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Structural Breaks In Stock Returns Driven By Large Shocks
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Book Synopsis Structural Breaks in Stock Returns Driven by Large Shocks by : Yiannis Dendramis
Download or read book Structural Breaks in Stock Returns Driven by Large Shocks written by Yiannis Dendramis and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper employes a parametric model of structural breaks in the mean of stock returns which allows them to be endogenously driven by large positive or negative stock market return shocks. These shocks can be taken to reflect important market announcements, monetary policy regime shifts and/or changes in business conditions which affect stock market. The model assumes that both the timing and size of breaks are stochastic. The last property of the model distinguishes it from models suggested in the literature to capture structural breaks or regime shifts in the mean of stock returns. Implementation of the model to the US stock market indicates that the model can successfully capture structural breaks in the mean of the aggregate return of this market. Most of these breaks are triggered by negative large return shocks. The latter can be of smaller magnitude that the positive ones. Finally, the paper shows that the model can be employed to successfully forecast future expected stock returns.
Book Synopsis Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Model Uncertainty by : David E. Rapach
Download or read book Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Model Uncertainty written by David E. Rapach and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2008-02-29 with total page 691 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting in the presence of structural breaks and model uncertainty are active areas of research with implications for practical problems in forecasting. This book addresses forecasting variables from both Macroeconomics and Finance, and considers various methods of dealing with model instability and model uncertainty when forming forecasts.
Book Synopsis How Novelty and Narratives Drive the Stock Market by : Nicholas Mangee
Download or read book How Novelty and Narratives Drive the Stock Market written by Nicholas Mangee and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2021-10-14 with total page 451 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Animal spirits' is a term that describes the instincts and emotions driving human behaviour in economic settings. In recent years, this concept has been discussed in relation to the emerging field of narrative economics. When unscheduled events hit the stock market, from corporate scandals and technological breakthroughs to recessions and pandemics, relationships driving returns change in unforeseeable ways. To deal with uncertainty, investors engage in narratives which simplify the complexity of real-time, non-routine change. This book assesses the novelty-narrative hypothesis for the U.S. stock market by conducting a comprehensive investigation of unscheduled events using big data textual analysis of financial news. This important contribution to the field of narrative economics finds that major macro events and associated narratives spill over into the churning stream of corporate novelty and sub-narratives, spawning different forms of unforeseeable stock market instability.
Book Synopsis Essays on Stock Return Predictability and Portfolio Allocation by : Bradley Steele Paye
Download or read book Essays on Stock Return Predictability and Portfolio Allocation written by Bradley Steele Paye and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 378 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Optimization and Control for Systems in the Big-Data Era by : Tsan-Ming Choi
Download or read book Optimization and Control for Systems in the Big-Data Era written by Tsan-Ming Choi and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-05-04 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on optimal control and systems engineering in the big data era. It examines the scientific innovations in optimization, control and resilience management that can be applied to further success. In both business operations and engineering applications, there are huge amounts of data that can overwhelm computing resources of large-scale systems. This “big data” provides new opportunities to improve decision making and addresses risk for individuals as well in organizations. While utilizing data smartly can enhance decision making, how to use and incorporate data into the decision making framework remains a challenging topic. Ultimately the chapters in this book present new models and frameworks to help overcome this obstacle. Optimization and Control for Systems in the Big-Data Era: Theory and Applications is divided into five parts. Part I offers reviews on optimization and control theories, and Part II examines the optimization and control applications. Part III provides novel insights and new findings in the area of financial optimization analysis. The chapters in Part IV deal with operations analysis, covering flow-shop operations and quick response systems. The book concludes with final remarks and a look to the future of big data related optimization and control problems.
Book Synopsis Data-Driven Approaches for Effective Managerial Decision Making by : Anubha
Download or read book Data-Driven Approaches for Effective Managerial Decision Making written by Anubha and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2023-05-08 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In todays competitive market, a manager must be able to look at data, understand it, analyze it, and then interpret it to design a smart business strategy. Big data is also a valuable source of information on how customers interact with firms through various mediums such as social media platforms, online reviews, and many more. The applications and uses of business analytics are numerous and must be further studied to ensure they are utilized appropriately. Data-Driven Approaches for Effective Managerial Decision Making investigates management concepts and applications using data analytics and outlines future research directions. The book also addresses contemporary advancements and innovations in the field of management. Covering key topics such as big data, business intelligence, and artificial intelligence, this reference work is ideal for managers, business owners, industry professionals, researchers, scholars, academicians, practitioners, instructors, and students.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Real Estate and Macroeconomics by : Leung, Charles K.Y.
Download or read book Handbook of Real Estate and Macroeconomics written by Leung, Charles K.Y. and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2022-06-16 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Handbook collects a set of academic and accessible chapters to address three questions: What should real estate economists know about macroeconomics? What should macroeconomists know about real estate? What should readers know about the interaction between real estate and macroeconomics?
Book Synopsis After the Flood by : Edward L. Glaeser
Download or read book After the Flood written by Edward L. Glaeser and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2017-03-23 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Includes papers presented at a conference held at the Columbia Business School in the spring of 2013 in honor of Josae Scheinkman's 65th birthday.
Book Synopsis Shocks and Structural Breaks by : Mr.Eswar Prasad
Download or read book Shocks and Structural Breaks written by Mr.Eswar Prasad and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-11 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the effects of the labor market reforms launched in the early 1980s by the Conservative government led by Mrs. Thatcher. It is argued that the increase in the growth of labor productivity in manufacturing after 1980 as well as the improvement in the responsiveness of employment to variations in output can be largely attributed to the success of the reforms in reducing industrial disputes and removing a number of structural impediments in the labor market. However, the reforms did not succeed in moderating real wage growth or improving the tradeoff between wage inflation and unemployment. This is attributed to certain aspects of the wage bargaining system and the influence of relative wage norms in the process of wage determination.
Book Synopsis Routledge Handbook of Energy Economics by : Uğur Soytaş
Download or read book Routledge Handbook of Energy Economics written by Uğur Soytaş and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-09-23 with total page 620 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Energy consumption and production have major influences on the economy, environment, and society, but in return they are also influenced by how the economy is structured, how the social institutions work, and how the society deals with environmental degradation. The need for integrated assessment of the relationship between energy, economy, environment, and society is clear, and this handbook offers an in-depth review of all four pillars of the energy-economy-environment-society nexus. Bringing together contributions from all over the world, this handbook includes sections devoted to each of the four pillars. Moreover, as the financialization of commodity markets has made risk analysis more complicated and intriguing, the sections also cover energy commodity markets and their links to other financial and non-financial markets. In addition, econometric modeling and the forecasting of energy needs, as well as energy prices and volatilities, are also explored. Each part emphasizes the multidisciplinary nature of the energy economics field and from this perspective, chapters offer a review of models and methods used in the literature. The Routledge Handbook of Energy Economics will be of great interest to all those studying and researching in the area of energy economics. It offers guideline suggestions for policy makers as well as for future research.
Book Synopsis Political Economy Perspectives on the Greek Crisis by : Ioannis Bournakis
Download or read book Political Economy Perspectives on the Greek Crisis written by Ioannis Bournakis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-11-27 with total page 397 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a comprehensive guide to the on-going Greek debt crisis. It identifies and explains Greece’s idiosyncratic weaknesses, and highlights the existing rigidities in the EU architecture that make the recovery prospects of the Greek economy challenging. Chapters from expert contributors highlight aspects of the performance of the Greek economy with focus on export performance, labour market conditions, political cycles and regional income disparities. The book then goes on to outline the banking system in Greece in the post-crisis era, and includes analysis that explains how the credit rating score affected Greece’s borrowing capacity prior to the start of the insolvency crisis. The final part analyses and compares alternative scenarios of fiscal consolidation, seeking to identify whether there are alternatives to fiscal austerity and the impact of each one of them. This section also clarifies various misconceptions about the significant determinants of international competitiveness. Despite the focus of the book, the lessons drawn from the chapters are not limited to Greece. This volume will be of interest to academics, practitioners and policy makers who wish to take a closer look at the Greek debt crisis and learn more about the challenges the Greek economy is currently facing.
Book Synopsis Financial Economics and Econometrics by : Nikiforos T. Laopodis
Download or read book Financial Economics and Econometrics written by Nikiforos T. Laopodis and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2021-12-14 with total page 767 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Economics and Econometrics provides an overview of the core topics in theoretical and empirical finance, with an emphasis on applications and interpreting results. Structured in five parts, the book covers financial data and univariate models; asset returns; interest rates, yields and spreads; volatility and correlation; and corporate finance and policy. Each chapter begins with a theory in financial economics, followed by econometric methodologies which have been used to explore the theory. Next, the chapter presents empirical evidence and discusses seminal papers on the topic. Boxes offer insights on how an idea can be applied to other disciplines such as management, marketing and medicine, showing the relevance of the material beyond finance. Readers are supported with plenty of worked examples and intuitive explanations throughout the book, while key takeaways, ‘test your knowledge’ and ‘test your intuition’ features at the end of each chapter also aid student learning. Digital supplements including PowerPoint slides, computer codes supplements, an Instructor’s Manual and Solutions Manual are available for instructors. This textbook is suitable for upper-level undergraduate and graduate courses on financial economics, financial econometrics, empirical finance and related quantitative areas.
Book Synopsis Shocks and Political Change by : William R. Thompson
Download or read book Shocks and Political Change written by William R. Thompson and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-05-16 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Political shocks have come to be considered highly salient for explaining major changes to international politics and to the foreign policies of states. Such shocks can occur at all levels of analysis: domestically, dyadically, regionally, or globally. They range from political phenomena such as coups and wars to ecological catastrophes. These shocks are sufficiently disruptive to cause foreign policy makers to reconsider their foreign policy orientations and to contemplate major changes to their policies. In fact, some have argued that it is mostly through political shocks that fundamental policy change occurs in most states. No wonder then that political shocks are now increasingly part of the toolbox of considerations used by foreign policy and international relations scholars as they focus on understanding patterns of conflict and cooperation between states. Given the salience of political shocks to understand foreign policy change, this book brings together a group of both senior and more junior scholars whose previous work has shown substantial promise for moving forward theory and empirical analysis. Their combined efforts in this book highlight the value of multiple theoretical and empirical approaches to a clearer understanding of the nature of political shocks and their consequences for foreign policy and international politics.
Book Synopsis Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles by : C. Milas
Download or read book Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles written by C. Milas and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2006-02-08 with total page 461 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume of Contributions to Economic Analysis addresses a number of important questions in the field of business cycles including: How should business cycles be dated and measured? What is the response of output and employment to oil-price and monetary shocks? And, is the business cycle asymmetric, and does it matter?
Book Synopsis Common Trends and Structural Change by : Mr.Torbjorn I. Becker
Download or read book Common Trends and Structural Change written by Mr.Torbjorn I. Becker and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-06-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uses a common trends model to study how prices, the black market exchange rate, money, and real output have developed over a period covering both pre- and post-revolution Iranian data. It is shown that monetary shocks have significant short-run effects on output, but permanent effects on the price level and exchange rate, that is, expansionary monetary policy is not consistent with achieving low inflation or a stable unified exchange rate. The real shocks generate higher growth and lower inflation, suggesting that supply-side policies are consistent with the goals in the Islamic Republic of Iran’s second five-year development plan.
Book Synopsis The Interrelationship Between Financial and Energy Markets by : Sofia Ramos
Download or read book The Interrelationship Between Financial and Energy Markets written by Sofia Ramos and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-08-09 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last decade, energy markets have developed substantially due to the growing activity of financial investors. One consequence of this massive presence of investors is a stronger link between the hitherto segmented energy and financial markets. This book addresses some of the recent developments in the interrelationship between financial and energy markets. It aims to further the understanding of the rich interplay between financial and energy markets by presenting several empirical studies that illustrate and discuss some of the main issues on this agenda.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Era of Big Data by : Peter Fuleky
Download or read book Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Era of Big Data written by Peter Fuleky and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-11-28 with total page 716 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book surveys big data tools used in macroeconomic forecasting and addresses related econometric issues, including how to capture dynamic relationships among variables; how to select parsimonious models; how to deal with model uncertainty, instability, non-stationarity, and mixed frequency data; and how to evaluate forecasts, among others. Each chapter is self-contained with references, and provides solid background information, while also reviewing the latest advances in the field. Accordingly, the book offers a valuable resource for researchers, professional forecasters, and students of quantitative economics.
