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Stress Testing Corporate Balance Sheets In Emerging Economies
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Book Synopsis Stress Testing Corporate Balance Sheets in Emerging Economies by : Mr.Julian T. S. Chow
Download or read book Stress Testing Corporate Balance Sheets in Emerging Economies written by Mr.Julian T. S. Chow and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-09-30 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, firms in emerging market countries have increased borrowing, particularly in foreign currency, owing to easy access to global capital markets, prolonged low interest rates and good investment opportunities. This paper discusses the trends in emerging market corporate debt and leverage, and illustrates how those firms are vulnerable to interest rate, exchange rate and earnings shocks. The results of a stress test show that while corporate sector risk remains moderate in most emerging economies, a combination of macroeconomic and financial shocks could significantly erode firms’ ability to service debt and lead to higher debt at risk, especially in countries with high shares of foreign currency debt and low natural hedges.
Book Synopsis Stress Testing Corporate Balance Sheets in Emerging Economies by : Julian T. S. Chow
Download or read book Stress Testing Corporate Balance Sheets in Emerging Economies written by Julian T. S. Chow and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, firms in emerging market countries have increased borrowing, particularly in foreign currency, owing to easy access to global capital markets, prolonged low interest rates and good investment opportunities. This paper discusses the trends in emerging market corporate debt and leverage, and illustrates how those firms are vulnerable to interest rate, exchange rate and earnings shocks. The results of a stress test show that while corporate sector risk remains moderate in most emerging economies, a combination of macroeconomic and financial shocks could significantly erode firms' ability to service debt and lead to higher debt at risk, especially in countries with high shares of foreign currency debt and low natural hedges.--Abstract.
Book Synopsis Financial Stability and Stress Testing by : Petr Jakubik
Download or read book Financial Stability and Stress Testing written by Petr Jakubik and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2014-08-11 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent episodes of financial turmoil have intensified policy discussion and research on financial stability. This book elaborates on methodologies, which can be used to measure financial sector vulnerabilities and identify potential risks. It further focuses on the link between the real and the financial sector as well as possible implications of household financial distress on the aggregate economy. It argues in favour of stress testing methodologies covering the key risks on banks' balance sheets. These frameworks can also be used for emerging markets where data availability is typically limited. It is shown that due to the high volatility of credit growth in emerging economies, the static approach assuming constant balance sheet items is not very appropriate. Furthermore, the feedback effect between the financial sector and the real economy might play an important role under certain assumptions, and therefore it should be taken into account by policy makers. This effect can also emerge in the real sector itself as potential instability can be related to households' distress and have an impact on the aggregate economy via additional decrease in household consumption.
Book Synopsis Stress Testing at the IMF by : Mr.Tobias Adrian
Download or read book Stress Testing at the IMF written by Mr.Tobias Adrian and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-02-05 with total page 73 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explains specifics of stress testing at the IMF. After a brief section on the evolution of stress tests at the IMF, the paper presents the key steps of an IMF staff stress test. They are followed by a discussion on how IMF staff uses stress tests results for policy advice. The paper concludes by identifying remaining challenges to make stress tests more useful for the monitoring of financial stability and an overview of IMF staff work program in that direction. Stress tests help assess the resilience of financial systems in IMF member countries and underpin policy advice to preserve or restore financial stability. This assessment and advice are mainly provided through the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). IMF staff also provide technical assistance in stress testing to many its member countries. An IMF macroprudential stress test is a methodology to assess financial vulnerabilities that can trigger systemic risk and the need of systemwide mitigating measures. The definition of systemic risk as used by the IMF is relevant to understanding the role of its stress tests as tools for financial surveillance and the IMF’s current work program. IMF stress tests primarily apply to depository intermediaries, and, systemically important banks.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498340024 Total Pages :67 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis Macrofinancial Stress Testing - Principles and Practices by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Download or read book Macrofinancial Stress Testing - Principles and Practices written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-22 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent financial crisis drew unprecedented attention to the stress testing of financial institutions. On one hand, stress tests were criticized for having missed many of the vulnerabilities that led to the crisis. On the other, after the onset of the crisis, they were given a new role as crisis management tools to guide bank recapitalization and help restore confidence. This spurred an intense debate on the models, underlying assumptions, and uses of stress tests. Current stress testing practices, however, are not based on a systematic and comprehensive set of principles but have emerged from trial-and-error and often reflect constraints in human, technical, and data capabilities.
Book Synopsis Next Generation Balance Sheet Stress Testing by : Mr. Christian Schmieder
Download or read book Next Generation Balance Sheet Stress Testing written by Mr. Christian Schmieder and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-04-01 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a "second-generation" solvency stress testing framework extending applied stress testing work centered on Cihák (2007). The framework seeks enriching stress tests in terms of risk-sensitivity, while keeping them flexible, transparent, and user-friendly. The main contributions include (a) increasing the risk-sensitivity of stress testing by capturing changes in risk-weighted assets (RWAs) under stress, including for non-internal ratings based (IRB) banks (through a quasi-IRB approach); (b) providing stress testers with a comprehensive platform to use satellite models, and to define various assumptions and scenarios; (c) allowing stress testers to run multi-year scenarios (up to five years) for hundreds of banks, depending on the availability of data. The framework uses balance sheet data and is Excel-based with detailed guidance and documentation.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :149833993X Total Pages :44 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis Macrofinancial Stress Testing - Principles and Practices—Background Material by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Download or read book Macrofinancial Stress Testing - Principles and Practices—Background Material written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-29 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Staff conducted a survey of stress testing practices among selected national central banks and supervisory authorities. The online survey was undertaken in November 2011 as part of the preparatory work for the paper on ?Macrofinancial Stress Testing: Principles and Practices. The survey focused on stress testing for banks, which is more widespread and better established—and practices are therefore easier to compare across countries—but also included questions on stress testing for nonbank financial institutions.
Book Synopsis Stress Testing Financial Systems by : Mr.Matthew T Jones
Download or read book Stress Testing Financial Systems written by Mr.Matthew T Jones and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-09-27 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stress testing is becoming a widely used tool to assess potential vulnerabilities in a financial system. This booklet is intended to answer some of the basic questions that may arise as part of the process of stress testing. The pamphlet begins with a discussion of stress testing in a financial system context, highlighting some of the differences between stress tests of systems and of individual portfolios. The booklet provides an overview of the process itself, from identifying vulnerabilities, to constructing scenarios, to interpreting the results. The experience of the IMF in conducting stress testing as part of the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) is also discussed.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498330274 Total Pages :63 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis Debt-Related Vulnerabilities and Financial Crises - an Application of the Balance Sheet Approach to Emerging Market Countries by : International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept.
Download or read book Debt-Related Vulnerabilities and Financial Crises - an Application of the Balance Sheet Approach to Emerging Market Countries written by International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-01-07 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL
Author :Mr. Paul Louis Ceriel Hilbers Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1451900260 Total Pages :39 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (519 download)
Book Synopsis Stress Testing Financial Systems by : Mr. Paul Louis Ceriel Hilbers
Download or read book Stress Testing Financial Systems written by Mr. Paul Louis Ceriel Hilbers and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-07-01 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stress testing is becoming a widely used tool to assess potential vulnerabilities in a financial system. This paper is intended to answer some of the basic questions that may arise as part of the process of stress testing. The paper begins with a discussion of stress testing in a financial system context, highlighting some of the differences between stress tests of systems and of individual portfolios. The paper provides an overview of the process itself, from identifying vulnerabilities, to constructing scenarios, to interpreting the results. The experience of the IMF in conducting stress testing as part of the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) is also discussed.
Book Synopsis The Global Bank Stress Test by : Xiaodan Ding
Download or read book The Global Bank Stress Test written by Xiaodan Ding and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-04-06 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents the framework underlying the Global Bank Stress Test (GST) and applies it to recent data and global scenarios to illustrate the usefulness of the framework in assessing the potential impact of global shocks on banks around the world. The results of this latest update of the GST continue to point to relatively lower levels of resilience of banks in emerging market economies (EMs) than in advanced economies (AEs).
Author :International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :148430005X Total Pages :79 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (843 download)
Book Synopsis New Zealand by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Download or read book New Zealand written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-05-10 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Technical Note discusses the results of stress testing of the banking sector and systemic risk analysis for New Zealand. The banking sector, which dominates the financial system, has significant exposure to real estate. A sharp decline in the real estate market, a prolonged period of low dairy prices, deterioration in global economic conditions, and a tightening in financial markets would adversely impact the system. Despite these risks, the banking system is resilient to severe shocks. Results of stress tests and sensitivity analysis indicate that the solvency and liquidity of the banking system can withstand adverse and severe shocks.
Book Synopsis Global Corporate Stress Tests—Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Policy Responses by : Mr. Thierry Tressel
Download or read book Global Corporate Stress Tests—Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Policy Responses written by Mr. Thierry Tressel and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-08-06 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Corporate sector vulnerabilities have been a central policy topic since the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic. In this paper, we analyze some 17,000 publicly listed firms in a sample of 24 countries, and assess their ability to withstand shocks induced by the pandemic to their liquidity, viability and solvency. For this purpose, we develop novel multi-factor sensitivity analysis and dynamic scenario-based stress test techniques to assess the impact of shocks on firm’s ability to service their debt, and on their liquidity and solvency positions. Applying the October 2020 WEO baseline and adverse scenarios, we find that a large share of publicly-listed firms become vulnerable as a result of the pandemic shock and additional borrowing needs to overcome cash shortfalls are large, while firm behavioral responses and policies substantially help overcome the impact of the shock in the near term. Looking forward, while interest coverage ratios tend to improve over time after the initial shock as earnings recover in line with projected macroeconomic conditions, liquidity needs remain substantial in many firms across countries and across industries, while insolvencies rise over time in specific industries. To inform policy debates, we offer an approach to a triage between viable and unviable firms, and find that the needs for liquidity support of viable firms remain important beyond 2020, and that medium-term debt restructuring needs and liquidations of firms may be substantial in the medium-term.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Financial Stress Testing by : J. Doyne Farmer
Download or read book Handbook of Financial Stress Testing written by J. Doyne Farmer and published by . This book was released on 2022-04-14 with total page 729 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discover current uses and future development of stress tests, the most innovative regulatory tool to prevent and fight financial crises.
Book Synopsis Using the Balance Sheet Approach in Surveillance by : Mr.Johan Mathisen
Download or read book Using the Balance Sheet Approach in Surveillance written by Mr.Johan Mathisen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-03-29 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A distinguishing feature of emerging market crises in recent years has been the sudden disruption in the capital accounts of the economy. These crises have highlighted the need for closer attention to macroeconomic vulnerabilities in sectoral balance sheets. This book enhances application of the balance sheet approach to surveillance by taking advantage of new data sets that provide detailed, frequent, and timely financial statistics.
Book Synopsis Macro-Prudential Stress Test Models: A Survey by : David Aikman
Download or read book Macro-Prudential Stress Test Models: A Survey written by David Aikman and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-08-25 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we survey the rapidly developing literature on macroprudential stress-testing models. The scope of the survey includes models of contagion between banks, models of contagion within the wider financial system including non-bank financial institutions such as investment funds, and models that emphasise the two-way interaction between the financial sector and the real economy. Our aim is two-fold: first, to provide a reference guide of the state-of-the-art for those developing such models; second, to distil insights from this endeavour for policy-makers using these models. In our view, the modelling frontier faces three main challenges: (a) our understanding of the potential for amplification in sectors of the non-bank financial system during periods of stress, (b) multi-sectoral models of the non-bank financial system to analyse the behaviour of the overall demand and supply of liquidity under stress and (c) stress testing models that incorporate comprehensive two-way interactions between the financial system and the real economy. Emerging lessons for policy-makers are that, for a given-sized shock hitting the system, its eventual impact will depend on (a) the size of financial institutions' capital and liquidity buffers, (b) the liquidation strategies financial institutions adopt when they need to raise cash, and (c) the topology of the financial network.
Book Synopsis Asian Perspectives on Financial Sector Reforms and Regulation by : Masahiro Kawai
Download or read book Asian Perspectives on Financial Sector Reforms and Regulation written by Masahiro Kawai and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2011-10-10 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Brookings Institution Press and Asian Development Bank Institute Although emerging economies as a group performed well during the global recession, weathering the recession better than advanced economies, there were sharp differences among them and across regions. The emerging economies of Asia had the most favorable outcomes, surviving the ravages of the global financial crisis with relatively modest declines in growth rates in most cases. China and India maintained strong growth during the crisis and played an important role in facilitating global economic recovery. In this informative volume, the second in a series on emerging markets, editors Masahiro Kawai and Eswar Prasad and the contributors analyze the major domestic macroeconomic and financial policy issues that could limit the growth potential of Asian emerging markets, such as rising inflation and surging capital inflows, with the accompanying risks of asset and credit market bubbles and of rapid currency appreciation. The book examines strategies to promote financial stability, including reforms for financial market development and macroprudential supervision and regulation.
