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Author : Nada R. Sanders
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (169 download)
Download or read book Some Empirical Findings on Short-term Forecasting written by Nada R. Sanders and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Anand Desai
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 860 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (243 download)
Download or read book Some Empirical Findings on Short-term Forecasting written by Anand Desai and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 860 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Maximo Camacho
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781601987426
Total Pages : 74 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (874 download)
Download or read book Short-Term Forecasting for Empirical Economists written by Maximo Camacho and published by . This book was released on 2013-11-01 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Short-term Forecasting for Empirical Economists seeks to close the gap between research and applied short-term forecasting. The authors review some of the key theoretical results and empirical findings in the recent literature on short-term forecasting, and translate these findings into economically meaningful techniques to facilitate their widespread application to compute short-term forecasts in economics, and to monitor the ongoing business cycle developments in real time.
Author : Huug M. Van den Dool
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199202788
Total Pages : 252 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (992 download)
Download or read book Empirical Methods in Short-Term Climate Prediction written by Huug M. Van den Dool and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2007 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The author describes the methods underlying short-term climate prediction at time scales of two weeks to a year. With an emphasis on the empirical approach, this text covers empirical wave propagation, teleconnections, empirical orthogonal functions, and constructed analogue.
Author : Essam H. Mahmoud
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 740 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (1 download)
Download or read book Short-term Forecasting written by Essam H. Mahmoud and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 740 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Victor Zarnowitz
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 168 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book An Appraisal of Short-term Economic Forecasts written by Victor Zarnowitz and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First report on a study of short term economic forecasting in the USA. Statistical tables, and references.
Author : J.S. Armstrong
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0306476304
Total Pages : 840 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (64 download)
Download or read book Principles of Forecasting written by J.S. Armstrong and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2001-05-31 with total page 840 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners summarizes knowledge from experts and from empirical studies. It provides guidelines that can be applied in fields such as economics, sociology, and psychology. It applies to problems such as those in finance (How much is this company worth?), marketing (Will a new product be successful?), personnel (How can we identify the best job candidates?), and production (What level of inventories should be kept?). The book is edited by Professor J. Scott Armstrong of the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania. Contributions were written by 40 leading experts in forecasting, and the 30 chapters cover all types of forecasting methods. There are judgmental methods such as Delphi, role-playing, and intentions studies. Quantitative methods include econometric methods, expert systems, and extrapolation. Some methods, such as conjoint analysis, analogies, and rule-based forecasting, integrate quantitative and judgmental procedures. In each area, the authors identify what is known in the form of `if-then principles', and they summarize evidence on these principles. The project, developed over a four-year period, represents the first book to summarize all that is known about forecasting and to present it so that it can be used by researchers and practitioners. To ensure that the principles are correct, the authors reviewed one another's papers. In addition, external reviews were provided by more than 120 experts, some of whom reviewed many of the papers. The book includes the first comprehensive forecasting dictionary.
Author : Hans G. Graf
Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing USA
ISBN 13 : 0313017417
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Economic Forecasting for Management written by Hans G. Graf and published by Bloomsbury Publishing USA. This book was released on 2002-08-30 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Before future-oriented information can be used as a basis for decision making in economics or business administration, it must be understood on a methodological level. This book provides decision makers with a thorough understanding of the possibilities offered by various forecasting methods as well as their limitations. If managers rely on a forecast with a long-term perspective to guide them in making short-term decisions, planning deficiencies will likely result. Likewise, if managers use short-term forecasts to inform their long-term strategic vision, failure could easily ensue. Graf provides the tools necessary to sidestep the common pitfall of using the wrong forecasting technique for the wrong purpose. This is not a detailed examination of the mathematical and statistical tools of empirical economic research. Instead, forecasting methods are explained so that they can be understood by the managers who employ them in their decision making. Graf demonstrates that understanding and—in special cases—cooperation between forecast developers and users is crucial to creating an effective forecast that results in informed management decisions. He discusses traditional, long-term, macroeconomic, and global economic forecasting; the scenario technique as a central instrument of long-term forecasting; and short-term economic and market forecasting.
Author : Karl-Heinz Tödter
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book How Useful is the Carry-Over Effect for Short-Term Economic Forecasting? written by Karl-Heinz Tödter and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The carry-over effect is the advance contribution of the old year to growth in the new year. Among practitioners the informative content of the carry-over effect for short-term forecasting is undisputed and is used routinely in economic forecasting. In this paper, the carry-over effect is analysed 'statistically' and it is shown how it reduces the uncertainty of short-term economic forecasts. This is followed by an empirical analysis of the carry-over effect using simple forecast models as well as Bundesbank and Consensus projections.
Author : Dr. Suresh Kumar S
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 20 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Precision in Predicting the Stock Prices - An Empirical Approach to Accuracy in Forecasting written by Dr. Suresh Kumar S and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting the future prices of stock by analyzing the past and current price movements in determining the trend are always areas of interest of Chartists who believe in studying the action of the market itself rather than the past and current performances of the company. Stock price prediction has ignited the interest of researchers who strive to develop better predictive models with a fair degree of accuracy. The autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA)model introduced by Box and Jenkins in 1970has been in the limelight in econometrics literature for time series prediction, which has been at the core of explaining many economic and finance phenomena. ARIMA models in the research domain of finance and economics, especially stock markets, have shown an efficient capability to generate short-term forecasts and have hence beenable to outperform complex structural models in short-term prediction.This paper presents a stock price predictive model using the ARIMA model to analyze the sensitivity of such models to different time horizons used in the estimation of trends and verifies the validity of such forecasts in terms of their degree of precision. Published historical stock data, on an actively traded public sector bank's share and historical movements in the banking sector index in which the selected bank is a constituent, obtained from National Stock Exchange(NSE), India andwebsites of Yahoo finance are used to build and develop stock price forecasts and index movement predictive models. The experiments with dynamic as well as static forecasting methods used revealed that the ARIMA model has a strong potential for short-term prediction and can offer better precision than from long term trend estimates. As a stock price prediction or index movement forecast tool, it can be relied extensively in deciding entry and exit to and from the volatile markets,notwithstanding the fact the risk the investor faces on account of noise or shocks still can be erroneous making the entire prediction irrespective of its degree of precision irrelevant.
Author : John E. Boylan
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119135303
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (191 download)
Download or read book Intermittent Demand Forecasting written by John E. Boylan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-06-02 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: INTERMITTENT DEMAND FORECASTING The first text to focus on the methods and approaches of intermittent, rather than fast, demand forecasting Intermittent Demand Forecasting is for anyone who is interested in improving forecasts of intermittent demand products, and enhancing the management of inventories. Whether you are a practitioner, at the sharp end of demand planning, a software designer, a student, an academic teaching operational research or operations management courses, or a researcher in this field, we hope that the book will inspire you to rethink demand forecasting. If you do so, then you can contribute towards significant economic and environmental benefits. No prior knowledge of intermittent demand forecasting or inventory management is assumed in this book. The key formulae are accompanied by worked examples to show how they can be implemented in practice. For those wishing to understand the theory in more depth, technical notes are provided at the end of each chapter, as well as an extensive and up-to-date collection of references for further study. Software developments are reviewed, to give an appreciation of the current state of the art in commercial and open source software. “Intermittent demand forecasting may seem like a specialized area but actually is at the center of sustainability efforts to consume less and to waste less. Boylan and Syntetos have done a superb job in showing how improvements in inventory management are pivotal in achieving this. Their book covers both the theory and practice of intermittent demand forecasting and my prediction is that it will fast become the bible of the field.” —Spyros Makridakis, Professor, University of Nicosia, and Director, Institute for the Future and the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center (MOFC). “We have been able to support our clients by adopting many of the ideas discussed in this excellent book, and implementing them in our software. I am sure that these ideas will be equally helpful for other supply chain software vendors and for companies wanting to update and upgrade their capabilities in forecasting and inventory management.” —Suresh Acharya, VP, Research and Development, Blue Yonder. “As product variants proliferate and the pace of business quickens, more and more items have intermittent demand. Boylan and Syntetos have long been leaders in extending forecasting and inventory methods to accommodate this new reality. Their book gathers and clarifies decades of research in this area, and explains how practitioners can exploit this knowledge to make their operations more efficient and effective.” —Thomas R. Willemain, Professor Emeritus, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute.
Author : Edward A. Silver
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1466558628
Total Pages : 810 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (665 download)
Download or read book Inventory and Production Management in Supply Chains written by Edward A. Silver and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-12-19 with total page 810 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Authored by a team of experts, the new edition of this bestseller presents practical techniques for managing inventory and production throughout supply chains. It covers the current context of inventory and production management, replenishment systems for managing individual inventories within a firm, managing inventory in multiple locations and firms, and production management. The book presents sophisticated concepts and solutions with an eye towards today’s economy of global demand, cost-saving, and rapid cycles. It explains how to decrease working capital and how to deal with coordinating chains across boundaries.
Author : George Polanyi
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 102 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Short-term Forecasting written by George Polanyi and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Seetharama L. Narasimhan
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 742 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Production Planning and Inventory Control written by Seetharama L. Narasimhan and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 742 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of stories and essays written by my students at the University of Pécs, Hungary
Author : Jay D. Lindquist
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319169734
Total Pages : 511 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (191 download)
Download or read book Proceedings of the 1984 Academy of Marketing Science (AMS) Annual Conference written by Jay D. Lindquist and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-05-18 with total page 511 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume includes the full proceedings from the 1984 Academy of Marketing Science (AMS) Annual Conference held in Niagara Falls, New York. It provides a variety of quality research in the fields of marketing theory and practice in areas such as consumer behaviour, marketing management, marketing education, and international marketing, among others. Founded in 1971, the Academy of Marketing Science is an international organization dedicated to promoting timely explorations of phenomena related to the science of marketing in theory, research, and practice. Among its services to members and the community at large, the Academy offers conferences, congresses and symposia that attract delegates from around the world. Presentations from these events are published in this Proceedings series, which offers a comprehensive archive of volumes reflecting the evolution of the field. Volumes deliver cutting-edge research and insights, complimenting the Academy’s flagship journals, the Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science (JAMS) and AMS Review. Volumes are edited by leading scholars and practitioners across a wide range of subject areas in marketing science.
Author : ITE (Institute of Transportation Engineers)
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118762266
Total Pages : 688 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (187 download)
Download or read book Traffic Engineering Handbook written by ITE (Institute of Transportation Engineers) and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-01-19 with total page 688 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Get a complete look into modern traffic engineering solutions Traffic Engineering Handbook, Seventh Edition is a newly revised text that builds upon the reputation as the go-to source of essential traffic engineering solutions that this book has maintained for the past 70 years. The updated content reflects changes in key industry standards, and shines a spotlight on the needs of all users, the design of context-sensitive roadways, and the development of more sustainable transportation solutions. Additionally, this resource features a new organizational structure that promotes a more functionally-driven, multimodal approach to planning, designing, and implementing transportation solutions. A branch of civil engineering, traffic engineering concerns the safe and efficient movement of people and goods along roadways. Traffic flow, road geometry, sidewalks, crosswalks, cycle facilities, shared lane markings, traffic signs, traffic lights, and more—all of these elements must be considered when designing public and private sector transportation solutions. Explore the fundamental concepts of traffic engineering as they relate to operation, design, and management Access updated content that reflects changes in key industry-leading resources, such as the Highway Capacity Manual (HCM), Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices (MUTCD), AASSHTO Policy on Geometric Design, Highway Safety Manual (HSM), and Americans with Disabilities Act Understand the current state of the traffic engineering field Leverage revised information that homes in on the key topics most relevant to traffic engineering in today's world, such as context-sensitive roadways and sustainable transportation solutions Traffic Engineering Handbook, Seventh Edition is an essential text for public and private sector transportation practitioners, transportation decision makers, public officials, and even upper-level undergraduate and graduate students who are studying transportation engineering.
Author : Alexander Bönner
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3834994022
Total Pages : 193 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (349 download)
Download or read book Forecasting Models for the German Office Market written by Alexander Bönner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-04-22 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The applicability and performance of ARIMA, GARCH and multivariate regression models are analyzed and city as well as forecasting horizon-specific patterns are determined and interpreted by Alexander Bönner. Univariate rent forecasting models generally outperform multivariate rent forecasting regression models in the short run. In the long run, multivariate regression models dominate.
