Speculative Attacks and Models of Balance of Payments Crises

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451852185
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Attacks and Models of Balance of Payments Crises by : Mr.Robert P. Flood

Download or read book Speculative Attacks and Models of Balance of Payments Crises written by Mr.Robert P. Flood and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-10-01 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews recent developments in the theoretical and empirical analysis of balance-of-payments crises. A simple analytical model highlighting the process leading to such crises is first developed. The basic framework is then extended to deal with a variety of issues, such as: alternative post-collapse regimes, uncertainty, real sector effects, external borrowing and capital controls, imperfect asset substitutability, sticky prices, and endogenous policy switches. Empirical evidence on the collapse of exchange rate regimes is also examined, and the major implications of the analysis for macroeconomic policy discussed.

Speculative Attacks and Models of Balance-of-Payments Crises

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Attacks and Models of Balance-of-Payments Crises by : Pierre-Richard Agenor

Download or read book Speculative Attacks and Models of Balance-of-Payments Crises written by Pierre-Richard Agenor and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews recent developments in the theoretical and empirical analysis of balance-of-payments crises. A simple analytical model highlighting the process leading to such crises is first developed. The basic framework is then extended to deal with a variety of issues, such as: alternative post-collapse regimes, uncertainty, real sector effects, external borrowing and capital controls, imperfect asset substitutability, sticky prices, and endogenous policy switches. Empirical evidence on the collapse of exchange rate regimes is also examined, and the major implications of the analysis for macroeconomic policy discussed.

Speculative Attacks

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451926510
Total Pages : 7 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Attacks by : Mr.Guillermo Calvo

Download or read book Speculative Attacks written by Mr.Guillermo Calvo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-01-01 with total page 7 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A brief survey of the literature on speculative attacks is provided. The nature and causes of balance-of-payments crises, the implications for the behavior of the current account and the real exchange rate are discussed. Also, potential areas for future research on balance-of-payments crises are suggested.

Speculative attacks and models of balance-of-payments crises

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative attacks and models of balance-of-payments crises by : Pierre-Richard Agénor

Download or read book Speculative attacks and models of balance-of-payments crises written by Pierre-Richard Agénor and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451853548
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises by : Ms.Inci Ötker

Download or read book Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises written by Ms.Inci Ötker and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-11-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates a speculative attack model of currency crises in order to identify the role of economic fundamentals and any early warning signals of a potential currency crisis. The data from the Mexican economy was used to illustrate the model. Based on the results, a deterioration in fundamentals appears to have generated high one-step-ahead probabilities for the regime changes during the sample period 1982-1994. Particularly, increases in inflation differentials, appreciations of the real exchange rate, foreign reserve losses, expansionary monetary and fiscal policies, and increases in the share of short-term foreign currency debt appear to have contributed to the market pressures and regime changes in that period.

Speculative Attacks and Models of Balance-of-payments Crisis

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (124 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Attacks and Models of Balance-of-payments Crisis by : International Monetary Fund. Research Department

Download or read book Speculative Attacks and Models of Balance-of-payments Crisis written by International Monetary Fund. Research Department and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Perspectiveson the Recent Currency Crisis Literature

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451855168
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Perspectiveson the Recent Currency Crisis Literature by : Mr.Robert P. Flood

Download or read book Perspectiveson the Recent Currency Crisis Literature written by Mr.Robert P. Flood and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-09-01 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the 1990s, currency crises in Europe, Mexico, and Asia have drawn worldwide attention to speculative attacks on government-controlled exchange rates and have prompted researchers to undertake new theoretical and empirical analysis of these events. This paper provides some perspective on this work and relates it to earlier research. It derives the optimal commitment to a fixed exchange rate and proposes a common framework for analyzing currency crises. This framework stresses the important role of speculators and recognizes that the government’s commitment to a fixed exchange rate is constrained by other policy goals. The final section finds that some crises may be particularly difficult to predict using currently popular methods.

Speculative Attacks

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 7 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Attacks by : Pablo E. Guidotti

Download or read book Speculative Attacks written by Pablo E. Guidotti and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 7 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A brief survey of the literature on speculative attacks is provided. The nature and causes of balance-of-payments crises, the implications for the behavior of the current account and the real exchange rate are discussed. Also, potential areas for future research on balance-of-payments crises are suggested.

Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557758286
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (582 download)

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Book Synopsis Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems by : Mr.Eduardo Borensztein

Download or read book Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems written by Mr.Eduardo Borensztein and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2000-01-24 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent years have witnessed an increase in the frequency of currency and balance of payments crises in developing countries. More important, the crises have become more virulent, have caused widespread disruption to other developing countries, and have even had repercussions on advanced economies. To predict crises, their causes must be clearly understood. Two competing strands of theories are reviewed in this paper. The first focuses on the consequences of such policies as excessive credit growth in provoking depletion of foreign exchange reserves and making a devaluation enevitable. The second emphasizes the trade-offs between internal and external balance that the policymaker faces in defending a peg.

Rational and Self-Fulfilling Balance-of-Payments Crises

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (874 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational and Self-Fulfilling Balance-of-Payments Crises by : Maurice Obstfeld

Download or read book Rational and Self-Fulfilling Balance-of-Payments Crises written by Maurice Obstfeld and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent balance-of-payments literature shows that-speculative attacks on a pegged exchange rate must sometimes-occur if the path of the rate is riot to offer abnormal profit opportunities. Such attacks are fully rational, as they reflect the market's response to a regime breakdown that is inevitable.This paper shows that, given certain expectations about policy, balance-of-payments crises can also be purely self-fulfilling events. In such cases even a permanently viable regime maybreak down, and the economy will possess multiple equilibria corresponding to different subjective assessments of the probability of collapse. The behavior of domestic interest rates and foreign reserves will naturally reflect the possibility of a speculative attack. Work on foreign-exchange crises derives from the natural-resource literature initiated by Salant and Henderson (1978), where the definition of "abnormal" profit opportunities is straightforward. Because the definition is not always straight-forward in a monetary context, this paper also shows how crises occur in a discrete-time stochastic monetary model when an eventual breakdown is inevitable

Studies in the Theory of Balance-of-payments Crises

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Studies in the Theory of Balance-of-payments Crises by : Alpo Willman

Download or read book Studies in the Theory of Balance-of-payments Crises written by Alpo Willman and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Speculative Attacks and Balance of Payments Crises

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (753 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculative Attacks and Balance of Payments Crises by : Jukka Leskelä

Download or read book Speculative Attacks and Balance of Payments Crises written by Jukka Leskelä and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475561008
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications by : Mr.Stijn Claessens

Download or read book Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-30 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

Balance of Payments Crises Under Inflation Targeting

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Balance of Payments Crises Under Inflation Targeting by : Michael Kumhof

Download or read book Balance of Payments Crises Under Inflation Targeting written by Michael Kumhof and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-04 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes a small open economy model under inflation targeting. It shows why such a monetary regime is vulnerable to speculative attacks that take place over a short period rather than instantaneously. The speed at which the regime collapses, and the extent of reserve losses, are increasing in the central bank's explicit or implicit commitment to intervene in the foreign exchange market. Attacks are therefore ranked, from most to least severe, as follows: Exchange rate targeting, CPI inflation targeting, domestic nontradables inflation targeting, and money targeting. Under inflation targeting the size of the attack is increasing in the tradables consumption share.

Financial Structure and Stability

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9783790813326
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (133 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Structure and Stability by : Alexander Karmann

Download or read book Financial Structure and Stability written by Alexander Karmann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2000-10-26 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The basic question of this book is what we can learn from empirical as well as theoretical analysis of financial systems, differing cross-sectional and changing structually over time, with respect to the issue of stability of financial systems. Part I of the book deals with stability issues in a globalizing financial world and addresses topics of convergence, domestic policy, financial bubbles, crises and international coordination. Part II is on banking systems. Country specific adoption and restructuring of (universal but also separation) banking systems are key problems for the industrialized economies, while catching-up is of major concern for the economies in transition. Feeble regional economies and subsidized banking is at the heart of the vivid dispute on public sector banking being taken up in Part III. The last Part is devoted to resource-oriented approaches in quantifiying financial development and risk of sovereign default.

International Finance and Financial Crises

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9780792385790
Total Pages : 302 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (857 download)

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Book Synopsis International Finance and Financial Crises by : Robert P. Flood

Download or read book International Finance and Financial Crises written by Robert P. Flood and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1999 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International Finance and Financial Crises: Essays in Honor of Robert P. Flood, Jr. contains the proceedings of a conference held in honor of Robert P. Flood, Jr. Bob Flood has made important contributions to many areas of economic analysis, including regime switching, speculative attacks, bubbles, stock market volatility, macro models with nominal rigidities, dual exchange rates, target zones, and rules versus discretion in monetary policy. Contributors were invited to address any of the topics or others of their choosing. The results include five papers on topics in international finance; two of these papers, as well as the panel discussion, focus on speculative attacks and financial crises. The other three take new directions in exploring topics in which existing models leave much to be desired.

A Model of Crises in Emerging Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis A Model of Crises in Emerging Markets by : Michael P. Dooley

Download or read book A Model of Crises in Emerging Markets written by Michael P. Dooley and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: