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Technological Forecasting In Perspective A Framework For Technological Forecasting Its Techniques And Organisation A Description Of Activities And Annotated Bibliography By Erich Jantsch
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Author :Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Committee for Scientific Research Publisher : ISBN 13 : Total Pages :493 pages Book Rating :4.:/5 (751 download)
Book Synopsis Technological forecasting in perspective. A framework for technological forecasting, its techniques and organisation; a description of activities and annotated bibliography. By Erich Jantsch by : Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Committee for Scientific Research
Download or read book Technological forecasting in perspective. A framework for technological forecasting, its techniques and organisation; a description of activities and annotated bibliography. By Erich Jantsch written by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Committee for Scientific Research and published by . This book was released on 1966 with total page 493 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Technological Forecasting in Perspective by : Erich Jantsch
Download or read book Technological Forecasting in Perspective written by Erich Jantsch and published by OECD. This book was released on 1967 with total page 450 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Technological Forecasting in Perspective by : Erich Jantsch
Download or read book Technological Forecasting in Perspective written by Erich Jantsch and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Technological Forecasting in Prospective by : Erich Jantsch
Download or read book Technological Forecasting in Prospective written by Erich Jantsch and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Technololgical Forecasting in Perspective by : Erich Jantsch
Download or read book Technololgical Forecasting in Perspective written by Erich Jantsch and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Technological Forecasting in Perspective by : Erich Jantsch
Download or read book Technological Forecasting in Perspective written by Erich Jantsch and published by . This book was released on 1966 with total page 493 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Technological Forecasting in Prespective by : Erich Jantsch
Download or read book Technological Forecasting in Prespective written by Erich Jantsch and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Technology Assessment by : Emilio Quincy Daddario
Download or read book Technology Assessment written by Emilio Quincy Daddario and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Energy Systems Optimization Considering the Uncertainty of Future Developments by : Wolf Gereon Wedel
Download or read book Energy Systems Optimization Considering the Uncertainty of Future Developments written by Wolf Gereon Wedel and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2024-08-19 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In light of anthropogenic climate change and the importance of energy to ensure high living standards, energy system optimization is used to explore different energy system layouts. A recent focus has been on determining cost-effective ways to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. This work investigates how future uncertainties regarding technology costs influence optimization results. This is achieved through energy system optimization aimed at reducing system cost using stochastic optimization with probability distributions to capture expected future costs and uncertainties. Theoretical considerations and a minimal example energy system show that Jensen's inequality leads to an overestimation of necessary system costs when scenario optimization considers only the expected technology cost means. Stochastic optimization is applied to a model of the German energy system, including the electricity, heating, and transport sectors. Results from stochastic optimization are compared to scenario results based on mean cost distributions. The use of a factor effect-based meta-model and fewer optimizations in stochastic analysis are investigated to reduce computational effort. The results confirm the overestimation of necessary costs by scenario optimization, showing a 3.5% overestimation with an 80% emission reduction target and 0.4% for a completely renewable system. Stochastic optimization also provides the interquartile range to characterize uncertainty, with a 13.2 Euro MWh-1 interquartile range (27.3% of the mean) for a completely renewable system. Using 30 to 60 optimizations in the stochastic case yields results similar to 500 optimizations, the benchmark. The proposed meta-models offer limited advantages except for predicting extreme results, which are not evident with fewer optimizations. In some cases, especially for non-renewable systems, the expected values from stochastic optimization differ significantly from scenario optimization results. For instance, at a 20% emission limit of 1990 levels, scenario optimization yields 18% of the CO2 emissions compared to the mean of stochastic optimization. Similar differences are seen in other parameters, though most are well-represented by scenario results. Clustering helps manage the diverse results from stochastic optimization by identifying underlying system layouts. Stochastic optimization with probability distributions is robust, with small changes to distributions having minimal impact on outcomes.
Book Synopsis Technological Forescating in Perspective: a Framework for Technological Forescasting, Its Technique and Organisation by : Erich Jantsch
Download or read book Technological Forescating in Perspective: a Framework for Technological Forescasting, Its Technique and Organisation written by Erich Jantsch and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Technological Forecasting by : Marvin J. Cetron
Download or read book Technological Forecasting written by Marvin J. Cetron and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Technological Planning and Social Futures by : Erich Jantsch
Download or read book Technological Planning and Social Futures written by Erich Jantsch and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 278 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Science Policy Information written by and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 1010 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Housing and Planning References by :
Download or read book Housing and Planning References written by and published by . This book was released on 1968 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science and Astronautics Publisher : ISBN 13 : Total Pages :538 pages Book Rating :4.:/5 (36 download)
Book Synopsis Hearings, Reports and Prints of the House Committee on Science and Astronautics by : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science and Astronautics
Download or read book Hearings, Reports and Prints of the House Committee on Science and Astronautics written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science and Astronautics and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 538 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Technological Forecasting: Tools, Techniques, Applications by : Arthur P. Lien
Download or read book Technological Forecasting: Tools, Techniques, Applications written by Arthur P. Lien and published by . This book was released on 1968 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Technological Forecasting and Long-range Planning by : Robert U. Ayres
Download or read book Technological Forecasting and Long-range Planning written by Robert U. Ayres and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: