Speculative Attacks and Models of Balance of Payments Crises

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451852185
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Attacks and Models of Balance of Payments Crises by : Mr.Robert P. Flood

Download or read book Speculative Attacks and Models of Balance of Payments Crises written by Mr.Robert P. Flood and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-10-01 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews recent developments in the theoretical and empirical analysis of balance-of-payments crises. A simple analytical model highlighting the process leading to such crises is first developed. The basic framework is then extended to deal with a variety of issues, such as: alternative post-collapse regimes, uncertainty, real sector effects, external borrowing and capital controls, imperfect asset substitutability, sticky prices, and endogenous policy switches. Empirical evidence on the collapse of exchange rate regimes is also examined, and the major implications of the analysis for macroeconomic policy discussed.

Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451853548
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises by : Ms.Inci Ötker

Download or read book Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises written by Ms.Inci Ötker and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-11-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates a speculative attack model of currency crises in order to identify the role of economic fundamentals and any early warning signals of a potential currency crisis. The data from the Mexican economy was used to illustrate the model. Based on the results, a deterioration in fundamentals appears to have generated high one-step-ahead probabilities for the regime changes during the sample period 1982-1994. Particularly, increases in inflation differentials, appreciations of the real exchange rate, foreign reserve losses, expansionary monetary and fiscal policies, and increases in the share of short-term foreign currency debt appear to have contributed to the market pressures and regime changes in that period.

Currency Speculation in Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3658048298
Total Pages : 142 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (58 download)

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Book Synopsis Currency Speculation in Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes by : Anja Zenker

Download or read book Currency Speculation in Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes written by Anja Zenker and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2014-01-08 with total page 142 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Speculative currency crises seem to have become a common and inevitable phenomenon in the international monetary system. Against this background, various approaches have been developed by economists to cover the broad range of situations in which balance-of-payments crises occurred. Anja Zenker provides a comprehensive insight into the body of theoretical and empirical literature about currency speculation in fixed exchange rate regimes. The author discusses different generations of theoretical models and their empirical relevance in recent currency crises. Moreover, she considers diverse policy options which attempt to avoid speculative attacks on exchange rate pegs.

Speculative Attacks on Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (53 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Attacks on Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes by : Mark C. Hrycay

Download or read book Speculative Attacks on Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes written by Mark C. Hrycay and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Speculative Bubbles, Speculative Attacks, and Policy Switching

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262061698
Total Pages : 528 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (616 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Bubbles, Speculative Attacks, and Policy Switching by : Robert P. Flood

Download or read book Speculative Bubbles, Speculative Attacks, and Policy Switching written by Robert P. Flood and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1994 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The papers in this book are grouped into three sections: the first on price bubbles is primarily financial; the second on speculative attacks (on exchange rate regimes) is international in scope; and the third, on policy switching, is concerned with monetary policy.

Reexamining Theoretical Models of Speculative Attacks on Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 94 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (58 download)

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Book Synopsis Reexamining Theoretical Models of Speculative Attacks on Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes by : Jonathan Halket

Download or read book Reexamining Theoretical Models of Speculative Attacks on Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes written by Jonathan Halket and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Speculation and the Decision to Abandon a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.X/5 (6 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculation and the Decision to Abandon a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime by : Ivan Pastine

Download or read book Speculation and the Decision to Abandon a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime written by Ivan Pastine and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Speculative Attacks

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451926510
Total Pages : 7 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Attacks by : Mr.Guillermo Calvo

Download or read book Speculative Attacks written by Mr.Guillermo Calvo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-01-01 with total page 7 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A brief survey of the literature on speculative attacks is provided. The nature and causes of balance-of-payments crises, the implications for the behavior of the current account and the real exchange rate are discussed. Also, potential areas for future research on balance-of-payments crises are suggested.

The Operation and Collapse of Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Operation and Collapse of Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes by : Peter M. Garber

Download or read book The Operation and Collapse of Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes written by Peter M. Garber and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper reviews the recent literature on exchange rate target zones and on speculative attacks on fixed exchange rates. The influential Krugman model of exchange rate target zones has two main results, namely that credible target zones stabilize exchange rates more than fundamentals (the `honeymoon effect') and that exchange rates depend on fundamentals according to a nonlinear `S-curve' with `smooth pasting.' Almost all the model's empirical implications have been overwhelmingly rejected. Later research has reconciled the theory with empirical results by allowing for imperfectly credible exchange rates and for intra-marginal central bank interventions. That research has also shown that non-linearities and smooth pasting are probably empirically insignificant and that a linear managed-float model is a good approximation to exchange rate target zones. The speculative attack literature has developed models built on the principles of no anticipated price discontinuities, endogenous timing of the speculative attack, and the attack occurring when a finite amount of foreign exchange reserves remain. These models have been extended to include random timing of attacks and alternative post attack regimes. Some empirical tests have been undertaken. In contrast to target zone models, speculative attack models have been influenced by empirical results only to a small extent.

Perspectiveson the Recent Currency Crisis Literature

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451855168
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Perspectiveson the Recent Currency Crisis Literature by : Mr.Robert P. Flood

Download or read book Perspectiveson the Recent Currency Crisis Literature written by Mr.Robert P. Flood and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-09-01 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the 1990s, currency crises in Europe, Mexico, and Asia have drawn worldwide attention to speculative attacks on government-controlled exchange rates and have prompted researchers to undertake new theoretical and empirical analysis of these events. This paper provides some perspective on this work and relates it to earlier research. It derives the optimal commitment to a fixed exchange rate and proposes a common framework for analyzing currency crises. This framework stresses the important role of speculators and recognizes that the government’s commitment to a fixed exchange rate is constrained by other policy goals. The final section finds that some crises may be particularly difficult to predict using currently popular methods.

Devaluation Expectations and Speculative Attacks on the Currency

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Devaluation Expectations and Speculative Attacks on the Currency by : Alpo Willman

Download or read book Devaluation Expectations and Speculative Attacks on the Currency written by Alpo Willman and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Speculative Attacks, Forward Market Intervention and the Classic Bear Squeeze

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451980205
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Attacks, Forward Market Intervention and the Classic Bear Squeeze by : Mr.Subir Lall

Download or read book Speculative Attacks, Forward Market Intervention and the Classic Bear Squeeze written by Mr.Subir Lall and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-12-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A typical strategy used by speculators to launch an attack on a fixed exchange regime is the use of forward markets. Central banks also intervene in forward markets to counter speculation. This paper addresses the question of how an attack is launched on the forward market, and what the optimal policy response to such speculation is in the forward and spot markets. The paper also demonstrates how central banks can impose a bear squeeze on speculators. Recent events in South East Asian currency markets are interpreted within the framework of the model’s predictions.

Anomalous Speculative Attacks on Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 55 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (221 download)

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Book Synopsis Anomalous Speculative Attacks on Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes by : Willem H. Buiter

Download or read book Anomalous Speculative Attacks on Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes written by Willem H. Buiter and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Policy Making and Speculative Attacks in Models of Exchange Rate Crises

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Policy Making and Speculative Attacks in Models of Exchange Rate Crises by : Giancarlo Corsetti

Download or read book Policy Making and Speculative Attacks in Models of Exchange Rate Crises written by Giancarlo Corsetti and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226155420
Total Pages : 456 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (261 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets by : Michael P. Dooley

Download or read book Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets written by Michael P. Dooley and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 456 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The management of financial crises in emerging markets is a vital and high-stakes challenge in an increasingly global economy. For this reason, it's also a highly contentious issue in today's public policy circles. In this book, leading economists-many of whom have also participated in policy debates on these issues-consider how best to reduce the frequency and cost of such crises. The contributions here explore the management process from the beginning of a crisis to the long-term effects of the techniques used to minimize it. The first three chapters focus on the earliest responses and the immediate defense of a currency under attack, exploring whether unnecessary damage to economies can be avoided by adopting the right response within the first few days of a financial crisis. Next, contributors examine the adjustment programs that follow, considering how to design these programs so that they shorten the recovery phase, encourage economic growth, and minimize the probability of future difficulties. Finally, the last four papers analyze the actual effects of adjustment programs, asking whether they accomplish what they are designed to do-and whether, as many critics assert, they impose disproportionate costs on the poorest members of society. Recent high-profile currency crises have proven not only how harmful they can be to neighboring economies and trading partners, but also how important policy responses can be in determining their duration and severity. Economists and policymakers will welcome the insightful evaluations in this important volume, and those of its companion, Sebastian Edwards and Jeffrey A. Frankel's Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets.

Speculative Attacks and Currency Crisis

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Attacks and Currency Crisis by : İnci Ötker

Download or read book Speculative Attacks and Currency Crisis written by İnci Ötker and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Choice of Exchange Rate Regime and Speculative Attacks

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.X/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis The Choice of Exchange Rate Regime and Speculative Attacks by : Alex Cukierman

Download or read book The Choice of Exchange Rate Regime and Speculative Attacks written by Alex Cukierman and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: