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Stochastic Modelling Of Social Processes
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Book Synopsis Stochastic Modelling of Social Processes by : Andreas Diekmann
Download or read book Stochastic Modelling of Social Processes written by Andreas Diekmann and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-10 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic Modelling of Social Processes provides information pertinent to the development in the field of stochastic modeling and its applications in the social sciences. This book demonstrates that stochastic models can fulfill the goals of explanation and prediction. Organized into nine chapters, this book begins with an overview of stochastic models that fulfill normative, predictive, and structural–analytic roles with the aid of the theory of probability. This text then examines the study of labor market structures using analysis of job and career mobility, which is one of the approaches taken by sociologists in research on the labor market. Other chapters consider the characteristic trends and patterns from data on divorces. This book discusses as well the two approaches of stochastic modeling of social processes, namely competing risk models and semi-Markov processes. The final chapter deals with the practical application of regression models of survival data. This book is a valuable resource for social scientists and statisticians.
Book Synopsis Markov Processes for Stochastic Modeling by : Oliver Ibe
Download or read book Markov Processes for Stochastic Modeling written by Oliver Ibe and published by Newnes. This book was released on 2013-05-22 with total page 515 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Markov processes are processes that have limited memory. In particular, their dependence on the past is only through the previous state. They are used to model the behavior of many systems including communications systems, transportation networks, image segmentation and analysis, biological systems and DNA sequence analysis, random atomic motion and diffusion in physics, social mobility, population studies, epidemiology, animal and insect migration, queueing systems, resource management, dams, financial engineering, actuarial science, and decision systems. Covering a wide range of areas of application of Markov processes, this second edition is revised to highlight the most important aspects as well as the most recent trends and applications of Markov processes. The author spent over 16 years in the industry before returning to academia, and he has applied many of the principles covered in this book in multiple research projects. Therefore, this is an applications-oriented book that also includes enough theory to provide a solid ground in the subject for the reader. - Presents both the theory and applications of the different aspects of Markov processes - Includes numerous solved examples as well as detailed diagrams that make it easier to understand the principle being presented - Discusses different applications of hidden Markov models, such as DNA sequence analysis and speech analysis.
Book Synopsis Stochastic Models for Social Processes by : David J. Bartholomew
Download or read book Stochastic Models for Social Processes written by David J. Bartholomew and published by Chichester ; New York : Wiley. This book was released on 1982 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Quantitative Sociodynamics by : Dirk Helbing
Download or read book Quantitative Sociodynamics written by Dirk Helbing and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-15 with total page 351 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When I wrote the book Quantitative Sociodynamics, it was an early attempt to make methods from statistical physics and complex systems theory fruitful for the modeling and understanding of social phenomena. Unfortunately, the ?rst edition appeared at a quite prohibitive price. This was one reason to make these chapters available again by a new edition. The other reason is that, in the meantime, many of the methods discussed in this book are more and more used in a variety of different ?elds. Among the ideas worked out in this book are: 1 • a statistical theory of binary social interactions, • a mathematical formulation of social ?eld theory, which is the basis of social 2 force models, • a microscopic foundation of evolutionary game theory, based on what is known today as ‘proportional imitation rule’, a stochastic treatment of interactions in evolutionary game theory, and a model for the self-organization of behavioral 3 conventions in a coordination game. It, therefore, appeared reasonable to make this book available again, but at a more affordable price. To keep its original character, the translation of this book, which 1 D. Helbing, Interrelations between stochastic equations for systems with pair interactions. Ph- icaA 181, 29–52 (1992); D. Helbing, Boltzmann-like and Boltzmann-Fokker-Planck equations as a foundation of behavioral models. PhysicaA 196, 546–573 (1993). 2 D. Helbing, Boltzmann-like and Boltzmann-Fokker-Planck equations as a foundation of beh- ioral models. PhysicaA 196, 546–573 (1993); D.
Book Synopsis Stochastic Modeling by : Nicolas Lanchier
Download or read book Stochastic Modeling written by Nicolas Lanchier and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-01-27 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Three coherent parts form the material covered in this text, portions of which have not been widely covered in traditional textbooks. In this coverage the reader is quickly introduced to several different topics enriched with 175 exercises which focus on real-world problems. Exercises range from the classics of probability theory to more exotic research-oriented problems based on numerical simulations. Intended for graduate students in mathematics and applied sciences, the text provides the tools and training needed to write and use programs for research purposes. The first part of the text begins with a brief review of measure theory and revisits the main concepts of probability theory, from random variables to the standard limit theorems. The second part covers traditional material on stochastic processes, including martingales, discrete-time Markov chains, Poisson processes, and continuous-time Markov chains. The theory developed is illustrated by a variety of examples surrounding applications such as the gambler’s ruin chain, branching processes, symmetric random walks, and queueing systems. The third, more research-oriented part of the text, discusses special stochastic processes of interest in physics, biology, and sociology. Additional emphasis is placed on minimal models that have been used historically to develop new mathematical techniques in the field of stochastic processes: the logistic growth process, the Wright –Fisher model, Kingman’s coalescent, percolation models, the contact process, and the voter model. Further treatment of the material explains how these special processes are connected to each other from a modeling perspective as well as their simulation capabilities in C and MatlabTM.
Book Synopsis An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling by : Howard M. Taylor
Download or read book An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling written by Howard M. Taylor and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-10 with total page 410 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling provides information pertinent to the standard concepts and methods of stochastic modeling. This book presents the rich diversity of applications of stochastic processes in the sciences. Organized into nine chapters, this book begins with an overview of diverse types of stochastic models, which predicts a set of possible outcomes weighed by their likelihoods or probabilities. This text then provides exercises in the applications of simple stochastic analysis to appropriate problems. Other chapters consider the study of general functions of independent, identically distributed, nonnegative random variables representing the successive intervals between renewals. This book discusses as well the numerous examples of Markov branching processes that arise naturally in various scientific disciplines. The final chapter deals with queueing models, which aid the design process by predicting system performance. This book is a valuable resource for students of engineering and management science. Engineers will also find this book useful.
Book Synopsis Social Dynamics Models and Methods by : Nancy Brandon Tuma
Download or read book Social Dynamics Models and Methods written by Nancy Brandon Tuma and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1984-08-28 with total page 602 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Social Dynamics: Models and Methods focuses on sociological methodology and on the practice of sociological research. This book is organized into three parts encompassing 16 chapters that deal with the basic principles of social dynamics. The first part of this book considers the development of models and methods for causal analysis of the actual time paths of change in attributes of individual and social systems. This part also discusses the applications in which the use of dynamic models and methods seems to have enhanced the capacity to formulate and test sociological arguments. These models and methods are useful for answering questions about the detailed structure of social change processes. The second part explores the formulation of the continuous-time models of change in both quantitative and qualitative outcomes and the development of suitable methods for estimating these models from the kinds of data commonly available to sociologists. The third part describes a stochastic framework for analyzing both qualitative and quantitative outcome of social changes. This part also discusses the sociologists' perspective on the empirical study of social change processes. This text will be of great value to sociologists and sociological researchers.
Book Synopsis Stochastic Models in Reliability and Maintenance by : Shunji Osaki
Download or read book Stochastic Models in Reliability and Maintenance written by Shunji Osaki and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-11-02 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our daily lives can be maintained by the high-technology systems. Computer systems are typical examples of such systems. We can enjoy our modern lives by using many computer systems. Much more importantly, we have to maintain such systems without failure, but cannot predict when such systems will fail and how to fix such systems without delay. A stochastic process is a set of outcomes of a random experiment indexed by time, and is one of the key tools needed to analyze the future behavior quantitatively. Reliability and maintainability technologies are of great interest and importance to the maintenance of such systems. Many mathematical models have been and will be proposed to describe reliability and maintainability systems by using the stochastic processes. The theme of this book is "Stochastic Models in Reliability and Main tainability. " This book consists of 12 chapters on the theme above from the different viewpoints of stochastic modeling. Chapter 1 is devoted to "Renewal Processes," under which classical renewal theory is surveyed and computa tional methods are described. Chapter 2 discusses "Stochastic Orders," and in it some definitions and concepts on stochastic orders are described and ag ing properties can be characterized by stochastic orders. Chapter 3 is devoted to "Classical Maintenance Models," under which the so-called age, block and other replacement models are surveyed. Chapter 4 discusses "Modeling Plant Maintenance," describing how maintenance practice can be carried out for plant maintenance.
Book Synopsis Stochastic Models for Social Processes by : David J. Bartholomew
Download or read book Stochastic Models for Social Processes written by David J. Bartholomew and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1973 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Models for social and occupational mobility; Markov models for educational and manpower systems; Control theory for Markov models; Continuous time models for stratified social systems; Models for duration; Renewal theory models for recruitment and wastage; Renewal theory models for graded social systems; The simple epidemic model for the diffusion of news and rumours; The general epidemic model for the diffusion of news and rumours.
Book Synopsis Stochastic Models with Power-Law Tails by : Dariusz Buraczewski
Download or read book Stochastic Models with Power-Law Tails written by Dariusz Buraczewski and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-07-04 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this monograph the authors give a systematic approach to the probabilistic properties of the fixed point equation X=AX+B. A probabilistic study of the stochastic recurrence equation X_t=A_tX_{t-1}+B_t for real- and matrix-valued random variables A_t, where (A_t,B_t) constitute an iid sequence, is provided. The classical theory for these equations, including the existence and uniqueness of a stationary solution, the tail behavior with special emphasis on power law behavior, moments and support, is presented. The authors collect recent asymptotic results on extremes, point processes, partial sums (central limit theory with special emphasis on infinite variance stable limit theory), large deviations, in the univariate and multivariate cases, and they further touch on the related topics of smoothing transforms, regularly varying sequences and random iterative systems. The text gives an introduction to the Kesten-Goldie theory for stochastic recurrence equations of the type X_t=A_tX_{t-1}+B_t. It provides the classical results of Kesten, Goldie, Guivarc'h, and others, and gives an overview of recent results on the topic. It presents the state-of-the-art results in the field of affine stochastic recurrence equations and shows relations with non-affine recursions and multivariate regular variation.
Book Synopsis Stochastic Models of Buying Behavior by : William F. Massy
Download or read book Stochastic Models of Buying Behavior written by William F. Massy and published by MIT Press (MA). This book was released on 1970 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Approaches to stochastic modeling; Estimating and testing stochastic models; Brand-choice models; Zero-order models; Two state markov models; Linear learning models for brand choice; A probability diffusion model; Application of the probability diffusion model; Purchase incidence models; Models for purchase timing and market penetration; A stochastic model for monitoring new product adoption; Parameter estimations and some emperical results for STEAM; Extension to STEAM.
Book Synopsis Deterministic Versus Stochastic Modelling in Biochemistry and Systems Biology by : Paola Lecca
Download or read book Deterministic Versus Stochastic Modelling in Biochemistry and Systems Biology written by Paola Lecca and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-04-09 with total page 411 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic kinetic methods are currently considered to be the most realistic and elegant means of representing and simulating the dynamics of biochemical and biological networks. Deterministic versus stochastic modelling in biochemistry and systems biology introduces and critically reviews the deterministic and stochastic foundations of biochemical kinetics, covering applied stochastic process theory for application in the field of modelling and simulation of biological processes at the molecular scale. Following an overview of deterministic chemical kinetics and the stochastic approach to biochemical kinetics, the book goes onto discuss the specifics of stochastic simulation algorithms, modelling in systems biology and the structure of biochemical models. Later chapters cover reaction-diffusion systems, and provide an analysis of the Kinfer and BlenX software systems. The final chapter looks at simulation of ecodynamics and food web dynamics. Introduces mathematical concepts and formalisms of deterministic and stochastic modelling through clear and simple examples Presents recently developed discrete stochastic formalisms for modelling biological systems and processes Describes and applies stochastic simulation algorithms to implement a stochastic formulation of biochemical and biological kinetics
Book Synopsis Stochastic Modeling by : Hossein Bonakdari
Download or read book Stochastic Modeling written by Hossein Bonakdari and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2022-04-13 with total page 372 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic Modeling: A Thorough Guide to Evaluate, Pre-Process, Model and Compare Time Series with MATLAB Software allows for new avenues in time series analysis and predictive modeling which summarize more than ten years of experience in the application of stochastic models in environmental problems. The book introduces a variety of different topics in time series in the modeling and prediction of complex environmental systems. Most importantly, all codes are user-friendly and readers will be able to use them for their cases. Users who may not be familiar with MATLAB software can also refer to the appendix. This book also guides the reader step-by-step to learn developed codes for time series modeling, provides required toolboxes, explains concepts, and applies different tools for different types of environmental time series problems. - Provides video tutorials on the use of codes - Includes a companion site with 3,000 lines of programming, 70 principal codes and 100 pseudo codes - Highlights multiple methods to Illustrate each problem
Book Synopsis Stochastic Discrete Event Systems by : Armin Zimmermann
Download or read book Stochastic Discrete Event Systems written by Armin Zimmermann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-01-12 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic discrete-event systems (SDES) capture the randomness in choices due to activity delays and the probabilities of decisions. This book delivers a comprehensive overview on modeling with a quantitative evaluation of SDES. It presents an abstract model class for SDES as a pivotal unifying result and details important model classes. The book also includes nontrivial examples to explain real-world applications of SDES.
Book Synopsis Introduction to Stochastic Processes with R by : Robert P. Dobrow
Download or read book Introduction to Stochastic Processes with R written by Robert P. Dobrow and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-03-07 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to stochastic processes through the use of R Introduction to Stochastic Processes with R is an accessible and well-balanced presentation of the theory of stochastic processes, with an emphasis on real-world applications of probability theory in the natural and social sciences. The use of simulation, by means of the popular statistical software R, makes theoretical results come alive with practical, hands-on demonstrations. Written by a highly-qualified expert in the field, the author presents numerous examples from a wide array of disciplines, which are used to illustrate concepts and highlight computational and theoretical results. Developing readers’ problem-solving skills and mathematical maturity, Introduction to Stochastic Processes with R features: More than 200 examples and 600 end-of-chapter exercises A tutorial for getting started with R, and appendices that contain review material in probability and matrix algebra Discussions of many timely and stimulating topics including Markov chain Monte Carlo, random walk on graphs, card shuffling, Black–Scholes options pricing, applications in biology and genetics, cryptography, martingales, and stochastic calculus Introductions to mathematics as needed in order to suit readers at many mathematical levels A companion web site that includes relevant data files as well as all R code and scripts used throughout the book Introduction to Stochastic Processes with R is an ideal textbook for an introductory course in stochastic processes. The book is aimed at undergraduate and beginning graduate-level students in the science, technology, engineering, and mathematics disciplines. The book is also an excellent reference for applied mathematicians and statisticians who are interested in a review of the topic.
Book Synopsis Modeling with Itô Stochastic Differential Equations by : E. Allen
Download or read book Modeling with Itô Stochastic Differential Equations written by E. Allen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-03-08 with total page 239 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explains a procedure for constructing realistic stochastic differential equation models for randomly varying systems in biology, chemistry, physics, engineering, and finance. Introductory chapters present the fundamental concepts of random variables, stochastic processes, stochastic integration, and stochastic differential equations. These concepts are explained in a Hilbert space setting which unifies and simplifies the presentation.
Book Synopsis Stochastic Simulation and Monte Carlo Methods by : Carl Graham
Download or read book Stochastic Simulation and Monte Carlo Methods written by Carl Graham and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-07-16 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In various scientific and industrial fields, stochastic simulations are taking on a new importance. This is due to the increasing power of computers and practitioners’ aim to simulate more and more complex systems, and thus use random parameters as well as random noises to model the parametric uncertainties and the lack of knowledge on the physics of these systems. The error analysis of these computations is a highly complex mathematical undertaking. Approaching these issues, the authors present stochastic numerical methods and prove accurate convergence rate estimates in terms of their numerical parameters (number of simulations, time discretization steps). As a result, the book is a self-contained and rigorous study of the numerical methods within a theoretical framework. After briefly reviewing the basics, the authors first introduce fundamental notions in stochastic calculus and continuous-time martingale theory, then develop the analysis of pure-jump Markov processes, Poisson processes, and stochastic differential equations. In particular, they review the essential properties of Itô integrals and prove fundamental results on the probabilistic analysis of parabolic partial differential equations. These results in turn provide the basis for developing stochastic numerical methods, both from an algorithmic and theoretical point of view. The book combines advanced mathematical tools, theoretical analysis of stochastic numerical methods, and practical issues at a high level, so as to provide optimal results on the accuracy of Monte Carlo simulations of stochastic processes. It is intended for master and Ph.D. students in the field of stochastic processes and their numerical applications, as well as for physicists, biologists, economists and other professionals working with stochastic simulations, who will benefit from the ability to reliably estimate and control the accuracy of their simulations.
