Market Efficiency and Returns to Simple Technical Trading Rules

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 23 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Efficiency and Returns to Simple Technical Trading Rules by : Gary Gang Tian

Download or read book Market Efficiency and Returns to Simple Technical Trading Rules written by Gary Gang Tian and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Numerous studies in the finance literature have investigated technical analysis to determine its validity as an investment tool. This study is an attempt to explore whether some forms of technical analysis can predict stock price movement and make excess profits based on certain trading rules in markets with different efficiency level. To avoid using arbitrarily selected 26 trading rules as did by Brock, Lakonishok and LeBaron (1992) and later by Bessembinder and Chan (1998), this paper examines predictive power and profitability of simple trading rules by expanding their universe of 26 rules to 412 rules. In order to find out the relationship between market efficiency and excess return by applying trading rules, we examine excess return over periods in US markets and also compare the excess returns between US market and Chinese markets. Our results found that there is no evidence at all supporting technical forecast power by these trading rules in US equity index after 1975. During the 1990's break-even costs turned to be negative, -0.06%, even failing to beat a buy-holding strategy in US equity market. In comparison, our results provide support for the technical strategies even in the presence of trading cost in Chinese stock markets.

A Test of Market Efficiency: a Technical Trading Rule

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis A Test of Market Efficiency: a Technical Trading Rule by : Joseph H. Kozloff

Download or read book A Test of Market Efficiency: a Technical Trading Rule written by Joseph H. Kozloff and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets

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Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 0735200661
Total Pages : 579 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (352 download)

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Book Synopsis Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets by : John J. Murphy

Download or read book Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets written by John J. Murphy and published by Penguin. This book was released on 1999-01-01 with total page 579 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: John J. Murphy has updated his landmark bestseller Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets, to include all of the financial markets. This outstanding reference has already taught thousands of traders the concepts of technical analysis and their application in the futures and stock markets. Covering the latest developments in computer technology, technical tools, and indicators, the second edition features new material on candlestick charting, intermarket relationships, stocks and stock rotation, plus state-of-the-art examples and figures. From how to read charts to understanding indicators and the crucial role technical analysis plays in investing, readers gain a thorough and accessible overview of the field of technical analysis, with a special emphasis on futures markets. Revised and expanded for the demands of today's financial world, this book is essential reading for anyone interested in tracking and analyzing market behavior.

Technical Markets Indicators

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9780471197218
Total Pages : 448 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (972 download)

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Book Synopsis Technical Markets Indicators by : Richard J. Bauer

Download or read book Technical Markets Indicators written by Richard J. Bauer and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1998-11-26 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The use of technical market indicators has long been a controversial subject, highly regarded by some and treated with great skepticism by others. Yet, the number of indicators-and the number of individual investors and finance professionals using them-continues to grow. Now, more than ever, there is an urgent need for objective testing to determine the validity of these indicators. Technical Market Indicators is a unique study of the performance of many of the most widely used technical analysis indicators. The authors explore in an unbiased, rigorous manner whether these indicators consistently perform well or fail to do the job. They explain which indicators work best and why, providing a clear picture of what the investor is likely to experience when using technical analysis. Unlike other books on the subject, Technical Market Indicators provides a comprehensive testing of indicators that uses a large sample of stocks over a twelve-year time period, encompassing varying market conditions. Instead of using the traditional technical analysis charts, this detailed analysis takes a different approach, calculating numbers based on various relationships and letting the numbers dictate the decisions. This allows the investor to use technical methods without ever consulting a chart. From an objective standpoint, the authors address both the pro and con arguments of using technical analysis and attempt to shed additional light onto the controversy through their systematic testing. They also alert the investor to the many different issues that must be addressed when using technical indicators, including performance measurement criteria, consistency of results, combining indicators, portfolio considerations, and leveraging. This indispensable resource features: * Comprehensive testing of sixty different technical indicators, fully described, including Trading Band Crossover, Relative Strength Peaks, Random Walk Breakout, Candle Belt Hold, and Volume Trend * An explanation of the underlying concepts behind the indicators and their methods of calculation * In-depth results of tests on each individual indicator, with over 250 pages of detailed tables * An examination of trading rules that combine two or more indicators and a report of a sampling of the best combinations * An annotated bibliography. For those new to technical analysis or for the experienced analyst looking for some fresh angles on the subject, this one-of-a-kind resource is the only one you'll need to navigate the increasingly complex maze of technical market indicators. Can technical analysis be used as an effective tool to enhance investment performance? This question is currently on the minds of many investors and traders. The answer can be found in this invaluable, comprehensive resource, which provides a detailed analysis of the most commonly used indicators, explaining in detail which indicators seem to work best, why, under what conditions, and with which kinds of financial instruments. "Do technical market indicators provide useful information to the stock trader or is it impossible to beat a buy and hold strategy? Bauer and Dahlquist tackle this controversy by rigorously testing 60 indicators on 878 stocks over a 12-year period. Their explanations of the indicators, the testing process, and the results are clear and concise. The 12 major conclusions based on this extensive research will provide the reader with plenty of opportunities to follow Bauer and Dahlquist's final advice: 'Keep learning and keep thinking. '" - Tom Bierovic Manager, System Trading & Development Education Omega Research, Inc. "Who says a technician has to use charts? Here is a book that sidesteps traditional technical analysis and describes how tabular data can be more informative." - Ralph Acampora Managing Director Prudential Securities.

Technical Trading Rules and Market Efficiency

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (591 download)

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Book Synopsis Technical Trading Rules and Market Efficiency by : Elaine Loh

Download or read book Technical Trading Rules and Market Efficiency written by Elaine Loh and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Technical Trading Rules and Financial Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 230 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Technical Trading Rules and Financial Markets by : David H. Goldbaum

Download or read book Technical Trading Rules and Financial Markets written by David H. Goldbaum and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Do the Profits from Technical Trading Rules Reflect Inefficiencies?

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Do the Profits from Technical Trading Rules Reflect Inefficiencies? by : Hendrik Bessembinder

Download or read book Do the Profits from Technical Trading Rules Reflect Inefficiencies? written by Hendrik Bessembinder and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate whether the demonstrated effectiveness of technical analysis for forecasting equity returns can be reconciled with market efficiency. We find that evidence supportive of technical sell signals identifying periods of negative expected returns is confined to the pre-1940 subsamples. On average, transactions costs eliminate any additional returns to traders using the technical rules. We also demonstrate that technical analysis of an index constructed from CRSP returns, which is not typically observed by practicing technicians, is as useful for forecasting returns as is technical analysis of the widely observed DJIA. Finally, we show that, while technical analysis of individual equity price histories can forecast returns, it does not provide the ability to quot;beat the marketquot;. On balance, we conclude that there is little or no reason to view the evidence of technical forecast power as inconsistent with market efficiency.

Advanced Trading Rules

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080493432
Total Pages : 468 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Advanced Trading Rules by : Emmanual Acar

Download or read book Advanced Trading Rules written by Emmanual Acar and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2002-05-23 with total page 468 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advanced Trading Rules is the essential guide to state of the art techniques currently used by the very best financial traders, analysts and fund managers. The editors have brought together the world's leading professional and academic experts to explain how to understand, develop and apply cutting edge trading rules and systems. It is indispensable reading if you are involved in the derivatives, fixed income, foreign exchange and equities markets. Advanced Trading Rules demonstrates how to apply econometrics, computer modelling, technical and quantitative analysis to generate superior returns, showing how you can stay ahead of the curve by finding out why certain methods succeed or fail. Profit from this book by understanding how to use: stochastic properties of trading strategies; technical indicators; neural networks; genetic algorithms; quantitative techniques; charts. Financial markets professionals will discover a wealth of applicable ideas and methods to help them to improve their performance and profits. Students and academics working in this area will also benefit from the rigorous and theoretically sound analysis of this dynamic and exciting area of finance. - The essential guide to state of the art techniques currently used by the very best financial traders, analysts and fund managers - Provides a complete overview of cutting edge financial markets trading rules, including new material on technical analysis and evaluation - Demonstrates how to apply econometrics, computer modeling, technical and quantitative analysis to generate superior returns

Nonlinear Technical Trading Rules Profits and Relative Efficiency

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 5 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinear Technical Trading Rules Profits and Relative Efficiency by : Nicolas Wesner

Download or read book Nonlinear Technical Trading Rules Profits and Relative Efficiency written by Nicolas Wesner and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 5 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In an application to the CAC40 daily's returns, a trading rule based on predictions given by the nearest neighbour method is shown to exhibit higher profitability than a buy-and-hold strategy only for low transactions costs and during high volatility episodes. Those results are interpreted as a sign of the relative inefficiency of the french stock market during abnormally high volatility episodes.

A Comparative Study of Technical Trading Rules, Time-series Trading Rules and Combined Technical and Time-series Trading Strategies in the Australian Stock Exchange

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 466 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (224 download)

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Book Synopsis A Comparative Study of Technical Trading Rules, Time-series Trading Rules and Combined Technical and Time-series Trading Strategies in the Australian Stock Exchange by : Elaine Loh

Download or read book A Comparative Study of Technical Trading Rules, Time-series Trading Rules and Combined Technical and Time-series Trading Strategies in the Australian Stock Exchange written by Elaine Loh and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 466 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: [Truncated abstract] This thesis examines and compares the performance of three classes of stock trading strategies in the Australian stock market from 1980 to 2002. ... The first segment of this thesis examines some simple technical trading rules with a twostep methodology ... Our standard test results show that technical trading rules generate excess returns higher than that of the buy-and-hold portfolio equivalent prior to 1991, but generate lower returns in the period post-1991. Bootstrap test results also show that addressing nonnormality, time-dependence and conditional heteroskedasticity in the data reverses the standard test outcome of predictability ... In addition, our sub-sample results also show technical trading rules becoming less profitable over time ... The second segment of this thesis examines trading rules based on the forecasts of four time-series models: the AR(1), AR(1)-GARCH(1,1), AR(1)-GARCH(1,1)-M and AR(1)- EGARCH(1,1) models. These time-series trading rules were examined with standard t-tests and found to be significantly less profitable compared to technical trading rules. Subsample results also show the time-series trading rules losing profitability over time, which supports the conjecture that the Australian stock market became increasingly efficient over time. The third segment of this thesis examines trading strategies based on various combinations of technical trading rules and time-series models ... Due to the weak performance of the time-series trading rules, our results show that combining technical rules with time-series models do not lead to improved forecast accuracy. Sub-sample results again show a strong decline in profitability post-1991, suggesting that technological advancements in the ASX since 1991 enhance market efficiency such that the above simple stock trading strategies are no longer profitable.

Advanced Trading Rules

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Publisher : Butterworth-Heinemann
ISBN 13 : 9780750655163
Total Pages : 474 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (551 download)

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Book Synopsis Advanced Trading Rules by : Emmanual Acar

Download or read book Advanced Trading Rules written by Emmanual Acar and published by Butterworth-Heinemann. This book was released on 2002-06-05 with total page 474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advanced Trading Rules is the essential guide to state of the art techniques currently used by the very best financial traders, analysts and fund managers. The editors have brought together the world's leading professional and academic experts to explain how to understand, develop and apply cutting edge trading rules and systems. It is indispensable reading if you are involved in the derivatives, fixed income, foreign exchange and equities markets. Advanced Trading Rules demonstrates how to apply econometrics, computer modelling, technical and quantitative analysis to generate superior returns, showing how you can stay ahead of the curve by finding out why certain methods succeed or fail. Profit from this book by understanding how to use: stochastic properties of trading strategies; technical indicators; neural networks; genetic algorithms; quantitative techniques; charts. Financial markets professionals will discover a wealth of applicable ideas and methods to help them to improve their performance and profits. Students and academics working in this area will also benefit from the rigorous and theoretically sound analysis of this dynamic and exciting area of finance. The essential guide to state of the art techniques currently used by the very best financial traders, analysts and fund managers Provides a complete overview of cutting edge financial markets trading rules, including new material on technical analysis and evaluation Demonstrates how to apply econometrics, computer modeling, technical and quantitative analysis to generate superior returns

10

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470460113
Total Pages : 246 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (74 download)

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Book Synopsis 10 by : Michael Turner

Download or read book 10 written by Michael Turner and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-12-03 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 10 takes you step by step through the process of creating a market-beating stock portfolio, and shows you how to trade stocks using a combination of both fundamental and technical analysis. With this book as your guide, you'll quickly learn how to get into a stock at the right time and, more importantly, when to exit that position. You'll also discover how to view the market and interpret what is happening on a broader scale, so you can maximize profits on individual positions and boost the overall performance of your portfolio.

Market Timing with Moving Averages

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 331960970X
Total Pages : 300 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Timing with Moving Averages by : Valeriy Zakamulin

Download or read book Market Timing with Moving Averages written by Valeriy Zakamulin and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-11-17 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a comprehensive guide to market timing using moving averages. Part I explores the foundations of market timing rules, presenting a methodology for examining how the value of a trading indicator is computed. Using this methodology the author then applies the computation of trading indicators to a variety of market timing rules to analyse the commonalities and differences between the rules. Part II goes on to present a comprehensive analysis of the empirical performance of trading rules based on moving averages.

The Encyclopedia Of Technical Market Indicators, Second Edition

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Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 0071711627
Total Pages : 833 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (717 download)

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Book Synopsis The Encyclopedia Of Technical Market Indicators, Second Edition by : Robert W. Colby

Download or read book The Encyclopedia Of Technical Market Indicators, Second Edition written by Robert W. Colby and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2002-11-12 with total page 833 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today's most all-inclusive reference of technical indicators--what they are and how to use them to add value to any trading program Technical analysis has become an incredibly popular investors' tool for gauging market strength and forecasting short-term direction for both markets and individual stocks. But as markets have changed dramatically, so too have technical indicators and elements. The Encyclopedia of Technical Market Indicators provides an alphabetical and up-to-date listing of hundreds of today's most important indicators. It defines what each indicator is, explains the philosophy behind the indicator, and of the greatest importance provides easy-to-understand guidelines for using it in day-to-day trading. Broad in both scope and appeal, this one-of-a-kind reference painstakingly updates information from the previous edition plus defines and discusses nearly 100 new indicators.

Technical Analysis and the Active Trader

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Publisher : McGraw-Hill Companies
ISBN 13 : 9780071467919
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (679 download)

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Book Synopsis Technical Analysis and the Active Trader by : Gary Norden

Download or read book Technical Analysis and the Active Trader written by Gary Norden and published by McGraw-Hill Companies. This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduces you to a powerful trading approach that integrates knowledge of fundamentals and trader psychology with specific technical indicators for a sensible trading program.

Technical Analysis: Modern Perspectives

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Publisher : CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN 13 : 1944960120
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (449 download)

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Book Synopsis Technical Analysis: Modern Perspectives by : Gordon Scott

Download or read book Technical Analysis: Modern Perspectives written by Gordon Scott and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2016-11-14 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The ART of Trading

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118039386
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis The ART of Trading by : Bennett A. McDowell

Download or read book The ART of Trading written by Bennett A. McDowell and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-12-28 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An expert in the field of finance reveals his proven trading system As a trading coach and financial advisor, Bennett McDowell has used his own proprietary trading system--Applied Reality Trading or ART to enhance the performance of his clients' portfolios. Now McDowell outlines the unique benefits of his system and makes the case for trading the reality--not the fantasy--of financial markets. Readers will discover the importance of simplicity in a trading approach; how to develop "The Trader's Mindset;" how to use ART(r) technical analysis software; and much more. The ART of Trading will enlighten readers in how to use reality to enrich both their financial portfolio and their own financial psychology.