, and execution of technical-based trading tools and approaches Integrate innovative techniques for pinpointing and handling market reversals Understand trading mechanisms and advanced money management techniques Examine the weaknesses of popular technical approaches and find more effective solutions The book allows readers to test their current knowledge and then check their learning with end-of-chapter test questions that span essays, multiple choice, and chart-based annotation exercises. This handbook is an essential resource for students, instructors, and practitioners in the field. Alongside the handbook, the author will also publish two full exam preparatory workbooks and a bonus online Q&A Test bank built around the most popular professional examinations in financial technical analysis.

Commodities

Author : M. A. H. Dempster
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1498712339
Total Pages : 725 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodities by : M. A. H. Dempster

Download or read book Commodities written by M. A. H. Dempster and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2015-11-05 with total page 725 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since a major source of income for many countries comes from exporting commodities, price discovery and information transmission between commodity futures markets are key issues for continued economic development.This book covers the fundamental theory of and derivatives pricing for major commodity markets as well as the interaction between commodi