Surprises In Probability

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Surprises in Probability

Author : Henk Tijms
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 0429815484
Total Pages : 169 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (298 download)

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Book Synopsis Surprises in Probability by : Henk Tijms

Download or read book Surprises in Probability written by Henk Tijms and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-08-30 with total page 169 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book brings together a variety of probability applications through entertaining stories that will appeal to a broad readership. What are the best stopping rules for the dating problem? What can Bayes’ formula tell us about the chances of a Champions League draw for soccer teams being rigged? How could syndicates win millions of lottery dollars by buying a multitude of tickets at the right time? What’s the best way to manage your betting bankroll in a game in which you have an edge? How to use probability to debunk quacks and psychic mediums? How can the Monte Carlo simulation be used to solve a wide variety of probability problems? Are seven riffle shuffles of a standard deck of 52 playing cards enough for randomness? Provides seventeen engaging stories that illustrate ideas in probability. Written so as to be suitable for those with minimal mathematical background. Stories can be read independently. Can be used as examples and exercises for teaching introductory probability. These questions and many more are addressed in seventeen short chapters that can be read independently. The engaging stories are instructive and demonstrate valuable probabilistic ideas. They offer students material that they most likely don’t learn in class, and offer teachers a new way of teaching their subject.

Elementary Probability

Author : David Stirzaker
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139441035
Total Pages : 540 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Elementary Probability by : David Stirzaker

Download or read book Elementary Probability written by David Stirzaker and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2003-08-18 with total page 540 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Now available in a fully revised and updated second edition, this well established textbook provides a straightforward introduction to the theory of probability. The presentation is entertaining without any sacrifice of rigour; important notions are covered with the clarity that the subject demands. Topics covered include conditional probability, independence, discrete and continuous random variables, basic combinatorics, generating functions and limit theorems, and an introduction to Markov chains. The text is accessible to undergraduate students and provides numerous worked examples and exercises to help build the important skills necessary for problem solving.

Ten Great Ideas about Chance

Author : Persi Diaconis
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691196397
Total Pages : 270 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Ten Great Ideas about Chance by : Persi Diaconis

Download or read book Ten Great Ideas about Chance written by Persi Diaconis and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2019-10-08 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries, gamblers and mathematicians transformed the idea of chance from a mystery into the discipline of probability, setting the stage for a series of breakthroughs that enabled or transformed innumerable fields, from gambling, mathematics, statistics, economics, and finance to physics and computer science. This book tells the story of ten great ideas about chance and the thinkers who developed them, tracing the philosophical implications of these ideas as well as their mathematical impact.

Understanding Probability

Author : Henk Tijms
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139465457
Total Pages : 407 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Probability by : Henk Tijms

Download or read book Understanding Probability written by Henk Tijms and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2007-07-26 with total page 407 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this fully revised second edition of Understanding Probability, the reader can learn about the world of probability in an informal way. The author demystifies the law of large numbers, betting systems, random walks, the bootstrap, rare events, the central limit theorem, the Bayesian approach and more. This second edition has wider coverage, more explanations and examples and exercises, and a new chapter introducing Markov chains, making it a great choice for a first probability course. But its easy-going style makes it just as valuable if you want to learn about the subject on your own, and high school algebra is really all the mathematical background you need.

Probability, Choice, and Reason

Author : Leighton Vaughan Williams
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000458873
Total Pages : 311 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability, Choice, and Reason by : Leighton Vaughan Williams

Download or read book Probability, Choice, and Reason written by Leighton Vaughan Williams and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-09-15 with total page 311 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Much of our thinking is flawed because it is based on faulty intuition. By using the framework and tools of probability and statistics, we can overcome this to provide solutions to many real-world problems and paradoxes. We show how to do this, and find answers that are frequently very contrary to what we might expect. Along the way, we venture into diverse realms and thought experiments which challenge the way that we see the world. Features: An insightful and engaging discussion of some of the key ideas of probabilistic and statistical thinking Many classic and novel problems, paradoxes, and puzzles An exploration of some of the big questions involving the use of choice and reason in an uncertain world The application of probability, statistics, and Bayesian methods to a wide range of subjects, including economics, finance, law, and medicine Exercises, references, and links for those wishing to cross-reference or to probe further Solutions to exercises at the end of the book This book should serve as an invaluable and fascinating resource for university, college, and high school students who wish to extend their reading, as well as for teachers and lecturers who want to liven up their courses while retaining academic rigour. It will also appeal to anyone who wishes to develop skills with numbers or has an interest in the many statistical and other paradoxes that permeate our lives. Indeed, anyone studying the sciences, social sciences, or humanities on a formal or informal basis will enjoy and benefit from this book.

Chance Rules

Author : Brian Everitt
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387774157
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (877 download)

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Book Synopsis Chance Rules by : Brian Everitt

Download or read book Chance Rules written by Brian Everitt and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-06-29 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chance continues to govern our lives in the 21st Century. From the genes we inherit and the environment into which we are born, to the lottery ticket we buy at the local store, much of life is a gamble. In business, education, travel, health, and marriage, we take chances in the hope of obtaining something better. Chance colors our lives with uncertainty, and so it is important to examine it and try to understand about how it operates in a number of different circumstances. Such understanding becomes simpler if we take some time to learn a little about probability, since probability is the natural language of uncertainty. This second edition of Chance Rules again recounts the story of chance through history and the various ways it impacts on our lives. Here you can read about the earliest gamblers who thought that the fall of the dice was controlled by the gods, as well as the modern geneticist and quantum theory researcher trying to integrate aspects of probability into their chosen speciality. Example included in the first addition such as the infamous Monty Hall problem, tossing coins, coincidences, horse racing, birthdays and babies remain, often with an expanded discussion, in this edition. Additional material in the second edition includes, a probabilistic explanation of why things were better when you were younger, consideration of whether you can use probability to prove the existence of God, how long you may have to wait to win the lottery, some court room dramas, predicting the future, and how evolution scores over creationism. Chance Rules lets you learn about probability without complex mathematics.

Probability

Author : David J. Morin
Publisher : Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
ISBN 13 : 9781523318674
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (186 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability by : David J. Morin

Download or read book Probability written by David J. Morin and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Preface -- Combinatorics -- Probability -- Expectation values -- Distributions -- Gaussian approximations -- Correlation and regression -- Appendices.

The Unfinished Game

Author : Keith Devlin
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 0465018963
Total Pages : 210 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (65 download)

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Book Synopsis The Unfinished Game by : Keith Devlin

Download or read book The Unfinished Game written by Keith Devlin and published by . This book was released on 2010-03-23 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Before the mid-seventeenth century, scholars generally agreed that it was impossible to predict something by calculating mathematical outcomes. One simply could not put a numerical value on the likelihood that a particular event would occur. Even the outcome of something as simple as a dice roll or the likelihood of showers instead of sunshine was thought to lie in the realm of pure, unknowable chance. The issue remained intractable until Blaise Pascal wrote to Pierre de Fermat in 1654, outlining a solution to the "unfinished game" problem: how do you divide the pot when players are forced to.

Good Thinking

Author : Irving J. Good
Publisher : Courier Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0486474380
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (864 download)

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Book Synopsis Good Thinking by : Irving J. Good

Download or read book Good Thinking written by Irving J. Good and published by Courier Corporation. This book was released on 2009-11-18 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These sparkling essays by a gifted thinker offer philosophical views on the roots of statistical interference. A pioneer in the early development of computing, Irving J. Good made fundamental contributions to the theory of Bayesian inference and was a key member of the team that broke the German Enigma code during World War II. Good maintains that a grasp of probability is essential to answering both practical and philosophical questions. This compilation of his most accessible works concentrates on philosophical rather than mathematical subjects, ranging from rational decisions, randomness, and the nature of probability to operational research, artificial intelligence, cognitive psychology, and chess. These twenty-three self-contained articles represent the author's work in a variety of fields but are unified by a consistently rational approach. Five closely related sections explore Bayesian rationality; probability; corroboration, hypothesis testing, and simplicity; information and surprise; and causality and explanation. A comprehensive index, abundant references, and a bibliography refer readers to classic and modern literature. Good's thought-provoking observations and memorable examples provide scientists, mathematicians, and historians of science with a coherent view of probability and its applications.

Elementary Probability for Applications

Author : Rick Durrett
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139480731
Total Pages : 255 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Elementary Probability for Applications by : Rick Durrett

Download or read book Elementary Probability for Applications written by Rick Durrett and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-07-31 with total page 255 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This clear and lively introduction to probability theory concentrates on the results that are the most useful for applications, including combinatorial probability and Markov chains. Concise and focused, it is designed for a one-semester introductory course in probability for students who have some familiarity with basic calculus. Reflecting the author's philosophy that the best way to learn probability is to see it in action, there are more than 350 problems and 200 examples. The examples contain all the old standards such as the birthday problem and Monty Hall, but also include a number of applications not found in other books, from areas as broad ranging as genetics, sports, finance, and inventory management.

Information Theory

Author : JV Stone
Publisher : Sebtel Press
ISBN 13 : 0956372856
Total Pages : 243 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (563 download)

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Book Synopsis Information Theory by : JV Stone

Download or read book Information Theory written by JV Stone and published by Sebtel Press. This book was released on 2015-01-01 with total page 243 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally developed by Claude Shannon in the 1940s, information theory laid the foundations for the digital revolution, and is now an essential tool in telecommunications, genetics, linguistics, brain sciences, and deep space communication. In this richly illustrated book, accessible examples are used to introduce information theory in terms of everyday games like ‘20 questions’ before more advanced topics are explored. Online MatLab and Python computer programs provide hands-on experience of information theory in action, and PowerPoint slides give support for teaching. Written in an informal style, with a comprehensive glossary and tutorial appendices, this text is an ideal primer for novices who wish to learn the essential principles and applications of information theory.

High-Dimensional Probability

Author : Roman Vershynin
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108415199
Total Pages : 299 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis High-Dimensional Probability by : Roman Vershynin

Download or read book High-Dimensional Probability written by Roman Vershynin and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-09-27 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An integrated package of powerful probabilistic tools and key applications in modern mathematical data science.

The Theory of Probability

Author : Santosh S. Venkatesh
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107024471
Total Pages : 830 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis The Theory of Probability by : Santosh S. Venkatesh

Download or read book The Theory of Probability written by Santosh S. Venkatesh and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013 with total page 830 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From classical foundations to modern theory, this comprehensive guide to probability interweaves mathematical proofs, historical context and detailed illustrative applications.

Probability and Finance

Author : Glenn Shafer
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0471461717
Total Pages : 438 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (714 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability and Finance by : Glenn Shafer

Download or read book Probability and Finance written by Glenn Shafer and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-02-25 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides a foundation for probability based on game theory rather than measure theory. A strong philosophical approach with practical applications. Presents in-depth coverage of classical probability theory as well as new theory.

Examining an Operational Approach to Teaching Probability

Author : Drivet, Alessio
Publisher : IGI Global
ISBN 13 : 1799838722
Total Pages : 369 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (998 download)

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Book Synopsis Examining an Operational Approach to Teaching Probability by : Drivet, Alessio

Download or read book Examining an Operational Approach to Teaching Probability written by Drivet, Alessio and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2020-12-18 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Several years ago, there began a consideration of the inadequacy of a traditional approach to teaching mathematics. Many teachers and perhaps a majority of the students often realize something is wrong with these methods and report a lack of enthusiasm in dealing with the discipline. Many teachers think that certain established habits have a serious pedagogical basis, and therefore, it is difficult to question them. In addition, perhaps, there is also a certain fear in imagining and experimenting with new ways. Unfortunately, the excessive use of examples and abstract formulations with exclusive reference to algebraic language distances the student from the pleasure of the discipline. Mathematics, on the other hand, requires attention and concentration, but the understanding of its meaning gives rise to interest, pleasure to discover, and promotes deep learning. This is where studying probability from an operational approach has gained much traction. The most interesting aspect is the use of a very artisanal approach, starting with objects that students can, in part, find in their daily lives. Trying to identify objects and situations that speak of "different mathematics," embodied in everyday life, may offer more possibilities to deal with the mathematical illiteracy that seems to afflict a large part of our society. Examining an Operational Approach to Teaching Probability focuses on probability examined from an educational point of view and the implementation of a very concrete operational approach in the classroom. Two main pillars are examined within this book: concrete objects and IT tools used to perform simulations for probability teaching. Each chapter is devoted to an essential concept related to probability and covers the operational approach all the way from its historical development to types of probability studies, different teaching methods within the approach, and the theories surrounding it. This book is ideal for pre-service and in-service teachers looking for nontraditional approaches in teaching along with instructional designers, curricula developers, practitioners, researchers, academicians, and students interested in learning more about operational research and the use of objects to introduce probabilistic concepts in a new method of teaching.

Novelty, Information and Surprise

Author : Günther Palm
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3662658755
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (626 download)

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Book Synopsis Novelty, Information and Surprise by : Günther Palm

Download or read book Novelty, Information and Surprise written by Günther Palm and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-01-02 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This revised edition offers an approach to information theory that is more general than the classical approach of Shannon. Classically, information is defined for an alphabet of symbols or for a set of mutually exclusive propositions (a partition of the probability space Ω) with corresponding probabilities adding up to 1. The new definition is given for an arbitrary cover of Ω, i.e. for a set of possibly overlapping propositions. The generalized information concept is called novelty and it is accompanied by two concepts derived from it, designated as information and surprise, which describe "opposite" versions of novelty, information being related more to classical information theory and surprise being related more to the classical concept of statistical significance. In the discussion of these three concepts and their interrelations several properties or classes of covers are defined, which turn out to be lattices. The book also presents applications of these concepts, mostly in statistics and in neuroscience.

A Modern Introduction to Probability and Statistics

Author : F.M. Dekking
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1846281687
Total Pages : 485 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (462 download)

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Book Synopsis A Modern Introduction to Probability and Statistics by : F.M. Dekking

Download or read book A Modern Introduction to Probability and Statistics written by F.M. Dekking and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-03-30 with total page 485 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Suitable for self study Use real examples and real data sets that will be familiar to the audience Introduction to the bootstrap is included – this is a modern method missing in many other books